Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.54    98.80    15.74    76.09     3.51    23.69    64.24    88.39    97.99    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.78    76.06    12.58    72.60     3.49    34.95    23.98    65.29    90.43    97.63    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       1.02    54.53    -1.46    70.91     3.49    25.65    10.55    37.45    76.09    92.30    99.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.47    16.74    -7.55    66.10     3.66    26.35     0.85     6.07    22.84    59.74    93.79     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.90    80.47     9.24    61.56     3.76    12.89     0.06     0.45     2.56    11.65    58.71     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.79    45.71    -3.15    64.59     3.65    16.38     0.32     2.29     9.42    33.60    85.30     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.36    43.33     0.33    57.70     3.42    10.61     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.28    18.13     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.60    75.69    -0.26    54.81     3.39    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     4.17     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -1.02    44.84    -2.90    59.04     4.09     9.11     0.00     0.06     0.57     3.61    31.54     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.88     7.00   -13.95    54.84     3.78     8.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     6.40     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.22    66.70     0.55    47.43     3.50   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.83    19.85     2.55    52.00     4.03    12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.37     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.75    68.59     2.07    45.01     3.29   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.29    57.14     5.92    47.01     3.65    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.87    36.67    -3.65    43.68     3.38   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.89    41.29     1.16    41.70     3.51   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.96R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.77    37.40    -2.95    35.60     3.31   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.43R    0.06  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -3.98    30.35    -0.80    34.02     3.55   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.91R    0.19  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.33    33.64    -4.88    32.74     3.47   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.07R    1.23  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.18     8.97    -8.62    21.71     2.99   -42.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.52  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.06    77.71     6.61    88.90     3.67    34.19    63.83    86.41   100.00    90.90P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.08    92.61     8.03    82.49     3.69    18.03     5.39    21.23    99.49    37.20P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       6.04    75.36     5.95    85.39     3.85    29.32    21.13    55.13    99.94    69.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.59    52.08     6.05    83.28     3.80    34.12     9.46    34.74    99.74    58.56P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       1.22    55.06    -0.16    77.23     3.71    19.45     0.18     2.21    89.04    23.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       5.07    71.23    12.19    74.03     3.72    21.57     0.01     0.25    68.36    12.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.54    69.05     3.87    69.99     3.68     8.12     0.00     0.01    19.49     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.23    63.66    -2.45    69.62     3.63     3.13     0.00     0.00    14.97     2.60P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       6.08    75.17     6.18    67.95     3.90     5.73     0.00     0.01     8.15     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.45    61.22     1.88    63.41     3.60     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.48    28.31    -2.89    62.64     3.65     5.17     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -5.01    29.71    -6.76    59.20     3.69    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.18    60.45    -0.44    57.70     3.79   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.79    22.63    -0.96    57.80     3.71     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.67    30.51    -0.96    57.27     3.75    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.29    36.48     4.75    54.75     3.68    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.37    35.80     1.75    56.01     3.84    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.27    28.62    -7.23    55.29     3.94   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -1.12    45.86    -6.17    51.80     3.59   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.38R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.63    47.99     0.96    47.74     3.57   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.73R    0.03  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.69    14.72     0.60    48.65     3.73    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.56R    0.03  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.97    26.01    -6.34    46.45     3.63   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.87R    0.11  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.20    27.81   -12.78    39.32     3.44   -40.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R   15.86  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.74     6.67   -11.70    33.61     3.42   -37.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   83.97  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Bury 2 2 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    37   74  +19      18.09    97.39    11.16    87.78     4.02    21.19    62.93    86.72    99.99    89.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            37   68  +26       0.19    50.46     0.68    83.89     4.01    31.10    25.22    64.71    99.60    77.79P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.93    86.24     7.99    81.80     4.01    21.14     9.52    34.49    98.64    50.50P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       37   63  +20       5.01    70.16     8.99    76.56     4.13    21.80     1.24     7.04    85.23    25.00P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   62  +15       2.73    61.06     2.17    76.84     4.06    18.71     1.05     6.17    86.06    27.92P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         37   58  +11       0.78    53.10     1.41    72.09     3.99    13.79     0.03     0.53    46.74    11.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   58   +5       5.80    73.96     2.34    70.84     4.00     5.83     0.00     0.16    29.99     6.10P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   56  +18      -1.14    45.16     8.42    69.22     3.99    19.39     0.01     0.15    23.45     5.67P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   55   +4       5.77    73.44     5.80    66.58     3.97     2.99     0.00     0.01     6.36     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        38   55   -1       5.05    71.05     1.89    65.61     3.77    -1.50     0.00     0.00     3.34     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   54   +3       1.82    57.83     0.93    66.88     4.09     3.69     0.00     0.00     7.76     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        37   52   +4      -4.14    32.99    -4.13    65.78     4.06     6.15     0.00     0.00     5.41     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       37   52   +0       3.17    63.95     2.70    63.63     3.99    -1.07     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   50   +2      -5.09    29.32    -6.59    65.21     4.32     4.28     0.00     0.00     4.68     1.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             37   49  -13       6.48    76.49    -0.01    58.86     3.90   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.57R    0.00  
