Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 4 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2016, Leicester 1 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 32 69 +24 19.93 99.18 16.31 77.63 3.22 24.57 77.36 94.03 99.31 99.94 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 62 +32 5.32 73.72 12.46 72.18 3.20 34.88 11.56 51.43 84.85 96.03 99.98 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 58 +22 0.84 53.35 -0.35 72.06 3.22 29.01 10.21 44.90 80.71 95.26 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 54 +24 -7.44 17.23 -6.36 67.14 3.41 29.43 0.63 7.00 23.75 63.86 97.65 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 31 53 +12 0.40 51.75 -2.74 65.94 3.36 17.01 0.24 2.53 10.55 38.09 94.01 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 31 51 +12 6.21 77.42 8.83 60.71 3.49 12.22 0.00 0.11 0.71 4.91 53.30 0.00 0.00 Southampton 32 47 +8 -2.24 39.27 0.05 56.34 3.12 9.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 9.47 0.00 0.00 Stoke 32 47 -3 5.04 73.33 -0.46 54.23 3.11 -4.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.88 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 45 +5 -1.41 43.15 -2.91 58.79 3.79 9.27 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.53 30.75 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 31 44 +8 -11.89 7.20 -12.54 55.86 3.54 11.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 11.04 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 31 40 -7 2.93 64.84 0.53 47.01 3.21 -11.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01R 0.00 Everton 30 38 +9 -7.63 17.56 2.41 50.95 3.80 12.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.95 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 32 38 -16 3.80 68.55 0.57 44.18 3.03 -19.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Watford 31 37 -6 1.63 58.76 4.60 46.19 3.44 -6.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Swansea 32 37 -9 -3.16 35.49 -3.41 43.50 3.11 -11.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 31 34 -8 -2.14 40.11 1.43 41.81 3.29 -10.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.02R 0.00 Norwich 32 31 -21 -1.80 42.25 -2.61 37.06 3.00 -24.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.62R 0.00 Sunderland 31 27 -19 -4.38 29.22 -1.03 33.66 3.27 -23.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.76R 0.04 Newcastle 31 25 -27 -4.37 29.17 -4.97 31.54 3.18 -32.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.03R 0.87 Aston_Villa 32 16 -40 -8.96 9.72 -9.79 20.95 2.75 -45.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.09Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Blackburn 1 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 39 76 +30 6.77 76.39 6.59 88.48 3.43 34.11 53.61 81.57 100.00 87.69P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 73 +26 7.07 78.43 6.00 87.09 3.61 30.39 31.57 66.66 99.99 77.30P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 39 72 +17 12.81 91.93 8.14 82.23 3.41 18.12 2.80 12.88 99.43 30.66P 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 69 +31 0.08 49.88 6.96 84.32 3.56 37.26 11.98 38.26 99.89 61.79P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 65 +21 6.11 74.61 12.47 75.75 3.46 22.68 0.02 0.31 80.09 15.68P 0.00 0.00 Derby 39 64 +15 0.10 50.33 -0.73 75.74 3.46 18.28 0.01 0.31 80.45 20.11P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 62 +9 5.69 73.03 4.21 71.68 3.42 9.19 0.00 0.01 26.57 4.53P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 59 +2 3.02 62.83 -2.24 69.39 3.39 3.32 0.00 0.00 10.12 1.70P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 38 56 +5 4.80 70.50 5.41 66.39 3.66 4.42 0.00 0.00 2.65 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Preston 39 56 +2 3.86 66.51 2.60 65.40 3.38 2.02 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.13P 0.00 0.00 QPR 39 51 +3 -6.51 25.02 -3.40 61.36 3.41 4.24 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 39 49 -5 -5.39 28.27 -6.86 58.59 3.41 -4.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.01R 0.00 Reading 38 48 +0 -2.01 41.66 2.32 57.63 3.58 -1.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Leeds_United 38 47 -9 1.00 54.94 -1.16 56.33 3.49 -11.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Blackburn 39 46 +0 -7.92 19.72 -1.60 56.17 3.46 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 46 -5 -5.07 29.37 -2.57 55.42 3.49 -5.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43R 0.00 Brentford 38 46 -8 -4.57 31.63 -5.60 57.42 3.75 -7.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Huddersfield 39 45 -2 -4.29 32.88 4.38 53.31 3.42 -3.