Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 22 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Leicester 31 66 +23 18.39 98.75 15.52 76.11 3.52 23.74 64.10 88.35 97.92 99.66 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 31 61 +32 5.76 75.83 12.55 72.62 3.50 35.00 24.13 65.18 90.36 97.43 99.95 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 30 55 +18 0.99 54.35 -1.52 70.92 3.49 25.66 10.47 37.15 76.02 92.31 99.59 0.00 0.00
Man_City 30 51 +20 -7.62 16.23 -7.85 66.14 3.67 26.45 0.88 6.40 23.05 59.95 93.90 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 30 50 +12 6.81 80.35 9.06 61.58 3.77 12.91 0.07 0.52 2.66 11.85 59.05 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 30 50 +11 -0.74 46.33 -3.03 64.57 3.65 16.37 0.36 2.35 9.33 33.42 85.47 0.00 0.00
Southampton 31 47 +9 -1.26 44.14 0.54 57.66 3.43 10.57 0.00 0.01 0.10 1.25 17.97 0.00 0.00
Stoke 31 46 -3 5.59 75.97 -0.25 54.79 3.38 -4.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.17 4.10 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 29 44 +5 -1.03 44.80 -2.88 59.00 4.10 9.05 0.00 0.05 0.55 3.65 31.15 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 30 41 +4 -11.67 7.11 -13.61 54.79 3.80 8.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 6.40 0.00 0.00
West_Brom 30 39 -7 3.34 67.31 0.67 47.40 3.50 -10.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02R 0.00
Everton 29 38 +10 -6.91 19.24 2.49 51.98 4.02 12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 2.36 0.00R 0.00
Bournemouth 31 38 -12 3.74 68.52 1.96 45.03 3.30 -16.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00
Watford 30 37 -2 1.24 56.94 5.76 47.03 3.64 -3.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.05R 0.00
Swansea 31 36 -9 -2.80 36.93 -3.54 43.68 3.37 -11.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52R 0.00
Crystal_Palace 30 33 -8 -1.93 41.11 1.11 41.71 3.54 -11.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.11R 0.00
Norwich 31 28 -22 -2.78 37.07 -2.90 35.59 3.30 -25.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.63R 0.05
Sunderland 30 26 -19 -3.99 30.49 -0.78 34.04 3.57 -23.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.61R 0.19
Newcastle 30 25 -26 -3.25 33.77 -4.76 32.74 3.47 -31.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.97R 1.33
Aston_Villa 31 16 -36 -9.13 9.54 -8.53 21.70 2.98 -42.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.42
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Burnley 38 75 +30 6.98 77.60 6.48 88.87 3.67 34.17 63.76 86.10 100.00 90.62P 0.00 0.00
Brighton 38 71 +17 13.20 92.90 8.17 82.46 3.65 18.00 5.45 20.75 99.54 36.84P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 37 70 +25 5.92 75.09 5.72 85.44 3.85 29.38 21.09 55.91 99.94 69.97P 0.00 0.00
Hull 37 66 +27 0.56 52.24 6.01 83.28 3.81 34.10 9.54 34.97 99.71 58.29P 0.00 0.00
Derby 38 64 +16 1.24 55.32 -0.10 77.18 3.71 19.38 0.15 2.00 88.68 23.80P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Wed 38 62 +20 4.98 70.78 12.13 74.03 3.75 21.55 0.01 0.27 68.08 13.13P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 38 59 +8 4.18 67.32 3.36 70.08 3.70 8.24 0.00 0.01 19.99 3.37P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 38 58 +2 3.23 63.93 -2.43 69.64 3.64 3.16 0.00 0.00 15.08 2.48P 0.00 0.00
Birmingham 37 56 +6 5.87 74.74 5.96 67.98 3.89 5.74 0.00 0.00 8.17 1.36P 0.00 0.00
Preston 38 53 +1 2.66 61.83 2.14 63.40 3.60 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.07P 0.00 0.00
QPR 38 51 +4 -5.29 29.00 -2.61 62.61 3.67 5.14 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.07P 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 38 48 -5 -4.93 30.02 -6.67 59.19 3.70 -4.53 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.01R 0.00
Leeds_United 37 47 -8 2.14 60.13 -0.55 57.73 3.78 -10.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.06R 0.00
Blackburn 38 46 +1 -6.83 22.75 -1.06 57.82 3.71 2.36 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.06R 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 38 46 -2 -4.64 30.59 -0.96 57.29 3.77 -1.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11R 0.00
Huddersfield 38 45 -1 -3.30 36.32 4.73 54.74 3.69 -2.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51R 0.00
Reading 37 45 -1 -3.18 36.63 2.01 55.95 3.83 -2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00
Brentford 37 43 -11 -5.27 28.75 -7.20 55.25 3.95 -11.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.03R 0.00
