Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2016, Leicester 1 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        32   69  +24      19.82    99.12    16.18    77.64     3.21    24.60    77.44    94.12    99.29    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   62  +32       5.31    73.59    12.45    72.15     3.20    34.86    11.35    51.22    84.78    96.06    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          31   58  +22       0.74    53.07    -0.52    72.07     3.22    29.03    10.43    45.02    80.88    95.25    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   54  +24      -7.53    16.70    -6.47    67.13     3.39    29.41     0.55     7.04    23.72    64.10    97.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   53  +12       0.52    52.34    -2.60    65.91     3.37    16.94     0.21     2.49    10.59    38.11    93.76     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   51  +12       6.06    76.87     8.48    60.77     3.47    12.30     0.01     0.09     0.64     4.67    53.86     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   47   +8      -2.59    37.91    -0.41    56.40     3.15     9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     9.86     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   47   -3       5.04    73.24    -0.42    54.20     3.07    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.71     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   45   +5      -1.36    43.44    -2.82    58.74     3.83     9.25     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.51    30.48     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          31   44   +8     -11.78     7.35   -12.35    55.84     3.53    11.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    10.57     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        31   40   -7       2.85    64.59     0.38    47.04     3.21   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          30   38   +9      -7.73    16.86     2.26    51.00     3.79    12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      32   38  -16       3.96    69.50     0.87    44.15     3.04   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Watford          31   37   -6       1.75    59.30     4.78    46.10     3.44    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08R    0.00  
Swansea          32   37   -9      -3.17    35.52    -3.45    43.51     3.11   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   34   -8      -2.01    40.90     1.56    41.78     3.28   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Norwich          32   31  -21      -1.59    43.45    -2.40    37.05     2.98   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.50R    0.00  
Sunderland       31   27  -19      -4.26    29.29    -0.81    33.65     3.26   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.03R    0.04  
Newcastle        31   25  -27      -4.32    29.02    -4.89    31.58     3.16   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.81R    0.82  
Aston_Villa      32   16  -40      -9.03     9.52    -9.83    20.97     2.77   -45.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Blackburn 1 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         39   76  +30       6.56    75.96     6.34    88.50     3.43    34.16    53.47    81.89   100.00    87.88P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   38   73  +26       7.13    78.72     6.07    87.07     3.62    30.35    31.50    66.12    99.99    76.95P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        39   72  +17      13.01    92.29     8.41    82.25     3.44    18.14     3.00    13.25    99.43    31.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   69  +31       0.10    50.20     7.03    84.32     3.57    37.24    11.99    38.10    99.88    61.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   65  +21       5.94    74.27    12.23    75.81     3.45    22.76     0.02     0.34    80.91    16.11P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           39   64  +15       0.06    50.11    -0.80    75.75     3.43    18.28     0.02     0.29    80.42    19.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         39   62   +9       5.79    73.25     4.34    71.68     3.42     9.17     0.00     0.00    26.02     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         39   59   +2       2.91    62.63    -2.39    69.39     3.38     3.33     0.00     0.00    10.05     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   56   +5       4.90    71.10     5.54    66.35     3.67     4.38     0.00     0.00     2.52     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         39   56   +2       3.96    66.73     2.73    65.45     3.35     2.06     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             39   51   +3      -6.48    25.11    -3.30    61.35     3.41     4.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   39   49   -5      -5.43    28.40    -6.95    58.63     3.42    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         38   48   +0      -2.03    41.56     2.30    57.63     3.57    -1.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    38   47   -9       1.27    56.42    -0.77    56.23     3.51   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Blackburn       39   46   +0      -7.89    19.59    -1.53    56.16     3.45     0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   46   -5      -4.99    29.18    -2.43    55.42     3.48    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Brentford       38   46   -8      -4.44    32.00    -5.39    57.39     3.71    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Huddersfield    39   45   -2      -4.36    32.48     4.21    53.31     3.40    -3.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    0.00  
