Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2016, Leicester 1 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        32   69  +24      19.82    99.18    16.21    77.64     3.21    24.57    77.23    94.27    99.42    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   62  +32       5.35    73.85    12.53    72.19     3.18    34.87    11.65    51.46    85.03    96.26    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          31   58  +22       0.73    52.87    -0.52    72.04     3.21    28.99    10.25    44.57    80.34    95.16    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   54  +24      -7.49    17.00    -6.39    67.17     3.41    29.46     0.63     7.17    24.12    64.27    97.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   53  +12       0.36    51.72    -2.77    65.92     3.35    16.96     0.23     2.45    10.30    37.92    93.79     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   51  +12       6.18    77.69     8.76    60.73     3.47    12.24     0.01     0.07     0.68     4.59    53.46     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   47   +8      -2.24    39.47     0.08    56.34     3.12     9.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     9.29     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   47   -3       4.98    73.16    -0.56    54.22     3.10    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   45   +5      -1.40    43.29    -2.91    58.80     3.81     9.31     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.49    31.01     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          31   44   +8     -11.81     7.17   -12.48    55.84     3.55    11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    10.76     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        31   40   -7       2.98    65.34     0.59    47.02     3.19   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          30   38   +9      -7.71    17.03     2.32    51.00     3.79    12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      32   38  -16       4.08    69.75     1.01    44.12     3.04   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Watford          31   37   -6       1.68    59.12     4.75    46.15     3.44    -6.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09R    0.00  
Swansea          32   37   -9      -3.17    35.18    -3.49    43.52     3.10   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   34   -8      -2.11    40.11     1.45    41.79     3.27   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00R    0.00  
Norwich          32   31  -21      -1.78    42.25    -2.66    37.05     3.00   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.71R    0.00  
Sunderland       31   27  -19      -4.41    28.86    -1.13    33.65     3.26   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.80R    0.04  
Newcastle        31   25  -27      -4.28    29.29    -4.82    31.56     3.16   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.98R    0.82  
Aston_Villa      32   16  -40      -9.05     9.59    -9.96    20.97     2.77   -45.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Birmingham 1 2 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         40   77  +30       6.15    74.13     6.45    87.52     3.13    33.29    41.28    77.15   100.00    84.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   39   76  +29       7.44    79.56     7.19    88.15     3.36    32.58    48.04    78.95   100.00    85.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        40   75  +18      14.13    93.43     8.68    83.89     3.17    19.12     6.29    23.45    99.90    38.67P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            39   69  +27       0.60    52.05     5.54    82.62     3.36    32.74     4.33    19.22    99.67    47.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   68  +22       7.30    78.26    12.81    77.11     3.19    23.27     0.03     0.50    87.78    16.46P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   67  +19       0.07    50.16     0.70    77.70     3.16    22.72     0.03     0.72    92.26    24.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         40   63   +9       5.50    72.10     4.49    71.89     3.21    10.02     0.00     0.00    17.49     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         40   60   +2       2.31    59.80    -2.78    68.20     3.12     2.10     0.00     0.00     2.56     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      39   56   +4       3.76    66.23     4.91    64.95     3.39     3.28     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   56   +1       2.76    61.89     1.94    63.68     3.08     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             40   52   +3      -6.55    25.09    -2.90    60.85     3.10     4.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   40   52   -4      -3.88    34.34    -6.07    60.29     3.13    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         39   51   +1      -0.90    46.88     2.62    59.22     3.32    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   49   -6      -4.09    33.69    -5.30    58.59     3.48    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    39   48   -9       0.81    53.98    -0.84    56.03     3.25   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Blackburn       40   46   -1      -8.83    17.24    -1.97    55.10     3.20     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   46   -6      -6.13    25.52    -3.16    54.23     3.21    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Huddersfield    40   45   -5      -4.38    32.38     3.27    52.57     3.22    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Fulham          40   44   -5      -7.28    22.59     1.31    51.89     3.17    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   44  -22      -1.06    46.29    -7.18    50.27     3.08   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.14R    0.00  
