Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Chelsea 2 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        31   66  +23      18.42    98.81    15.52    76.13     3.50    23.75    66.24    88.45    97.60    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   58  +29       5.42    74.92    11.65    71.69     3.73    33.10    18.44    53.10    81.57    95.28    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   55  +18       0.92    54.27    -1.64    70.96     3.50    25.70    11.51    39.53    72.15    93.07    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         29   51  +21      -6.24    20.51    -6.91    67.88     3.93    27.99     3.62    16.97    39.86    76.94    96.89     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   50  +12       6.82    80.69     9.09    61.59     3.75    12.94     0.05     0.55     2.47    10.29    60.68     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   47  +10      -2.23    38.62    -3.86    62.52     3.89    14.75     0.13     1.08     4.59    16.65    70.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   46   -3       5.64    75.73    -0.23    54.81     3.37    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     4.39     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   44   +8      -2.50    37.80     0.06    56.11     3.71     9.68     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.66    12.33     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   44   +6      -0.09    49.50    -2.53    60.33     4.31     9.99     0.01     0.31     1.70     6.99    46.22     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   41   +4     -11.80     7.05   -13.82    54.79     3.79     8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     7.17     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   39   -7       3.16    66.32     0.42    47.39     3.50   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          29   38  +10      -6.90    19.59     2.49    51.97     4.04    12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.77     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      30   38   -9       3.71    68.27     2.61    45.82     3.51   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08R    0.00  
Watford          30   37   -2       1.32    57.32     5.93    47.01     3.67    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          31   36   -9      -2.79    36.74    -3.51    43.67     3.37   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -8      -1.95    41.10     1.09    41.75     3.52   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.47R    0.00  
Norwich          31   28  -22      -2.69    37.37    -2.77    35.58     3.31   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.73R    0.05  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -3.58    31.84    -0.72    34.30     3.83   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.69R    0.28  
Newcastle        29   24  -26      -2.83    35.78    -4.52    33.22     3.75   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.39R    1.14  
Aston_Villa      31   16  -36      -8.99     9.72    -8.35    21.63     2.97   -42.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.53  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         38   75  +30       7.04    78.00     6.56    88.93     3.66    34.22    64.19    86.51   100.00    90.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   71  +17      13.13    92.73     8.06    82.49     3.67    18.03     5.41    21.04    99.53    36.83P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   70  +25       5.95    74.85     5.77    85.39     3.83    29.32    20.70    55.23    99.93    69.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   66  +27       0.52    52.05     5.95    83.30     3.81    34.11     9.51    34.79    99.72    58.58P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   64  +16       1.09    54.60    -0.37    77.25     3.71    19.50     0.17     2.13    89.23    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62  +20       4.76    69.76    11.78    74.06     3.74    21.61     0.02     0.28    68.44    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         38   59   +8       4.57    69.09     3.83    69.99     3.71     8.11     0.00     0.00    19.04     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   58   +2       3.52    65.25    -2.03    69.60     3.64     3.08     0.00     0.00    15.05     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   56   +6       5.74    73.96     5.79    68.05     3.90     5.84     0.00     0.01     8.26     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   53   +1       2.64    61.74     2.16    63.38     3.59     0.57     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   51   +4      -5.53    28.05    -2.95    62.62     3.66     5.16     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   -5      -4.84    30.30    -6.55    59.18     3.68    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -8       2.20    60.44    -0.45    57.68     3.78   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   46   +1      -6.87    22.66    -1.10    57.80     3.69     2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   46   -2      -4.59    30.65    -0.92    57.28     3.77    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -1      -3.34    36.38     4.72    54.75     3.69    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Reading         37   45   -1      -3.34    35.90     1.79    55.98     3.84    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Brentford       37   43  -11      -5.24    28.59    -7.14    55.24     3.97   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   43  -18      -1.14    45.82    -6.18    51.81     3.60   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42R    0.00  
