Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 2 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Arsenal 4 0 Watford; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 31 66 +23 18.47 98.76 15.60 76.06 3.50 23.64 63.73 86.45 97.32 99.62 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 62 +32 5.20 73.27 12.33 72.18 3.19 34.89 18.53 54.94 86.71 97.09 99.98 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 58 +22 0.95 54.09 -0.23 72.03 3.22 28.97 16.15 48.39 82.11 96.13 99.92 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 54 +24 -7.42 17.25 -6.24 67.12 3.41 29.42 1.29 8.15 25.54 70.01 97.37 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 31 51 +12 6.29 77.74 8.88 60.75 3.48 12.25 0.01 0.13 0.72 5.43 51.64 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 50 +11 -0.88 45.43 -3.21 64.62 3.64 16.47 0.29 1.94 7.43 28.61 86.24 0.00 0.00 Southampton 31 47 +9 -1.48 42.82 0.22 57.72 3.42 10.67 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.99 19.30 0.00 0.00 Stoke 32 47 -3 4.93 72.84 -0.61 54.25 3.09 -4.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 2.71 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 45 +5 -1.28 43.96 -2.70 58.72 3.82 9.20 0.00 0.01 0.11 1.78 29.70 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 31 44 +8 -11.83 7.10 -12.49 55.88 3.53 11.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 10.46 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 31 40 -7 3.02 65.51 0.61 47.06 3.24 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01R 0.00 Everton 29 38 +10 -6.80 19.84 2.58 52.08 4.04 12.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 2.64 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 32 38 -16 3.98 69.22 0.80 44.14 3.03 -19.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Watford 31 37 -6 1.79 59.58 4.86 46.12 3.43 -6.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Swansea 32 37 -9 -3.13 35.45 -3.47 43.55 3.09 -11.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 31 34 -8 -2.16 40.20 1.41 41.81 3.30 -10.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.99R 0.00 Norwich 32 31 -21 -1.80 42.28 -2.64 37.03 2.98 -24.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.46R 0.00 Sunderland 31 27 -19 -4.30 29.30 -0.89 33.66 3.26 -23.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.79R 0.05 Newcastle 31 25 -27 -4.29 29.29 -4.87 31.50 3.16 -32.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.24R 0.86 Aston_Villa 32 16 -40 -9.12 9.41 -9.93 20.94 2.77 -45.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.08Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Blackburn 1 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 39 76 +30 6.63 76.08 6.45 88.52 3.43 34.18 54.23 81.99 100.00 88.07P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 73 +26 7.16 79.00 6.13 87.03 3.61 30.32 31.18 66.17 99.99 77.08P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 39 72 +17 12.86 91.98 8.17 82.24 3.43 18.12 2.85 13.09 99.42 30.52P 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 69 +31 0.27 50.78 7.23 84.28 3.58 37.21 11.71 38.04 99.89 61.41P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 65 +21 6.11 74.53 12.38 75.76 3.47 22.68 0.02 0.32 80.22 15.93P 0.00 0.00 Derby 39 64 +15 -0.01 49.94 -0.92 75.78 3.47 18.32 0.01 0.38 80.64 20.28P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 62 +9 5.75 72.92 4.31 71.68 3.43 9.18 0.00 0.01 26.44 4.35P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 59 +2 2.95 62.57 -2.34 69.38 3.39 3.31 0.00 0.00 9.98 1.83P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 38 56 +5 4.79 70.51 5.38 66.35 3.66 4.39 0.00 0.00 2.57 0.37P 0.00 0.00 Preston 39 56 +2 3.86 66.57 2.54 65.42 3.38 2.05 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.14P 0.00 0.00 QPR 39 51 +3 -6.40 25.25 -3.24 61.34 3.40 4.21 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 39 49 -5 -5.35 28.54 -6.76 58.64 3.41 -4.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Reading 38 48 +0 -1.93 42.00 2.43 57.62 3.58 -1.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 38 47 -9 1.10 55.37 -0.92 56.30 3.52 -11.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Blackburn 39 46 +0 -7.68 20.24 -1.27 56.13 3.44 0.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 46 -5 -5.10 29.02 -2.57 55.43 3.49 -5.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45R 0.00 Brentford 38 46 -8 -4.67 31.19 -5.75 57.46 3.73 -7.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.16R 0.00 Huddersfield 39 45 -2 -4.15 32.97 4.52 53.30 3.41 -3.