Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 March 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.49    98.89    15.66    76.11     3.49    23.72    64.16    88.35    97.99    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.64    75.44    12.42    72.61     3.49    34.95    23.87    65.10    90.33    97.67    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       0.87    53.71    -1.71    70.98     3.49    25.76    10.78    37.60    76.72    92.64    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.44    16.92    -7.43    66.09     3.67    26.34     0.81     6.09    22.47    59.34    93.72     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.76    80.01     9.00    61.56     3.75    12.89     0.06     0.46     2.53    11.61    59.06     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.81    46.00    -3.14    64.61     3.62    16.40     0.32     2.32     9.30    33.58    85.65     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.46    42.90     0.27    57.68     3.40    10.58     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.26    17.82     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.66    76.04    -0.18    54.80     3.37    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     4.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -0.94    45.51    -2.74    59.02     4.08     9.06     0.00     0.08     0.55     3.71    31.24     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.78     7.03   -13.82    54.81     3.80     8.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26     6.45     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.21    66.83     0.49    47.44     3.52   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.72    20.18     2.76    51.93     4.04    12.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.24     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.77    68.64     1.97    45.05     3.31   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.50    58.02     6.16    46.95     3.64    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.06R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.94    36.18    -3.69    43.71     3.37   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.87    41.30     1.14    41.70     3.49   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.84    36.83    -3.04    35.62     3.30   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.36R    0.06  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -3.87    31.13    -0.68    34.02     3.56   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.11R    0.21  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.34    33.51    -4.87    32.74     3.49   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.96R    1.29  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.17     9.14    -8.58    21.70     3.00   -42.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.44  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.17    78.52     6.81    88.87     3.68    34.16    64.15    86.24   100.00    90.59P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.33    93.01     8.32    82.43     3.66    17.96     5.39    20.83    99.52    36.62P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       6.18    75.60     6.09    85.36     3.86    29.27    20.73    55.75    99.92    69.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.77    52.94     6.26    83.23     3.81    34.05     9.49    34.66    99.69    58.33P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       1.10    54.54    -0.28    77.25     3.72    19.46     0.21     2.23    89.05    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.84    70.31    11.92    74.05     3.71    21.58     0.03     0.28    68.57    13.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.45    68.83     3.72    69.99     3.71     8.11     0.00     0.00    19.20     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.31    64.28    -2.32    69.63     3.65     3.16     0.00     0.00    14.81     2.45P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       5.98    75.11     6.11    68.02     3.93     5.80     0.00     0.00     8.46     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.68    62.37     2.17    63.40     3.60     0.58     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.55    27.85    -3.04    62.68     3.63     5.24     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -4.90    29.90    -6.63    59.17     3.69    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.24    60.71    -0.38    57.68     3.77   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.90    22.27    -1.13    57.83     3.68     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.75    30.30    -1.13    57.32     3.76    -1.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.47    35.74     4.50    54.79     3.69    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.49    35.13     1.62    56.00     3.84    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.32    28.09    -7.25    55.24     3.95   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -1.17    45.73    -6.25    51.79     3.58   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.14R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.54    48.52     1.10    47.72     3.58   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.17R    0.04  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.75    14.44     0.54    48.66     3.75    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.25R    0.07  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.75    26.62    -6.10    46.42     3.63   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.96R    0.14  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.27    27.37   -12.85    39.32     3.44   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.65R   16.40  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.82     6.50   -11.81    33.65     3.44   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   83.35  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 March 2016, Bradford 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    38   75  +19      17.38    96.78    10.75    86.90     3.78    20.47    49.00    81.91    99.99    86.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            38   71  +29       0.45    51.16     1.58    85.62     3.72    34.31    40.65    79.11    99.97    87.06P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.82    85.43     7.84    81.89     4.03    21.27     9.11    30.99    98.89    48.57P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       37   63  +20       4.88    69.56     8.74    76.60     4.09    21.85     1.04     5.72    86.54    25.19P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   62  +14       1.89    57.82     1.96    75.28     3.80    17.40     0.18     1.86    79.90    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         38   61   +6       6.98    77.83     2.66    72.64     3.77     7.07     0.01     0.22    49.67    10.35P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         38   59  +11       0.51    52.30     1.59    71.15     3.73    12.93     0.01     0.15    37.97     9.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         38   57   +6       1.98    58.40     1.71    68.48     3.81     6.63     0.00     0.02    14.63     3.09P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   56  +16      -1.85    42.43     7.51    67.75     3.73    17.25     0.00     0.01    14.35     3.59P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        39   56   -1       4.95    70.48     2.31    65.26     3.51    -1.46     0.00     0.00     2.45     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   55   +5      -3.09    37.07    -4.04    66.74     3.84     6.12     0.00     0.00     7.75     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         38   55   +1       5.70    72.78     4.83    65.19     3.68    -0.06     0.00     0.00     2.70     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       38   53   +0       3.03    63.27     3.00    63.65     3.73    -0.47     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   51   +4      -4.84    30.91    -1.39    64.06     3.83     7.20     0.00     0.00     2.05     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   50   -1      -5.24    28.87    -7.65    63.73     4.06     1.08     0.00     0.00     1.90     0.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury             38   50  -13       6.50    76.05     0.58    58.82     3.68   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.16R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       38   46  -10      -2.44    40.67    -4.63    54.52     3.64   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.85R    0.00  
