Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 29 March 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 31 66 +23 18.60 98.94 15.82 76.07 3.50 23.67 63.69 88.30 98.02 99.68 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 61 +32 5.63 75.41 12.37 72.63 3.49 35.00 24.21 65.41 90.40 97.60 99.95 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 55 +18 1.01 54.62 -1.49 70.94 3.49 25.69 10.85 37.06 76.11 92.32 99.69 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 51 +20 -7.66 16.20 -7.81 66.15 3.66 26.45 0.89 6.40 23.04 60.24 93.78 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 50 +12 6.91 80.49 9.24 61.56 3.73 12.88 0.07 0.44 2.46 11.49 58.95 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 50 +11 -0.77 45.74 -3.04 64.59 3.64 16.39 0.29 2.32 9.30 33.40 85.46 0.00 0.00 Southampton 31 47 +9 -1.37 43.70 0.35 57.65 3.42 10.56 0.00 0.01 0.13 1.34 17.98 0.00 0.00 Stoke 31 46 -3 5.64 76.02 -0.21 54.83 3.38 -4.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 4.30 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 44 +5 -0.91 45.62 -2.66 58.98 4.07 9.03 0.00 0.07 0.55 3.43 31.17 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 41 +4 -11.81 6.89 -13.83 54.79 3.80 8.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.24 6.29 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 30 39 -7 3.28 66.86 0.58 47.38 3.50 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02R 0.00 Everton 29 38 +10 -6.81 19.71 2.58 51.98 4.03 12.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 2.35 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 31 38 -12 3.63 68.01 1.81 45.07 3.29 -16.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Watford 30 37 -2 1.18 56.72 5.71 47.04 3.66 -3.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.05R 0.00 Swansea 31 36 -9 -2.78 36.85 -3.48 43.67 3.35 -11.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 33 -8 -1.94 40.90 1.10 41.74 3.54 -11.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.90R 0.00 Norwich 31 28 -22 -2.82 37.10 -3.01 35.61 3.31 -25.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.27R 0.06 Sunderland 30 26 -19 -3.98 30.56 -0.78 34.03 3.57 -23.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.82R 0.22 Newcastle 30 25 -26 -3.23 34.12 -4.69 32.72 3.45 -31.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.44R 1.21 Aston_Villa 31 16 -36 -9.12 9.19 -8.56 21.69 2.99 -42.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.52Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 38 75 +30 7.18 78.39 6.75 88.85 3.67 34.15 63.87 86.12 100.00 90.49P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 38 71 +17 13.20 92.71 8.16 82.49 3.68 18.03 5.57 21.52 99.51 37.38P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 37 70 +25 5.95 74.99 5.82 85.36 3.86 29.28 20.97 55.15 99.94 69.49P 0.00 0.00 Hull 37 66 +27 0.67 52.67 6.12 83.24 3.83 34.05 9.38 34.67 99.69 57.95P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 64 +16 1.14 54.68 -0.27 77.24 3.73 19.45 0.20 2.24 88.71 24.03P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 62 +20 4.73 69.97 11.74 74.10 3.73 21.65 0.01 0.28 68.63 13.32P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 59 +8 4.42 68.72 3.69 70.03 3.70 8.16 0.00 0.00 19.43 3.25P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 58 +2 3.32 64.33 -2.31 69.65 3.64 3.16 0.00 0.01 15.15 2.71P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 37 56 +6 5.84 74.54 5.95 68.00 3.91 5.78 0.00 0.00 8.16 1.26P 0.00 0.00 Preston 38 53 +1 2.62 61.68 2.09 63.40 3.61 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.06P 0.00 0.00 QPR 38 51 +4 -5.51 27.97 -2.87 62.67 3.67 5.19 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 38 48 -5 -4.85 30.26 -6.60 59.13 3.68 -4.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 37 47 -8 2.15 60.37 -0.47 57.71 3.75 -10.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Blackburn 38 46 +1 -6.76 22.99 -0.98 57.81 3.70 2.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.05R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 46 -2 -4.61 30.83 -0.92 57.27 3.77 -1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Huddersfield 38 45 -1 -3.42 35.93 4.57 54.75 3.67 -2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55R 0.00 Reading 37 45 -1 -3.44 35.63 1.68 56.02 3.86 -2.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00 Brentford 37 43 -11 -5.16 28.91 -7.02 55.28 3.96 -11.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00R 0.00 Bristol_City 38 43 -18 -1.01 46.49 -5.93 51.76 3.58 -21.