Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 1 April 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.54    98.80    15.75    76.09     3.51    23.71    63.85    88.44    97.96    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.74    75.80    12.51    72.62     3.50    34.99    23.95    65.10    90.25    97.54    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       0.84    53.58    -1.79    70.98     3.49    25.77    11.00    37.47    76.53    92.60    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.62    16.13    -7.79    66.11     3.65    26.39     0.79     6.18    22.57    59.75    93.91     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.88    80.22     9.20    61.56     3.77    12.87     0.05     0.54     2.65    11.63    58.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.72    46.30    -2.96    64.58     3.64    16.36     0.35     2.22     9.33    33.32    85.59     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.31    43.84     0.51    57.64     3.44    10.54     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.25    17.79     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.52    75.41    -0.37    54.82     3.37    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     4.14     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -1.04    44.68    -2.88    59.04     4.07     9.09     0.00     0.05     0.61     3.70    31.56     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.63     7.22   -13.57    54.76     3.79     8.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     6.20     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.19    66.31     0.47    47.39     3.52   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -7.01    18.96     2.32    52.03     4.02    12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.25     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.82    68.71     2.14    45.02     3.31   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.33    57.73     5.94    46.99     3.62    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.75    37.38    -3.47    43.69     3.35   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -2.02    40.52     1.00    41.75     3.52   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.98R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.86    36.82    -3.10    35.62     3.28   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.31R    0.05  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -3.99    30.29    -0.91    34.07     3.57   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.53R    0.19  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.19    34.37    -4.65    32.72     3.46   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.50R    1.18  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.04     9.46    -8.34    21.69     2.98   -42.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   98.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 April 2016, QPR 2 3 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.09    77.99     6.67    88.88     3.68    34.18    57.48    83.98   100.00    89.09P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   38   73  +26       7.16    78.84     6.09    87.06     3.59    30.36    30.24    68.86    99.99    79.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.04    92.64     7.95    82.52     3.66    18.07     4.55    17.36    99.55    34.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.57    52.11     6.07    83.24     3.82    34.06     7.63    28.22    99.72    53.92P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       0.97    54.21    -0.47    77.23     3.74    19.45     0.10     1.40    88.64    23.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.82    70.13    11.89    74.06     3.75    21.60     0.01     0.17    68.51    13.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.51    68.80     3.81    70.01     3.69     8.12     0.00     0.01    19.53     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.33    64.36    -2.28    69.62     3.64     3.09     0.00     0.00    14.78     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       5.83    74.60     5.88    68.03     3.92     5.80     0.00     0.00     8.78     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.55    61.42     1.99    63.39     3.60     0.58     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             39   51   +3      -6.49    25.02    -3.36    61.31     3.41     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -4.86    30.07    -6.60    59.13     3.69    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.21    60.44    -0.37    57.71     3.78   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.59    23.57    -0.69    57.76     3.72     2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.57    30.72    -0.79    57.29     3.78    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.44    35.82     4.53    54.75     3.69    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.24    36.24     1.88    55.96     3.85    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.17    28.85    -6.96    55.23     3.98   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -1.10    46.07    -6.10    51.84     3.58   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.33R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.54    48.44     1.04    47.74     3.58   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.06R    0.03  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.66    15.10     0.71    48.64     3.73    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.59R    0.04  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.94    25.75    -6.26    46.48     3.66   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.58R    0.13  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.18    27.79   -12.65    39.31     3.41   -40.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.63R   16.17  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.89     6.55   -11.97    33.68     3.42   -37.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   83.64  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 March 2016, Southend 3 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    39   75  +17      17.22    96.40    10.39    85.49     3.52    18.41    32.37    69.94    99.96    76.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            39   74  +30       1.48    55.88     1.72    86.68     3.45    34.43    56.41    86.17   100.00    91.50P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.89    85.70     8.00    81.90     4.04    21.29     9.22    31.13    98.32    48.28P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       38   66  +21       6.33    74.53     9.49    78.10     3.83    22.65     1.71     9.20    91.96    29.13P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   65  +16       2.75    60.81     2.84    76.78     3.54    19.21     0.24     2.88    87.17    26.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         39   64   +7       8.10    80.51     2.94    74.05     3.50     7.78     0.03     0.46    56.83    12.14P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   62  +12       1.74    56.89     1.96    72.84     3.45    14.01     0.01     0.22    47.69    11.76P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         39   58   +3       6.41    74.77     5.48    66.99     3.41     2.16     0.00     0.00     3.85     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   57   +5       1.65    57.38     2.31    67.65     3.57     6.50     0.00     0.00     6.09     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   56  +15      -3.20    36.87     6.37    65.46     3.49    14.76     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   56   +6       2.21    59.47     5.46    65.75     3.49     6.23     0.00     0.00     2.34     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        40   56   -2       3.71    65.47     1.39    63.86     3.19    -2.51     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   55   +3      -3.77    34.61    -4.97    65.16     3.56     3.82     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   51   +4      -4.78    31.29    -1.36    63.94     3.83     7.03     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          38   50   -7      -4.40    32.48   -10.17    61.92     3.79    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             39   50  -14       5.37    71.80    -0.13    57.66     3.41   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   46  -10      -2.42    40.33    -4.66    54.56     3.63   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.99R    0.00  
