Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 11 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 March 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        29   60  +21      16.31    97.95    15.31    73.77     4.00    23.12    50.45    75.25    90.24    97.49    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   55  +27       4.83    72.69    11.16    70.72     3.96    32.13    23.02    51.41    76.47    92.23    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   52  +16      -0.03    49.46    -2.64    69.33     3.78    23.75    11.84    32.76    58.97    85.68    98.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   50  +21      -5.40    22.97    -6.53    69.22     4.13    29.64    13.99    36.68    61.22    84.88    98.01     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   49  +12       6.93    81.02     8.65    61.46     4.00    12.19     0.24     1.19     4.03    12.19    57.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   47  +10      -2.24    38.55    -3.95    62.55     3.89    14.79     0.37     2.02     6.53    18.04    70.34     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   44   +6       0.05    50.31    -2.34    60.27     4.30     9.89     0.09     0.67     2.31     7.87    45.54     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   43   -3       5.29    75.53    -0.34    54.31     3.86    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     4.98     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   41   +7      -3.87    31.33    -0.52    54.49     3.94     8.72     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.31     7.02     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   40   +4     -11.04     7.96   -13.25    55.59     4.04     8.84     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.67    11.65     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   39   -6       4.41    72.29     1.34    49.24     3.80    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          28   38  +12      -6.26    21.40     3.30    53.42     4.27    14.65     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.36     6.29     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          29   37   -1       2.25    61.93     6.28    48.53     3.91    -2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   35  -10       2.47    63.36     2.03    44.05     3.78   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -7      -0.94    45.93     1.67    42.99     3.78   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.00  
Swansea          29   33   -9      -2.69    37.09    -3.05    43.92     3.91   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -3.82    30.95    -1.00    34.29     3.83   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.47R    0.94  
Norwich          29   24  -23      -4.30    29.35    -3.78    33.05     3.74   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.08R    2.32  
Newcastle        28   24  -25      -2.14    39.61    -4.56    33.96     3.96   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.35R    2.54  
Aston_Villa      29   16  -33      -8.03    11.66    -7.79    23.30     3.43   -40.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   94.20  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Blackburn 2 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         36   71  +28       7.07    78.20     6.51    88.51     4.17    33.45    44.04    75.92    99.99    84.05P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   67  +26       5.62    74.40     6.72    85.89     4.31    31.40    21.95    50.58    99.89    67.45P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        36   65  +15      10.85    89.18     7.48    79.64     4.16    16.60     1.32     5.98    95.65    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            34   64  +28       2.74    62.29     7.22    86.95     4.42    37.40    32.45    65.55    99.94    78.75P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           36   60  +15       0.59    52.38    -0.25    76.92     4.21    19.77     0.24     1.84    86.25    24.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   56  +14       4.11    68.13     9.51    71.03     4.19    16.01     0.00     0.04    39.75     7.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         36   55   +7       3.50    65.69     3.20    68.71     4.19     7.08     0.00     0.00    18.76     3.21P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         35   55   +2       4.56    69.75    -2.00    71.56     4.34     4.39     0.01     0.08    38.71     6.93P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   54   +6       6.64    77.89     6.16    68.90     4.42     5.98     0.00     0.01    18.82     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   49   +0       1.69    57.96     1.58    62.10     4.10    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             36   47   +1      -5.36    28.40    -3.78    61.56     4.15     2.48     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   46   -5      -4.40    31.64    -6.94    59.50     4.15    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   45   +2      -3.53    34.41     0.37    59.61     4.35     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading         35   44   +0      -2.19    40.56     2.11    57.26     4.28    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Leeds_United    35   44   -6       1.18    56.21     0.42    57.41     4.23    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   43   +3      -6.25    23.75     0.28    59.17     4.42     4.70     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford       35   43   -7      -4.08    32.51    -5.57    58.07     4.45    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Huddersfield    36   42   -2      -3.35    35.68     4.00    53.85     4.11    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Fulham          36   37   -6      -8.42    17.56     0.92    50.55     4.22    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.58R    0.06  
Bristol_City    36   37  -25      -1.52    44.16    -9.03    47.75     4.01   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.79R    0.42  
MK_Dons         36   36  -18      -4.89    29.20    -6.28    47.16     4.03   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.44R    0.38  
Rotherham       36   35  -19      -2.01    41.66    -0.27    45.32     3.98   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.30R    1.29  
Charlton        36   29  -34      -6.46    22.00   -13.02    37.73     3.79   -41.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.15R   44.19  