Rotherham       38   39  -18      -0.56    48.78     1.01    47.73     3.60   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.08R    0.04  
Fulham          38   38   -7      -9.67    14.92     0.65    48.66     3.73    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.27R    0.05  
MK_Dons         38   37  -19      -5.87    26.30    -6.16    46.46     3.66   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.63R    0.13  
Charlton        38   32  -35      -5.00    28.35   -12.41    39.30     3.39   -40.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   16.01  
Bolton          38   26  -32     -12.81     6.64   -11.81    33.63     3.44   -37.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   83.77  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Bury 2 2 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    37   74  +19      18.15    97.39    11.22    87.81     4.04    21.22    63.21    86.64    99.99    89.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            37   68  +26       0.04    50.03     0.45    83.91     4.01    31.17    24.85    64.57    99.71    77.59P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   68  +19       9.84    85.63     7.88    81.87     4.03    21.23     9.69    35.15    98.73    50.93P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       37   63  +20       5.14    70.55     9.17    76.51     4.10    21.72     1.11     6.61    85.15    24.67P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   62  +15       2.67    60.73     2.07    76.84     4.06    18.72     1.06     6.17    86.20    28.13P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         37   58  +11       1.07    54.45     1.82    72.02     4.01    13.71     0.06     0.56    46.53    11.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         37   58   +5       5.81    74.08     2.38    70.80     4.01     5.78     0.02     0.20    29.74     6.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         37   56  +18      -1.31    44.52     8.18    69.22     4.01    19.40     0.00     0.10    23.84     5.83P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   55   +4       5.62    72.65     5.56    66.63     3.95     3.07     0.00     0.01     6.46     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        38   55   -1       5.24    71.67     2.20    65.57     3.77    -1.57     0.00     0.00     3.37     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   54   +3       1.71    57.55     0.79    66.87     4.06     3.68     0.00     0.00     7.54     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        37   52   +4      -4.12    32.99    -4.09    65.77     4.06     6.15     0.00     0.00     5.65     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       37   52   +0       3.13    63.73     2.65    63.67     4.00    -1.02     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          36   50   +2      -5.01    29.41    -6.49    65.24     4.30     4.31     0.00     0.00     4.48     1.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             37   49  -13       6.73    77.36     0.34    58.81     3.91   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.57R    0.00  
Peterborough     37   48   +2      -5.44    28.23    -1.88    62.41     4.08     5.14     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       37   45  -10      -2.02    41.91    -4.54    54.97     3.90   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.36R    0.00  
Chesterfield     37   42  -11      -7.02    22.82    -8.22    54.36     4.05   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.27R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   37   40   -5      -6.71    23.42     0.38    51.39     3.91    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.74R    0.03  
Blackpool        38   38  -14      -7.83    20.11    -5.55    48.12     3.67   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.05R    0.23  
Doncaster        37   37  -13      -9.47    14.64    -6.96    48.65     3.99   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.18R    0.39  
Oldham           36   37  -14      -5.11    28.69    -3.63    48.32     4.12   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.12R    0.34  
Crewe            37   30  -27      -5.39    27.08    -2.65    39.41     3.80   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.86R   27.69  
Colchester       37   28  -40      -6.62    22.73   -11.08    36.54     3.81   -46.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R   71.32  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          37   82  +31      19.35    98.31    13.01    97.16     4.10    35.17    97.97    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   71  +33       5.99    73.75    13.96    85.19     3.77    37.72     1.80    89.85    99.97    92.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       37   65  +19       8.23    80.96    10.03    79.65     4.07    22.34     0.13    36.82    96.73    51.13P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             37   65  +18       5.64    73.02     5.47    79.91     3.99    21.72     0.07    38.88    96.79    54.54P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   64  +16      10.68    87.13    12.35    77.76     4.10    18.11     0.04    19.74    90.77    33.01P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           37   60  +23       0.54    52.28    10.15    74.79     4.04    26.63     0.00     7.86    76.40    26.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        37   59   +5      -1.82    42.41   -10.03    74.76     4.03    10.05     0.00     5.92    71.02    25.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   57   +6       1.62    57.16    -1.03    70.47     4.01     7.70     0.00     0.58    28.62     7.52P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   56   +9       3.81    65.94     6.96    68.74     4.04     9.66     0.00     0.24    18.93     4.