Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 31 March 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.55    98.88    15.73    76.07     3.51    23.67    63.80    88.19    98.02    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.67    75.58    12.45    72.61     3.51    34.98    24.15    65.04    90.34    97.57    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       0.91    53.80    -1.65    70.95     3.49    25.70    10.81    37.87    76.74    92.37    99.62     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.38    17.00    -7.42    66.04     3.66    26.28     0.80     5.96    22.23    59.06    93.66     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.80    80.06     9.06    61.57     3.74    12.91     0.05     0.47     2.48    11.77    58.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.70    46.47    -2.98    64.59     3.65    16.37     0.37     2.38     9.55    34.09    85.32     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.29    43.81     0.49    57.67     3.43    10.58     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.23    17.83     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.68    76.26    -0.19    54.80     3.36    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     4.09     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -1.00    44.99    -2.85    59.05     4.08     9.12     0.01     0.07     0.56     3.79    31.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.88     6.86   -13.96    54.82     3.80     8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     6.42     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.21    66.61     0.48    47.42     3.52   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.90    19.60     2.47    51.98     4.04    12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.34     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.74    68.35     1.99    45.04     3.30   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.33    57.43     5.91    47.00     3.64    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.88    36.61    -3.62    43.73     3.39   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.90    41.02     1.13    41.72     3.51   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.86    36.81    -3.02    35.60     3.30   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.56R    0.06  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -4.13    29.81    -1.02    34.04     3.58   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.83R    0.18  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.18    34.47    -4.51    32.73     3.45   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.16R    1.26  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.11     9.39    -8.49    21.68     2.99   -42.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   98.51  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       6.89    77.24     6.32    88.92     3.66    34.23    64.35    86.42   100.00    90.85P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.24    92.77     8.24    82.44     3.67    17.98     5.29    20.63    99.53    36.67P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       6.04    75.19     5.92    85.37     3.86    29.30    20.80    55.40    99.92    69.54P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.41    51.53     5.81    83.28     3.80    34.10     9.33    35.11    99.68    58.70P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       1.03    54.37    -0.44    77.26     3.70    19.49     0.21     2.15    88.93    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.93    70.67    12.02    74.06     3.75    21.61     0.01     0.28    68.08    12.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.43    68.77     3.71    70.01     3.70     8.13     0.00     0.00    19.37     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.22    63.86    -2.43    69.64     3.65     3.16     0.00     0.01    15.23     2.72P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       5.81    74.40     5.88    68.02     3.93     5.82     0.00     0.01     8.48     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.75    62.31     2.25    63.38     3.61     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.52    28.13    -2.90    62.64     3.65     5.16     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -4.94    29.85    -6.67    59.15     3.68    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.06    59.94    -0.58    57.72     3.77   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.70    23.25    -0.85    57.81     3.71     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.62    30.81    -0.88    57.28     3.78    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.23    36.54     4.90    54.73     3.68    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.28    36.41     1.84    55.99     3.86    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.14    29.16    -7.01    55.20     3.95   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -0.84    47.31    -5.73    51.74     3.56   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.58R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.61    48.16     0.94    47.77     3.58   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.78R    0.03  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.72    14.81     0.57    48.65     3.74    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.43R    0.05  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.99    25.84    -6.33    46.50     3.66   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.59R    0.14  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.11    27.78   -12.56    39.28     3.41   -40.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.77R   16.27  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.90     6.43   -12.04    33.68     3.42   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   83.50  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 March 2016, Southend 3 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    39   75  +17      17.36    96.44    10.59    85.52     3.52    18.40    32.58    70.29    99.96    76.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            39   74  +30       1.43    55.39     1.70    86.69     3.47    34.44    56.39    85.90    99.99    91.37P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.92    86.08     8.00    81.91     4.01    21.32     9.13    31.25    98.43    48.60P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       38   66  +21       6.34    74.70     9.55    78.06     3.83    22.58     1.60     9.02    91.87    28.68P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   65  +16       2.42    59.80     2.32    76.85     3.53    19.32     0.26     2.90    87.49    26.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         39   64   +7       8.26    81.20     3.16    74.03     3.53     7.74     0.02     0.39    56.55    12.15P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   62  +12       1.89    57.95     2.19    72.78     3.47    13.94     0.02     0.24    47.20    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         39   58   +3       6.35    74.62     5.42    67.01     3.42     2.19     0.00     0.00     3.69     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   57   +5       1.28    55.53     1.81    67.68     3.61     6.56     0.00     0.00     6.42     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   56  +15      -2.98    38.14     6.71    65.43     3.48    14.74     0.00     0.00     2.58     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   56   +6       2.20    59.43     5.42    65.76     3.50     6.25     0.00     0.00     2.45     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        40   56   -2       3.83    65.82     1.63    63.86     3.19    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   55   +3      -3.87    34.35    -5.11    65.19     3.56     3.86     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   51   +4      -4.60    31.58    -1.09    63.91     3.83     6.95     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          38   50   -7      -4.51    32.30   -10.40    61.93     3.81    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             39   50  -14       5.53    72.38     0.15    57.61     3.40   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.43R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   46  -10      -2.44    40.09    -4.63    54.52     3.65   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.11R    0.00  
