Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 12 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Bournemouth 3 2 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        29   60  +21      16.27    97.84    15.27    73.76     4.02    23.11    53.15    77.98    91.69    97.79    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   55  +27       4.83    72.58    11.12    70.71     3.95    32.09    24.65    55.51    79.38    92.69    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   52  +16      -0.14    49.00    -2.83    69.34     3.79    23.74    12.83    35.87    62.91    86.24    98.55     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         29   51  +21      -6.12    20.93    -6.85    67.89     3.91    28.02     8.49    26.03    50.62    78.61    96.93     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   49  +12       6.93    80.99     8.67    61.48     3.99    12.20     0.32     1.45     4.70    13.42    57.30     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   47  +10      -2.17    39.02    -3.81    62.49     3.88    14.73     0.43     2.29     7.37    20.06    69.51     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   44   +8      -2.61    37.33    -0.09    56.11     3.68     9.70     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.75    12.01     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   44   +6      -0.03    50.02    -2.49    60.32     4.34     9.97     0.14     0.84     3.03     9.20    45.95     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   43   -4       4.27    70.92    -0.87    53.06     3.63    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.10     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   40   +4     -11.07     7.84   -13.31    55.61     4.04     8.88     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.75    11.69     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   39   -6       4.48    72.67     1.36    49.19     3.80    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          28   38  +12      -6.21    21.33     3.36    53.39     4.29    14.57     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.40     6.20     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      30   38   -9       3.73    68.50     2.63    45.75     3.52   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09R    0.00  
Watford          29   37   -1       2.28    62.10     6.30    48.51     3.87    -2.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -7      -1.10    45.21     1.45    43.03     3.79   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.00  
Swansea          30   33  -10      -3.87    31.51    -3.64    42.57     3.61   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.00  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -3.58    32.09    -0.66    34.27     3.82   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.19R    0.98  
Norwich          30   25  -23      -4.36    29.26    -3.56    33.58     3.56   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.40R    1.37  
Newcastle        28   24  -25      -2.01    40.25    -4.29    33.90     3.96   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.90R    2.78  
Aston_Villa      29   16  -33      -7.99    11.78    -7.75    23.28     3.44   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   94.86  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Blackburn 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         37   74  +30       7.61    79.81     6.86    89.94     3.92    35.13    60.30    86.83   100.00    91.41P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   67  +26       5.46    73.82     6.48    85.89     4.30    31.40    19.77    51.99    99.86    68.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            35   65  +28       2.04    58.82     6.77    85.64     4.23    36.04    18.72    53.90    99.88    71.36P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        36   65  +15      10.93    89.31     7.56    79.58     4.16    16.54     1.15     6.23    94.77    24.48P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   61  +15       0.05    50.09    -0.52    76.12     3.95    19.15     0.05     0.92    81.71    22.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   59  +17       4.69    70.14    10.99    73.13     3.97    19.60     0.00     0.10    58.06    11.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         37   58   +8       4.72    69.83     3.59    70.23     3.94     7.94     0.00     0.02    24.45     3.96P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         36   55   +1       3.82    66.50    -2.13    70.25     4.14     3.42     0.00     0.00    23.30     4.16P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   54   +6       6.62    77.98     6.09    68.85     4.40     5.95     0.00     0.02    15.80     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   52   +1       3.01    63.81     2.14    63.74     3.86     0.58     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             37   50   +4      -5.12    29.31    -2.82    62.92     3.90     5.08     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    36   47   -5       2.60    62.29     1.05    59.55     4.03    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   46   -5      -4.47    31.03    -7.04    59.50     4.13    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   45   -1      -3.99    32.70    -1.31    57.94     4.15    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         35   44   +0      -2.31    40.35     1.91    57.35     4.30    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn       36   43   +2      -7.60    19.70    -0.70    57.37     4.17     3.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Brentford       36   43  -10      -4.34    32.01    -6.80    56.89     4.21    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Huddersfield    37   42   -4      -3.85    33.86     3.39    52.64     3.90    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City    37   40  -24       0.04    51.27    -7.99    50.00     3.83   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.06R    0.04  
