Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 30 March 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 31 66 +23 18.64 98.89 15.88 76.09 3.53 23.68 63.85 88.03 97.87 99.66 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 61 +32 5.73 75.80 12.57 72.60 3.50 34.98 24.12 65.17 90.39 97.60 99.95 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 55 +18 0.97 54.39 -1.56 70.98 3.49 25.73 10.73 37.73 76.72 92.64 99.66 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 51 +20 -7.54 16.92 -7.65 66.07 3.67 26.33 0.92 6.12 22.41 59.29 93.58 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 50 +12 6.78 79.97 9.04 61.57 3.77 12.90 0.05 0.49 2.65 11.83 58.91 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 50 +11 -0.66 46.44 -2.91 64.56 3.64 16.35 0.33 2.37 9.32 33.37 85.31 0.00 0.00 Southampton 31 47 +9 -1.48 43.02 0.24 57.73 3.44 10.67 0.00 0.01 0.11 1.43 18.24 0.00 0.00 Stoke 31 46 -3 5.50 75.43 -0.45 54.82 3.38 -4.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.17 4.15 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 44 +5 -0.98 45.03 -2.84 59.04 4.09 9.11 0.00 0.08 0.52 3.67 31.48 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 41 +4 -11.72 7.11 -13.64 54.79 3.77 8.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.28 6.31 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 30 39 -7 3.33 67.08 0.69 47.37 3.51 -11.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02R 0.00 Everton 29 38 +10 -6.87 19.55 2.53 51.96 4.03 12.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 2.33 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 31 38 -12 3.67 67.99 1.89 45.05 3.30 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Watford 30 37 -2 1.24 56.92 5.75 47.05 3.63 -3.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.05R 0.00 Swansea 31 36 -9 -2.83 36.76 -3.57 43.69 3.39 -11.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 33 -8 -1.99 40.78 0.98 41.75 3.52 -11.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.89R 0.00 Norwich 31 28 -22 -2.73 37.51 -2.84 35.59 3.30 -25.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.64R 0.04 Sunderland 30 26 -19 -4.01 30.39 -0.95 34.05 3.56 -23.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.33R 0.20 Newcastle 30 25 -26 -3.20 34.38 -4.65 32.71 3.45 -31.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.47R 1.22 Aston_Villa 31 16 -36 -9.11 9.29 -8.50 21.67 3.00 -42.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.54Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 38 75 +30 7.15 78.18 6.71 88.85 3.65 34.14 63.96 86.32 100.00 90.74P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 38 71 +17 13.27 92.61 8.29 82.45 3.67 17.98 5.58 20.97 99.50 36.75P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 37 70 +25 6.04 75.23 5.91 85.37 3.84 29.29 21.00 55.78 99.94 69.70P 0.00 0.00 Hull 37 66 +27 0.73 53.03 6.24 83.24 3.79 34.03 9.27 34.56 99.66 58.13P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 64 +16 1.03 54.37 -0.41 77.24 3.70 19.49 0.19 2.10 89.07 24.08P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 62 +20 4.91 70.78 12.01 74.03 3.73 21.57 0.01 0.26 68.24 13.22P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 59 +8 4.28 68.34 3.50 70.02 3.72 8.16 0.00 0.00 19.48 3.29P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 58 +2 3.33 64.36 -2.26 69.65 3.64 3.17 0.00 0.00 14.97 2.62P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 37 56 +6 5.68 73.72 5.64 68.05 3.91 5.84 0.00 0.00 8.33 1.30P 0.00 0.00 Preston 38 53 +1 2.66 61.80 2.15 63.41 3.59 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.07P 0.00 0.00 QPR 38 51 +4 -5.44 28.25 -2.83 62.66 3.65 5.21 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 38 48 -5 -5.02 29.45 -6.86 59.19 3.71 -4.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Leeds_United 37 47 -8 2.06 59.76 -0.58 57.68 3.75 -10.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.06R 0.00 Blackburn 38 46 +1 -6.56 23.57 -0.65 57.74 3.72 2.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.05R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 46 -2 -4.65 30.50 -0.93 57.27 3.77 -1.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Huddersfield 38 45 -1 -3.43 35.85 4.53 54.78 3.71 -2.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55R 0.00 Reading 37 45 -1 -3.42 35.67 1.65 56.02 3.86 -2.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00 Brentford 37 43 -11 -5.08 29.29 -6.92 55.19 3.92 -11.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.01R 0.00 Bristol_City 38 43 -18 -1.01 46.19 -5.93 51.79 3.57 -21.