Rotherham       40   43  -17       0.50    53.11     1.77    49.46     3.03   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.29R    0.00  
MK_Dons         40   37  -21      -7.80    20.38    -6.79    44.02     3.09   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.40R    0.06  
Charlton        40   36  -34      -3.84    34.16   -11.74    41.55     2.94   -37.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.64R    1.25  
Bolton          40   26  -35     -14.41     4.82   -12.94    31.36     2.86   -39.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.69  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Fleetwood_Town 2 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            40   77  +34       1.20    54.35     2.62    88.14     3.18    38.18    77.02    96.32   100.00    97.82P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    40   76  +17      16.45    95.51     9.83    84.54     3.25    17.58    19.14    69.86    99.97    76.57P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   68  +17       9.33    84.42     7.18    80.56     3.77    19.34     3.27    22.90    97.14    41.89P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       39   67  +21       5.90    73.17     9.42    77.50     3.54    22.35     0.47     7.99    90.98    28.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         40   67   +8       9.36    83.83     3.42    75.58     3.24     8.60     0.04     1.15    75.62    16.83P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   66  +16       2.06    58.25     2.34    75.87     3.24    18.39     0.03     1.52    82.65    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   62  +12       1.73    56.95     1.91    72.72     3.45    13.80     0.01     0.26    43.93    11.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   58   +5      -3.20    37.03    -4.55    66.90     3.29     5.98     0.00     0.00     3.24     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   58   +5       0.71    53.20     1.49    66.93     3.30     5.99     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   58   +1       5.78    72.92     4.58    65.53     3.12    -0.01     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   57  +15      -3.48    36.38     6.55    65.26     3.21    15.06     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       40   56   +5       1.58    57.15     5.45    64.57     3.24     5.45     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        41   56   -4       3.34    63.82     1.01    62.66     2.87    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   54   +5      -5.07    30.52    -1.27    63.43     3.32     6.77     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   51   -9      -5.62    28.37   -11.28    59.65     3.23    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Bury             40   51  -14       5.26    71.42     0.16    57.84     3.17   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Chesterfield     40   46  -10      -7.54    21.96    -7.80    53.98     3.22   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.27R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       39   46  -14      -1.74    43.48    -5.34    53.34     3.38   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.75R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   40   45   -3      -6.10    26.23     1.88    53.10     3.12    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.18R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   45  -11      -6.11    26.99    -4.37    50.89     2.83   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.44R    0.00  
Oldham           39   44  -11      -2.89    38.41    -1.89    52.18     3.34   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.26R    0.00  
Doncaster        40   38  -17     -11.15    11.85    -8.73    45.30     3.17   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.66R    1.15  
Colchester       40   35  -36      -4.55    32.05    -8.94    41.12     3.12   -39.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   20.43  
Crewe            40   30  -32      -7.12    21.30    -3.65    36.64     3.12   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.42  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Carlisle 1 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          40   87  +32      19.53    97.84    12.96    96.60     3.27    34.01    99.72   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   73  +33       5.07    69.59    13.78    83.54     3.23    36.36     0.23    76.68    99.99    83.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   71  +24       7.27    76.89    10.92    81.07     3.25    26.67     0.05    43.07    99.85    58.22P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             40   71  +20       6.62    75.36     6.11    80.68     3.19    22.14     0.00    34.12    99.73    51.92P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   71  +19      12.02    88.78    13.06    80.54     3.27    21.00     0.01    31.90    99.67    45.35P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   66  +28       1.47    55.94    11.70    77.59     3.50    30.91     0.00    14.18    96.42    38.