Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2016, Man_City 0 1 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.41    98.69    15.51    76.12     3.50    23.74    64.12    88.56    98.01    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +32       5.67    75.50    12.47    72.61     3.50    34.99    23.80    65.01    90.28    97.56    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       0.99    54.37    -1.53    70.95     3.50    25.69    10.88    37.47    76.04    92.34    99.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   51  +20      -7.57    16.66    -7.72    66.10     3.67    26.36     0.84     6.13    23.02    59.76    93.72     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.84    80.09     9.11    61.56     3.77    12.86     0.05     0.44     2.56    11.74    58.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   50  +11      -0.67    46.40    -2.90    64.56     3.67    16.33     0.30     2.33     9.42    33.40    85.30     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   47   +9      -1.55    42.50     0.10    57.74     3.41    10.67     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.34    18.50     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.60    75.94    -0.24    54.82     3.39    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     4.13     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   44   +5      -0.81    46.05    -2.51    58.98     4.08     9.02     0.00     0.04     0.54     3.70    31.05     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.69     7.22   -13.68    54.78     3.80     8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     6.39     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.32    67.23     0.65    47.36     3.50   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.69    20.17     2.73    51.94     4.04    12.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.33     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -12       3.72    68.30     1.95    45.05     3.31   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.20    56.61     5.75    47.04     3.66    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.04R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.87    36.71    -3.65    43.73     3.37   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.93    41.07     1.10    41.74     3.51   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.71    37.46    -2.83    35.58     3.29   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.59R    0.05  
Sunderland       30   26  -19      -3.93    30.70    -0.75    34.02     3.55   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.97R    0.19  
Newcastle        30   25  -26      -3.32    33.76    -4.84    32.75     3.47   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.04R    1.25  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -9.23     9.04    -8.72    21.69     3.00   -42.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   98.50  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.00    77.53     6.46    88.87     3.68    34.16    63.87    86.10   100.00    90.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.07    92.54     8.01    82.48     3.67    18.00     5.48    21.49    99.50    37.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       6.04    75.29     5.87    85.38     3.88    29.30    21.32    55.37    99.92    69.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.75    53.03     6.32    83.22     3.81    34.02     9.13    34.59    99.70    57.92P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       0.96    53.92    -0.54    77.24     3.69    19.47     0.19     2.13    88.87    24.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.72    69.79    11.76    74.07     3.74    21.61     0.01     0.30    68.21    13.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.36    68.42     3.56    70.03     3.71     8.18     0.00     0.01    19.64     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.13    63.16    -2.61    69.68     3.64     3.24     0.00     0.01    14.92     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       5.90    74.49     6.03    68.01     3.92     5.79     0.00     0.00     8.39     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.52    60.98     1.98    63.41     3.61     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.38    28.57    -2.74    62.64     3.66     5.18     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -4.93    29.68    -6.66    59.15     3.71    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.11    60.03    -0.52    57.71     3.75   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.63    23.22    -0.77    57.74     3.69     2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.57    30.77    -0.85    57.28     3.74    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.15    37.20     4.97    54.74     3.67    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.40    35.70     1.72    56.00     3.86    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.14    28.84    -6.96    55.22     3.95   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -0.94    46.83    -5.83    51.81     3.58   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.37R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.60    48.34     0.97    47.76     3.56   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.53R    0.03  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.69    14.73     0.62    48.61     3.74    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.75R    0.05  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.85    26.03    -6.19    46.47     3.64   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.86R    0.13  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.14    28.01   -12.69    39.32     3.42   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R   16.01  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.88     6.57   -11.90    33.66     3.43   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   83.78  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Bury 2 2 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    37   74  +19      18.21    97.51    11.33    87.79     4.04    21.21    63.21    86.96    99.99    89.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            37   68  +26       0.21    50.32     0.76    83.84     4.00    31.07    24.79    64.29    99.70    77.24P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.82    85.28     7.85    81.82     4.04    21.18     9.73    34.65    98.75    50.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       37   63  +20       4.94    70.19     8.82    76.62     4.08    21.87     1.28     7.29    86.06    25.69P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   62  +15       2.87    61.72     2.33    76.76     4.06    18.62     0.96     6.04    85.82    27.45P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         37   58  +11       1.03    54.47     1.74    72.00     4.00    13.68     0.03     0.47    46.44    11.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   58   +5       5.96    74.37     2.54    70.73     4.02     5.70     0.01     0.15    29.32     6.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   56  +18      -1.21    44.75     8.36    69.21     4.02    19.40     0.00     0.12    23.68     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   55   +4       5.54    72.50     5.49    66.66     3.95     3.09     0.00     0.01     6.47     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        38   55   -1       5.11    71.03     1.95    65.60     3.77    -1.52     0.00     0.00     3.49     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   54   +3       1.77    57.77     0.88    66.83     4.06     3.61     0.00     0.01     7.35     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        37   52   +4      -4.14    32.82    -4.15    65.78     4.06     6.17     0.00     0.00     5.67     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       37   52   +0       3.05    63.47     2.43    63.70     4.00    -0.95     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          36   50   +2      -5.09    29.29    -6.61    65.25     4.29     4.32     0.00     0.01     4.57     1.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             37   49  -13       6.70    76.85     0.35    58.80     3.90   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.55R    0.00  
