Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 27 March 2016 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 31 66 +23 18.49 98.89 15.66 76.11 3.49 23.72 64.16 88.35 97.99 99.70 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 61 +32 5.64 75.44 12.42 72.61 3.49 34.95 23.87 65.10 90.33 97.67 99.95 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 55 +18 0.87 53.71 -1.71 70.98 3.49 25.76 10.78 37.60 76.72 92.64 99.65 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 51 +20 -7.44 16.92 -7.43 66.09 3.67 26.34 0.81 6.09 22.47 59.34 93.72 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 50 +12 6.76 80.01 9.00 61.56 3.75 12.89 0.06 0.46 2.53 11.61 59.06 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 50 +11 -0.81 46.00 -3.14 64.61 3.62 16.40 0.32 2.32 9.30 33.58 85.65 0.00 0.00 Southampton 31 47 +9 -1.46 42.90 0.27 57.68 3.40 10.58 0.00 0.01 0.10 1.26 17.82 0.00 0.00 Stoke 31 46 -3 5.66 76.04 -0.18 54.80 3.37 -4.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 4.15 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 44 +5 -0.94 45.51 -2.74 59.02 4.08 9.06 0.00 0.08 0.55 3.71 31.24 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 41 +4 -11.78 7.03 -13.82 54.81 3.80 8.26 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.26 6.45 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 30 39 -7 3.21 66.83 0.49 47.44 3.52 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01R 0.00 Everton 29 38 +10 -6.72 20.18 2.76 51.93 4.04 12.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 2.24 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 31 38 -12 3.77 68.64 1.97 45.05 3.31 -16.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Watford 30 37 -2 1.50 58.02 6.16 46.95 3.64 -3.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.06R 0.00 Swansea 31 36 -9 -2.94 36.18 -3.69 43.71 3.37 -11.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 33 -8 -1.87 41.30 1.14 41.70 3.49 -11.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.99R 0.00 Norwich 31 28 -22 -2.84 36.83 -3.04 35.62 3.30 -25.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.36R 0.06 Sunderland 30 26 -19 -3.87 31.13 -0.68 34.02 3.56 -23.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.11R 0.21 Newcastle 30 25 -26 -3.34 33.51 -4.87 32.74 3.49 -31.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.96R 1.29 Aston_Villa 31 16 -36 -9.17 9.14 -8.58 21.70 3.00 -42.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.44Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 38 75 +30 7.17 78.52 6.81 88.87 3.68 34.16 64.15 86.24 100.00 90.59P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 38 71 +17 13.33 93.01 8.32 82.43 3.66 17.96 5.39 20.83 99.52 36.62P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 37 70 +25 6.18 75.60 6.09 85.36 3.86 29.27 20.73 55.75 99.92 69.69P 0.00 0.00 Hull 37 66 +27 0.77 52.94 6.26 83.23 3.81 34.05 9.49 34.66 99.69 58.33P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 64 +16 1.10 54.54 -0.28 77.25 3.72 19.46 0.21 2.23 89.05 23.79P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 62 +20 4.84 70.31 11.92 74.05 3.71 21.58 0.03 0.28 68.57 13.64P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 59 +8 4.45 68.83 3.72 69.99 3.71 8.11 0.00 0.00 19.20 3.46P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 58 +2 3.31 64.28 -2.32 69.63 3.65 3.16 0.00 0.00 14.81 2.45P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 37 56 +6 5.98 75.11 6.11 68.02 3.93 5.80 0.00 0.00 8.46 1.28P 0.00 0.00 Preston 38 53 +1 2.68 62.37 2.17 63.40 3.60 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.09P 0.00 0.00 QPR 38 51 +4 -5.55 27.85 -3.04 62.68 3.63 5.24 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 38 48 -5 -4.90 29.90 -6.63 59.17 3.69 -4.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 37 47 -8 2.24 60.71 -0.38 57.68 3.77 -10.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.05R 0.00 Blackburn 38 46 +1 -6.90 22.27 -1.13 57.83 3.68 2.37 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.03R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 46 -2 -4.75 30.30 -1.13 57.32 3.76 -1.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Huddersfield 38 45 -1 -3.47 35.74 4.50 54.79 3.69 -2.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51R 0.00 Reading 37 45 -1 -3.49 35.13 1.62 56.00 3.84 -2.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Brentford 37 43 -11 -5.32 28.09 -7.25 55.24 3.95 -11.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.01R 0.00 Bristol_City 38 43 -18 -1.17 45.73 -6.25 51.79 3.58 -21.