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.21R 0.00 Rotherham 38 39 -18 -0.67 48.01 0.85 47.76 3.57 -21.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.59R 0.02 Fulham 38 38 -7 -9.74 14.79 0.56 48.63 3.73 -7.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.39R 0.05 MK_Dons 38 37 -19 -5.72 26.71 -6.00 46.44 3.63 -21.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.30R 0.09 Charlton 38 32 -35 -5.25 27.71 -12.77 39.33 3.40 -40.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.65R 16.22 Bolton 38 26 -32 -12.83 6.56 -11.88 33.69 3.42 -37.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.89R 83.62League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 March 2016, Southend 3 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 39 75 +17 17.12 96.41 10.22 85.53 3.51 18.44 32.45 70.57 99.96 77.01P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 39 74 +30 1.42 55.31 1.70 86.69 3.46 34.44 56.29 85.89 99.99 91.25P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 37 68 +19 9.83 85.53 7.89 81.92 4.02 21.35 9.41 31.18 98.39 48.12P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 38 66 +21 6.16 74.19 9.29 78.06 3.83 22.59 1.53 8.86 91.76 28.92P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 39 65 +16 2.64 60.81 2.67 76.81 3.52 19.25 0.28 2.88 87.47 27.16P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 39 64 +7 8.18 80.83 3.05 74.06 3.51 7.75 0.02 0.42 57.11 12.10P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 62 +12 1.89 57.41 2.18 72.80 3.47 13.95 0.01 0.22 46.88 11.64P 0.00 0.00 Southend 39 58 +3 6.48 75.08 5.64 66.96 3.42 2.12 0.00 0.00 3.75 0.62P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 39 57 +5 1.36 55.49 1.86 67.70 3.60 6.58 0.00 0.00 6.34 1.30P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 39 56 +15 -3.00 37.65 6.68 65.43 3.50 14.74 0.00 0.00 2.68 0.64P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 39 56 +6 2.25 59.59 5.47 65.72 3.50 6.20 0.00 0.00 2.40 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 40 56 -2 3.88 66.20 1.68 63.86 3.19 -2.53 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 39 55 +3 -3.84 34.29 -5.05 65.18 3.57 3.83 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 38 51 +4 -4.72 31.30 -1.23 63.89 3.83 6.94 0.00 0.00 1.21 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 38 50 -7 -4.30 32.82 -10.01 61.92 3.79 -5.60 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 0.04R 0.00 Bury 39 50 -14 5.46 72.38 -0.05 57.67 3.41 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43R 0.00 Shrewsbury 38 46 -10 -2.51 40.01 -4.77 54.57 3.65 -13.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.92R 0.00 Chesterfield 39 43 -12 -8.19 19.77 -8.50 52.45 3.52 -12.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.80R 0.00 Blackpool 40 42 -13 -6.76 24.00 -4.91 49.27 3.14 -14.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.20R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 38 41 -5 -6.98 22.58 0.43 51.33 3.70 -5.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.89R 0.01 Oldham 38 41 -13 -3.96 33.70 -3.05 50.32 3.62 -15.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.98R 0.07 Doncaster 39 37 -17 -10.89 12.13 -8.99 45.33 3.42 -18.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.26R 2.28 Colchester 39 34 -36 -4.31 32.39 -8.96 41.01 3.39 -40.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.63R 27.29 Crewe 39 30 -29 -7.26 20.92 -3.25 37.49 3.34 -32.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.85R 70.31League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Barnet 2 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 39 86 +32 19.96 98.31 13.00 97.51 3.57 34.84 99.63 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 73 +33 5.01 69.69 13.65 83.50 3.23 36.31 0.22 73.62 99.97 81.60P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 39 71 +21 7.38 78.01 6.32 82.44 3.47 23.69 0.08 53.91 99.84 66.54P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 39 70 +19 12.50 90.00 13.20 81.19 3.58 21.41 0.05 38.50 99.48 50.58P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 39 68 +21 7.22 76.85 10.20 79.67 3.53 24.00 0.02 25.29 98.88 43.13P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 38 63 +27 0.41 51.62 11.53 76.33 3.77 30.51 0.00 8.42 89.89 32.06P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 39 61 +7 2.19 59.34 -0.99 71.37 3.45 8.17 0.00 0.18 42.84 10.05P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 39 59 +2 -3.68 35.40 -11.64 70.90 3.54 5.39 0.00 0.06 36.21 