Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.47    98.81    15.60    76.07     3.50    23.67    63.91    88.16    97.98    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.70    75.71    12.52    72.62     3.50    34.97    24.09    65.32    90.40    97.62    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       0.98    54.01    -1.56    70.95     3.49    25.72    10.76    37.44    76.52    92.48    99.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.54    16.59    -7.62    66.09     3.68    26.35     0.85     6.17    22.68    59.64    93.57     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.71    79.80     8.95    61.57     3.76    12.92     0.08     0.51     2.53    11.54    58.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.68    46.45    -2.98    64.57     3.64    16.36     0.32     2.32     9.18    33.38    85.43     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.36    43.66     0.39    57.70     3.42    10.61     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.31    18.30     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.77    76.71    -0.04    54.76     3.38    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     3.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -1.06    44.70    -2.97    59.07     4.08     9.16     0.00     0.07     0.60     3.89    31.74     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.77     7.08   -13.72    54.74     3.78     8.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     6.17     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.36    67.22     0.75    47.36     3.51   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.92    19.32     2.49    51.99     4.03    12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.36     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.69    68.31     1.86    45.06     3.30   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.30    57.27     5.90    47.03     3.64    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.94    36.09    -3.70    43.74     3.37   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.90    41.11     1.11    41.72     3.53   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.08R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.80    37.30    -2.99    35.59     3.30   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.61R    0.07  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -4.04    30.21    -0.95    34.09     3.55   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.26R    0.19  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.23    34.01    -4.68    32.72     3.46   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.47R    1.23  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.03     9.66    -8.38    21.68     3.00   -42.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.50  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.01    77.57     6.50    88.85     3.66    34.15    63.57    85.94   100.00    90.37P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.16    92.69     8.09    82.51     3.69    18.06     5.59    21.57    99.47    37.40P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       6.09    75.33     5.94    85.36     3.85    29.27    20.88    55.19    99.90    69.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.29    50.89     5.66    83.31     3.80    34.15     9.75    34.85    99.70    58.73P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       1.30    55.54     0.02    77.18     3.72    19.38     0.19     2.14    88.65    23.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.88    70.65    11.96    74.04     3.73    21.58     0.02     0.30    68.24    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.37    68.42     3.62    70.03     3.70     8.16     0.00     0.01    19.63     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.42    64.68    -2.24    69.68     3.63     3.19     0.00     0.00    15.38     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       6.04    75.21     6.20    67.97     3.91     5.76     0.00     0.00     8.22     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.58    61.58     2.01    63.42     3.61     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.52    28.20    -2.94    62.70     3.66     5.23     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -4.92    30.00    -6.67    59.14     3.69    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.14    60.05    -0.47    57.69     3.78   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.78    23.00    -0.98    57.79     3.72     2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.68    30.29    -1.01    57.27     3.75    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.22    36.93     4.84    54.71     3.68    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.22    36.40     1.99    55.96     3.85    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.16    28.86    -7.04    55.25     3.95   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -0.97    46.79    -5.91    51.79     3.57   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.38R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.78    47.38     0.72    47.81     3.60   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.37R    0.03  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.78    14.54     0.49    48.65     3.73    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.56R    0.02  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.85    26.22    -6.18    46.44     3.67   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.25R    0.12  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.17    27.98   -12.70    39.33     3.42   -40.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.53R   15.99  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.85     6.30   -11.91    33.66     3.41   -37.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   83.85  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Bury 2 2 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    37   74  +19      18.22    97.38    11.38    87.74     4.03    21.14    62.76    86.52   100.00    89.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            37   68  +26       0.09    49.82     0.54    83.89     4.01    31.11    25.26    64.74    99.69    77.50P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.96    86.11     8.03    81.80     4.02    21.15     9.74    34.80    98.71    50.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       37   63  +20       5.08    70.39     9.09    76.58     4.09    21.81     1.17     6.84    85.46    24.86P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   62  +15       2.81    61.41     2.29    76.78     4.05    18.63     1.00     6.23    85.79    27.69P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         37   58  +11       0.95    54.09     1.69    72.07     3.99    13.80     0.05     0.55    46.81    11.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   58   +5       5.66    73.43     2.13    70.82     4.01     5.82     0.01     0.19    29.76     6.33P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   56  +18      -1.23    44.59     8.30    69.19     4.03    19.38     0.01     0.11    23.51     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   55   +4       5.69    73.15     5.70    66.61     3.93     3.03     0.00     0.01     6.21     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        38   55   -1       5.18    71.49     2.07    65.60     3.79    -1.55     0.00     0.00     3.57     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   54   +3       1.70    57.34     0.70    66.89     4.08     3.73     0.00     0.01     7.74     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        37   52   +4      -4.41    31.85    -4.54    65.84     4.08     6.24     0.00     0.00     5.56     1.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       37   52   +0       3.25    64.10     2.76    63.61     4.00    -1.10     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          36   50   +2      -4.98    29.67    -6.40    65.21     4.31     4.26     0.00     0.00     4.47     1.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury             37   49  -13       6.58    76.35     0.19    58.87     3.93   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.57R    0.00  
