Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.54    98.83    15.73    76.06     3.52    23.66    63.61    88.22    97.88    99.67   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.61    75.27    12.35    72.61     3.51    34.98    24.10    64.90    90.39    97.55    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       0.90    53.73    -1.65    70.97     3.50    25.76    11.01    37.69    76.71    92.47    99.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.50    16.77    -7.59    66.09     3.66    26.36     0.84     6.20    22.26    58.92    93.71     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.60    79.10     8.76    61.63     3.77    12.97     0.06     0.53     2.71    12.10    59.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.72    46.20    -3.02    64.59     3.66    16.37     0.39     2.39     9.37    33.80    85.42     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.27    43.74     0.49    57.68     3.42    10.58     0.00     0.00     0.13     1.35    17.73     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.51    75.45    -0.38    54.81     3.39    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     4.07     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -1.07    44.84    -2.95    59.06     4.06     9.11     0.00     0.07     0.54     3.68    31.33     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.75     7.14   -13.70    54.80     3.80     8.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     6.35     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.31    67.29     0.61    47.38     3.50   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.90    19.55     2.43    51.99     4.03    12.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.38     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.76    68.41     2.00    45.04     3.29   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.44    58.00     6.09    46.98     3.66    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.04R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.78    36.83    -3.48    43.66     3.39   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.85    41.26     1.20    41.71     3.54   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.81    37.41    -2.93    35.59     3.28   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.80R    0.04  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -4.05    30.00    -0.98    34.08     3.57   -23.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.40R    0.18  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.26    33.79    -4.67    32.75     3.46   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.18R    1.24  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.02     9.62    -8.31    21.65     3.00   -42.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   98.53  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.06    77.89     6.64    88.89     3.67    34.19    63.90    86.20   100.00    90.66P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.21    92.75     8.18    82.47     3.68    18.00     5.52    21.10    99.49    36.86P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       6.07    75.66     5.96    85.37     3.87    29.30    20.77    55.17    99.95    69.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.59    52.46     6.09    83.27     3.81    34.09     9.61    35.09    99.71    58.47P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       1.09    54.72    -0.36    77.25     3.71    19.48     0.17     2.14    88.94    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.89    70.45    11.97    74.06     3.72    21.60     0.02     0.28    68.19    13.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.36    68.47     3.62    70.04     3.69     8.15     0.00     0.00    19.56     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.23    63.89    -2.43    69.67     3.63     3.20     0.00     0.01    15.01     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       5.88    74.68     6.00    68.00     3.92     5.79     0.00     0.00     8.32     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.52    61.16     2.01    63.43     3.61     0.62     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.57    27.96    -2.99    62.67     3.67     5.19     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -4.93    29.88    -6.72    59.17     3.71    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.07    59.90    -0.62    57.70     3.79   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.74    22.91    -0.94    57.78     3.70     2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.68    30.51    -1.08    57.32     3.75    -1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.39    35.99     4.63    54.74     3.69    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.30    36.32     1.87    55.97     3.84    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.21    28.68    -7.10    55.23     3.97   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -0.95    46.77    -5.92    51.79     3.57   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.21R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.59    48.16     0.95    47.74     3.58   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.89R    0.03  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.64    14.70     0.73    48.63     3.74    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.44R    0.05  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -6.01    25.89    -6.36    46.46     3.66   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.86R    0.14  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -4.96    28.79   -12.36    39.29     3.41   -40.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.74R   16.10  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.76     6.59   -11.80    33.62     3.41   -37.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   83.68  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Bury 2 2 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    37   74  +19      18.10    97.41    11.18    87.81     4.04    21.24    63.06    86.77    99.99    89.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            37   68  +26       0.05    49.47     0.55    83.88     4.02    31.09    25.10    64.49    99.70    77.37P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.94    85.95     8.01    81.84     4.00    21.20     9.57    35.14    98.76    51.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       37   63  +20       5.10    70.73     9.09    76.52     4.10    21.76     1.25     6.71    85.19    24.47P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   62  +15       2.87    61.75     2.32    76.80     4.04    18.67     0.99     6.07    86.05    27.61P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         37   58  +11       1.00    54.47     1.71    72.03     3.98    13.72     0.03     0.50    46.53    11.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   58   +5       5.98    74.61     2.59    70.76     4.03     5.72     0.00     0.16    29.72     6.14P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   56  +18      -1.27    44.58     8.29    69.24     4.02    19.43     0.00     0.14    23.98     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   55   +4       5.65    73.04     5.64    66.56     3.94     2.99     0.00     0.01     6.23     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        38   55   -1       4.92    70.80     1.74    65.61     3.76    -1.54     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   54   +3       1.52    56.66     0.45    66.94     4.06     3.80     0.00     0.01     7.84     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        37   52   +4      -4.27    32.38    -4.29    65.79     4.05     6.19     0.00     0.00     5.44     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       37   52   +0       3.23    64.27     2.75    63.63     4.01    -1.07     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          36   50   +2      -4.98    29.63    -6.45    65.23     4.29     4.27     0.00     0.01     4.47     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             37   49  -13       6.63    76.97     0.24    58.86     3.91   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.61R    0.00  
