Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 13 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 March 2016, Aston_Villa 0 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 29 60 +21 16.43 98.06 15.53 73.70 4.03 23.04 49.63 75.57 90.77 97.47 99.89 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 58 +29 5.38 74.70 11.54 71.66 3.73 33.08 30.54 63.57 85.43 95.71 99.81 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 52 +16 0.17 50.14 -2.40 69.27 3.78 23.65 11.31 32.45 60.30 85.68 98.51 0.00 0.00 Man_City 29 51 +21 -6.38 20.05 -7.30 67.98 3.92 28.18 7.74 24.46 49.64 78.80 96.97 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 29 49 +12 7.07 81.36 8.83 61.44 3.98 12.15 0.26 1.27 4.30 12.76 56.87 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 47 +10 -2.27 38.56 -3.96 62.54 3.87 14.78 0.40 1.98 6.70 19.25 70.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 30 44 +8 -2.56 37.69 -0.05 56.09 3.70 9.66 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.79 11.94 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 28 44 +6 -0.09 49.65 -2.57 60.30 4.31 9.97 0.12 0.67 2.60 8.34 45.38 0.00 0.00 Stoke 30 43 -4 4.43 71.52 -0.61 52.99 3.62 -5.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 2.03 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 40 +4 -11.17 7.71 -13.41 55.69 4.05 8.94 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.79 12.15 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 29 39 -6 4.30 71.81 1.16 49.23 3.79 -9.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.00R 0.00 Everton 28 38 +12 -6.27 21.01 3.28 53.42 4.26 14.62 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.35 5.98 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 30 38 -9 3.65 68.16 2.62 45.70 3.49 -14.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09R 0.00 Watford 29 37 -1 2.48 63.15 6.57 48.47 3.91 -2.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 33 -7 -0.96 45.83 1.63 43.04 3.82 -10.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.73R 0.00 Swansea 30 33 -10 -3.83 31.77 -3.56 42.58 3.61 -12.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.63R 0.00 Sunderland 29 25 -19 -3.75 31.20 -0.91 34.32 3.84 -23.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.91R 0.58 Norwich 30 25 -23 -4.30 29.50 -3.46 33.53 3.54 -27.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.73R 0.88 Newcastle 28 24 -25 -2.20 38.99 -4.65 33.91 3.95 -31.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.92R 1.76 Aston_Villa 30 16 -35 -8.44 11.07 -8.28 22.56 3.27 -41.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 96.77Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 March 2016, Charlton 2 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 37 74 +30 7.67 80.11 6.93 89.93 3.91 35.11 66.74 90.76 100.00 93.82P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 36 67 +24 4.79 70.81 5.51 83.69 4.09 28.28 10.03 35.97 99.62 57.28P 0.00 0.00 Hull 35 65 +28 2.18 59.72 6.90 85.63 4.26 36.04 21.68 63.30 99.87 76.87P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 36 65 +15 10.97 89.22 7.63 79.55 4.14 16.51 1.44 8.12 94.94 25.85P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 61 +15 -0.01 49.68 -0.65 76.12 3.97 19.16 0.11 1.57 81.80 23.23P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 59 +17 4.57 69.26 10.91 73.06 3.95 19.51 0.01 0.21 57.96 11.35P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 58 +8 4.87 70.66 3.82 70.18 3.95 7.86 0.00 0.02 24.56 4.26P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 36 55 +6 6.22 76.17 5.99 68.85 4.17 6.45 0.00 0.02 15.26 2.47P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 55 +1 3.69 66.27 -2.25 70.29 4.15 3.49 0.00 0.04 23.86 4.48P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 52 +1 2.93 63.34 2.04 63.77 3.88 0.60 0.00 0.00 1.13 0.18P 0.00 0.00 QPR 37 50 +4 -4.90 30.26 -2.55 62.88 3.90 5.01 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 37 47 -5 -4.92 29.60 -7.12 58.87 3.88 -5.57 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.02R 0.00 Leeds_United 36 47 -5 2.41 61.54 0.82 59.55 4.04 -6.42 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 36 45 -1 -3.84 33.44 -1.16 57.94 4.16 -1.96 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.08R 0.00 Reading 35 44 +0 -2.13 40.80 2.23 57.35 4.29 -2.16 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.09R 0.00 Blackburn 36 43 +2 -7.54 19.61 -0.56 57.35 4.16 3.09 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.14R 0.00 Brentford 36 43 -10 -4.18 32.28 -6.50 56.87 4.19 -9.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.33R 0.00 Huddersfield 37 42 -4 -3.77 34.04 3.47 52.67 3.90 -6.