Chesterfield     39   43  -12      -8.33    19.45    -8.63    52.43     3.52   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.06R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   42  -13      -6.73    24.43    -4.95    49.28     3.14   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.13R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town   38   41   -5      -6.72    23.55     0.82    51.31     3.67    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.59R    0.03  
Oldham           38   41  -13      -3.80    34.09    -2.86    50.31     3.61   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.17R    0.06  
Doncaster        39   37  -17     -10.84    12.08    -8.93    45.31     3.43   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.19R    2.32  
Colchester       39   34  -36      -4.47    31.74    -9.23    41.03     3.39   -40.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   27.26  
Crewe            39   30  -29      -7.33    20.38    -3.29    37.48     3.36   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   70.30  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Barnet 2 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          39   86  +32      19.91    98.25    12.95    97.47     3.57    34.81    99.68   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   73  +33       4.83    68.70    13.46    83.51     3.23    36.31     0.17    73.86    99.96    81.77P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   71  +21       7.44    78.33     6.39    82.43     3.49    23.66     0.09    53.98    99.84    66.46P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   70  +19      12.54    90.09    13.16    81.19     3.57    21.41     0.05    38.23    99.48    50.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   68  +21       7.10    76.59     9.97    79.69     3.53    24.04     0.02    25.15    99.00    43.27P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           38   63  +27       0.43    51.69    11.53    76.33     3.80    30.48     0.00     8.51    89.85    32.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   61   +7       2.22    59.41    -1.04    71.37     3.47     8.18     0.00     0.20    43.41    10.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        39   59   +2      -3.52    35.68   -11.47    70.84     3.53     5.32     0.00     0.06    35.56     9.70P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             38   57   +3       5.18    70.98     3.88    67.87     3.81     2.70     0.00     0.01    12.98     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   56   +8       2.75    61.50     6.41    66.96     3.79     8.05     0.00     0.00    11.85     2.34P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   56   +1       2.10    58.93     0.62    65.10     3.51     0.25     0.00     0.00     2.65     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        39   55   +2       3.47    64.56     5.02    64.30     3.57     1.55     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            39   53   +3       3.90    66.52     8.96    62.16     3.51     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                38   53   +1      -0.93    46.28    -1.86    64.45     3.80     1.67     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   51   -6       3.19    63.22     2.78    59.64     3.51    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   47  -17      -3.11    37.78   -12.06    55.59     3.49   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           37   42  -16       1.82    58.95    -0.54    51.39     3.82   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Newport_County       39   41  -16      -4.77    30.94    -4.90    49.12     3.43   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Notts_County         38   41  -19      -7.84    20.79   -13.81    52.08     3.86   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   40  -10      -7.53    21.50    -2.34    51.52     3.87    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil               38   39  -14      -9.23    16.27    -9.14    48.73     3.67   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Stevenage            38   35  -19     -12.86     8.44   -12.32    45.16     3.78   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.12  
York                 39   28  -31     -13.38     6.59   -12.53    34.98     3.32   -34.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.83R   31.02  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.80     4.42   -13.13    32.60     3.50   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.34R   68.85  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 April 2016, Cheltenham 3 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       42   89  +50       4.07    65.93     8.25    97.46     2.38    54.70    92.47   100.00    95.52P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   84  +28      12.66    90.66     5.23    92.45     2.91    30.51     7.49   100.00    32.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   72  +37      -2.52    38.65     5.11    84.36     3.45    41.15     0.04    96.74    35.60P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   69  +16      -2.06    41.47    -6.00    77.35     2.90    18.18     0.00    46.59    11.35P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   39   68  +20       6.10    74.05     7.43    78.25     3.51    21.03     0.00    59.12     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   39   68  +16       8.45    81.82     6.95    77.41     3.38    15.96     0.00    43.74     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        39   66   +9       6.45    74.94     0.01    77.12     3.45    11.33     0.00    38.98     6.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   65  +20       0.46    52.02     5.56    73.62     3.20    20.59     0.00    14.34     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   63   -9       8.96    82.45    -5.40    70.04     2.96    -8.76     0.00     0.45     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     40   57  +10      -3.32    36.64     1.85    66.15     3.21    11.39     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     41   57   +5       0.24    51.35     4.72    63.57     2.89     4.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          41   56   -1       4.11    66.62     6.93    63.44     3.03    -0.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           39   53  -10       7.19    77.70     3.40    60.83     3.49   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           40   50   +2      -8.85    18.06    -3.71    57.97     3.24     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        40   50  -18       2.76    62.35    -6.41    57.98     3.20   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        41   47  -15       2.19    60.13     1.98    53.23     2.89   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Chester          40   44   -8      -4.06    34.08     3.38    51.52     3.13    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Guiseley         40   42  -22       1.15    56.13    -0.51    47.44     2.90   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.15R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     40   40   -7      -6.38    25.43     3.73    48.02     3.17    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.53R    0.01  
Halifax          38   40  -23      -5.81    26.78   -12.14    48.70     3.55   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.89R    0.03  
Altrincham       39   39  -22      -1.53    44.39    -1.30    46.52     3.34   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.33R    0.41  
Torquay          39   38  -27      -8.01    19.09   -14.95    47.56     3.51   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.81R    0.12  
Welling          41   32  -26      -9.79    13.45    -4.87    37.51     2.75   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.92R   44.88  
Kidderminster    40   28  -25     -16.56     3.02    -9.26    36.45     3.27   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   54.55