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        37   54   +5       3.48    64.92     5.57    65.68     4.06     4.00     0.00     0.03     5.04     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             36   53   +2       4.33    68.03     3.59    66.25     4.32     1.16     0.00     0.07     6.95     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                37   53   +2       0.09    50.69    -1.39    66.16     4.06     3.17     0.00     0.01     5.48     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            37   52   +4       5.00    71.03     9.03    63.26     3.99     2.48     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               37   52   -1       1.89    58.48     0.20    63.93     4.07    -1.65     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               37   47   -7       2.35    60.54     2.44    57.75     4.03    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         37   46  -15      -2.10    41.68   -11.20    57.73     4.03   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County       37   41  -13      -3.28    36.64    -3.63    51.15     3.93   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Morecambe            37   40   -8      -7.11    22.68    -1.81    52.85     4.11    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County         36   40  -15      -8.12    19.75   -12.88    53.80     4.37   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil               37   38  -14      -8.68    17.44    -8.72    49.03     3.97   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Hartlepool           35   36  -19      -1.09    46.06    -2.85    46.97     4.23   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.24R    0.15  
Stevenage            37   34  -19     -12.98     7.81   -13.04    44.99     4.01   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.61R    0.26  
York                 37   27  -30     -12.40     7.57   -12.78    36.01     3.76   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.61R   25.67  
Dag_&_Red            38   25  -32     -14.95     4.09   -13.40    32.57     3.51   -37.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.83R   73.92  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2016, Altrincham 4 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       39   83  +46       4.19    67.53     7.74    96.87     3.29    52.40    72.83   100.00    83.51P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   82  +28      13.78    93.21     5.71    94.26     3.50    32.09    25.63   100.00    45.63P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   69  +39      -1.93    40.50     6.33    86.18     4.17    44.20     1.54    98.09    38.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   37   65  +18       6.83    76.97     6.95    78.60     4.06    19.94     0.00    64.46     9.61P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   37   65  +16       8.49    83.00     7.42    77.79     3.92    16.89     0.00    53.98     8.66P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   63  +13      -3.80    34.17    -6.64    74.85     3.49    16.26     0.00    25.20     5.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          38   62  +20      -0.10    49.67     5.10    72.64     3.69    19.54     0.00    13.49     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        37   62   +8       5.76    73.28    -0.12    76.64     3.95    11.53     0.00    39.93     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        39   62   -6       9.44    84.48    -4.34    71.61     3.53    -5.98     0.00     4.72     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     39   56   +6       1.41    56.45     4.72    65.08     3.44     5.03     0.00     0.08     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          39   55   +0       4.86    69.38     6.43    64.44     3.56    -0.31     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     38   51   +6      -5.08    29.39     0.02    62.31     3.71     6.59     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   49   +3      -7.17    22.25    -2.84    60.58     3.76     3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           37   47  -14       5.99    74.87     2.65    57.02     4.00   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Aldershot        38   46  -19       1.34    56.80    -7.59    55.74     3.63   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Chester          38   43   -7      -2.28    40.81     4.16    53.59     3.71    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Southport        39   43  -17       1.82    58.83     1.44    51.96     3.46   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.00  
Guiseley         38   41  -20       2.18    60.82     0.03    48.96     3.52   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.25R    0.00  
Torquay          37   38  -21      -7.81    19.41   -13.04    50.09     4.02   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.72R    0.02  
Altrincham       37   38  -21      -0.23    49.98    -0.94    48.03     3.87   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.00R    0.19  
Boreham_Wood     38   37   -7      -6.91    22.73     2.99    46.71     3.59    -8.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.57R    0.10  
Halifax          36   37  -21      -6.81    22.57   -11.46    49.03     4.13   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.32R    0.11  
Welling          39   28  -27     -11.18     9.53    -5.96    35.24     3.25   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   68.37  
Kidderminster    38   27  -23     -15.83     3.36    -8.76    37.41     3.74   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.40R   31.20