Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 16 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 March 2016, Leicester 1 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        30   63  +22      17.20    98.42    15.13    74.64     3.78    22.93    57.04    82.28    94.55    98.83    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   58  +29       5.49    75.12    11.69    71.67     3.74    33.11    26.60    61.91    84.88    95.78    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   52  +16      -0.04    49.23    -2.61    69.32     3.79    23.70     9.71    30.46    59.72    85.61    98.49     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         29   51  +21      -6.24    20.30    -7.01    67.93     3.88    28.09     6.06    21.86    47.92    78.32    96.99     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   49  +12       7.06    81.48     8.81    61.48     3.98    12.23     0.21     1.06     3.89    12.60    57.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   47  +10      -2.22    38.77    -3.86    62.51     3.92    14.73     0.31     1.84     6.39    18.92    69.51     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   44   +8      -2.68    36.79    -0.19    56.10     3.69     9.68     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.75    11.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   44   +6      -0.03    49.99    -2.44    60.30     4.30     9.95     0.06     0.57     2.45     8.11    45.49     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   43   -4       4.28    70.73    -0.81    53.04     3.63    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   40   +4     -11.29     7.43   -13.59    55.66     4.03     8.96     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.69    11.88     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   39   -6       4.55    73.03     1.49    49.14     3.80    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          28   38  +12      -6.24    21.31     3.35    53.41     4.31    14.63     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.34     6.16     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      30   38   -9       3.68    68.33     2.62    45.74     3.51   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05R    0.00  
Watford          29   37   -1       2.49    63.28     6.60    48.48     3.90    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -7      -0.96    45.85     1.58    43.02     3.79   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    0.00  
Swansea          30   33  -10      -3.76    32.14    -3.43    42.56     3.64   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.00  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -3.78    31.10    -0.98    34.31     3.83   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.69R    0.54  
Norwich          30   25  -23      -4.34    29.28    -3.50    33.55     3.55   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.61R    0.76  
Newcastle        29   24  -26      -2.84    36.06    -4.56    33.22     3.75   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.79R    2.01  
Aston_Villa      30   16  -35      -8.39    11.06    -8.30    22.52     3.23   -42.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   96.69  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2016, Brighton 1 0 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         37   74  +30       7.59    80.05     6.82    89.88     3.92    35.09    70.81    91.04   100.00    93.99P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        37   68  +16      11.86    90.75     7.60    80.90     3.94    17.10     2.76    13.75    97.40    31.01P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   36   67  +24       4.75    70.50     5.41    83.68     4.08    28.26    10.69    39.01    99.50    58.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            36   66  +28       1.36    55.69     6.35    84.59     4.02    35.12    15.60    54.19    99.80    71.09P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   61  +15       0.13    50.51    -0.45    76.04     3.95    19.04     0.13     1.68    78.81    21.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   59  +17       4.68    70.33    10.98    73.08     3.95    19.55     0.02     0.24    54.73    10.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   58   +8       4.78    70.21     3.70    70.20     3.94     7.89     0.00     0.02    21.92     3.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         37   58   +3       4.58    69.49    -1.40    71.82     3.88     5.37     0.00     0.05    33.17     6.29P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      36   55   +6       6.55    77.65     6.46    68.75     4.17     6.33     0.00     0.02    12.98     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   52   +1       3.00    63.44     2.16    63.79     3.86     0.64     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             37   50   +4      -5.13    29.48    -2.81    62.98     3.90     5.16     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   37   47   -5      -4.98    29.62    -7.26    58.90     3.90    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    36   47   -5       2.67    62.74     1.17    59.51     4.02    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   46   -1      -3.90    33.42    -0.74    58.25     3.99    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Reading         36   44   -1      -3.04    37.02     1.77    56.35     4.08    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Blackburn       37   43   +0      -8.04    18.51    -1.41    56.06     3.97     1.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Brentford       36   43  -10      -4.21    32.41    -6.58    56.83     4.22    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Huddersfield    37   42   -4      -3.85    33.75     3.36    52.73     3.94    -6.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.18R    0.00  