Chesterfield     39   43  -12      -8.29    19.24    -8.58    52.45     3.51   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.91R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   42  -13      -6.79    24.42    -5.02    49.27     3.13   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.60R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town   38   41   -5      -6.79    23.09     0.68    51.34     3.66    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.28R    0.02  
Oldham           38   41  -13      -4.03    33.52    -3.17    50.31     3.64   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.19R    0.07  
Doncaster        39   37  -17     -11.03    11.43    -9.25    45.35     3.43   -18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.90R    2.21  
Colchester       39   34  -36      -4.28    32.61    -8.94    40.98     3.37   -40.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.63R   27.40  
Crewe            39   30  -29      -7.23    20.84    -3.16    37.50     3.33   -32.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   70.27  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Barnet 2 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          39   86  +32      19.82    98.22    12.87    97.50     3.56    34.85    99.67   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   73  +33       4.84    69.23    13.46    83.54     3.22    36.35     0.17    74.17    99.97    81.71P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   71  +21       7.38    78.18     6.30    82.42     3.49    23.65     0.10    53.61    99.81    66.20P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   70  +19      12.38    89.96    12.95    81.23     3.57    21.45     0.04    38.58    99.49    50.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   68  +21       7.14    76.92    10.05    79.69     3.53    24.02     0.02    25.28    98.92    43.23P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           38   63  +27       0.56    52.09    11.77    76.30     3.76    30.40     0.00     8.07    90.02    31.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   61   +7       2.09    58.70    -1.20    71.37     3.48     8.22     0.00     0.20    43.32    10.61P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        39   59   +2      -3.47    36.24   -11.38    70.85     3.55     5.33     0.00     0.06    35.56     9.96P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             38   57   +3       5.40    71.65     4.21    67.81     3.83     2.64     0.00     0.02    12.77     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   56   +8       2.84    62.13     6.49    66.96     3.78     8.04     0.00     0.01    11.92     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   56   +1       1.97    58.29     0.40    65.11     3.52     0.26     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        39   55   +2       3.34    64.11     4.82    64.37     3.57     1.63     0.00     0.00     2.14     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            39   53   +3       3.94    66.91     8.96    62.14     3.53     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                38   53   +1      -1.11    45.58    -2.08    64.46     3.81     1.69     0.00     0.00     2.76     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   51   -6       3.20    63.26     2.74    59.65     3.52    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   47  -17      -3.11    37.88   -12.09    55.56     3.48   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           37   42  -16       1.91    59.51    -0.41    51.40     3.82   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Newport_County       39   41  -16      -4.47    31.75    -4.42    49.07     3.44   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Notts_County         38   41  -19      -7.68    21.72   -13.59    52.04     3.85   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   40  -10      -7.64    21.09    -2.55    51.50     3.87    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil               38   39  -14      -9.27    16.46    -9.14    48.75     3.70   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Stevenage            38   35  -19     -12.86     8.23   -12.40    45.17     3.79   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.28R    0.11  
York                 39   28  -31     -13.38     6.58   -12.44    34.94     3.30   -35.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.94R   31.63  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.87     4.24   -13.30    32.62     3.51   -37.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.29R   68.26  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Aldershot 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       41   86  +48       3.33    63.41     7.78    96.07     2.74    52.98    83.72   100.00    90.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   84  +28      12.45    90.50     4.94    92.46     2.90    30.50    15.14   100.00    37.70P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   72  +39      -1.91    40.73     6.07    85.53     3.67    42.89     1.15    98.20    36.77P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   69  +16      -2.18    40.94    -6.13    77.35     2.90    18.19     0.00    46.80    11.21P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   39   68  +20       6.04    73.72     7.30    78.25     3.53    21.02     0.00    58.63     8.94P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   39   68  +16       8.57    82.59     7.09    77.36     3.38    15.89     0.00    43.08     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        39   66   +9       6.41    74.86    -0.01    77.08     3.44    11.25     0.00    38.62     5.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   65  +20       0.70    52.95     5.90    73.60     3.21    20.57     0.00    14.18     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   63   -9       8.92    82.29    -5.42    70.02     2.96    -8.78     0.00     0.46     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     40   57  +10      -3.27    36.70     1.89    66.18     3.19    11.43     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     41   57   +5       0.27    51.69     4.72    63.57     2.88     4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          41   56   -1       3.69    65.01     6.27    63.49     3.03    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           39   53  -10       7.29    77.99     3.55    60.84     3.47   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           40   50   +2      -8.85    17.93    -3.67    57.97     3.25     1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        40   50  -18       2.66    62.02    -6.56    57.94     3.17   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        41   47  -15       2.26    60.55     2.11    53.23     2.87   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Chester          40   44   -8      -3.93    34.42     3.53    51.47     3.12    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.21R    0.00  
Guiseley         40   42  -22       1.30    56.44    -0.33    47.43     2.90   -26.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.44R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     40   40   -7      -6.27    25.09     3.89    48.04     3.17    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.35R    0.01  
Halifax          38   40  -23      -6.09    25.85   -12.61    48.74     3.57   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.78R    0.03  
Altrincham       39   39  -22      -1.49    44.29    -1.35    46.53     3.34   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.22R    0.36  
Torquay          39   38  -27      -8.00    19.50   -14.96    47.52     3.50   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.90R    0.10  
Welling          41   32  -26      -9.81    13.64    -4.92    37.51     2.74   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.91R   44.54  
Kidderminster    40   28  -25     -16.38     3.14    -9.07    36.45     3.27   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.14R   54.96