Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 March 2016, Aston_Villa 0 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        29   60  +21      16.43    98.06    15.53    73.70     4.03    23.04    49.63    75.57    90.77    97.47    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   58  +29       5.38    74.70    11.54    71.66     3.73    33.08    30.54    63.57    85.43    95.71    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   52  +16       0.17    50.14    -2.40    69.27     3.78    23.65    11.31    32.45    60.30    85.68    98.51     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         29   51  +21      -6.38    20.05    -7.30    67.98     3.92    28.18     7.74    24.46    49.64    78.80    96.97     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   49  +12       7.07    81.36     8.83    61.44     3.98    12.15     0.26     1.27     4.30    12.76    56.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   47  +10      -2.27    38.56    -3.96    62.54     3.87    14.78     0.40     1.98     6.70    19.25    70.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   44   +8      -2.56    37.69    -0.05    56.09     3.70     9.66     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.79    11.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   44   +6      -0.09    49.65    -2.57    60.30     4.31     9.97     0.12     0.67     2.60     8.34    45.38     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   43   -4       4.43    71.52    -0.61    52.99     3.62    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.03     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   40   +4     -11.17     7.71   -13.41    55.69     4.05     8.94     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.79    12.15     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   39   -6       4.30    71.81     1.16    49.23     3.79    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          28   38  +12      -6.27    21.01     3.28    53.42     4.26    14.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     5.98     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      30   38   -9       3.65    68.16     2.62    45.70     3.49   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09R    0.00  
Watford          29   37   -1       2.48    63.15     6.57    48.47     3.91    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -7      -0.96    45.83     1.63    43.04     3.82   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.73R    0.00  
Swansea          30   33  -10      -3.83    31.77    -3.56    42.58     3.61   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -3.75    31.20    -0.91    34.32     3.84   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.91R    0.58  
Norwich          30   25  -23      -4.30    29.50    -3.46    33.53     3.54   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.73R    0.88  
Newcastle        28   24  -25      -2.20    38.99    -4.65    33.91     3.95   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.92R    1.76  
Aston_Villa      30   16  -35      -8.44    11.07    -8.28    22.56     3.27   -41.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   96.77  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 March 2016, Charlton 2 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         37   74  +30       7.67    80.11     6.93    89.93     3.91    35.11    66.74    90.76   100.00    93.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   36   67  +24       4.79    70.81     5.51    83.69     4.09    28.28    10.03    35.97    99.62    57.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            35   65  +28       2.18    59.72     6.90    85.63     4.26    36.04    21.68    63.30    99.87    76.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        36   65  +15      10.97    89.22     7.63    79.55     4.14    16.51     1.44     8.12    94.94    25.85P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   61  +15      -0.01    49.68    -0.65    76.12     3.97    19.16     0.11     1.57    81.80    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   59  +17       4.57    69.26    10.91    73.06     3.95    19.51     0.01     0.21    57.96    11.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   58   +8       4.87    70.66     3.82    70.18     3.95     7.86     0.00     0.02    24.56     4.26P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      36   55   +6       6.22    76.17     5.99    68.85     4.17     6.45     0.00     0.02    15.26     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         36   55   +1       3.69    66.27    -2.25    70.29     4.15     3.49     0.00     0.04    23.86     4.48P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   52   +1       2.93    63.34     2.04    63.77     3.88     0.60     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             37   50   +4      -4.90    30.26    -2.55    62.88     3.90     5.01     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   37   47   -5      -4.92    29.60    -7.12    58.87     3.88    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United    36   47   -5       2.41    61.54     0.82    59.55     4.04    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   45   -1      -3.84    33.44    -1.16    57.94     4.16    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Reading         35   44   +0      -2.13    40.80     2.23    57.35     4.29    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       36   43   +2      -7.54    19.61    -0.56    57.35     4.16     3.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.14R    0.00  
Brentford       36   43  -10      -4.18    32.28    -6.50    56.87     4.19    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Huddersfield    37   42   -4      -3.77    34.04     3.47    52.67     3.90    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.27R    0.00  