Peterborough     37   48   +2      -5.39    28.62    -1.77    62.39     4.10     5.11     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   45  -10      -2.11    41.73    -4.72    55.01     3.90   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.41R    0.00  
Chesterfield     37   42  -11      -7.02    22.55    -8.20    54.37     4.03   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   37   40   -5      -6.75    22.89     0.37    51.48     3.92    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.19R    0.01  
Blackpool        38   38  -14      -7.54    20.86    -5.13    48.05     3.70   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.92R    0.24  
Doncaster        37   37  -13      -9.38    15.23    -6.86    48.63     3.98   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.10R    0.33  
Oldham           36   37  -14      -5.15    28.45    -3.74    48.32     4.09   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.10R    0.35  
Crewe            37   30  -27      -5.58    26.28    -2.94    39.47     3.82   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.77R   27.27  
Colchester       37   28  -40      -6.40    23.47   -10.83    36.52     3.79   -46.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   71.80  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          37   82  +31      19.41    98.25    13.02    97.14     4.08    35.16    97.87    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   71  +33       5.88    73.16    13.79    85.23     3.77    37.78     1.90    89.89    99.98    92.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       37   65  +19       7.89    79.77     9.53    79.75     4.06    22.46     0.13    37.74    96.85    52.19P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             37   65  +18       5.95    74.03     5.92    79.87     4.00    21.64     0.08    38.20    96.59    53.79P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   64  +16      10.51    86.61    12.10    77.81     4.11    18.19     0.02    19.94    90.52    33.27P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           37   60  +23       0.62    52.66    10.28    74.81     4.04    26.64     0.00     7.88    76.31    26.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        37   59   +5      -1.75    42.69   -10.00    74.72     4.04    10.01     0.00     5.42    70.53    25.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   57   +6       1.20    55.30    -1.60    70.54     4.03     7.79     0.00     0.58    29.46     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   56   +9       3.86    66.12     7.03    68.77     4.05     9.67     0.00     0.24    19.23     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        37   54   +5       3.78    65.88     5.97    65.60     4.06     3.90     0.00     0.04     4.76     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             36   53   +2       4.46    68.48     3.79    66.26     4.32     1.18     0.00     0.06     6.96     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                37   53   +2       0.14    50.87    -1.28    66.14     4.06     3.12     0.00     0.01     5.33     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            37   52   +4       4.85    70.76     8.80    63.35     3.99     2.62     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               37   52   -1       1.58    57.08    -0.17    63.95     4.06    -1.60     0.00     0.00     1.73     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               37   47   -7       2.31    60.20     2.37    57.73     4.01    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         37   46  -15      -2.12    41.86   -11.21    57.73     4.07   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       37   41  -13      -3.29    36.47    -3.69    51.12     3.93   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Morecambe            37   40   -8      -7.05    23.02    -1.73    52.88     4.12    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County         36   40  -15      -8.12    19.78   -12.80    53.72     4.36   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil               37   38  -14      -8.94    16.73    -9.12    49.07     3.96   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.01  
Hartlepool           35   36  -19      -0.91    46.99    -2.51    46.94     4.23   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.22R    0.13  
Stevenage            37   34  -19     -12.81     7.91   -12.82    44.94     4.00   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.66R    0.22  
York                 37   27  -30     -12.16     7.84   -12.43    35.95     3.78   -35.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.57R   26.34  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.90     4.31   -13.26    32.53     3.52   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.91R   73.30  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Altrincham 4 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       39   83  +46       4.10    66.98     7.62    96.88     3.30    52.40    73.54   100.00    84.28P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   82  +28      13.78    93.23     5.78    94.23     3.48    32.07    24.94   100.00    45.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   69  +39      -1.90    40.43     6.39    86.13     4.18    44.13     1.51    97.90    37.77P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   37   65  +18       6.96    77.60     7.14    78.57     4.05    19.89     0.00    64.46     9.71P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   37   65  +16       8.56    83.17     7.49    77.80     3.91    16.91     0.00    54.27     8.73P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   63  +13      -3.99    33.47    -6.94    74.86     3.47    16.29     0.00    25.46     6.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   62  +20       0.00    50.02     5.28    72.57     3.69    19.48     0.00    13.12     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        37   62   +8       5.80    73.45    -0.12    76.62     3.94    11.48     0.00    39.92     5.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        39   62   -6       9.62    84.78    -4.06    71.61     3.53    -6.02     0.00     4.78     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     39   56   +6       1.54    56.55     4.93    65.05     3.44     5.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          39   55   +0       4.92    69.91     6.46    64.45     3.57    -0.30     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     38   51   +6      -5.06    29.41     0.06    62.30     3.72     6.58     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   49   +3      -7.14    22.24    -2.86    60.58     3.80     3.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           37   47  -14       5.93    74.82     2.55    57.06     3.97   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot        38   46  -19       1.41    56.82    -7.40    55.73     3.62   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Chester          38   43   -7      -2.50    40.04     3.78    53.60     3.69    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.00  
Southport        39   43  -17       1.67    58.38     1.29    51.98     3.47   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.91R    0.00  
Guiseley         38   41  -20       1.99    59.83    -0.22    49.01     3.49   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.89R    0.00  
Torquay          37   38  -21      -7.65    19.90   -12.77    50.07     4.00   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.74R    0.02  
Altrincham       37   38  -21      -0.35    49.44    -1.23    48.10     3.90   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.50R    0.20  
Boreham_Wood     38   37   -7      -6.88    23.10     3.10    46.68     3.62    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.97R    0.14  
Halifax          36   37  -21      -6.81    22.70   -11.49    49.05     4.10   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.49R    0.10  
Welling          39   28  -27     -11.27     9.33    -6.08    35.25     3.26   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R   68.11  
Kidderminster    38   27  -23     -15.78     3.45    -8.68    37.42     3.74   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.53R   31.43