9.88P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 38 57 +3 5.17 70.64 3.88 67.85 3.82 2.70 0.00 0.02 12.88 2.34P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 38 56 +8 2.63 61.32 6.17 66.97 3.78 8.06 0.00 0.01 11.90 2.31P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 39 56 +1 2.11 59.10 0.68 65.09 3.52 0.23 0.00 0.00 2.67 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 39 55 +2 3.49 64.46 5.02 64.34 3.57 1.59 0.00 0.00 1.99 0.37P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 39 53 +3 3.86 66.41 8.79 62.17 3.52 2.39 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Luton 38 53 +1 -1.05 45.57 -2.06 64.47 3.78 1.70 0.00 0.00 2.70 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 39 51 -6 3.24 63.62 2.84 59.61 3.52 -7.44 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 39 47 -17 -3.29 37.12 -12.31 55.59 3.49 -18.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 37 42 -16 2.02 59.84 -0.34 51.40 3.82 -20.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Newport_County 39 41 -16 -4.54 31.66 -4.54 49.08 3.43 -18.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Notts_County 38 41 -19 -8.16 20.07 -14.29 52.09 3.85 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Morecambe 38 40 -10 -7.44 21.80 -2.26 51.48 3.90 -9.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Yeovil 38 39 -14 -9.08 16.90 -8.93 48.68 3.70 -15.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Stevenage 38 35 -19 -12.96 8.10 -12.48 45.21 3.80 -20.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.35R 0.08 York 39 28 -31 -13.40 6.50 -12.50 34.95 3.30 -35.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.85R 31.24 Dag_&_Red 38 25 -32 -14.67 4.46 -12.96 32.57 3.50 -37.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.33R 68.68National League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Aldershot 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 41 86 +48 3.43 63.79 8.02 96.07 2.74 52.98 83.86 100.00 90.25P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 84 +28 12.56 90.59 5.11 92.45 2.90 30.52 15.04 100.00 37.24P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 38 72 +39 -1.96 40.56 5.96 85.52 3.68 42.89 1.10 97.94 36.90P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 41 69 +16 -2.28 40.64 -6.34 77.36 2.89 18.19 0.00 46.34 11.41P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 39 68 +20 6.16 74.09 7.46 78.23 3.50 20.99 0.00 58.74 8.82P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 39 68 +16 8.37 81.80 6.84 77.41 3.39 15.95 0.00 43.31 6.97P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 39 66 +9 6.32 74.74 -0.15 77.11 3.45 11.31 0.00 38.57 5.82P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 40 65 +20 0.52 52.21 5.62 73.63 3.21 20.60 0.00 14.64 2.54P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 41 63 -9 9.01 82.51 -5.39 70.01 2.96 -8.79 0.00 0.42 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 40 57 +10 -3.48 35.76 1.66 66.17 3.21 11.43 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 41 57 +5 0.46 52.17 4.99 63.57 2.89 4.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 41 56 -1 3.99 65.65 6.69 63.45 3.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 39 53 -10 7.25 77.87 3.47 60.80 3.45 -12.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 40 50 +2 -8.72 18.55 -3.44 57.95 3.25 1.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 40 50 -18 2.59 61.66 -6.66 57.98 3.18 -18.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 41 47 -15 2.21 60.32 2.14 53.23 2.90 -15.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Chester 40 44 -8 -4.02 34.12 3.39 51.52 3.11 -9.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.22R 0.00 Guiseley 40 42 -22 1.31 56.69 -0.28 47.42 2.91 -26.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.13R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 40 40 -7 -6.32 25.48 3.78 48.06 3.17 -7.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.20R 0.01 Halifax 38 40 -23 -5.94 25.98 -12.30 48.67 3.54 -27.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.02R 0.05 Altrincham 39 39 -22 -1.57 43.94 -1.49 46.51 3.33 -25.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.41R 0.37 Torquay 39 38 -27 -7.98 19.51 -14.94 47.53 3.51 -27.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.90R 0.11 Welling 41 32 -26 -9.84 13.60 -5.01 37.51 2.74 -27.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.89R 44.94 Kidderminster 40 28 -25 -16.43 3.16 -9.13 36.47 3.25 -24.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.16R 54.52