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33R 0.00 Bristol_City 39 43 -22 -0.37 49.47 -6.67 50.97 3.41 -24.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.79R 0.00 Rotherham 39 42 -17 0.63 53.80 1.37 49.49 3.30 -20.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.71R 0.00 Fulham 39 41 -6 -8.51 18.32 0.98 49.90 3.45 -7.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.88R 0.00 MK_Dons 39 37 -20 -6.76 23.43 -6.44 45.40 3.37 -21.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.17R 0.11 Charlton 39 35 -34 -3.64 34.46 -11.86 41.26 3.19 -38.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.20R 3.59 Bolton 39 26 -33 -13.84 5.35 -12.30 32.19 3.12 -38.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 96.30League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Blackpool 2 0 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 40 77 +34 1.20 54.38 2.65 88.09 3.18 38.13 76.69 95.99 100.00 97.53P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 40 76 +17 16.57 95.57 9.95 84.56 3.25 17.60 19.41 69.90 99.95 76.52P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 38 68 +17 9.39 84.44 7.25 80.58 3.78 19.35 3.37 23.39 97.17 42.14P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 39 67 +21 5.85 72.71 9.43 77.49 3.52 22.35 0.47 7.60 90.98 28.39P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 40 67 +8 9.27 83.36 3.32 75.57 3.23 8.59 0.03 1.12 74.91 16.80P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 40 66 +16 2.13 58.28 2.46 75.92 3.24 18.46 0.03 1.65 82.71 24.71P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 62 +12 1.72 57.12 1.88 72.73 3.47 13.82 0.01 0.34 43.69 11.29P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 40 58 +5 -3.02 38.08 -4.25 66.86 3.29 5.92 0.00 0.00 3.22 0.88P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 40 58 +5 0.72 53.21 1.50 66.86 3.31 5.89 0.00 0.00 2.81 0.69P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 58 +1 5.81 72.50 4.63 65.56 3.12 0.04 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 40 57 +15 -3.45 36.17 6.64 65.24 3.19 15.03 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.34P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 40 56 +5 1.45 56.45 5.26 64.55 3.22 5.43 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 41 56 -4 3.32 63.62 1.03 62.67 2.89 -4.28 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 39 54 +7 -4.68 31.43 -0.78 64.99 3.61 9.07 0.00 0.00 1.63 0.39P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 39 51 -7 -4.92 30.82 -10.29 61.20 3.51 -6.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.04R 0.00 Bury 40 51 -14 5.51 72.39 0.56 57.82 3.17 -16.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30R 0.00 Chesterfield 40 46 -10 -7.59 21.77 -7.88 53.94 3.20 -10.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.97R 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 46 -14 -2.14 41.73 -5.90 53.36 3.37 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.81R 0.00 Blackpool 41 45 -11 -6.04 27.03 -4.23 50.89 2.82 -12.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.03R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 39 42 -5 -6.73 23.57 1.32 51.30 3.41 -5.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.13R 0.01 Oldham 38 41 -13 -3.91 33.80 -2.95 50.41 3.62 -15.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.14R 0.03 Doncaster 40 38 -17 -11.25 11.42 -8.96 45.33 3.18 -18.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.30R 1.20 Colchester 40 35 -36 -4.62 31.69 -9.14 41.13 3.13 -39.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.31R 20.59 Crewe 40 30 -32 -7.05 21.56 -3.49 36.65 3.13 -34.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 78.18League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 40 87 +32 19.27 97.80 12.56 96.63 3.27 34.06 99.74 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 73 +33 4.76 68.60 13.32 83.58 3.22 36.39 0.19 76.84 99.99 84.07P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 40 71 +24 7.39 77.15 11.06 81.10 3.22 26.73 0.04 42.66 99.89 57.43P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 40 71 +20 6.19 74.05 5.56 80.76 3.21 22.24 0.02 34.95 99.75 52.89P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 40 71 +19 12.15 88.86 13.19 80.51 3.28 20.94 0.02 31.51 99.75 45.01P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 39 66 +28 1.66 56.74 12.00 77.55 3.52 30.86 0.00 13.99 96.29 37.29P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 40 61 +6 1.01 54.39 -1.78 69.78 3.18 6.88 0.00 0.02 28.51 6.59P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 