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.14R 0.00 Rotherham 38 39 -18 -0.54 48.52 1.10 47.72 3.58 -21.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.17R 0.04 Fulham 38 38 -7 -9.75 14.44 0.54 48.66 3.75 -7.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.25R 0.07 MK_Dons 38 37 -19 -5.75 26.62 -6.10 46.42 3.63 -21.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.96R 0.14 Charlton 38 32 -35 -5.27 27.37 -12.85 39.32 3.44 -40.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.65R 16.40 Bolton 38 26 -32 -12.82 6.50 -11.81 33.65 3.44 -37.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.91R 83.35League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 March 2016, Bradford 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 38 75 +19 17.38 96.78 10.75 86.90 3.78 20.47 49.00 81.91 99.99 86.08P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 38 71 +29 0.45 51.16 1.58 85.62 3.72 34.31 40.65 79.11 99.97 87.06P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 37 68 +19 9.82 85.43 7.84 81.89 4.03 21.27 9.11 30.99 98.89 48.57P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 37 63 +20 4.88 69.56 8.74 76.60 4.09 21.85 1.04 5.72 86.54 25.19P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 38 62 +14 1.89 57.82 1.96 75.28 3.80 17.40 0.18 1.86 79.90 22.89P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 38 61 +6 6.98 77.83 2.66 72.64 3.77 7.07 0.01 0.22 49.67 10.35P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 38 59 +11 0.51 52.30 1.59 71.15 3.73 12.93 0.01 0.15 37.97 9.23P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 38 57 +6 1.98 58.40 1.71 68.48 3.81 6.63 0.00 0.02 14.63 3.09P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 38 56 +16 -1.85 42.43 7.51 67.75 3.73 17.25 0.00 0.01 14.35 3.59P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 39 56 -1 4.95 70.48 2.31 65.26 3.51 -1.46 0.00 0.00 2.45 0.47P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 55 +5 -3.09 37.07 -4.04 66.74 3.84 6.12 0.00 0.00 7.75 1.86P 0.00 0.00 Southend 38 55 +1 5.70 72.78 4.83 65.19 3.68 -0.06 0.00 0.00 2.70 0.42P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 38 53 +0 3.03 63.27 3.00 63.65 3.73 -0.47 0.00 0.00 1.21 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 38 51 +4 -4.84 30.91 -1.39 64.06 3.83 7.20 0.00 0.00 2.05 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 37 50 -1 -5.24 28.87 -7.65 63.73 4.06 1.08 0.00 0.00 1.90 0.46P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 38 50 -13 6.50 76.05 0.58 58.82 3.68 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.16R 0.00 Shrewsbury 38 46 -10 -2.44 40.67 -4.63 54.52 3.64 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.85R 0.00 Chesterfield 38 43 -11 -7.50 21.03 -8.44 53.83 3.79 -11.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.67R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 38 41 -5 -6.69 23.55 0.87 51.25 3.66 -5.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.24R 0.01 Blackpool 39 39 -14 -8.20 19.01 -5.54 47.48 3.41 -15.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.56R 0.37 Oldham 37 38 -14 -5.22 28.17 -3.46 48.59 3.87 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.02R 0.33 Doncaster 38 37 -16 -9.72 14.45 -8.29 46.83 3.70 -17.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.92R 0.92 Colchester 38 31 -37 -6.08 25.10 -9.99 38.57 3.58 -43.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.38R 53.76 Crewe 38 30 -28 -6.25 24.11 -2.52 38.70 3.62 -31.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.20R 44.61League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 March 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 38 85 +32 20.56 98.71 13.39 98.20 3.84 35.31 99.38 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 39 72 +33 5.09 69.93 13.13 84.29 3.51 36.93 0.42 79.33 99.94 85.38P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 38 68 +22 8.32 80.71 10.78 81.32 3.79 25.40 0.12 43.68 99.22 57.34P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 38 68 +20 6.45 75.39 6.36 81.42 3.73 23.53 0.06 42.59 99.04 57.70P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 38 67 +17 11.76 88.95 12.46 79.70 3.84 19.60 0.01 24.47 96.86 37.96P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 38 63 +27 0.51 52.08 11.63 76.33 3.78 30.49 0.00 8.59 86.77 30.78P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 38 60 +7 2.53 60.91 -1.05 71.97 3.74 8.50 0.00 0.54 41.21 10.36P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 38 59 +4 -2.74 