Fulham          37   37   -7      -9.53    14.69     0.43    48.59     4.00    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.60R    0.08  
MK_Dons         37   37  -18      -4.87    29.97    -5.78    47.78     3.94   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.21R    0.13  
Rotherham       37   36  -19      -2.04    41.59     0.51    45.37     3.77   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.55R    0.53  
Charlton        36   29  -34      -6.43    22.30   -13.12    37.69     3.80   -41.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.67R   35.58  
Bolton          37   26  -26     -13.69     5.14    -9.57    35.07     3.71   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.23R   63.64  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Barnsley 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    36   71  +15      18.36    97.56     9.90    85.63     4.25    16.48    55.20    81.31    99.85    85.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            36   65  +25      -0.87    45.67     0.41    82.79     4.24    30.87    30.67    66.65    99.08    78.43P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       36   62  +20       5.39    72.08     9.02    77.04     4.33    21.95     3.88    14.73    86.42    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   62  +17       7.67    80.43     7.61    79.34     4.46    20.46     8.42    27.24    93.73    43.79P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   59  +14       1.51    56.21     1.70    75.38     4.33    17.98     1.51     7.38    76.25    26.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         36   58   +6       6.22    75.53     2.02    71.82     4.23     6.30     0.19     1.24    40.39     9.39P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         36   55  +18      -0.93    45.81     8.24    69.83     4.27    19.77     0.06     0.57    30.08     7.93P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         36   55   +9       0.12    50.60     0.90    70.34     4.24    11.62     0.07     0.65    30.59     7.61P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        37   55   +3       4.93    70.63     3.75    67.36     4.01     3.07     0.00     0.05     9.55     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         36   54   +4       6.04    74.47     5.67    66.89     4.20     2.90     0.00     0.07     8.86     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        36   52   +5      -3.24    36.32    -3.83    67.03     4.29     6.95     0.00     0.06    11.15     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   51   +2       0.50    52.37     0.39    65.16     4.31     2.56     0.00     0.02     4.51     0.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       36   51   +0       3.61    65.68     2.88    64.20     4.25    -0.82     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          35   49   +2      -4.92    29.38    -6.89    65.39     4.55     3.94     0.00     0.04     6.10     1.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury             36   48  -13       7.03    78.67     0.22    59.33     4.17   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    1.13R    0.00  
Peterborough     36   45   +1      -6.79    23.21    -2.42    60.76     4.32     4.08     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.11P    0.47R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       36   44  -10      -1.51    44.10    -4.42    55.19     4.17   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.91R    0.00  
Chesterfield     36   41  -11      -6.77    23.04    -8.32    54.48     4.28   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.30R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   35   40   -2      -5.01    29.01     2.01    54.23     4.41    -3.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.42R    0.02  
Doncaster        36   37  -12      -8.45    17.11    -6.54    50.20     4.28   -12.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.02R    0.40  
Blackpool        36   35  -14      -8.04    18.67    -5.34    47.74     4.20   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.23R    1.40  
Oldham           34   34  -14      -5.30    27.41    -3.49    48.12     4.56   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.10R    1.16  
Crewe            36   30  -26      -4.47    30.61    -2.29    40.69     4.06   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.65R   24.80  
Colchester       36   28  -39      -5.82    25.39   -11.16    37.27     3.97   -46.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.74R   72.22  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          36   79  +30      18.44    97.88    13.08    95.76     4.32    34.51    97.24    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           36   65  +26       5.98    74.17    11.78    82.49     4.27    31.55     1.50    72.79    99.29    80.30P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             36   65  +19       6.79    77.29     6.15    81.70     4.26    23.33     0.93    61.81    98.69    72.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       36   62  +16       7.95    80.33     8.90    77.96     4.29    19.23     0.19    25.27    92.72    41.36P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   60  +15       9.76    85.88    11.91    76.88     4.59    17.69     0.10    19.30    85.84    31.99P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           36   59  +23       0.88    53.70    10.06    75.44     4.28    27.03     0.03    13.54    82.13    32.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        36   56   +4      -3.00    37.44   -10.38    73.47     4.31     9.65     0.00     4.62    63.28    22.