Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 28 March 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.38    98.77    15.49    76.14     3.52    23.76    64.20    88.56    98.02    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.65    75.29    12.44    72.62     3.49    34.99    23.86    65.04    90.34    97.51    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       0.94    54.17    -1.62    70.98     3.50    25.74    10.73    37.26    76.51    92.47    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.56    16.49    -7.68    66.12     3.65    26.37     0.86     6.24    22.42    60.14    93.88     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.71    79.86     8.90    61.58     3.76    12.93     0.07     0.48     2.64    11.64    59.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.63    46.69    -2.82    64.54     3.67    16.32     0.29     2.35     9.40    33.12    84.85     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.32    43.63     0.44    57.67     3.43    10.60     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.26    18.02     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.67    76.27    -0.18    54.82     3.38    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     4.10     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -1.03    45.01    -2.90    59.04     4.09     9.08     0.00     0.07     0.57     3.76    31.63     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.89     6.93   -13.92    54.80     3.77     8.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     6.18     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.47    67.78     0.84    47.34     3.48   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.85    19.58     2.54    51.98     4.03    12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.30     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.67    68.34     1.83    45.07     3.29   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.38    57.42     5.99    47.04     3.63    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.75    37.30    -3.48    43.66     3.36   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.92    40.92     1.17    41.74     3.52   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.92    36.70    -3.10    35.60     3.28   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.22R    0.06  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -3.91    30.98    -0.69    34.02     3.57   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.92R    0.22  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.24    34.09    -4.72    32.71     3.44   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.39R    1.18  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.12     9.10    -8.53    21.66     2.99   -42.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.15    78.16     6.71    88.87     3.67    34.18    63.67    86.23   100.00    90.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.35    93.16     8.42    82.44     3.68    17.96     5.34    20.83    99.45    36.67P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       5.90    74.77     5.71    85.41     3.87    29.34    21.25    55.50    99.93    69.57P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.55    52.02     6.00    83.29     3.80    34.11     9.57    34.99    99.72    58.32P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       1.05    54.28    -0.40    77.23     3.72    19.48     0.16     2.19    88.89    24.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.75    69.96    11.73    74.06     3.74    21.61     0.02     0.26    68.20    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.49    69.25     3.79    69.99     3.71     8.11     0.00     0.00    19.33     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.41    64.69    -2.16    69.64     3.66     3.13     0.00     0.00    15.29     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       5.93    74.75     5.98    68.03     3.90     5.80     0.00     0.00     8.41     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.52    61.17     1.97    63.40     3.61     0.60     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.59    27.84    -3.05    62.66     3.68     5.21     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -4.85    30.04    -6.61    59.14     3.70    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.13    60.24    -0.54    57.71     3.78   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.86    22.83    -1.11    57.82     3.71     2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.79    30.12    -1.15    57.28     3.77    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.18    36.63     4.95    54.69     3.67    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.35    35.70     1.74    56.00     3.84    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.25    28.49    -7.14    55.28     3.98   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -1.09    46.13    -6.07    51.80     3.58   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.25R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.72    47.75     0.76    47.77     3.58   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.66R    0.03  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.62    14.89     0.78    48.65     3.74    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.42R    0.04  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.85    26.25    -6.21    46.44     3.67   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.99R    0.13  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.13    28.14   -12.56    39.29     3.41   -40.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.73R   15.98  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.63     6.76   -11.55    33.61     3.44   -37.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   83.82  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Bury 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    39   75  +17      17.28    96.31    10.46    85.49     3.51    18.40    31.98    69.75    99.96    76.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            39   74  +30       1.51    55.90     1.82    86.72     3.46    34.46    56.76    86.34    99.99    91.52P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.73    85.65     7.72    81.96     4.02    21.36     9.34    31.45    98.25    48.80P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       38   66  +21       6.25    74.63     9.38    78.02     3.84    22.54     1.61     8.92    90.68    28.48P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   65  +16       2.65    60.59     2.61    76.82     3.54    19.27     0.27     2.91    85.90    26.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         39   64   +7       8.28    81.19     3.16    74.04     3.50     7.73     0.03     0.39    55.20    11.63P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   62  +12       1.82    57.49     2.09    72.81     3.45    14.00     0.01     0.24    44.99    11.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   57   +5       1.20    55.26     1.62    67.73     3.59     6.63     0.00     0.00     5.94     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   56  +16      -1.94    41.91     7.29    67.71     3.74    17.23     0.00     0.00     9.29     2.30P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   56   +6       2.17    59.26     5.36    65.76     3.50     6.25     0.00     0.00     2.08     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        40   56   -2       3.81    65.87     1.60    63.84     3.18    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   55   +5      -3.33    36.21    -4.39    66.75     3.84     6.14     0.00     0.00     4.87     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         38   55   +1       5.79    73.50     4.92    65.14     3.67    -0.13     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   51   +4      -4.59    31.55    -1.05    63.90     3.83     6.98     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          38   50   -7      -4.46    32.20   -10.22    61.89     3.80    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury             39   50  -14       5.71    73.12     0.31    57.64     3.41   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   46  -10      -2.20    41.25    -4.26    54.47     3.64   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.40R    0.00  