Bristol_City 38 43 -18 -1.28 45.21 -6.33 51.85 3.59 -21.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.25R 0.00
Rotherham 38 39 -18 -0.53 48.69 1.11 47.74 3.58 -21.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.63R 0.02
Fulham 38 38 -7 -9.61 15.04 0.76 48.63 3.74 -7.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.29R 0.04
MK_Dons 38 37 -19 -5.84 26.42 -6.12 46.41 3.64 -21.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.32R 0.16
Charlton 38 32 -35 -5.22 27.79 -12.79 39.34 3.42 -40.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.67R 15.82
Bolton 38 26 -32 -12.79 6.68 -11.76 33.65 3.42 -37.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.88R 83.96
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Bury 2 2 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Burton_Albion 37 74 +19 17.98 97.36 11.04 87.83 4.04 21.25 63.05 86.76 99.99 89.56P 0.00 0.00
Wigan 37 68 +26 0.05 49.65 0.52 83.91 4.01 31.13 25.12 64.61 99.67 77.56P 0.00 0.00
Walsall 37 68 +19 9.92 86.10 7.99 81.83 4.04 21.18 9.53 35.18 98.69 51.27P 0.00 0.00
Gillingham 37 63 +20 4.95 70.02 8.87 76.57 4.11 21.84 1.23 6.74 85.50 25.13P 0.00 0.00
Millwall 37 62 +15 2.91 61.87 2.38 76.76 4.04 18.59 1.01 5.87 85.88 27.22P 0.00 0.00
Barnsley 37 58 +11 1.02 54.39 1.73 72.02 3.99 13.71 0.05 0.48 46.46 11.10P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 37 58 +5 5.88 74.21 2.45 70.80 4.00 5.79 0.01 0.21 29.70 5.89P 0.00 0.00
Coventry 37 56 +18 -1.38 44.26 8.07 69.22 4.01 19.40 0.00 0.11 23.90 5.89P 0.00 0.00
Southend 37 55 +4 5.71 72.91 5.67 66.63 3.96 3.07 0.00 0.02 6.45 1.17P 0.00 0.00
Port_Vale 38 55 -1 5.17 71.43 2.04 65.56 3.76 -1.56 0.00 0.00 3.30 0.65P 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 37 54 +3 1.55 57.12 0.53 66.89 4.05 3.73 0.00 0.01 7.68 1.52P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 37 52 +4 -4.14 32.80 -4.16 65.80 4.05 6.17 0.00 0.00 5.62 1.40P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 37 52 +0 3.12 63.75 2.65 63.66 3.99 -1.03 0.00 0.00 1.59 0.29P 0.00R 0.00
Swindon 36 50 +2 -5.05 29.29 -6.50 65.24 4.30 4.31 0.00 0.00 4.50 1.11P 0.00R 0.00
Bury 37 49 -13 6.69 76.91 0.40 58.79 3.92 -16.99 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.57R 0.00
Peterborough 37 48 +2 -5.42 28.24 -1.84 62.43 4.08 5.18 0.00 0.00 1.01 0.23P 0.04R 0.00
Shrewsbury 37 45 -10 -1.83 42.66 -4.25 54.94 3.90 -13.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 5.35R 0.00
Chesterfield 37 42 -11 -6.90 23.24 -8.05 54.36 4.03 -11.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.16R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 37 40 -5 -6.61 23.59 0.49 51.42 3.91 -6.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.62R 0.01
Blackpool 38 38 -14 -7.64 20.72 -5.25 48.06 3.68 -15.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.98R 0.32
Doncaster 37 37 -13 -9.37 14.85 -6.85 48.63 3.99 -13.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.37R 0.40
Oldham 36 37 -14 -5.35 27.63 -4.03 48.38 4.09 -17.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.24R 0.29
Crewe 37 30 -27 -5.38 26.93 -2.58 39.41 3.82 -31.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.85R 27.93
Colchester 37 28 -40 -6.69 22.19 -11.30 36.59 3.81 -46.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.81R 71.05
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 York; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Northampton 37 82 +31 19.53 98.36 13.25 97.06 4.11 35.05 97.74 99.98 100.00 99.99P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 38 71 +33 5.91 73.46 13.85 85.24 3.76 37.79 1.98 90.07 99.97 93.07P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 37 65 +19 7.90 79.60 9.53 79.78 4.07 22.52 0.17 37.66 97.04 52.11P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 37 65 +18 5.72 73.23 5.55 79.95 3.99 21.77 0.08 38.66 97.04 54.75P 0.00 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 37 64 +16 10.45 86.65 12.02 77.82 4.12 18.20 0.03 19.63 90.69 32.92P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 37 60 +23 0.51 52.15 10.07 74.81 4.05 26.67 0.00 7.61 76.46 26.52P 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 37 59 +5 -1.86 42.09 -10.14 74.73 4.04 10.06 0.00 5.47 70.50 25.13P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 37 57 +6 1.45 56.60 -1.30 70.50 3.98 7.74 0.00 0.52 28.66 7.43P 0.00 0.00
