Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 30 March 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.64    98.89    15.88    76.09     3.53    23.68    63.85    88.03    97.87    99.66    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.73    75.80    12.57    72.60     3.50    34.98    24.12    65.17    90.39    97.60    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       0.97    54.39    -1.56    70.98     3.49    25.73    10.73    37.73    76.72    92.64    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.54    16.92    -7.65    66.07     3.67    26.33     0.92     6.12    22.41    59.29    93.58     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.78    79.97     9.04    61.57     3.77    12.90     0.05     0.49     2.65    11.83    58.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.66    46.44    -2.91    64.56     3.64    16.35     0.33     2.37     9.32    33.37    85.31     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.48    43.02     0.24    57.73     3.44    10.67     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.43    18.24     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.50    75.43    -0.45    54.82     3.38    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     4.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -0.98    45.03    -2.84    59.04     4.09     9.11     0.00     0.08     0.52     3.67    31.48     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.72     7.11   -13.64    54.79     3.77     8.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     6.31     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.33    67.08     0.69    47.37     3.51   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.87    19.55     2.53    51.96     4.03    12.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.33     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.67    67.99     1.89    45.05     3.30   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.24    56.92     5.75    47.05     3.63    -3.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.83    36.76    -3.57    43.69     3.39   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.99    40.78     0.98    41.75     3.52   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.89R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.73    37.51    -2.84    35.59     3.30   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.64R    0.04  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -4.01    30.39    -0.95    34.05     3.56   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.33R    0.20  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.20    34.38    -4.65    32.71     3.45   -31.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.47R    1.22  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.11     9.29    -8.50    21.67     3.00   -42.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.15    78.18     6.71    88.85     3.65    34.14    63.96    86.32   100.00    90.74P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.27    92.61     8.29    82.45     3.67    17.98     5.58    20.97    99.50    36.75P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       6.04    75.23     5.91    85.37     3.84    29.29    21.00    55.78    99.94    69.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.73    53.03     6.24    83.24     3.79    34.03     9.27    34.56    99.66    58.13P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       1.03    54.37    -0.41    77.24     3.70    19.49     0.19     2.10    89.07    24.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.91    70.78    12.01    74.03     3.73    21.57     0.01     0.26    68.24    13.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.28    68.34     3.50    70.02     3.72     8.16     0.00     0.00    19.48     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.33    64.36    -2.26    69.65     3.64     3.17     0.00     0.00    14.97     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       5.68    73.72     5.64    68.05     3.91     5.84     0.00     0.00     8.33     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.66    61.80     2.15    63.41     3.59     0.58     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.44    28.25    -2.83    62.66     3.65     5.21     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -5.02    29.45    -6.86    59.19     3.71    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.06    59.76    -0.58    57.68     3.75   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.56    23.57    -0.65    57.74     3.72     2.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.65    30.50    -0.93    57.27     3.77    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.43    35.85     4.53    54.78     3.71    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.42    35.67     1.65    56.02     3.86    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.08    29.29    -6.92    55.19     3.92   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -1.01    46.19    -5.93    51.79     3.57   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.21R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.67    48.01     0.85    47.76     3.57   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.59R    0.02  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.74    14.79     0.56    48.63     3.73    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.39R    0.05  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.72    26.71    -6.00    46.44     3.63   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.30R    0.09  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.25    27.71   -12.77    39.33     3.40   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.65R   16.22  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.83     6.56   -11.88    33.69     3.42   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   83.62  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 March 2016, Southend 3 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    39   75  +17      17.12    96.41    10.22    85.53     3.51    18.44    32.45    70.57    99.96    77.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            39   74  +30       1.42    55.31     1.70    86.69     3.46    34.44    56.29    85.89    99.99    91.25P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.83    85.53     7.89    81.92     4.02    21.35     9.41    31.18    98.39    48.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       38   66  +21       6.16    74.19     9.29    78.06     3.83    22.59     1.53     8.86    91.76    28.92P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   65  +16       2.64    60.81     2.67    76.81     3.52    19.25     0.28     2.88    87.47    27.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         39   64   +7       8.18    80.83     3.05    74.06     3.51     7.75     0.02     0.42    57.11    12.10P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   62  +12       1.89    57.41     2.18    72.80     3.47    13.95     0.01     0.22    46.88    11.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         39   58   +3       6.48    75.08     5.64    66.96     3.42     2.12     0.00     0.00     3.75     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   57   +5       1.36    55.49     1.86    67.70     3.60     6.58     0.00     0.00     6.34     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   56  +15      -3.00    37.65     6.68    65.43     3.50    14.74     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   56   +6       2.25    59.59     5.47    65.72     3.50     6.20     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        40   56   -2       3.88    66.20     1.68    63.86     3.19    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   55   +3      -3.84    34.29    -5.05    65.18     3.57     3.83     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   51   +4      -4.72    31.30    -1.23    63.89     3.83     6.94     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   50   -7      -4.30    32.82   -10.01    61.92     3.79    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             39   50  -14       5.46    72.38    -0.05    57.67     3.41   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   46  -10      -2.51    40.01    -4.77    54.57     3.65   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92R    0.00  