Bristol_City    39   43  -22      -0.72    47.78    -7.20    51.02     3.42   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.45R    0.00  
Rotherham       39   42  -17       0.58    53.76     1.35    49.49     3.32   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.77R    0.01  
Fulham          39   41   -6      -8.63    18.14     0.76    49.88     3.44    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.59R    0.00  
MK_Dons         39   37  -20      -6.67    23.32    -6.27    45.33     3.37   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.00R    0.10  
Charlton        39   35  -34      -3.65    34.74   -11.79    41.26     3.18   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.89R    3.65  
Bolton          39   26  -33     -13.89     5.33   -12.50    32.22     3.12   -38.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   96.24  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Blackpool 2 0 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wigan            40   77  +34       1.33    55.19     2.90    88.08     3.17    38.13    76.61    95.99   100.00    97.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    40   76  +17      16.55    95.57     9.89    84.55     3.26    17.58    19.39    69.73    99.97    76.65P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   68  +17       9.32    84.36     7.16    80.58     3.74    19.36     3.36    23.20    97.28    42.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       39   67  +21       5.89    72.90     9.54    77.49     3.55    22.34     0.56     7.87    90.73    28.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         40   67   +8       9.48    84.08     3.59    75.55     3.23     8.59     0.03     1.08    74.77    16.50P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   66  +16       1.93    57.89     2.16    75.95     3.23    18.51     0.03     1.85    82.82    25.47P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   62  +12       1.81    57.66     2.01    72.72     3.43    13.81     0.02     0.27    43.76    11.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   58   +5      -3.26    37.03    -4.59    66.88     3.30     5.96     0.00     0.00     3.08     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   58   +5       0.72    53.24     1.52    66.93     3.32     5.95     0.00     0.00     3.08     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   58   +1       6.06    73.68     4.96    65.54     3.13    -0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   57  +15      -3.33    36.66     6.76    65.25     3.21    15.04     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       40   56   +5       1.40    55.96     5.20    64.57     3.23     5.47     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        41   56   -4       3.40    64.03     1.11    62.66     2.89    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   54   +7      -4.69    31.64    -0.84    64.98     3.60     9.03     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          39   51   -7      -5.00    30.40   -10.48    61.23     3.52    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bury             40   51  -14       5.32    71.53     0.29    57.79     3.17   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Chesterfield     40   46  -10      -7.67    21.61    -7.99    53.98     3.21   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.96R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       39   46  -14      -1.85    42.80    -5.52    53.30     3.38   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.32R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   45  -11      -6.03    27.03    -4.23    50.85     2.81   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.16R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   39   42   -5      -7.01    22.52     0.96    51.34     3.40    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.78R    0.00  
Oldham           38   41  -13      -3.86    34.31    -2.90    50.40     3.62   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.85R    0.03  
Doncaster        40   38  -17     -11.16    11.75    -8.76    45.30     3.19   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.13R    1.25  
Colchester       40   35  -36      -4.58    31.55    -9.00    41.10     3.13   -39.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   20.81  
Crewe            40   30  -32      -7.19    21.12    -3.73    36.70     3.13   -34.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   77.91  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          40   87  +32      19.33    97.82    12.57    96.63     3.28    34.07    99.78   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   73  +33       4.97    69.34    13.62    83.54     3.21    36.36     0.18    76.21    99.99    83.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   71  +24       7.30    77.00    10.98    81.09     3.23    26.69     0.02    43.06    99.86    57.78P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             40   71  +20       6.04    73.31     5.34    80.78     3.20    22.24     0.01    35.07    99.77    52.74P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   71  +19      11.95    88.63    12.81    80.54     3.30    20.97     0.01    31.77    99.73    45.27P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   66  +28       1.59    56.52    11.86    77.57     3.51    30.90     0.00    13.86    96.55    37.