Peterborough     37   48   +2      -5.58    27.60    -2.06    62.45     4.10     5.20     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.20P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   45  -10      -2.11    41.60    -4.65    54.97     3.88   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    0.00  
Chesterfield     37   42  -11      -7.06    22.64    -8.28    54.37     4.03   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.21R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   37   40   -5      -6.57    23.57     0.59    51.40     3.92    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.92R    0.03  
Blackpool        38   38  -14      -7.50    21.25    -5.08    48.05     3.68   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.81R    0.27  
Doncaster        37   37  -13      -9.27    15.10    -6.75    48.64     4.00   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.20R    0.37  
Oldham           36   37  -14      -5.23    28.20    -3.79    48.38     4.10   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.33R    0.29  
Crewe            37   30  -27      -5.47    26.76    -2.82    39.44     3.83   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.81R   27.87  
Colchester       37   28  -40      -6.60    23.00   -11.10    36.55     3.82   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   71.17  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          37   82  +31      19.22    98.25    12.74    97.15     4.08    35.17    97.97    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   71  +33       6.11    74.00    14.13    85.17     3.76    37.69     1.78    89.83    99.96    92.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       37   65  +19       7.85    79.70     9.50    79.74     4.04    22.46     0.13    37.54    96.88    52.15P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             37   65  +18       5.68    73.02     5.52    79.90     3.97    21.70     0.09    38.70    96.71    54.61P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   64  +16      10.61    86.90    12.20    77.78     4.10    18.14     0.02    19.64    90.54    32.58P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           37   60  +23       0.50    52.13    10.02    74.84     4.04    26.69     0.00     7.81    76.63    26.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        37   59   +5      -1.92    41.90   -10.20    74.78     4.03    10.12     0.00     5.53    71.10    25.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   57   +6       1.44    56.41    -1.32    70.55     4.00     7.80     0.00     0.60    29.07     7.50P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   56   +9       3.89    66.28     7.02    68.72     4.04     9.61     0.00     0.28    18.38     4.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        37   54   +5       3.74    65.80     5.88    65.63     4.04     3.94     0.00     0.04     4.80     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             36   53   +2       4.22    67.55     3.43    66.31     4.30     1.27     0.00     0.04     7.08     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                37   53   +2       0.19    51.23    -1.24    66.14     4.05     3.13     0.00     0.01     5.46     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            37   52   +4       5.11    71.64     9.17    63.28     3.99     2.50     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               37   52   -1       1.57    57.28    -0.21    63.95     4.05    -1.62     0.00     0.01     1.71     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               37   47   -7       2.53    61.35     2.78    57.67     4.03    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         37   46  -15      -2.39    40.44   -11.60    57.77     4.04   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       37   41  -13      -3.18    36.67    -3.50    51.13     3.93   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Morecambe            37   40   -8      -6.89    23.44    -1.42    52.83     4.11    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County         36   40  -15      -7.85    20.23   -12.41    53.71     4.36   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil               37   38  -14      -9.05    16.49    -9.20    49.10     3.96   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Hartlepool           35   36  -19      -0.83    47.04    -2.38    46.91     4.22   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.28R    0.17  
Stevenage            37   34  -19     -12.69     8.32   -12.63    44.95     4.02   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.89R    0.25  
York                 37   27  -30     -12.50     7.42   -13.01    35.99     3.78   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.31R   26.03  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.89     4.30   -13.28    32.55     3.50   -37.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.88R   73.54  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Altrincham 4 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       39   83  +46       4.27    67.56     7.85    96.86     3.31    52.37    72.74   100.00    83.67P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   82  +28      13.52    92.79     5.34    94.28     3.46    32.14    25.71   100.00    45.67P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   69  +39      -1.88    40.56     6.40    86.14     4.16    44.16     1.55    97.89    37.79P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   37   65  +18       6.81    76.94     6.88    78.63     4.03    19.96     0.00    64.56     9.63P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   37   65  +16       8.47    82.69     7.39    77.84     3.90    16.93     0.00    54.40     8.81P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   63  +13      -3.78    34.25    -6.58    74.83     3.48    16.27     0.00    24.87     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   62  +20      -0.04    49.72     5.25    72.63     3.71    19.51     0.00    13.33     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        37   62   +8       5.63    72.51    -0.29    76.68     3.97    11.56     0.00    40.21     5.76P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        39   62   -6       9.43    84.09    -4.29    71.63     3.56    -6.00     0.00     4.65     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     39   56   +6       1.50    56.49     4.88    65.07     3.44     5.03     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          39   55   +0       4.80    69.12     6.29    64.44     3.58    -0.29     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     38   51   +6      -5.24    28.48    -0.13    62.30     3.73     6.60     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   49   +3      -7.20    22.34    -2.87    60.57     3.80     3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           37   47  -14       5.94    74.71     2.58    57.01     3.98   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot        38   46  -19       1.26    56.24    -7.68    55.77     3.64   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Chester          38   43   -7      -2.54    39.80     3.76    53.60     3.72    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Southport        39   43  -17       1.85    59.23     1.47    51.94     3.47   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.00  
Guiseley         38   41  -20       2.27    60.88     0.22    48.96     3.50   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.91R    0.02  
Torquay          37   38  -21      -7.84    19.37   -13.06    50.09     4.02   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.67R    0.03  
Altrincham       37   38  -21      -0.05    50.88    -0.64    47.96     3.86   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.07R    0.24  
Boreham_Wood     38   37   -7      -6.48    24.09     3.53    46.62     3.58    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.81R    0.10  
Halifax          36   37  -21      -6.89    22.05   -11.58    49.05     4.13   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.32R    0.11  
Welling          39   28  -27     -11.32     9.20    -6.17    35.32     3.26   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.57R   67.72  
Kidderminster    38   27  -23     -15.64     3.47    -8.56    37.43     3.72   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.49R   31.78