Bristol_City    37   40  -24      -0.09    50.61    -8.27    50.05     3.82   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.37R    0.04  
Fulham          37   37   -7      -9.58    14.58     0.25    48.57     3.98    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.61R    0.20  
MK_Dons         37   37  -18      -4.99    29.19    -5.89    47.74     3.88   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.41R    0.29  
Rotherham       37   36  -19      -2.25    40.45     0.08    45.43     3.77   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.21R    1.09  
Charlton        37   32  -32      -5.08    27.86   -11.67    40.04     3.61   -38.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.25R   20.99  
Bolton          37   26  -26     -13.68     5.14    -9.61    35.13     3.74   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.17R   77.39  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2016, Fleetwood_Town 0 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    36   71  +15      18.06    97.51     9.45    85.75     4.26    16.64    53.71    79.12    99.89    83.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            36   65  +25      -0.75    46.18     0.64    82.75     4.22    30.83    28.35    61.54    99.05    75.39P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   65  +18       8.97    83.89     8.15    80.96     4.21    21.43    12.97    37.80    97.39    52.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       36   62  +20       5.42    72.08     9.06    76.97     4.35    21.87     3.44    13.13    86.08    30.34P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   59  +14       1.56    56.52     1.76    75.34     4.32    17.91     1.28     6.20    75.82    24.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         36   58   +6       6.42    76.06     2.35    71.76     4.20     6.22     0.13     1.02    39.33     8.67P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         36   55  +18      -0.89    46.15     8.26    69.81     4.27    19.75     0.05     0.51    29.79     7.69P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         36   55   +9       0.20    50.89     0.97    70.32     4.24    11.57     0.05     0.48    30.62     7.69P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   55   +3       5.21    71.80     4.08    67.26     3.99     2.94     0.00     0.05     8.94     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         36   54   +4       5.95    74.20     5.59    66.94     4.21     2.95     0.00     0.05     8.69     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        36   52   +5      -3.31    35.86    -3.92    67.01     4.28     6.96     0.00     0.06    10.70     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   51   +2       0.44    52.20     0.29    65.22     4.29     2.64     0.00     0.01     4.41     0.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       36   51   +0       3.46    64.95     2.68    64.23     4.26    -0.75     0.00     0.01     2.75     0.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          35   49   +2      -4.79    29.94    -6.70    65.37     4.53     3.92     0.00     0.04     5.96     1.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury             36   48  -13       6.89    78.27     0.03    59.33     4.18   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.93R    0.00  
Peterborough     36   45   +1      -6.64    23.70    -2.13    60.70     4.32     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.11P    0.41R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   44  -10      -1.59    43.72    -4.51    55.22     4.14   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.52R    0.00  
Chesterfield     36   41  -11      -6.63    23.49    -8.20    54.45     4.26   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.98R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town   36   40   -3      -5.86    25.77     1.64    52.86     4.20    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.92R    0.02  
Doncaster        36   37  -12      -8.41    17.23    -6.50    50.16     4.25   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.57R    0.38  
Oldham           35   37  -13      -4.27    31.62    -3.45    49.79     4.31   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.70R    0.32  
Blackpool        37   35  -15      -8.71    16.85    -5.42    46.39     3.94   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.69R    2.33  
Crewe            36   30  -26      -4.67    29.81    -2.67    40.80     4.06   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.56R   24.36  
Colchester       36   28  -39      -6.03    24.82   -11.44    37.29     4.00   -46.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   72.57  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 March 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          36   79  +30      18.22    97.86    12.76    95.78     4.30    34.53    96.54    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   68  +30       5.87    73.07    13.18    83.76     4.03    35.01     2.32    82.22    99.82    87.31P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             36   65  +19       6.82    77.02     6.17    81.74     4.23    23.39     0.89    60.34    98.81    70.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       36   62  +16       7.65    79.14     8.45    78.14     4.34    19.48     0.17    24.40    93.23    40.69P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   61  +15       9.17    83.77    11.55    76.62     4.36    17.85     0.05    15.34    86.54    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           36   59  +23       0.98    54.15    10.16    75.43     4.28    27.02     0.03    12.12    82.38    31.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   56   +6       1.75    57.87    -1.41    70.98     4.25     7.92     0.00     1.28    38.57    10.