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   61   +6       1.09    54.72    -1.67    69.80     3.19     6.90     0.00     0.02    28.36     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        40   60   +2      -4.23    33.71   -11.88    69.97     3.25     4.59     0.00     0.00    30.46     8.38P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   59   +9       4.13    66.86     7.01    68.93     3.53     9.50     0.00     0.01    26.16     4.91P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               40   59   +2       3.61    64.69     1.37    67.01     3.27     1.63     0.00     0.00     7.50     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             39   57   +2       4.41    67.72     3.80    66.79     3.58     2.23     0.00     0.00     8.65     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        40   56   +2       3.23    63.35     5.24    64.21     3.28     1.98     0.00     0.00     1.81     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            40   53   +2       3.02    62.89     8.65    60.61     3.24     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                39   53   +0      -2.22    41.25    -2.76    62.81     3.51     0.28     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               40   51   -8       2.99    62.76     2.74    58.28     3.24    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   47  -20      -2.98    38.89   -12.78    54.43     3.23   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           38   45  -15       2.99    63.67    -0.28    53.25     3.57   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            39   43   -8      -6.84    24.40    -1.68    53.08     3.59    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil               39   42  -13      -7.81    20.63    -8.45    50.23     3.41   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County         39   42  -19      -8.40    19.89   -14.08    52.29     3.64   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County       40   41  -17      -5.32    29.00    -4.86    47.78     3.15   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Stevenage            39   38  -18     -11.52    11.10   -11.91    47.04     3.52   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.01  
York                 40   29  -31     -13.85     6.26   -12.68    35.05     3.05   -34.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.41R   29.48  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.73     4.49   -12.98    32.56     3.51   -37.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   70.51  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Aldershot 0 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       42   89  +50       4.01    65.84     8.16    97.48     2.38    54.69    95.86   100.00    97.55P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   85  +28      12.14    89.65     5.14    91.74     2.59    29.99     4.09   100.00    30.34P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   72  +37      -2.34    39.14     5.48    84.43     3.45    41.27     0.05    98.42    37.26P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   40   71  +21       7.21    76.98     7.60    79.21     3.25    20.97     0.00    79.69    12.36P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   69  +15      -3.73    34.97    -7.32    75.11     2.64    15.93     0.00    28.66     7.04P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   40   68  +14       7.89    80.13     6.07    76.11     3.11    13.98     0.00    38.16     6.28P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        40   67   +9       5.94    72.94    -0.15    75.96     3.20    10.09     0.00    35.81     5.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          41   66  +20       0.33    51.48     6.00    73.61     2.94    21.10     0.00    19.07     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        42   63  -10       8.06    79.89    -5.64    68.24     2.61   -10.38     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     41   60  +12      -2.61    39.42     2.57    67.71     2.91    13.28     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          42   59   +1       4.70    68.12     7.13    65.01     2.66     1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   57   +3      -0.18    49.52     4.11    62.27     2.55     2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           40   56   -9       8.55    81.15     3.80    62.79     3.20   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           41   51   +2      -9.21    17.31    -3.57    57.48     2.94     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        41   50  -19       1.57    57.08    -7.20    56.29     2.88   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        42   48  -15       1.98    58.86     2.36    53.04     2.56   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Chester          41   45   -8      -4.43    32.69     3.46    50.94     2.82    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.00  
Guiseley         41   43  -22       0.87    54.97    -0.40    47.75     2.66   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.88R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     41   41   -7      -6.60    24.82     4.01    47.87     2.90    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.22R    0.00  
Torquay          40   41  -26      -6.60    24.32   -14.34    49.53     3.26   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.50R    0.01  
Altrincham       40   40  -22      -1.79    42.93    -1.30    46.46     3.06   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.90R    0.22  
Halifax          39   40  -24      -6.65    24.14   -12.41    47.92     3.33   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.12R    0.08  
Welling          42   35  -25      -8.35    17.98    -4.15    39.99     2.55   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.19R   19.65  
Kidderminster    41   29  -25     -16.97     2.96    -9.40    35.70     2.94   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   80.05