Peterborough     37   48   +2      -5.40    28.38    -1.78    62.41     4.10     5.16     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   45  -10      -2.10    41.60    -4.66    54.97     3.91   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    5.57R    0.00  
Chesterfield     37   42  -11      -7.01    22.50    -8.21    54.38     4.03   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.33R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   37   40   -5      -6.65    23.48     0.47    51.42     3.91    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.84R    0.01  
Blackpool        38   38  -14      -7.73    20.35    -5.36    48.10     3.69   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.33R    0.27  
Doncaster        37   37  -13      -9.45    14.83    -7.04    48.70     4.02   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.71R    0.38  
Oldham           36   37  -14      -5.18    28.18    -3.72    48.36     4.06   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.99R    0.31  
Crewe            37   30  -27      -5.35    27.05    -2.54    39.39     3.81   -31.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.82R   28.16  
Colchester       37   28  -40      -6.61    22.76   -11.21    36.58     3.80   -46.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   70.87  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          37   82  +31      19.50    98.29    13.22    97.07     4.08    35.07    97.78    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   71  +33       5.95    73.61    13.95    85.19     3.76    37.72     1.93    89.84    99.95    92.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       37   65  +19       8.25    80.84    10.02    79.65     4.06    22.34     0.16    36.91    96.89    51.12P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             37   65  +18       5.74    73.35     5.64    79.94     3.99    21.73     0.09    39.00    96.92    54.99P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   64  +16      10.42    86.36    11.97    77.83     4.11    18.23     0.03    20.04    90.68    33.30P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           37   60  +23       0.59    52.52    10.16    74.84     4.04    26.69     0.00     7.84    76.58    26.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        37   59   +5      -1.99    41.62   -10.30    74.78     4.06    10.13     0.00     5.53    70.99    25.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   57   +6       1.44    56.37    -1.31    70.49     4.02     7.74     0.00     0.55    28.73     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   56   +9       3.93    66.44     7.11    68.71     4.02     9.59     0.00     0.20    18.64     3.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        37   54   +5       3.77    65.75     5.95    65.61     4.05     3.88     0.00     0.02     4.88     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             36   53   +2       4.32    68.02     3.56    66.31     4.31     1.25     0.00     0.06     7.02     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                37   53   +2       0.12    50.89    -1.33    66.10     4.07     3.10     0.00     0.03     5.41     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            37   52   +4       4.76    70.04     8.73    63.33     3.99     2.56     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               37   52   -1       1.91    58.27     0.29    63.88     4.06    -1.69     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               37   47   -7       2.38    60.73     2.46    57.73     4.01    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         37   46  -15      -2.32    41.05   -11.49    57.79     4.06   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       37   41  -13      -3.24    36.79    -3.58    51.11     3.94   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Morecambe            37   40   -8      -7.10    22.78    -1.77    52.85     4.10    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County         36   40  -15      -8.08    19.72   -12.80    53.74     4.33   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil               37   38  -14      -8.98    16.65    -9.20    49.14     3.98   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.01  
Hartlepool           35   36  -19      -0.73    47.53    -2.25    46.85     4.23   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.41R    0.12  
Stevenage            37   34  -19     -12.80     8.05   -12.81    44.99     4.01   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.63R    0.23  
York                 37   27  -30     -12.31     7.65   -12.71    35.99     3.77   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.49R   26.49  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -15.07     4.09   -13.52    32.61     3.50   -37.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.83R   73.14  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Altrincham 4 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       39   83  +46       4.35    67.69     8.00    96.87     3.28    52.39    73.30   100.00    84.23P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   82  +28      13.68    93.00     5.60    94.22     3.49    32.05    25.11   100.00    45.35P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   69  +39      -1.81    41.02     6.57    86.15     4.19    44.13     1.58    97.93    37.91P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   37   65  +18       7.00    77.65     7.18    78.60     4.05    19.92     0.00    64.54     9.29P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   37   65  +16       8.32    82.58     7.13    77.91     3.91    17.01     0.00    55.10     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   63  +13      -3.94    33.77    -6.80    74.90     3.48    16.34     0.00    25.51     5.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   62  +20       0.16    50.65     5.53    72.53     3.69    19.42     0.00    12.91     2.22P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        37   62   +8       5.91    73.75     0.12    76.62     3.96    11.47     0.00    39.31     5.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        39   62   -6       9.44    84.06    -4.30    71.63     3.53    -5.99     0.00     4.60     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     39   56   +6       1.58    56.74     5.00    65.02     3.44     4.93     0.00     0.07     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          39   55   +0       4.72    68.87     6.15    64.45     3.55    -0.28     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     38   51   +6      -5.05    29.31     0.13    62.27     3.73     6.56     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   49   +3      -7.23    22.09    -3.00    60.65     3.80     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           37   47  -14       5.88    74.62     2.47    57.07     4.00   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Aldershot        38   46  -19       1.21    55.79    -7.79    55.79     3.66   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Chester          38   43   -7      -2.40    40.36     3.92    53.58     3.69    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Southport        39   43  -17       1.63    58.29     1.18    51.97     3.47   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.00  
Guiseley         38   41  -20       1.97    59.83    -0.30    49.03     3.51   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.71R    0.01  
Torquay          37   38  -21      -7.71    19.54   -12.94    50.05     4.00   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.83R    0.02  
Altrincham       37   38  -21      -0.21    50.11    -0.96    48.04     3.84   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.57R    0.19  
Boreham_Wood     38   37   -7      -6.63    23.50     3.41    46.62     3.57    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.87R    0.11  
Halifax          36   37  -21      -6.79    22.57   -11.42    48.99     4.12   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.73R    0.15  
Welling          39   28  -27     -11.22     9.42    -6.02    35.26     3.24   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R   68.00  
Kidderminster    38   27  -23     -15.86     3.45    -8.84    37.41     3.74   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.58R   31.52