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        36   56   +4      -2.77    38.30   -10.03    73.46     4.31     9.62     0.01     3.96    63.33    22.15P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   53   +8       2.66    61.49     6.62    67.47     4.30     9.14     0.00     0.19    16.09     3.53P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             35   52   +2       4.81    70.32     3.78    66.45     4.52     0.94     0.00     0.16    10.21     1.94P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            36   51   +4       5.26    72.25     8.86    63.35     4.22     2.10     0.00     0.01     2.89     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        36   51   +2       3.37    64.49     4.75    63.80     4.28     0.63     0.00     0.02     3.19     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                36   50   +1      -1.34    44.62    -2.04    64.16     4.32     1.65     0.00     0.02     3.71     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               36   49   -4       1.17    55.28    -1.34    61.86     4.30    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               36   47   -4       2.39    60.85     3.38    58.94     4.26    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         36   45  -15      -1.74    43.16   -11.10    58.58     4.30   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County       36   41  -10      -3.06    37.09    -2.39    52.45     4.17   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Morecambe            36   40   -7      -6.04    26.12    -1.26    53.84     4.33    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Notts_County         35   40  -12      -7.93    19.86   -11.70    55.59     4.60   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil               36   38  -11      -8.71    16.89    -7.72    50.68     4.25   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.01  
Hartlepool           34   35  -19      -0.84    47.13    -2.83    46.91     4.46   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.89R    0.41  
Stevenage            36   34  -18     -11.80     9.75   -12.44    45.96     4.23   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.53R    0.42  
York                 36   27  -29     -11.46     9.26   -12.52    36.98     4.00   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.84R   27.09  
Dag_&_Red            37   25  -31     -14.01     5.11   -12.90    33.59     3.77   -36.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.99R   72.06  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2016, Braintree_Town 0 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       38   83  +47       5.25    71.99     8.09    98.65     3.55    53.98    81.43   100.00    88.97P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     38   81  +28      13.94    93.88     5.43    94.41     3.73    31.78    17.67   100.00    39.97P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   69  +39      -1.98    40.45     6.26    86.14     4.17    44.14     0.89    98.54    37.34P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   36   62  +17       5.87    73.98     6.94    77.38     4.30    19.54     0.00    59.07     8.59P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   36   62  +15       6.91    78.28     6.50    75.82     4.14    15.47     0.00    40.41     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   62  +13      -3.46    35.16    -6.70    75.43     3.76    16.57     0.00    38.33     9.00P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        37   62   +8       5.72    72.99    -0.22    76.68     3.95    11.58     0.00    47.44     7.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          37   59  +17      -0.25    48.79     4.40    71.33     3.92    17.06     0.00    11.56     1.97P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        38   59   -7       8.29    81.52    -4.59    70.09     3.80    -6.87     0.00     3.70     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     38   56   +7       2.69    61.26     5.54    66.92     3.70     6.77     0.00     0.71     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          38   54   +0       5.30    71.41     6.53    64.82     3.87    -0.34     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     37   50   +6      -4.70    30.57     0.07    62.78     4.00     6.74     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   49   +3      -7.20    22.28    -2.87    60.56     3.80     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barrow           36   46  -14       6.24    76.23     2.54    57.44     4.24   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Aldershot        37   46  -15       1.47    57.33    -5.57    57.40     3.92   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Chester          37   43   -4      -2.36    40.39     4.83    54.66     3.93    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Southport        38   43  -16       2.52    62.25     1.61    53.06     3.70   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Guiseley         37   41  -19       2.89    63.81     0.25    50.01     3.77   -23.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.01  
Halifax          36   37  -21      -6.98    22.27   -11.66    49.06     4.12   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.41R    0.10  
Boreham_Wood     37   36   -7      -6.35    24.37     3.45    46.79     3.82    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.34R    0.18  
Torquay          36   35  -22      -8.76    16.00   -12.91    48.75     4.26   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.49R    0.11  
Altrincham       36   35  -25      -0.65    48.13    -2.94    46.10     4.11   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.38R    0.86  
Welling          38   28  -26     -10.22    11.41    -5.44    36.54     3.55   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.04R   43.44  
Kidderminster    37   24  -24     -17.30     1.91    -9.55    35.26     3.96   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R   55.30