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   61   +6       1.12    54.70    -1.66    69.79     3.20     6.89     0.00     0.02    27.51     6.31P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             40   60   +3       5.72    71.97     4.30    68.10     3.30     2.73     0.00     0.00    12.93     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        40   60   +2      -4.04    34.27   -11.68    69.94     3.24     4.55     0.00     0.00    28.96     7.85P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   59   +9       3.93    66.17     6.71    68.91     3.51     9.49     0.00     0.02    25.24     4.67P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               40   59   +2       3.48    64.14     1.20    66.99     3.26     1.65     0.00     0.00     6.84     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        40   56   +2       3.24    63.70     5.24    64.22     3.28     2.00     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            40   53   +2       2.78    62.06     8.22    60.63     3.22     1.14     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                39   53   +0      -2.05    41.90    -2.51    62.79     3.52     0.24     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               40   51   -8       2.83    62.07     2.53    58.26     3.21    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   47  -20      -3.10    38.14   -13.01    54.44     3.23   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           39   45  -16       2.19    60.36    -0.54    52.18     3.33   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   43   -9      -7.73    21.55    -1.95    51.41     3.29    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil               40   43  -13      -8.55    19.18    -9.13    50.01     3.14   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County         39   42  -19      -8.30    19.74   -13.89    52.25     3.63   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County       40   41  -17      -5.57    28.12    -5.12    47.79     3.14   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Stevenage            40   39  -18     -11.96    10.52   -12.12    46.61     3.26   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.01  
York                 40   29  -31     -13.48     6.79   -12.12    35.03     3.06   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.40R   43.94  
Dag_&_Red            39   28  -31     -13.69     6.19   -12.98    34.52     3.24   -35.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   56.05  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2016, Aldershot 3 4 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       42   89  +50       3.94    65.55     8.08    97.48     2.37    54.72    95.77   100.00    97.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   85  +28      12.05    89.59     5.04    91.78     2.60    30.04     4.14   100.00    29.96P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   75  +38      -1.55    42.71     4.96    85.65     3.16    41.70     0.08    99.71    38.08P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   41   74  +22       8.54    81.01     8.23    80.50     2.96    21.45     0.00    92.19    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   69  +15      -3.49    35.96    -7.00    75.11     2.64    15.90     0.00    31.56     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   41   68  +12       7.27    77.60     5.02    74.51     2.79    11.65     0.00    19.10     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        40   67   +9       5.70    72.10    -0.51    75.92     3.19    10.02     0.00    37.72     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          41   66  +20       0.47    51.82     6.17    73.60     2.93    21.09     0.00    19.49     3.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        42   63  -10       8.00    79.56    -5.73    68.26     2.62   -10.34     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     41   60  +12      -2.46    40.12     2.78    67.67     2.91    13.21     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          42   59   +1       4.46    67.33     6.80    65.04     2.68     1.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           41   59   -7       9.27    82.92     4.29    64.64     2.89    -8.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   57   +3      -0.13    49.74     4.31    62.26     2.52     2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           41   51   +2      -9.22    17.09    -3.55    57.50     2.93     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        42   50  -20       0.68    53.71    -7.18    55.39     2.60   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Southport        42   48  -15       1.83    58.31     2.15    53.06     2.58   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Chester          42   45  -10      -4.90    30.94     2.85    49.73     2.48   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94R    0.00  
Torquay          41   44  -24      -5.79    27.33   -13.56    50.96     2.95   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.87R    0.00  
Guiseley         41   43  -22       0.98    55.26    -0.31    47.74     2.67   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.39R    0.00  
Halifax          40   43  -23      -5.66    27.98   -12.19    49.45     3.02   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.62R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     42   41   -8      -7.45    22.32     4.02    46.69     2.56    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.01R    0.01  
Altrincham       41   40  -23      -2.55    40.07    -1.32    45.35     2.77   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.29R    0.35  
Welling          42   35  -25      -8.19    18.43    -3.90    40.03     2.56   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.94R   19.35  
Kidderminster    41   29  -25     -17.01     2.83    -9.44    35.69     2.95   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   80.29