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.45R 0.00 Rotherham 38 39 -18 -0.57 48.48 1.02 47.73 3.58 -21.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.06R 0.02 Fulham 38 38 -7 -9.80 14.38 0.45 48.65 3.74 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.47R 0.05 MK_Dons 38 37 -19 -5.88 25.97 -6.20 46.46 3.65 -21.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.57R 0.14 Charlton 38 32 -35 -5.14 27.69 -12.68 39.31 3.42 -40.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.61R 16.07 Bolton 38 26 -32 -12.78 6.33 -11.78 33.64 3.41 -37.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.91R 83.71League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2016, Coventry 0 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 39 75 +17 17.17 96.44 10.37 85.49 3.52 18.41 32.27 69.99 99.97 76.64P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 39 74 +30 1.45 55.49 1.77 86.71 3.46 34.46 56.84 86.18 99.99 91.30P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 37 68 +19 9.93 85.85 8.01 81.90 4.00 21.31 9.03 31.37 98.42 48.72P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 38 66 +21 6.31 74.54 9.49 78.04 3.81 22.56 1.53 8.85 91.53 28.37P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 39 65 +16 2.37 59.24 2.27 76.82 3.53 19.29 0.28 2.97 87.15 26.83P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 39 64 +7 8.08 80.83 2.91 74.05 3.51 7.77 0.03 0.41 56.54 11.93P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 62 +12 1.91 57.69 2.21 72.77 3.47 13.89 0.02 0.22 46.29 11.68P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 39 57 +5 1.35 55.91 1.88 67.71 3.60 6.57 0.00 0.00 6.46 1.45P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 39 56 +15 -3.16 37.11 6.43 65.42 3.49 14.72 0.00 0.00 2.59 0.59P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 39 56 +6 2.38 60.05 5.69 65.70 3.49 6.18 0.00 0.00 2.37 0.42P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 40 56 -2 4.01 66.65 1.85 63.84 3.18 -2.54 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 55 +5 -3.21 36.73 -4.18 66.75 3.85 6.16 0.00 0.00 5.36 1.38P 0.00 0.00 Southend 38 55 +1 5.88 73.63 5.05 65.15 3.69 -0.12 0.00 0.00 1.70 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 38 51 +4 -4.82 31.02 -1.36 63.94 3.82 7.02 0.00 0.00 1.19 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 38 50 -7 -4.65 31.23 -10.50 61.97 3.81 -5.55 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 0.05R 0.00 Bury 39 50 -14 5.59 72.82 0.15 57.65 3.40 -17.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40R 0.00 Shrewsbury 38 46 -10 -2.49 39.98 -4.75 54.52 3.62 -13.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.20R 0.00 Chesterfield 39 43 -12 -8.33 19.14 -8.67 52.43 3.49 -12.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.85R 0.00 Blackpool 40 42 -13 -6.89 24.01 -5.08 49.30 3.14 -14.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.00R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 38 41 -5 -6.84 23.06 0.63 51.37 3.66 -5.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.36R 0.01 Oldham 38 41 -13 -3.84 34.26 -2.88 50.32 3.63 -15.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.34R 0.05 Doncaster 39 37 -17 -10.91 12.01 -9.09 45.32 3.46 -18.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.25R 2.20 Colchester 39 34 -36 -4.56 31.46 -9.42 41.01 3.39 -40.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.67R 27.26 Crewe 39 30 -29 -6.97 21.93 -2.78 37.46 3.36 -32.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.88R 70.44League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Barnet 2 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 39 86 +32 19.68 98.14 12.63 97.55 3.57 34.91 99.67 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 73 +33 4.69 68.31 13.24 83.52 3.22 36.35 0.17 73.93 99.98 81.65P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 39 71 +21 7.41 78.27 6.34 82.43 3.49 23.66 0.09 54.12 99.83 66.48P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 39 70 +19 12.54 90.03 13.21 81.18 3.57 21.39 0.04 38.30 99.50 50.21P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 39 68 +21 7.24 77.02 10.22 79.66 3.53 23.97 0.02 25.10 98.85 43.13P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 38 63 +27 0.58 52.24 11.75 76.28 3.79 30.42 0.00 8.26 89.71 32.14P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 39 61 +7 2.01 58.77 -1.32 71.42 3.47 8.24 0.00 0.20 43.79 10.53P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 39 59 +2 -3.61 35.64 -11.56 70.88 3.53 5.37 0.00 0.06 35.96 