Peterborough     37   48   +2      -5.50    28.34    -1.90    62.40     4.12     5.15     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   45  -10      -1.90    42.65    -4.41    54.96     3.90   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    5.41R    0.00  
Chesterfield     37   42  -11      -7.12    22.62    -8.39    54.41     4.05   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.06R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   37   40   -5      -6.70    23.25     0.37    51.44     3.91    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.24R    0.01  
Blackpool        38   38  -14      -7.54    20.94    -5.11    48.07     3.68   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.56R    0.30  
Doncaster        37   37  -13      -9.44    14.79    -7.01    48.65     4.02   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.92R    0.35  
Oldham           36   37  -14      -5.03    28.67    -3.50    48.29     4.08   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.50R    0.38  
Crewe            37   30  -27      -5.50    26.92    -2.76    39.40     3.80   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.87R   27.43  
Colchester       37   28  -40      -6.55    22.84   -11.05    36.52     3.81   -46.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   71.54  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          37   82  +31      19.42    98.35    13.05    97.13     4.06    35.13    97.96    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   71  +33       6.12    74.15    14.16    85.18     3.77    37.71     1.79    89.50    99.97    92.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       37   65  +19       7.90    79.80     9.57    79.77     4.08    22.49     0.14    37.62    96.99    52.21P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             37   65  +18       5.55    72.67     5.37    79.97     3.99    21.82     0.08    38.79    96.97    54.84P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   64  +16      10.36    86.36    11.84    77.89     4.12    18.31     0.03    20.27    91.05    33.76P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           37   60  +23       0.51    52.05    10.05    74.81     4.04    26.64     0.00     7.64    76.45    26.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        37   59   +5      -1.55    43.38    -9.65    74.66     4.03     9.93     0.00     5.28    70.13    24.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   57   +6       1.51    56.53    -1.20    70.48     4.01     7.72     0.00     0.52    28.81     7.37P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   56   +9       3.80    65.92     6.88    68.77     4.05     9.69     0.00     0.26    19.22     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        37   54   +5       3.91    66.60     6.19    65.53     4.05     3.80     0.00     0.03     4.54     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             36   53   +2       4.35    68.32     3.58    66.28     4.32     1.21     0.00     0.07     6.98     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                37   53   +2       0.08    50.78    -1.34    66.11     4.07     3.10     0.00     0.03     5.44     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            37   52   +4       4.84    70.33     8.77    63.35     3.98     2.61     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               37   52   -1       1.82    58.14     0.12    63.91     4.05    -1.66     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               37   47   -7       2.24    59.91     2.27    57.82     4.04    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         37   46  -15      -2.21    41.29   -11.30    57.72     4.03   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       37   41  -13      -3.42    35.90    -3.85    51.16     3.93   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Morecambe            37   40   -8      -6.97    23.26    -1.62    52.82     4.10    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County         36   40  -15      -7.91    20.54   -12.50    53.71     4.33   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil               37   38  -14      -8.93    16.90    -9.08    49.10     3.98   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Hartlepool           35   36  -19      -0.87    46.95    -2.51    46.91     4.20   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.27R    0.10  
Stevenage            37   34  -19     -12.78     8.18   -12.75    44.92     3.99   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.65R    0.22  
York                 37   27  -30     -12.30     7.70   -12.67    35.96     3.76   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.56R   25.95  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.96     4.07   -13.37    32.55     3.49   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.92R   73.73  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Altrincham 4 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       39   83  +46       4.20    67.30     7.71    96.85     3.28    52.39    72.85   100.00    83.92P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   82  +28      13.70    93.12     5.60    94.28     3.49    32.15    25.59   100.00    45.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   69  +39      -1.97    40.13     6.28    86.18     4.18    44.22     1.55    98.08    37.81P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   37   65  +18       6.96    77.29     7.11    78.56     4.04    19.89     0.00    63.86     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   37   65  +16       8.50    82.86     7.43    77.79     3.92    16.88     0.00    53.98     8.58P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   63  +13      -3.85    33.89    -6.74    74.87     3.49    16.33     0.00    25.68     5.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   62  +20      -0.17    49.30     5.06    72.59     3.67    19.49     0.00    13.21     2.23P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        37   62   +8       5.57    72.42    -0.42    76.66     3.97    11.54     0.00    40.35     5.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        39   62   -6       9.43    84.41    -4.35    71.63     3.55    -5.95     0.00     4.74     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     39   56   +6       1.55    56.66     5.00    65.04     3.42     4.98     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          39   55   +0       4.93    69.55     6.58    64.41     3.57    -0.35     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     38   51   +6      -5.14    28.97    -0.03    62.32     3.71     6.61     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   49   +3      -7.26    21.73    -2.96    60.58     3.78     3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           37   47  -14       5.72    73.90     2.19    57.03     4.00   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Aldershot        38   46  -19       1.57    57.70    -7.20    55.74     3.64   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Chester          38   43   -7      -2.41    40.16     3.91    53.61     3.71    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Southport        39   43  -17       1.77    58.76     1.44    51.98     3.46   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.86R    0.00  
Guiseley         38   41  -20       2.05    60.05    -0.12    48.98     3.51   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.88R    0.01  
Torquay          37   38  -21      -7.65    19.83   -12.84    50.04     4.04   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.14R    0.03  
Altrincham       37   38  -21      -0.19    50.28    -0.96    48.08     3.89   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.39R    0.19  
Boreham_Wood     38   37   -7      -6.57    23.64     3.55    46.60     3.58    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.25R    0.15  
Halifax          36   37  -21      -6.82    22.64   -11.44    49.03     4.12   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.28R    0.12  
Welling          39   28  -27     -11.23     9.29    -5.98    35.26     3.27   -30.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.56R   68.20  
Kidderminster    38   27  -23     -15.84     3.31    -8.83    37.45     3.76   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.27R   31.30