Chesterfield     38   43  -11      -7.50    21.03    -8.44    53.83     3.79   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.67R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   38   41   -5      -6.69    23.55     0.87    51.25     3.66    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.24R    0.01  
Blackpool        39   39  -14      -8.20    19.01    -5.54    47.48     3.41   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.56R    0.37  
Oldham           37   38  -14      -5.22    28.17    -3.46    48.59     3.87   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.02R    0.33  
Doncaster        38   37  -16      -9.72    14.45    -8.29    46.83     3.70   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.92R    0.92  
Colchester       38   31  -37      -6.08    25.10    -9.99    38.57     3.58   -43.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.38R   53.76  
Crewe            38   30  -28      -6.25    24.11    -2.52    38.70     3.62   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.20R   44.61  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 March 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          38   85  +32      20.56    98.71    13.39    98.20     3.84    35.31    99.38   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   72  +33       5.09    69.93    13.13    84.29     3.51    36.93     0.42    79.33    99.94    85.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       38   68  +22       8.32    80.71    10.78    81.32     3.79    25.40     0.12    43.68    99.22    57.34P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             38   68  +20       6.45    75.39     6.36    81.42     3.73    23.53     0.06    42.59    99.04    57.70P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   38   67  +17      11.76    88.95    12.46    79.70     3.84    19.60     0.01    24.47    96.86    37.96P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           38   63  +27       0.51    52.08    11.63    76.33     3.78    30.49     0.00     8.59    86.77    30.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   60   +7       2.53    60.91    -1.05    71.97     3.74     8.50     0.00     0.54    41.21    10.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        38   59   +4      -2.74    38.98   -10.36    73.08     3.77     8.60     0.00     0.77    55.06    16.19P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   56   +8       2.59    60.98     6.12    66.89     3.78     7.96     0.00     0.02     8.77     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             37   54   +2       3.87    66.40     3.36    65.89     4.06     1.23     0.00     0.01     4.86     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        38   54   +2       3.57    65.02     4.70    64.40     3.80     1.11     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                37   53   +2       0.03    50.45    -1.43    66.10     4.06     3.10     0.00     0.01     5.05     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               38   53   -1       1.04    54.75    -0.49    63.30     3.78    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            38   52   +3       4.26    68.21     8.79    62.21     3.76     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               38   48   -7       2.10    59.30     2.61    57.67     3.77    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         38   47  -15      -2.73    39.17   -11.52    57.15     3.77   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       38   41  -14      -4.21    32.65    -4.09    50.34     3.69   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   40  -10      -7.35    22.04    -2.11    51.58     3.87    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Notts_County         37   40  -19      -7.39    21.83   -13.60    52.34     4.11   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil               38   39  -14      -9.10    16.58    -8.95    48.68     3.69   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Hartlepool           36   39  -18       0.75    54.30    -1.65    48.93     4.01   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.01  
Stevenage            38   35  -19     -12.78     8.45   -12.25    45.14     3.81   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.41R    0.12  
York                 38   28  -30     -12.84     7.33   -12.85    35.79     3.51   -34.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.83R   26.06  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.73     4.40   -12.97    32.49     3.48   -37.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.32R   73.80  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 March 2016, Chester 1 2 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       40   86  +49       4.26    67.23     8.22    97.76     3.05    54.44    86.39   100.00    91.78P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     40   83  +28      13.09    91.89     5.38    93.04     3.23    30.80    11.74   100.00    35.32P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   72  +40      -1.00    44.78     6.46    87.24     3.95    44.37     1.87    99.01    39.10P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   38   68  +23       6.31    74.74     8.59    80.03     3.80    24.62     0.00    76.99    12.08P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   38   68  +17       9.66    85.73     7.78    79.01     3.62    17.28     0.00    63.22    10.13P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         40   66  +14      -2.90    37.79    -6.79    76.02     3.20    16.58     0.00    29.49     6.84P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        38   63   +8       5.19    70.91    -0.35    75.51     3.71    10.35     0.00    23.65     3.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          39   62  +19      -0.74    46.74     5.32    71.65     3.46    19.13     0.00     6.57     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        40   62   -9       9.16    83.36    -5.58    70.11     3.25    -9.22     0.00     1.06     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     40   56   +5       0.65    52.90     4.80    64.20     3.19     4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley          40   55   -1       3.98    66.15     6.03    63.57     3.32    -0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     39   54   +9      -4.70    30.94     1.25    64.12     3.45     9.86     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           39   50   +3      -7.85    20.34    -3.27    59.66     3.54     2.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           38   50  -13       6.97    77.54     2.63    59.12     3.74   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        39   47  -19       1.30    56.21    -7.12    56.10     3.43   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Southport        40   46  -15       2.38    61.08     1.89    53.48     3.19   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Chester          39   43   -8      -3.40    36.27     3.61    51.93     3.41    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.00  
Guiseley         39   41  -22       1.79    58.98    -0.47    47.79     3.23   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.25R    0.01  
Halifax          37   40  -20      -5.70    26.94   -11.33    50.22     3.83   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.52R    0.00  
Altrincham       38   38  -22      -1.08    45.98    -1.30    46.95     3.60   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.31R    0.32  
Torquay          38   38  -26      -7.11    21.74   -14.62    48.91     3.79   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.43R    0.04  
Boreham_Wood     39   37  -10      -6.34    25.05     2.97    45.88     3.42   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.52R    0.19  
Welling          40   29  -27     -11.25     9.37    -5.64    35.64     3.02   -29.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   67.09  
Kidderminster    39   28  -23     -15.99     3.38    -8.47    37.50     3.50   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.45R   32.35