10.01P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 38 57 +3 5.52 71.85 4.42 67.78 3.82 2.57 0.00 0.02 12.45 2.14P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 38 56 +8 2.78 61.72 6.44 66.97 3.76 8.06 0.00 0.00 11.81 2.20P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 39 56 +1 2.00 58.43 0.44 65.10 3.51 0.26 0.00 0.00 2.71 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 39 55 +2 3.47 64.40 5.07 64.33 3.55 1.59 0.00 0.00 1.98 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 39 53 +3 3.79 66.33 8.70 62.18 3.51 2.42 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Luton 38 53 +1 -1.05 45.82 -1.99 64.46 3.80 1.68 0.00 0.00 2.60 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 39 51 -6 3.37 63.86 3.01 59.60 3.52 -7.48 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 39 47 -17 -3.21 37.33 -12.20 55.62 3.49 -18.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 37 42 -16 1.85 58.86 -0.55 51.40 3.83 -20.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Newport_County 39 41 -16 -4.43 32.27 -4.43 49.07 3.42 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Notts_County 38 41 -19 -7.83 20.88 -13.86 52.08 3.84 -18.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Morecambe 38 40 -10 -7.58 21.27 -2.42 51.51 3.87 -9.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Yeovil 38 39 -14 -9.09 16.73 -8.95 48.69 3.72 -15.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22R 0.00 Stevenage 38 35 -19 -12.86 8.00 -12.38 45.17 3.79 -20.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.35R 0.11 York 39 28 -31 -13.42 6.62 -12.54 34.95 3.31 -35.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.80R 31.29 Dag_&_Red 38 25 -32 -14.85 4.42 -13.27 32.59 3.50 -37.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.38R 68.60National League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Aldershot 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 41 86 +48 3.28 63.03 7.66 96.09 2.74 53.03 83.67 100.00 90.18P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 84 +28 12.64 90.76 5.18 92.46 2.93 30.52 15.27 100.00 37.67P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 38 72 +39 -2.00 40.44 5.88 85.55 3.68 42.93 1.06 97.96 36.91P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 41 69 +16 -2.06 41.34 -5.98 77.32 2.92 18.13 0.00 46.38 10.73P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 39 68 +20 6.21 74.33 7.56 78.20 3.54 20.97 0.00 58.68 8.97P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 39 68 +16 8.48 82.01 6.97 77.39 3.39 15.93 0.00 43.36 7.14P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 39 66 +9 6.38 74.68 -0.07 77.08 3.43 11.28 0.00 38.82 5.77P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 40 65 +20 0.77 52.99 6.04 73.61 3.21 20.57 0.00 14.35 2.59P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 41 63 -9 8.89 82.28 -5.49 70.01 2.95 -8.77 0.00 0.40 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 40 57 +10 -3.31 36.57 1.81 66.18 3.21 11.43 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 41 57 +5 0.35 51.79 4.87 63.54 2.88 4.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 41 56 -1 4.14 66.66 6.97 63.44 3.01 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 39 53 -10 7.30 78.16 3.61 60.78 3.46 -12.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 40 50 +2 -8.96 17.84 -3.77 57.98 3.24 1.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 40 50 -18 2.65 61.74 -6.52 57.97 3.21 -18.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Southport 41 47 -15 2.18 60.25 2.00 53.24 2.90 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Chester 40 44 -8 -4.07 33.67 3.28 51.49 3.11 -9.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.13R 0.00 Guiseley 40 42 -22 1.21 56.57 -0.47 47.42 2.91 -26.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.45R 0.01 Boreham_Wood 40 40 -7 -6.21 25.54 3.89 47.99 3.17 -7.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.78R 0.01 Halifax 38 40 -23 -6.04 25.90 -12.51 48.74 3.56 -27.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.49R 0.03 Altrincham 39 39 -22 -1.52 44.24 -1.29 46.51 3.33 -25.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.62R 0.40 Torquay 39 38 -27 -8.17 18.92 -15.22 47.59 3.51 -27.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.47R 0.11 Welling 41 32 -26 -9.95 13.13 -5.19 37.55 2.75 -27.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.87R 44.55 Kidderminster 40 28 -25 -16.54 3.07 -9.22 36.49 3.25 -24.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.12R 54.89