Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 29 March 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.60    98.94    15.82    76.07     3.50    23.67    63.69    88.30    98.02    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.63    75.41    12.37    72.63     3.49    35.00    24.21    65.41    90.40    97.60    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       1.01    54.62    -1.49    70.94     3.49    25.69    10.85    37.06    76.11    92.32    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.66    16.20    -7.81    66.15     3.66    26.45     0.89     6.40    23.04    60.24    93.78     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.91    80.49     9.24    61.56     3.73    12.88     0.07     0.44     2.46    11.49    58.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.77    45.74    -3.04    64.59     3.64    16.39     0.29     2.32     9.30    33.40    85.46     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.37    43.70     0.35    57.65     3.42    10.56     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.34    17.98     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.64    76.02    -0.21    54.83     3.38    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     4.30     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -0.91    45.62    -2.66    58.98     4.07     9.03     0.00     0.07     0.55     3.43    31.17     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.81     6.89   -13.83    54.79     3.80     8.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     6.29     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.28    66.86     0.58    47.38     3.50   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.81    19.71     2.58    51.98     4.03    12.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.35     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.63    68.01     1.81    45.07     3.29   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.18    56.72     5.71    47.04     3.66    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.78    36.85    -3.48    43.67     3.35   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.94    40.90     1.10    41.74     3.54   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.90R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.82    37.10    -3.01    35.61     3.31   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.27R    0.06  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -3.98    30.56    -0.78    34.03     3.57   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.82R    0.22  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.23    34.12    -4.69    32.72     3.45   -31.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.44R    1.21  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.12     9.19    -8.56    21.69     2.99   -42.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.52  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.18    78.39     6.75    88.85     3.67    34.15    63.87    86.12   100.00    90.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.20    92.71     8.16    82.49     3.68    18.03     5.57    21.52    99.51    37.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       5.95    74.99     5.82    85.36     3.86    29.28    20.97    55.15    99.94    69.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.67    52.67     6.12    83.24     3.83    34.05     9.38    34.67    99.69    57.95P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       1.14    54.68    -0.27    77.24     3.73    19.45     0.20     2.24    88.71    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.73    69.97    11.74    74.10     3.73    21.65     0.01     0.28    68.63    13.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.42    68.72     3.69    70.03     3.70     8.16     0.00     0.00    19.43     3.25P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.32    64.33    -2.31    69.65     3.64     3.16     0.00     0.01    15.15     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       5.84    74.54     5.95    68.00     3.91     5.78     0.00     0.00     8.16     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.62    61.68     2.09    63.40     3.61     0.57     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.51    27.97    -2.87    62.67     3.67     5.19     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -4.85    30.26    -6.60    59.13     3.68    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.15    60.37    -0.47    57.71     3.75   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.76    22.99    -0.98    57.81     3.70     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.61    30.83    -0.92    57.27     3.77    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.42    35.93     4.57    54.75     3.67    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.44    35.63     1.68    56.02     3.86    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.16    28.91    -7.02    55.28     3.96   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -1.01    46.49    -5.93    51.76     3.58   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.45R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.57    48.48     1.02    47.73     3.58   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.06R    0.02  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.80    14.38     0.45    48.65     3.74    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.47R    0.05  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.88    25.97    -6.20    46.46     3.65   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.57R    0.14  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.14    27.69   -12.68    39.31     3.42   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.61R   16.07  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.78     6.33   -11.78    33.64     3.41   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   83.71  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2016, Coventry 0 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    39   75  +17      17.17    96.44    10.37    85.49     3.52    18.41    32.27    69.99    99.97    76.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            39   74  +30       1.45    55.49     1.77    86.71     3.46    34.46    56.84    86.18    99.99    91.30P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.93    85.85     8.01    81.90     4.00    21.31     9.03    31.37    98.42    48.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       38   66  +21       6.31    74.54     9.49    78.04     3.81    22.56     1.53     8.85    91.53    28.37P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   65  +16       2.37    59.24     2.27    76.82     3.53    19.29     0.28     2.97    87.15    26.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         39   64   +7       8.08    80.83     2.91    74.05     3.51     7.77     0.03     0.41    56.54    11.93P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   62  +12       1.91    57.69     2.21    72.77     3.47    13.89     0.02     0.22    46.29    11.68P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   57   +5       1.35    55.91     1.88    67.71     3.60     6.57     0.00     0.00     6.46     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   56  +15      -3.16    37.11     6.43    65.42     3.49    14.72     0.00     0.00     2.59     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   56   +6       2.38    60.05     5.69    65.70     3.49     6.18     0.00     0.00     2.37     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        40   56   -2       4.01    66.65     1.85    63.84     3.18    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   55   +5      -3.21    36.73    -4.18    66.75     3.85     6.16     0.00     0.00     5.36     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         38   55   +1       5.88    73.63     5.05    65.15     3.69    -0.12     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   51   +4      -4.82    31.02    -1.36    63.94     3.82     7.02     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   50   -7      -4.65    31.23   -10.50    61.97     3.81    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             39   50  -14       5.59    72.82     0.15    57.65     3.40   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   46  -10      -2.49    39.98    -4.75    54.52     3.62   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.20R    0.00  