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33R 0.00 Bristol_City 39 43 -22 -0.64 48.19 -7.11 50.99 3.39 -24.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.67R 0.00 Rotherham 39 42 -17 0.61 53.77 1.33 49.49 3.31 -20.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.56R 0.00 Fulham 39 41 -6 -8.69 17.80 0.68 49.91 3.45 -7.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.77R 0.00 MK_Dons 39 37 -20 -6.70 23.63 -6.30 45.37 3.38 -21.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.74R 0.09 Charlton 39 35 -34 -3.73 34.30 -11.90 41.26 3.17 -38.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.02R 3.38 Bolton 39 26 -33 -13.90 5.34 -12.49 32.22 3.11 -38.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.53League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Blackpool 2 0 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wigan 40 77 +34 1.27 54.54 2.71 88.09 3.17 38.16 76.44 96.03 100.00 97.60P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 40 76 +17 16.64 95.73 10.09 84.57 3.25 17.59 19.60 69.77 99.94 76.59P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 38 68 +17 9.40 84.28 7.21 80.59 3.76 19.38 3.35 23.32 97.27 42.12P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 39 67 +21 5.67 72.14 9.13 77.54 3.55 22.39 0.54 7.95 91.08 28.92P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 40 67 +8 9.58 84.36 3.71 75.54 3.22 8.55 0.03 1.03 74.85 16.33P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 40 66 +16 1.93 57.70 2.16 75.92 3.23 18.46 0.03 1.60 82.75 24.80P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 62 +12 2.02 58.35 2.38 72.69 3.46 13.76 0.01 0.29 43.36 11.05P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 40 58 +5 -2.93 38.39 -4.19 66.81 3.29 5.86 0.00 0.00 3.02 0.77P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 40 58 +5 0.63 52.80 1.41 66.88 3.33 5.89 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.75P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 58 +1 5.98 73.28 4.87 65.54 3.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 40 57 +15 -3.48 36.12 6.49 65.28 3.22 15.09 0.00 0.00 1.60 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 40 56 +5 1.34 55.85 5.14 64.57 3.25 5.48 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 41 56 -4 3.34 63.71 1.05 62.64 2.90 -4.31 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 39 54 +7 -4.43 32.47 -0.38 64.94 3.58 8.96 0.00 0.00 1.56 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 39 51 -7 -5.09 30.12 -10.53 61.25 3.54 -6.03 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.05R 0.00 Bury 40 51 -14 5.52 72.32 0.56 57.78 3.16 -16.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31R 0.00 Chesterfield 40 46 -10 -7.71 21.34 -8.03 54.02 3.22 -10.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.72R 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 46 -14 -1.95 42.58 -5.60 53.33 3.37 -17.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.91R 0.00 Blackpool 41 45 -11 -6.20 26.56 -4.49 50.90 2.82 -12.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.87R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 39 42 -5 -7.10 22.55 0.79 51.35 3.41 -5.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.87R 0.01 Oldham 38 41 -13 -4.00 33.55 -3.09 50.39 3.63 -15.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.63R 0.03 Doncaster 40 38 -17 -11.20 11.77 -8.85 45.32 3.17 -18.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.31R 1.11 Colchester 40 35 -36 -4.47 31.94 -8.94 41.11 3.13 -39.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.34R 20.62 Crewe 40 30 -32 -7.16 21.34 -3.61 36.69 3.14 -34.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 78.23League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 40 87 +32 19.32 97.69 12.68 96.63 3.29 34.07 99.71 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 73 +33 4.82 69.08 13.43 83.59 3.22 36.43 0.21 76.79 99.99 83.71P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 40 71 +24 7.27 76.70 10.99 81.10 3.24 26.72 0.05 42.96 99.89 57.91P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 40 71 +20 6.34 74.58 5.75 80.72 3.20 22.20 0.01 34.13 99.76 52.13P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 40 71 +19 12.03 88.85 12.97 80.55 3.27 21.01 0.02 31.83 99.75 45.28P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 39 66 +28 1.66 56.73 12.01 77.59 3.52 30.92 0.00 14.24 96.62 38.50P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 40 61 +6 1.24 55.28 -1.47 69.75 3.19 6.86 0.00 0.02 28.11 6.41P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 40 60 +2 -4.02 34.61 -11.59 69.91 3.25 4.53 0.00 0.01 30.01 7.89P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 39 59 +9 4.02 66.29 6.78 68.97 3.53 9.54 0.00 0.03 26.67 4.92P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 40 59 +2 3.29 63.30 0.92 67.00 3.29 1.64 0.00 0.00 7.69 1.34P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 39 57 +2 4.66 68.69 4.17 66.78 3.56 2.19 0.00 0.00 8.54 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 40 56 +2 3.32 63.71 5.34 64.18 3.29 1.93 0.00 0.00 1.79 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 53 +2 2.76 61.74 8.20 60.64 3.23 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 53 +0 -2.09 41.61 -2.57 62.81 3.50 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 40 51 -8 2.74 61.55 2.29 58.34 3.23 -9.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 40 47 -20 -3.30 37.36 -13.30 54.40 3.22 -21.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 38 45 -15 3.11 64.07 -0.05 53.22 3.59 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 39 43 -8 -6.74 24.77 -1.59 53.07 3.59 -7.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Yeovil 39 42 -13 -8.16 19.63 -8.98 50.29 3.43 -14.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Notts_County 39 42 -19 -8.20 20.09 -13.78 52.27 3.63 -18.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 40 41 -17 -5.39 29.08 -4.96 47.77 3.16 -19.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00 Stevenage 39 38 -18 -11.56 11.08 -11.96 47.04 3.53 -18.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62R 0.01 York 40 29 -31 -13.44 6.69 -12.08 35.02 3.06 -34.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.35R 29.51 Dag_&_Red 38 25 -32 -14.84 4.36 -13.21 32.57 3.53 -37.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.75R 70.48National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2016, Aldershot 0 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 42 89 +50 3.91 65.55 8.12 97.46 2.39 54.68 95.68 100.00 97.48P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 42 85 +28 12.22 89.65 5.22 91.78 2.58 30.03 4.28 100.00 30.77P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 39 72 +37 -2.67 37.78 4.97 84.49 3.44 41.36 0.04 98.49 37.27P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 40 71 +21 7.30 77.34 7.76 79.21 3.24 20.97 0.00 79.80 11.99P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 42 69 +15 -3.78 34.76 -7.38 75.12 2.64 15.92 0.00 29.08 7.05P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 40 68 +14 7.98 80.20 6.17 76.10 3.11 13.98 0.00 38.05 6.32P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 40 67 +9 5.67 72.08 -0.56 75.93 3.19 10.05 0.00 35.22 5.49P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 41 66 +20 0.47 51.64 6.12 73.62 2.93 21.12 0.00 19.14 3.61P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 42 63 -10 7.81 78.77 -5.94 68.27 2.62 -10.33 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 41 60 +12 -2.47 40.02 2.75 67.71 2.92 13.27 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 42 59 +1 4.74 68.27 7.20 65.02 2.68 1.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 42 57 +3 -0.20 49.59 4.09 62.28 2.53 2.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 40 56 -9 8.57 81.46 3.86 62.78 3.21 -11.30 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Woking 41 51 +2 -9.23 17.23 -3.63 57.46 2.92 1.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 41 50 -19 1.62 57.56 -7.17 56.26 2.86 -19.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Southport 42 48 -15 1.95 59.16 2.37 53.01 2.56 -15.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Chester 41 45 -8 -4.22 33.40 3.73 50.92 2.82 -9.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.27R 0.00 Guiseley 41 43 -22 1.04 56.02 -0.25 47.74 2.67 -25.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.95R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 41 41 -7 -6.70 24.19 3.85 47.90 2.88 -6.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.81R 0.01 Torquay 40 41 -26 -6.52 24.70 -14.20 49.50 3.25 -25.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.60R 0.01 Altrincham 40 40 -22 -1.77 43.07 -1.24 46.45 3.07 -24.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.11R 0.21 Halifax 39 40 -24 -6.73 24.08 -12.44 47.92 3.33 -27.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.20R 0.10 Welling 42 35 -25 -8.25 18.19 -4.04 39.99 2.56 -25.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.13R 19.92 Kidderminster 41 29 -25 -16.94 2.85 -9.35 35.71 2.96 -25.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.88R 79.75