AFC_Wimbledon 37 56 +9 3.82 66.17 6.92 68.77 4.03 9.67 0.00 0.27 19.05 4.14P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 37 54 +5 3.82 66.06 6.05 65.59 4.06 3.88 0.00 0.03 4.85 0.96P 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 36 53 +2 4.46 68.76 3.76 66.24 4.31 1.15 0.00 0.04 6.90 1.17P 0.00 0.00
Luton 37 53 +2 0.05 50.49 -1.42 66.15 4.06 3.16 0.00 0.03 5.41 1.21P 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 37 52 +4 5.01 70.98 9.02 63.31 3.98 2.56 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.27P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 37 52 -1 1.81 57.88 0.09 63.93 4.04 -1.64 0.00 0.01 1.71 0.33P 0.00 0.00
Barnet 37 47 -7 2.24 59.85 2.29 57.76 4.02 -9.41 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02P 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 37 46 -15 -2.03 42.21 -11.06 57.69 4.06 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 37 41 -13 -3.34 36.70 -3.72 51.15 3.94 -16.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00
Morecambe 37 40 -8 -6.88 23.35 -1.44 52.86 4.10 -7.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00
Notts_County 36 40 -15 -8.25 18.82 -13.03 53.79 4.33 -14.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00
Yeovil 37 38 -14 -8.99 16.69 -9.18 49.12 3.96 -15.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43R 0.00
Hartlepool 35 36 -19 -0.82 47.38 -2.43 46.85 4.23 -25.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.29R 0.13
Stevenage 37 34 -19 -12.74 8.16 -12.65 44.90 4.02 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.86R 0.24
York 37 27 -30 -12.37 7.58 -12.78 36.01 3.77 -34.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.32R 25.83
Dag_&_Red 38 25 -32 -14.90 4.25 -13.25 32.53 3.48 -37.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.90R 73.79
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Altrincham 4 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Cheltenham 39 83 +46 4.52 68.60 8.20 96.83 3.29 52.31 72.53 100.00 83.36P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 39 82 +28 13.72 93.17 5.61 94.27 3.48 32.13 25.82 100.00 46.26P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 36 69 +39 -1.90 40.63 6.43 86.19 4.17 44.21 1.64 97.94 37.69P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 37 65 +18 7.06 77.81 7.28 78.57 4.06 19.89 0.00 64.40 9.43P 0.00 0.00
Braintree_Town 37 65 +16 8.38 82.74 7.28 77.81 3.90 16.92 0.00 54.13 8.93P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 39 63 +13 -3.90 33.82 -6.81 74.88 3.49 16.32 0.00 25.95 5.89P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 38 62 +20 0.06 50.38 5.43 72.56 3.69 19.43 0.00 13.19 2.38P 0.00 0.00
Eastleigh 37 62 +8 5.88 73.47 0.06 76.58 3.97 11.41 0.00 39.64 5.57P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 39 62 -6 9.31 84.12 -4.51 71.66 3.54 -5.95 0.00 4.65 0.48P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 39 56 +6 1.49 56.38 4.78 65.07 3.43 5.02 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00
Bromley 39 55 +0 4.71 68.82 6.12 64.44 3.57 -0.30 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 38 51 +6 -4.79 30.09 0.45 62.25 3.72 6.53 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Woking 38 49 +3 -7.31 21.84 -3.03 60.62 3.78 3.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Barrow 37 47 -14 5.80 74.11 2.32 57.05 4.00 -17.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00
Aldershot 38 46 -19 1.50 57.43 -7.37 55.74 3.63 -20.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21R 0.00
Chester 38 43 -7 -2.45 40.18 3.82 53.60 3.69 -7.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.13R 0.00
Southport 39 43 -17 1.65 58.19 1.17 51.95 3.48 -17.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.92R 0.00
Guiseley 38 41 -20 2.06 60.20 -0.13 49.01 3.49 -24.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.93R 0.00
Torquay 37 38 -21 -7.84 19.37 -13.00 50.09 3.99 -21.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.86R 0.03
Altrincham 37 38 -21 -0.41 49.08 -1.26 48.09 3.88 -24.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.32R 0.18
Boreham_Wood 38 37 -7 -6.84 23.01 3.10 46.64 3.57 -8.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.19R 0.13
Halifax 36 37 -21 -6.70 23.00 -11.29 49.06 4.13 -24.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.21R 0.08
Welling 39 28 -27 -11.16 9.39 -5.88 35.22 3.25 -30.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.62R 68.12
Kidderminster 38 27 -23 -15.78 3.38 -8.78 37.41 3.74 -23.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.52R 31.47