40 60 +2 -4.29 33.30 -11.99 69.98 3.26 4.63 0.00 0.01 30.43 8.34P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 39 59 +9 4.13 66.46 6.99 68.93 3.54 9.50 0.00 0.03 26.30 5.04P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 40 59 +2 3.41 63.76 1.14 67.02 3.27 1.66 0.00 0.00 7.50 1.38P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 39 57 +2 4.48 67.94 3.94 66.80 3.58 2.21 0.00 0.00 8.70 1.43P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 40 56 +2 3.10 63.15 4.98 64.22 3.28 2.00 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 53 +2 2.89 62.49 8.42 60.60 3.22 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 53 +0 -2.02 41.81 -2.49 62.82 3.51 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 40 51 -8 2.93 62.26 2.57 58.30 3.19 -9.38 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 40 47 -20 -3.19 37.90 -13.11 54.42 3.22 -21.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 38 45 -15 2.95 63.43 -0.31 53.25 3.58 -19.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 39 43 -8 -6.76 24.43 -1.61 53.09 3.59 -7.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Yeovil 39 42 -13 -7.95 20.38 -8.64 50.22 3.41 -14.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Notts_County 39 42 -19 -7.98 20.68 -13.41 52.22 3.62 -18.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 40 41 -17 -5.31 29.22 -4.80 47.76 3.14 -19.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Stevenage 39 38 -18 -11.63 10.99 -12.05 47.07 3.55 -18.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.59R 0.01 York 40 29 -31 -13.71 6.50 -12.47 35.05 3.07 -34.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.41R 29.30 Dag_&_Red 38 25 -32 -14.77 4.19 -13.07 32.55 3.49 -37.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.76R 70.69National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Aldershot 0 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 42 89 +50 3.93 65.79 8.13 97.45 2.38 54.68 95.77 100.00 97.57P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 42 85 +28 12.15 89.37 5.18 91.75 2.58 30.00 4.19 100.00 29.72P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 39 72 +37 -2.44 39.01 5.29 84.47 3.43 41.31 0.04 98.47 37.42P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 40 71 +21 7.17 77.21 7.54 79.21 3.24 20.97 0.00 80.02 12.59P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 42 69 +15 -3.65 35.07 -7.24 75.11 2.63 15.92 0.00 28.77 7.06P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 40 68 +14 7.85 79.89 5.97 76.12 3.12 14.00 0.00 38.13 6.33P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 40 67 +9 5.66 72.18 -0.61 75.95 3.20 10.09 0.00 35.33 5.66P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 41 66 +20 0.51 51.99 6.21 73.60 2.94 21.11 0.00 19.02 3.58P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 42 63 -10 7.85 79.08 -5.92 68.27 2.62 -10.34 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 41 60 +12 -2.35 40.32 2.91 67.70 2.91 13.24 0.00 0.20 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 42 59 +1 4.28 66.67 6.48 65.04 2.68 1.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 42 57 +3 -0.31 49.11 4.00 62.26 2.54 2.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 40 56 -9 8.59 81.51 3.85 62.78 3.18 -11.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 41 51 +2 -9.14 17.73 -3.51 57.49 2.93 1.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 41 50 -19 1.67 57.84 -7.07 56.25 2.86 -19.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Southport 42 48 -15 2.00 59.46 2.39 53.05 2.58 -15.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Chester 41 45 -8 -4.40 32.86 3.52 50.91 2.83 -9.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.32R 0.00 Guiseley 41 43 -22 1.12 55.89 -0.10 47.74 2.67 -25.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.07R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 41 41 -7 -6.59 24.95 4.05 47.88 2.88 -6.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.98R 0.01 Torquay 40 41 -26 -6.49 24.66 -14.16 49.52 3.27 -25.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.59R 0.01 Altrincham 40 40 -22 -1.69 43.37 -1.14 46.43 3.07 -24.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.27R 0.16 Halifax 39 40 -24 -6.66 24.16 -12.32 47.95 3.35 -27.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.80R 0.08 Welling 42 35 -25 -8.27 18.42 -4.09 40.01 2.55 -25.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.06R 19.52 Kidderminster 41 29 -25 -16.98 2.86 -9.36 35.69 2.95 -25.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.88R 80.22