Chesterfield     39   43  -12      -8.18    19.37    -8.41    52.44     3.50   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.70R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   42  -13      -6.95    23.43    -5.21    49.34     3.12   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.14R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town   38   41   -5      -7.00    22.61     0.39    51.37     3.69    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.24R    0.01  
Oldham           38   41  -13      -3.99    33.58    -3.13    50.32     3.61   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.14R    0.02  
Doncaster        39   37  -17     -10.90    11.98    -9.04    45.28     3.44   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.46R    1.21  
Colchester       38   31  -37      -5.94    25.55    -9.77    38.55     3.56   -43.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   45.61  
Crewe            39   30  -29      -7.28    20.64    -3.24    37.51     3.36   -32.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   53.14  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Barnet 2 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          39   86  +32      19.87    98.14    12.90    97.53     3.58    34.88    99.73   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   73  +33       5.11    70.07    13.84    83.51     3.22    36.30     0.13    73.87    99.97    81.73P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   71  +21       7.30    78.08     6.15    82.44     3.48    23.69     0.08    54.24    99.86    66.79P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   70  +19      12.58    90.20    13.32    81.18     3.59    21.39     0.04    38.15    99.47    49.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   68  +21       7.21    76.94    10.15    79.66     3.53    23.99     0.02    24.89    98.88    43.02P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           38   63  +27       0.37    51.58    11.44    76.33     3.78    30.49     0.00     8.60    89.97    32.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   61   +7       2.08    58.57    -1.18    71.41     3.47     8.24     0.00     0.17    43.97    10.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        39   59   +2      -3.39    36.47   -11.24    70.83     3.53     5.33     0.00     0.04    35.06     9.41P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             38   57   +3       5.18    70.75     3.92    67.82     3.83     2.66     0.00     0.03    12.71     2.19P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   56   +8       2.64    61.17     6.24    66.99     3.77     8.08     0.00     0.01    11.95     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   56   +1       2.14    59.23     0.67    65.08     3.52     0.23     0.00     0.00     2.66     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        39   55   +2       3.56    64.84     5.19    64.28     3.55     1.52     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            39   53   +3       4.00    66.77     8.99    62.16     3.51     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                38   53   +1      -1.11    45.72    -2.07    64.47     3.79     1.70     0.00     0.00     2.75     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   51   -6       3.41    64.46     3.06    59.60     3.53    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   47  -17      -3.27    37.27   -12.32    55.59     3.48   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           37   42  -16       1.64    58.12    -0.87    51.45     3.82   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Newport_County       39   41  -16      -4.49    31.89    -4.46    49.06     3.42   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Notts_County         38   41  -19      -7.81    21.09   -13.85    52.06     3.84   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   40  -10      -7.68    21.00    -2.60    51.60     3.88    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil               38   39  -14      -9.14    16.51    -9.03    48.72     3.70   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Stevenage            38   35  -19     -12.95     8.26   -12.50    45.18     3.81   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.08  
York                 39   28  -31     -13.34     6.92   -12.40    34.93     3.31   -35.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.93R   31.54  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.96     4.30   -13.35    32.59     3.52   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.21R   68.38  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2016, Aldershot 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       41   86  +48       3.43    63.78     7.99    96.09     2.75    53.00    84.07   100.00    90.47P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   84  +28      12.59    90.66     5.12    92.46     2.90    30.50    14.85   100.00    36.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   72  +39      -2.03    40.27     5.90    85.54     3.67    42.88     1.08    98.09    37.33P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   69  +16      -2.15    40.92    -6.12    77.36     2.90    18.20     0.00    46.60    10.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   39   68  +20       6.14    73.99     7.44    78.20     3.52    20.95     0.00    58.58     8.82P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   39   68  +16       8.42    81.95     6.87    77.38     3.38    15.94     0.00    43.34     7.36P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        39   66   +9       6.36    74.92    -0.08    77.10     3.42    11.29     0.00    38.55     5.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   65  +20       0.73    52.97     5.93    73.60     3.21    20.57     0.00    14.33     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   63   -9       8.96    82.72    -5.35    70.02     2.96    -8.77     0.00     0.48     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     40   57  +10      -3.47    35.79     1.63    66.17     3.21    11.42     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     41   57   +5       0.45    52.07     4.97    63.55     2.88     4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          41   56   -1       3.67    64.68     6.14    63.49     3.03    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           39   53  -10       7.40    78.40     3.78    60.76     3.47   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           40   50   +2      -8.78    18.05    -3.61    57.95     3.23     1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        40   50  -18       2.66    62.00    -6.52    57.93     3.21   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        41   47  -15       2.28    60.52     2.18    53.24     2.89   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Chester          40   44   -8      -3.99    34.18     3.46    51.52     3.12    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Guiseley         40   42  -22       1.11    55.63    -0.56    47.45     2.91   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.20R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood     40   40   -7      -6.25    25.63     3.88    48.02     3.18    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.47R    0.01  
Halifax          38   40  -23      -6.13    25.70   -12.71    48.74     3.55   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.71R    0.01  
Altrincham       39   39  -22      -1.50    44.12    -1.36    46.53     3.33   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.27R    0.43  
Torquay          39   38  -27      -7.97    19.60   -14.90    47.52     3.52   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.05R    0.13  
Welling          41   32  -26      -9.78    13.64    -4.93    37.52     2.75   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.87R   45.06  
Kidderminster    40   28  -25     -16.45     3.05    -9.16    36.50     3.26   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R   54.35