Bristol_City    37   40  -24      -0.04    50.87    -8.24    50.02     3.81   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.76R    0.05  
Fulham          37   37   -7      -9.62    14.70     0.23    48.59     3.97    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.46R    0.20  
MK_Dons         37   37  -18      -5.22    28.21    -6.25    47.82     3.91   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.07R    0.24  
Rotherham       37   36  -19      -2.24    40.71     0.09    45.43     3.78   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.30R    1.03  
Charlton        37   32  -32      -5.12    27.45   -11.81    40.07     3.61   -38.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.24R   20.51  
Bolton          37   26  -26     -13.58     5.40    -9.47    35.09     3.73   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.23R   77.97  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Barnsley 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    36   71  +15      18.36    97.78     9.85    85.72     4.26    16.59    55.81    81.60    99.90    85.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            36   65  +25      -0.79    45.92     0.50    82.77     4.24    30.85    30.05    66.16    99.07    78.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       36   62  +20       5.43    72.22     9.01    77.04     4.32    21.96     3.83    14.84    86.55    31.75P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   62  +17       7.49    80.00     7.35    79.38     4.47    20.50     8.53    27.76    93.79    44.63P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   59  +14       1.77    57.27     2.14    75.33     4.30    17.88     1.46     6.96    76.16    25.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         36   58   +6       6.58    76.74     2.58    71.72     4.21     6.15     0.16     1.25    39.49     8.99P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         36   55  +18      -0.91    46.28     8.27    69.83     4.29    19.74     0.07     0.67    30.77     8.31P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         36   55   +9       0.39    51.86     1.31    70.23     4.25    11.44     0.08     0.51    30.28     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   55   +3       4.88    70.58     3.61    67.33     4.02     3.01     0.01     0.05     9.50     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         36   54   +4       6.07    74.76     5.72    66.88     4.20     2.89     0.01     0.09     8.94     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        36   52   +5      -3.44    35.13    -4.11    67.06     4.28     7.00     0.00     0.06    11.34     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   51   +2       0.53    52.58     0.47    65.20     4.29     2.61     0.00     0.02     4.49     0.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       36   51   +0       3.57    65.51     2.80    64.25     4.24    -0.74     0.00     0.00     2.82     0.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          35   49   +2      -4.88    29.74    -6.85    65.39     4.56     3.95     0.00     0.04     6.29     1.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury             36   48  -13       7.07    78.65     0.34    59.30     4.18   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    1.08R    0.00  
Peterborough     36   45   +1      -6.84    23.21    -2.45    60.76     4.33     4.09     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.13P    0.45R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   44  -10      -1.71    43.10    -4.65    55.24     4.17   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.57R    0.00  
Chesterfield     36   41  -11      -6.98    22.52    -8.67    54.56     4.29   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   11.95R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   35   40   -2      -5.03    28.98     1.94    54.25     4.40    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.35R    0.01  
Doncaster        36   37  -12      -8.36    17.34    -6.40    50.10     4.25   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.66R    0.36  
Blackpool        36   35  -14      -7.96    18.86    -5.20    47.72     4.20   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.41R    1.45  
Oldham           34   34  -14      -5.36    26.87    -3.61    48.11     4.56   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.13R    1.13  
Crewe            36   30  -26      -4.75    29.37    -2.84    40.77     4.06   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.64R   24.63  
Colchester       36   28  -39      -5.81    25.55   -11.12    37.27     3.99   -46.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.71R   72.42  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          36   79  +30      18.25    97.61    12.77    95.79     4.32    34.56    97.23    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           36   65  +26       5.86    73.72    11.61    82.56     4.24    31.64     1.59    73.25    99.32    80.41P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             36   65  +19       6.75    77.00     6.13    81.68     4.25    23.31     0.88    61.41    98.63    71.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       36   62  +16       7.73    79.48     8.59    78.05     4.31    19.38     0.19    25.42    92.68    41.13P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   60  +15       9.47    84.75    11.46    76.90     4.63    17.73     0.09    19.36    85.76    32.43P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           36   59  +23       0.90    53.79    10.10    75.43     4.29    27.01     0.02    13.27    82.03    32.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        36   56   +4      -3.07    37.02   -10.52    73.52     4.29     9.73     0.01     4.66    63.41    22.