Chesterfield     39   43  -12      -8.19    19.77    -8.50    52.45     3.52   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.80R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   42  -13      -6.76    24.00    -4.91    49.27     3.14   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.20R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town   38   41   -5      -6.98    22.58     0.43    51.33     3.70    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.89R    0.01  
Oldham           38   41  -13      -3.96    33.70    -3.05    50.32     3.62   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.98R    0.07  
Doncaster        39   37  -17     -10.89    12.13    -8.99    45.33     3.42   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.26R    2.28  
Colchester       39   34  -36      -4.31    32.39    -8.96    41.01     3.39   -40.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.63R   27.29  
Crewe            39   30  -29      -7.26    20.92    -3.25    37.49     3.34   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   70.31  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Barnet 2 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          39   86  +32      19.96    98.31    13.00    97.51     3.57    34.84    99.63   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   73  +33       5.01    69.69    13.65    83.50     3.23    36.31     0.22    73.62    99.97    81.60P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   71  +21       7.38    78.01     6.32    82.44     3.47    23.69     0.08    53.91    99.84    66.54P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   70  +19      12.50    90.00    13.20    81.19     3.58    21.41     0.05    38.50    99.48    50.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   68  +21       7.22    76.85    10.20    79.67     3.53    24.00     0.02    25.29    98.88    43.13P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           38   63  +27       0.41    51.62    11.53    76.33     3.77    30.51     0.00     8.42    89.89    32.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   61   +7       2.19    59.34    -0.99    71.37     3.45     8.17     0.00     0.18    42.84    10.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        39   59   +2      -3.68    35.40   -11.64    70.90     3.54     5.39     0.00     0.06    36.21     9.88P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             38   57   +3       5.17    70.64     3.88    67.85     3.82     2.70     0.00     0.02    12.88     2.34P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   56   +8       2.63    61.32     6.17    66.97     3.78     8.06     0.00     0.01    11.90     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   56   +1       2.11    59.10     0.68    65.09     3.52     0.23     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        39   55   +2       3.49    64.46     5.02    64.34     3.57     1.59     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            39   53   +3       3.86    66.41     8.79    62.17     3.52     2.39     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                38   53   +1      -1.05    45.57    -2.06    64.47     3.78     1.70     0.00     0.00     2.70     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   51   -6       3.24    63.62     2.84    59.61     3.52    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   47  -17      -3.29    37.12   -12.31    55.59     3.49   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           37   42  -16       2.02    59.84    -0.34    51.40     3.82   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Newport_County       39   41  -16      -4.54    31.66    -4.54    49.08     3.43   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Notts_County         38   41  -19      -8.16    20.07   -14.29    52.09     3.85   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   40  -10      -7.44    21.80    -2.26    51.48     3.90    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil               38   39  -14      -9.08    16.90    -8.93    48.68     3.70   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Stevenage            38   35  -19     -12.96     8.10   -12.48    45.21     3.80   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.08  
York                 39   28  -31     -13.40     6.50   -12.50    34.95     3.30   -35.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.85R   31.24  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.67     4.46   -12.96    32.57     3.50   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.33R   68.68  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Aldershot 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       41   86  +48       3.43    63.79     8.02    96.07     2.74    52.98    83.86   100.00    90.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   84  +28      12.56    90.59     5.11    92.45     2.90    30.52    15.04   100.00    37.24P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   72  +39      -1.96    40.56     5.96    85.52     3.68    42.89     1.10    97.94    36.90P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   69  +16      -2.28    40.64    -6.34    77.36     2.89    18.19     0.00    46.34    11.41P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   39   68  +20       6.16    74.09     7.46    78.23     3.50    20.99     0.00    58.74     8.82P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   39   68  +16       8.37    81.80     6.84    77.41     3.39    15.95     0.00    43.31     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        39   66   +9       6.32    74.74    -0.15    77.11     3.45    11.31     0.00    38.57     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   65  +20       0.52    52.21     5.62    73.63     3.21    20.60     0.00    14.64     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   63   -9       9.01    82.51    -5.39    70.01     2.96    -8.79     0.00     0.42     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     40   57  +10      -3.48    35.76     1.66    66.17     3.21    11.43     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     41   57   +5       0.46    52.17     4.99    63.57     2.89     4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          41   56   -1       3.99    65.65     6.69    63.45     3.00    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           39   53  -10       7.25    77.87     3.47    60.80     3.45   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           40   50   +2      -8.72    18.55    -3.44    57.95     3.25     1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        40   50  -18       2.59    61.66    -6.66    57.98     3.18   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        41   47  -15       2.21    60.32     2.14    53.23     2.90   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Chester          40   44   -8      -4.02    34.12     3.39    51.52     3.11    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Guiseley         40   42  -22       1.31    56.69    -0.28    47.42     2.91   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.13R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     40   40   -7      -6.32    25.48     3.78    48.06     3.17    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.20R    0.01  
Halifax          38   40  -23      -5.94    25.98   -12.30    48.67     3.54   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.02R    0.05  
Altrincham       39   39  -22      -1.57    43.94    -1.49    46.51     3.33   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.41R    0.37  
Torquay          39   38  -27      -7.98    19.51   -14.94    47.53     3.51   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.90R    0.11  
Welling          41   32  -26      -9.84    13.60    -5.01    37.51     2.74   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.89R   44.94  
Kidderminster    40   28  -25     -16.43     3.16    -9.13    36.47     3.25   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.16R   54.52