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.27R 0.00 Bristol_City 37 40 -24 -0.04 50.87 -8.24 50.02 3.81 -27.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.76R 0.05 Fulham 37 37 -7 -9.62 14.70 0.23 48.59 3.97 -8.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.46R 0.20 MK_Dons 37 37 -18 -5.22 28.21 -6.25 47.82 3.91 -20.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.07R 0.24 Rotherham 37 36 -19 -2.24 40.71 0.09 45.43 3.78 -23.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.30R 1.03 Charlton 37 32 -32 -5.12 27.45 -11.81 40.07 3.61 -38.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.24R 20.51 Bolton 37 26 -26 -13.58 5.40 -9.47 35.09 3.73 -31.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.23R 77.97League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Barnsley 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 36 71 +15 18.36 97.78 9.85 85.72 4.26 16.59 55.81 81.60 99.90 85.24P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 36 65 +25 -0.79 45.92 0.50 82.77 4.24 30.85 30.05 66.16 99.07 78.00P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 36 62 +20 5.43 72.22 9.01 77.04 4.32 21.96 3.83 14.84 86.55 31.75P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 35 62 +17 7.49 80.00 7.35 79.38 4.47 20.50 8.53 27.76 93.79 44.63P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 36 59 +14 1.77 57.27 2.14 75.33 4.30 17.88 1.46 6.96 76.16 25.87P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 36 58 +6 6.58 76.74 2.58 71.72 4.21 6.15 0.16 1.25 39.49 8.99P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 36 55 +18 -0.91 46.28 8.27 69.83 4.29 19.74 0.07 0.67 30.77 8.31P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 36 55 +9 0.39 51.86 1.31 70.23 4.25 11.44 0.08 0.51 30.28 7.51P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 37 55 +3 4.88 70.58 3.61 67.33 4.02 3.01 0.01 0.05 9.50 1.87P 0.00 0.00 Southend 36 54 +4 6.07 74.76 5.72 66.88 4.20 2.89 0.01 0.09 8.94 1.75P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 36 52 +5 -3.44 35.13 -4.11 67.06 4.28 7.00 0.00 0.06 11.34 2.90P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 36 51 +2 0.53 52.58 0.47 65.20 4.29 2.61 0.00 0.02 4.49 0.95P 0.01R 0.00 Scunthorpe 36 51 +0 3.57 65.51 2.80 64.25 4.24 -0.74 0.00 0.00 2.82 0.53P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 35 49 +2 -4.88 29.74 -6.85 65.39 4.56 3.95 0.00 0.04 6.29 1.55P 0.02R 0.00 Bury 36 48 -13 7.07 78.65 0.34 59.30 4.18 -16.78 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 1.08R 0.00 Peterborough 36 45 +1 -6.84 23.21 -2.45 60.76 4.33 4.09 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.13P 0.45R 0.00 Shrewsbury 36 44 -10 -1.71 43.10 -4.65 55.24 4.17 -13.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.57R 0.00 Chesterfield 36 41 -11 -6.98 22.52 -8.67 54.56 4.29 -11.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 11.95R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 40 -2 -5.03 28.98 1.94 54.25 4.40 -3.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.35R 0.01 Doncaster 36 37 -12 -8.36 17.34 -6.40 50.10 4.25 -12.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.66R 0.36 Blackpool 36 35 -14 -7.96 18.86 -5.20 47.72 4.20 -15.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.41R 1.45 Oldham 34 34 -14 -5.36 26.87 -3.61 48.11 4.56 -17.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.13R 1.13 Crewe 36 30 -26 -4.75 29.37 -2.84 40.77 4.06 -30.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.64R 24.63 Colchester 36 28 -39 -5.81 25.55 -11.12 37.27 3.99 -46.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.71R 72.42League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 36 79 +30 18.25 97.61 12.77 95.79 4.32 34.56 97.23 99.96 100.00 99.97P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 36 65 +26 5.86 73.72 11.61 82.56 4.24 31.64 1.59 73.25 99.32 80.41P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 36 65 +19 6.75 77.00 6.13 81.68 4.25 23.31 0.88 61.41 98.63 71.66P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 36 62 +16 7.73 79.48 8.59 78.05 4.31 19.38 0.19 25.42 92.68 41.13P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 60 +15 9.47 84.75 11.46 76.90 4.63 17.73 0.09 19.36 85.76 32.43P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 36 59 +23 0.90 53.79 10.10 75.43 4.29 27.01 0.02 13.27 82.03 32.70P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 36 56 +4 -3.07 37.02 -10.52 73.52 4.29 9.73 0.01 4.66 63.41 22.30P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 35 55 +6 2.23 59.96 -1.25 71.36 4.50 7.93 0.00 2.22 41.82 