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   55   +6       2.18    59.80    -1.26    71.38     4.51     7.94     0.00     2.28    41.92    11.95P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   53   +8       2.89    62.51     7.01    67.34     4.28     8.96     0.00     0.22    14.64     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             35   52   +2       4.62    69.35     3.52    66.63     4.54     1.20     0.00     0.19    10.85     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            36   51   +4       5.30    72.52     8.99    63.36     4.21     2.10     0.00     0.01     2.88     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        36   51   +2       3.27    64.08     4.67    63.79     4.30     0.62     0.00     0.02     3.15     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                36   50   +1      -1.34    44.46    -2.03    64.13     4.28     1.59     0.00     0.02     3.37     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               36   49   -4       1.27    55.84    -1.28    61.85     4.31    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               36   47   -4       2.29    60.44     3.22    58.99     4.24    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         36   45  -15      -1.90    42.63   -11.36    58.63     4.30   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   40   -7      -6.16    25.72    -1.47    53.82     4.33    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.01  
Newport_County       35   40  -10      -2.59    39.18    -2.22    53.16     4.43   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Notts_County         35   40  -12      -7.86    20.08   -11.66    55.55     4.59   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil               36   38  -11      -8.88    16.66    -8.07    50.69     4.23   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.02  
Stevenage            36   34  -18     -11.87     9.53   -12.58    46.03     4.25   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.55R    0.66  
Hartlepool           33   34  -19      -0.43    48.86    -2.58    47.03     4.69   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.32R    0.86  
York                 36   27  -29     -11.59     8.88   -12.74    37.03     4.00   -34.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.47R   35.40  
Dag_&_Red            36   25  -27     -14.33     4.78   -11.67    34.67     4.01   -33.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.82R   63.06  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2016, Aldershot 0 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       38   83  +47       5.34    72.49     8.20    98.58     3.57    53.87    80.20   100.00    88.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     38   81  +28      13.95    94.01     5.47    94.42     3.74    31.82    17.83   100.00    39.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   68  +39      -1.15    43.81     7.01    87.32     4.39    45.31     1.96    99.15    38.79P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   62  +13      -3.56    34.83    -6.84    75.41     3.76    16.55     0.00    42.01     9.65P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   35   61  +15       7.45    80.14     6.77    76.55     4.39    15.94     0.00    51.63     8.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          37   59  +17      -0.33    48.44     4.25    71.39     3.92    17.12     0.00    13.25     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   35   59  +14       5.52    73.33     5.91    75.78     4.53    16.58     0.00    46.07     6.69P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        36   59   +6       5.24    71.80    -0.37    75.34     4.22     9.99     0.00    38.32     5.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        37   58   -7       8.43    82.17    -4.76    69.99     4.02    -7.48     0.00     5.45     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     37   56  +10       2.80    62.10     6.52    68.23     3.99     9.65     0.00     3.22     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          37   54   +2       5.44    72.20     6.49    65.91     4.12     1.14     0.00     0.83     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     37   50   +6      -4.58    30.90     0.26    62.80     3.96     6.77     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   49   +3      -7.28    22.22    -3.03    60.60     3.78     3.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow           36   46  -14       6.25    75.95     2.55    57.43     4.28   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Aldershot        37   46  -15       1.38    56.89    -5.64    57.40     3.93   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Chester          37   43   -4      -2.41    40.25     4.72    54.62     3.94    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Southport        38   43  -16       2.57    62.43     1.70    53.00     3.70   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.00  
Guiseley         36   40  -19       3.04    64.43    -0.28    49.69     3.94   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.96R    0.02  
Boreham_Wood     37   36   -7      -6.51    23.66     3.26    46.84     3.83    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.10R    0.14  
Halifax          35   36  -21      -6.61    23.28   -11.56    49.23     4.38   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.28R    0.17  
Altrincham       36   35  -25      -0.56    48.46    -2.94    46.11     4.08   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.60R    0.93  
Torquay          35   34  -22      -8.48    16.32   -12.88    49.47     4.53   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.57R    0.12  
Welling          38   28  -26     -10.18    11.54    -5.37    36.54     3.55   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.86R   43.36  
Kidderminster    37   24  -24     -17.22     1.97    -9.42    35.25     3.96   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.54R   55.27