38.98 -10.36 73.08 3.77 8.60 0.00 0.77 55.06 16.19P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 38 56 +8 2.59 60.98 6.12 66.89 3.78 7.96 0.00 0.02 8.77 1.72P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 37 54 +2 3.87 66.40 3.36 65.89 4.06 1.23 0.00 0.01 4.86 0.87P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 38 54 +2 3.57 65.02 4.70 64.40 3.80 1.11 0.00 0.00 1.85 0.34P 0.00 0.00 Luton 37 53 +2 0.03 50.45 -1.43 66.10 4.06 3.10 0.00 0.01 5.05 1.11P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 38 53 -1 1.04 54.75 -0.49 63.30 3.78 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 38 52 +3 4.26 68.21 8.79 62.21 3.76 1.89 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 38 48 -7 2.10 59.30 2.61 57.67 3.77 -8.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 38 47 -15 -2.73 39.17 -11.52 57.15 3.77 -16.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 38 41 -14 -4.21 32.65 -4.09 50.34 3.69 -16.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Morecambe 38 40 -10 -7.35 22.04 -2.11 51.58 3.87 -9.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Notts_County 37 40 -19 -7.39 21.83 -13.60 52.34 4.11 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Yeovil 38 39 -14 -9.10 16.58 -8.95 48.68 3.69 -15.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34R 0.00 Hartlepool 36 39 -18 0.75 54.30 -1.65 48.93 4.01 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.81R 0.01 Stevenage 38 35 -19 -12.78 8.45 -12.25 45.14 3.81 -20.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.41R 0.12 York 38 28 -30 -12.84 7.33 -12.85 35.79 3.51 -34.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.83R 26.06 Dag_&_Red 38 25 -32 -14.73 4.40 -12.97 32.49 3.48 -37.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.32R 73.80National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 March 2016, Chester 1 2 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 40 86 +49 4.26 67.23 8.22 97.76 3.05 54.44 86.39 100.00 91.78P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 40 83 +28 13.09 91.89 5.38 93.04 3.23 30.80 11.74 100.00 35.32P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 37 72 +40 -1.00 44.78 6.46 87.24 3.95 44.37 1.87 99.01 39.10P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 38 68 +23 6.31 74.74 8.59 80.03 3.80 24.62 0.00 76.99 12.08P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 38 68 +17 9.66 85.73 7.78 79.01 3.62 17.28 0.00 63.22 10.13P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 40 66 +14 -2.90 37.79 -6.79 76.02 3.20 16.58 0.00 29.49 6.84P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 38 63 +8 5.19 70.91 -0.35 75.51 3.71 10.35 0.00 23.65 3.48P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 39 62 +19 -0.74 46.74 5.32 71.65 3.46 19.13 0.00 6.57 1.17P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 40 62 -9 9.16 83.36 -5.58 70.11 3.25 -9.22 0.00 1.06 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 56 +5 0.65 52.90 4.80 64.20 3.19 4.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 40 55 -1 3.98 66.15 6.03 63.57 3.32 -0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 39 54 +9 -4.70 30.94 1.25 64.12 3.45 9.86 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 39 50 +3 -7.85 20.34 -3.27 59.66 3.54 2.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 38 50 -13 6.97 77.54 2.63 59.12 3.74 -15.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 39 47 -19 1.30 56.21 -7.12 56.10 3.43 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Southport 40 46 -15 2.38 61.08 1.89 53.48 3.19 -15.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00 Chester 39 43 -8 -3.40 36.27 3.61 51.93 3.41 -9.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.78R 0.00 Guiseley 39 41 -22 1.79 58.98 -0.47 47.79 3.23 -26.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.25R 0.01 Halifax 37 40 -20 -5.70 26.94 -11.33 50.22 3.83 -23.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.52R 0.00 Altrincham 38 38 -22 -1.08 45.98 -1.30 46.95 3.60 -25.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.31R 0.32 Torquay 38 38 -26 -7.11 21.74 -14.62 48.91 3.79 -26.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.43R 0.04 Boreham_Wood 39 37 -10 -6.34 25.05 2.97 45.88 3.42 -10.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.52R 0.19 Welling 40 29 -27 -11.25 9.37 -5.64 35.64 3.02 -29.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.48R 67.09 Kidderminster 39 28 -23 -15.99 3.38 -8.47 37.50 3.50 -23.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.45R 32.35