11.98P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 36 53 +8 2.85 62.28 6.83 67.40 4.28 9.04 0.00 0.24 14.97 3.19P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 35 52 +2 4.90 70.67 3.94 66.55 4.55 1.08 0.00 0.16 10.70 2.10P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 36 51 +4 5.31 72.33 8.91 63.34 4.21 2.06 0.00 0.00 2.89 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 36 51 +2 3.42 64.66 4.90 63.82 4.29 0.64 0.00 0.02 3.06 0.58P 0.00 0.00 Luton 36 50 +1 -1.29 44.62 -1.90 64.10 4.31 1.60 0.00 0.02 3.41 0.80P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 36 49 -4 1.30 55.99 -1.26 61.90 4.30 -5.27 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 36 47 -4 2.31 60.57 3.23 58.98 4.26 -6.63 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 36 45 -15 -1.79 42.93 -11.14 58.59 4.31 -15.24 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 36 40 -7 -6.14 25.58 -1.45 53.84 4.33 -7.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.11R 0.00 Newport_County 35 40 -10 -2.62 38.79 -2.25 53.14 4.41 -12.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.19R 0.00 Notts_County 35 40 -12 -7.83 19.95 -11.57 55.54 4.60 -11.35 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.05R 0.00 Yeovil 36 38 -11 -8.68 17.17 -7.71 50.64 4.27 -12.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51R 0.01 Stevenage 36 34 -18 -11.95 9.22 -12.72 46.04 4.25 -20.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.17R 0.64 Hartlepool 33 34 -19 -0.51 48.62 -2.66 47.05 4.66 -26.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.78R 0.70 York 36 27 -29 -11.41 9.09 -12.41 36.98 4.00 -34.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.09R 35.12 Dag_&_Red 36 25 -27 -14.30 4.59 -11.66 34.59 3.99 -33.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.09R 63.53National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Aldershot 0 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 38 83 +47 5.23 71.74 7.98 98.62 3.54 53.94 80.03 100.00 87.97P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 38 81 +28 13.91 93.79 5.40 94.48 3.73 31.89 18.01 100.00 39.97P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 35 68 +39 -1.21 43.52 6.83 87.35 4.39 45.37 1.95 99.14 39.22P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 38 62 +13 -3.46 35.28 -6.75 75.38 3.77 16.50 0.00 41.81 9.63P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 35 61 +15 7.51 80.46 6.85 76.50 4.35 15.89 0.00 51.22 8.11P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 37 59 +17 -0.33 48.44 4.27 71.35 3.91 17.06 0.00 13.07 2.14P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 35 59 +14 5.53 73.37 5.95 75.77 4.51 16.55 0.00 46.08 6.38P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 36 59 +6 4.94 70.22 -0.86 75.43 4.24 10.15 0.00 38.93 5.52P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 37 58 -7 8.49 82.66 -4.61 70.02 4.04 -7.48 0.00 5.56 0.57P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 37 56 +10 2.92 62.71 6.70 68.19 3.96 9.61 0.00 3.23 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 37 54 +2 5.79 73.12 7.08 65.83 4.10 1.01 0.00 0.87 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 37 50 +6 -4.62 30.76 0.20 62.81 3.96 6.80 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Woking 38 49 +3 -7.19 22.19 -2.88 60.56 3.79 3.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 36 46 -14 6.35 76.47 2.76 57.45 4.26 -17.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11R 0.00 Aldershot 37 46 -15 1.22 55.93 -5.92 57.42 3.93 -16.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Chester 37 43 -4 -2.48 39.86 4.72 54.62 3.92 -5.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.46R 0.00 Southport 38 43 -16 2.69 62.87 1.81 52.97 3.72 -17.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.45R 0.00 Guiseley 36 40 -19 2.97 64.47 -0.35 49.69 3.95 -24.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.08R 0.01 Boreham_Wood 37 36 -7 -6.55 23.66 3.24 46.84 3.83 -8.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.03R 0.17 Halifax 35 36 -21 -6.50 23.60 -11.45 49.20 4.38 -24.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.13R 0.13 Altrincham 36 35 -25 -0.59 48.44 -3.00 46.06 4.11 -29.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.16R 1.04 Torquay 35 34 -22 -8.36 17.04 -12.72 49.50 4.53 -21.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.24R 0.14 Welling 38 28 -26 -10.24 11.28 -5.52 36.56 3.56 -29.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.84R 43.63 Kidderminster 37 24 -24 -17.44 1.93 -9.73 35.32 3.96 -25.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.45R 54.87