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   55   +6       2.23    59.96    -1.25    71.36     4.50     7.93     0.00     2.22    41.82    11.98P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   53   +8       2.85    62.28     6.83    67.40     4.28     9.04     0.00     0.24    14.97     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             35   52   +2       4.90    70.67     3.94    66.55     4.55     1.08     0.00     0.16    10.70     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            36   51   +4       5.31    72.33     8.91    63.34     4.21     2.06     0.00     0.00     2.89     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        36   51   +2       3.42    64.66     4.90    63.82     4.29     0.64     0.00     0.02     3.06     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                36   50   +1      -1.29    44.62    -1.90    64.10     4.31     1.60     0.00     0.02     3.41     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               36   49   -4       1.30    55.99    -1.26    61.90     4.30    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               36   47   -4       2.31    60.57     3.23    58.98     4.26    -6.63     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         36   45  -15      -1.79    42.93   -11.14    58.59     4.31   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            36   40   -7      -6.14    25.58    -1.45    53.84     4.33    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Newport_County       35   40  -10      -2.62    38.79    -2.25    53.14     4.41   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.19R    0.00  
Notts_County         35   40  -12      -7.83    19.95   -11.57    55.54     4.60   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil               36   38  -11      -8.68    17.17    -7.71    50.64     4.27   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.01  
Stevenage            36   34  -18     -11.95     9.22   -12.72    46.04     4.25   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.17R    0.64  
Hartlepool           33   34  -19      -0.51    48.62    -2.66    47.05     4.66   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.78R    0.70  
York                 36   27  -29     -11.41     9.09   -12.41    36.98     4.00   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.09R   35.12  
Dag_&_Red            36   25  -27     -14.30     4.59   -11.66    34.59     3.99   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.09R   63.53  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Aldershot 0 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       38   83  +47       5.23    71.74     7.98    98.62     3.54    53.94    80.03   100.00    87.97P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     38   81  +28      13.91    93.79     5.40    94.48     3.73    31.89    18.01   100.00    39.97P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   68  +39      -1.21    43.52     6.83    87.35     4.39    45.37     1.95    99.14    39.22P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   62  +13      -3.46    35.28    -6.75    75.38     3.77    16.50     0.00    41.81     9.63P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   35   61  +15       7.51    80.46     6.85    76.50     4.35    15.89     0.00    51.22     8.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          37   59  +17      -0.33    48.44     4.27    71.35     3.91    17.06     0.00    13.07     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   35   59  +14       5.53    73.37     5.95    75.77     4.51    16.55     0.00    46.08     6.38P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        36   59   +6       4.94    70.22    -0.86    75.43     4.24    10.15     0.00    38.93     5.52P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        37   58   -7       8.49    82.66    -4.61    70.02     4.04    -7.48     0.00     5.56     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     37   56  +10       2.92    62.71     6.70    68.19     3.96     9.61     0.00     3.23     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          37   54   +2       5.79    73.12     7.08    65.83     4.10     1.01     0.00     0.87     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     37   50   +6      -4.62    30.76     0.20    62.81     3.96     6.80     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   49   +3      -7.19    22.19    -2.88    60.56     3.79     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           36   46  -14       6.35    76.47     2.76    57.45     4.26   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Aldershot        37   46  -15       1.22    55.93    -5.92    57.42     3.93   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Chester          37   43   -4      -2.48    39.86     4.72    54.62     3.92    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Southport        38   43  -16       2.69    62.87     1.81    52.97     3.72   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.45R    0.00  
Guiseley         36   40  -19       2.97    64.47    -0.35    49.69     3.95   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.08R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood     37   36   -7      -6.55    23.66     3.24    46.84     3.83    -8.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.03R    0.17  
Halifax          35   36  -21      -6.50    23.60   -11.45    49.20     4.38   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.13R    0.13  
Altrincham       36   35  -25      -0.59    48.44    -3.00    46.06     4.11   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.16R    1.04  
Torquay          35   34  -22      -8.36    17.04   -12.72    49.50     4.53   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.24R    0.14  
Welling          38   28  -26     -10.24    11.28    -5.52    36.56     3.56   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.84R   43.63  
Kidderminster    37   24  -24     -17.44     1.93    -9.73    35.32     3.96   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R   54.87