Chesterfield     39   43  -12      -8.33    19.14    -8.67    52.43     3.49   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.85R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   42  -13      -6.89    24.01    -5.08    49.30     3.14   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.00R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town   38   41   -5      -6.84    23.06     0.63    51.37     3.66    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.36R    0.01  
Oldham           38   41  -13      -3.84    34.26    -2.88    50.32     3.63   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.34R    0.05  
Doncaster        39   37  -17     -10.91    12.01    -9.09    45.32     3.46   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.25R    2.20  
Colchester       39   34  -36      -4.56    31.46    -9.42    41.01     3.39   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.67R   27.26  
Crewe            39   30  -29      -6.97    21.93    -2.78    37.46     3.36   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   70.44  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Barnet 2 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          39   86  +32      19.68    98.14    12.63    97.55     3.57    34.91    99.67   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   73  +33       4.69    68.31    13.24    83.52     3.22    36.35     0.17    73.93    99.98    81.65P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   71  +21       7.41    78.27     6.34    82.43     3.49    23.66     0.09    54.12    99.83    66.48P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   70  +19      12.54    90.03    13.21    81.18     3.57    21.39     0.04    38.30    99.50    50.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   68  +21       7.24    77.02    10.22    79.66     3.53    23.97     0.02    25.10    98.85    43.13P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           38   63  +27       0.58    52.24    11.75    76.28     3.79    30.42     0.00     8.26    89.71    32.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   61   +7       2.01    58.77    -1.32    71.42     3.47     8.24     0.00     0.20    43.79    10.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        39   59   +2      -3.61    35.64   -11.56    70.88     3.53     5.37     0.00     0.06    35.96    10.01P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             38   57   +3       5.52    71.85     4.42    67.78     3.82     2.57     0.00     0.02    12.45     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   56   +8       2.78    61.72     6.44    66.97     3.76     8.06     0.00     0.00    11.81     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   56   +1       2.00    58.43     0.44    65.10     3.51     0.26     0.00     0.00     2.71     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        39   55   +2       3.47    64.40     5.07    64.33     3.55     1.59     0.00     0.00     1.98     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            39   53   +3       3.79    66.33     8.70    62.18     3.51     2.42     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                38   53   +1      -1.05    45.82    -1.99    64.46     3.80     1.68     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   51   -6       3.37    63.86     3.01    59.60     3.52    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   47  -17      -3.21    37.33   -12.20    55.62     3.49   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           37   42  -16       1.85    58.86    -0.55    51.40     3.83   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Newport_County       39   41  -16      -4.43    32.27    -4.43    49.07     3.42   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Notts_County         38   41  -19      -7.83    20.88   -13.86    52.08     3.84   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   40  -10      -7.58    21.27    -2.42    51.51     3.87    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil               38   39  -14      -9.09    16.73    -8.95    48.69     3.72   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Stevenage            38   35  -19     -12.86     8.00   -12.38    45.17     3.79   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.11  
York                 39   28  -31     -13.42     6.62   -12.54    34.95     3.31   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.80R   31.29  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.85     4.42   -13.27    32.59     3.50   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.38R   68.60  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Aldershot 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       41   86  +48       3.28    63.03     7.66    96.09     2.74    53.03    83.67   100.00    90.18P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   84  +28      12.64    90.76     5.18    92.46     2.93    30.52    15.27   100.00    37.67P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   72  +39      -2.00    40.44     5.88    85.55     3.68    42.93     1.06    97.96    36.91P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   69  +16      -2.06    41.34    -5.98    77.32     2.92    18.13     0.00    46.38    10.73P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   39   68  +20       6.21    74.33     7.56    78.20     3.54    20.97     0.00    58.68     8.97P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   39   68  +16       8.48    82.01     6.97    77.39     3.39    15.93     0.00    43.36     7.14P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        39   66   +9       6.38    74.68    -0.07    77.08     3.43    11.28     0.00    38.82     5.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   65  +20       0.77    52.99     6.04    73.61     3.21    20.57     0.00    14.35     2.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   63   -9       8.89    82.28    -5.49    70.01     2.95    -8.77     0.00     0.40     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     40   57  +10      -3.31    36.57     1.81    66.18     3.21    11.43     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     41   57   +5       0.35    51.79     4.87    63.54     2.88     4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          41   56   -1       4.14    66.66     6.97    63.44     3.01    -0.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           39   53  -10       7.30    78.16     3.61    60.78     3.46   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           40   50   +2      -8.96    17.84    -3.77    57.98     3.24     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        40   50  -18       2.65    61.74    -6.52    57.97     3.21   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Southport        41   47  -15       2.18    60.25     2.00    53.24     2.90   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Chester          40   44   -8      -4.07    33.67     3.28    51.49     3.11    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Guiseley         40   42  -22       1.21    56.57    -0.47    47.42     2.91   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.45R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood     40   40   -7      -6.21    25.54     3.89    47.99     3.17    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.78R    0.01  
Halifax          38   40  -23      -6.04    25.90   -12.51    48.74     3.56   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.49R    0.03  
Altrincham       39   39  -22      -1.52    44.24    -1.29    46.51     3.33   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.62R    0.40  
Torquay          39   38  -27      -8.17    18.92   -15.22    47.59     3.51   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.47R    0.11  
Welling          41   32  -26      -9.95    13.13    -5.19    37.55     2.75   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.87R   44.55  
Kidderminster    40   28  -25     -16.54     3.07    -9.22    36.49     3.25   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   54.89