Bolton          36   26  -25     -12.80     6.26    -9.32    36.47     3.96   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.38R   53.67  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Bradford 2 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    35   68  +14      17.20    97.20     9.49    84.25     4.51    15.83    42.89    74.81    99.54    79.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            35   64  +25       0.02    49.69     1.48    83.96     4.45    32.13    45.86    78.93    99.54    86.56P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       35   59  +17       5.30    72.20     8.38    76.07     4.56    20.01     3.39    13.33    82.82    29.46P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   59  +14       7.37    79.91     6.54    77.43     4.68    17.04     4.90    18.18    87.66    35.41P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   58  +14       2.05    58.85     1.98    75.57     4.55    17.67     2.18    10.19    79.33    29.43P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         35   55  +11       1.05    54.72     2.19    72.25     4.49    14.42     0.58     2.93    54.14    15.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         35   55   +5       5.18    72.02     1.90    70.38     4.44     5.58     0.13     0.87    32.90     7.99P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   52  +17      -2.21    40.44     7.70    68.26     4.51    18.84     0.05     0.47    23.46     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        36   52   +2       3.77    66.59     3.26    65.27     4.22     1.39     0.00     0.03     5.69     1.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Southend         35   51   +2       4.97    71.14     4.51    64.69     4.41     0.05     0.00     0.05     5.11     0.96P    0.05R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       35   50   +0       3.69    66.42     2.36    64.46     4.48    -0.93     0.00     0.02     4.78     0.93P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        35   49   +2      -3.73    34.10    -5.14    65.68     4.52     4.38     0.00     0.05     8.81     2.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon          34   48   +2      -4.30    31.37    -6.61    65.80     4.78     4.00     0.01     0.12     9.83     2.60P    0.08R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   48   -1       0.14    51.05    -0.68    63.75     4.55    -0.10     0.00     0.02     3.33     0.74P    0.21R    0.00  
Bury             35   48  -10       7.00    78.59     0.98    60.61     4.42   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.08P    1.39R    0.00  
Peterborough     35   45   +2      -5.54    27.31    -1.67    62.48     4.59     5.62     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.57P    0.50R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   43  -10      -1.07    46.14    -4.37    55.70     4.40   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   11.78R    0.00  
Chesterfield     35   41   -8      -6.28    24.48    -6.78    56.05     4.51    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   10.75R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   34   40   -1      -4.20    32.01     2.19    55.30     4.61    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   12.62R    0.01  
Doncaster        35   37  -11      -7.50    19.67    -6.17    51.20     4.46   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.50R    0.29  
Blackpool        35   35  -13      -7.39    20.37    -5.25    49.09     4.44   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.16R    0.97  
Oldham           33   34  -11      -5.25    26.96    -2.57    49.34     4.77   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.38R    0.79  
Crewe            35   30  -23      -4.40    30.63    -1.57    41.52     4.26   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.62R   20.20  
Colchester       35   27  -39      -5.88    24.61   -12.13    36.87     4.16   -48.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   77.74  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 3 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          35   78  +30      18.86    98.35    13.10    96.70     4.56    35.40    95.36    99.93   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   65  +27       6.97    77.67    12.13    84.16     4.50    33.01     2.65    79.89    99.68    85.56P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             35   65  +20       7.79    80.99     6.69    83.36     4.47    24.72     1.75    70.71    99.35    78.80P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   59  +26       1.39    55.94    11.79    77.61     4.50    31.20     0.13    23.00    91.72    43.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       35   59  +15       6.84    77.25     8.65    76.60     4.55    18.64     0.07    13.46    87.18    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   57  +14       8.28    81.96    11.20    75.06     4.80    16.39     0.04     9.23    76.45    22.19P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   53   +9       3.72    66.01     7.18    68.99     4.54    10.33     0.00     0.57    27.90     6.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        35   53   +3      -4.19    32.47   -10.74    71.62     4.56     8.32     0.00     1.93    48.18    15.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   52   +5       1.00    54.76    -1.62    69.92     4.70     7.21     0.00     0.90    33.63     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            35   51   +5       6.18    75.73     9.30    64.49     4.43     2.75     0.00     0.04     6.05     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             34   51   +2       4.87    70.59     3.32    66.93     4.79     1.08     0.00     0.26    14.36     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                35   50   +2      -0.32    48.81    -1.46    65.79     4.53     3.05     0.00     0.07     9.05     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        35   50   +2       3.67    65.97     4.75    63.67     4.49    -0.17     0.00     0.02     3.85     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   48   -4       1.71    57.92    -1.16    62.24     4.55    -5.31     0.00     0.01     1.85     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               35   46   -4       2.61    61.98     3.17    59.53     4.53    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         35   42  -16      -3.09    37.37   -11.56    56.58     4.55   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County         34   40  -11      -7.08    22.07   -11.45    57.19     4.86    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            35   37   -8      -7.39    20.87    -1.82    52.05     4.58    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.06  
Newport_County       34   37  -13      -3.40    35.56    -3.97    50.63     4.61   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.10  
Yeovil               35   35  -12     -10.05    13.04    -8.27    48.96     4.48   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.22  
Stevenage            35   34  -17     -10.98    11.19   -12.20    47.17     4.49   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.15R    0.75  
Hartlepool           32   31  -21      -1.40    44.20    -3.61    45.09     4.87   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.45R    4.29  
York                 35   26  -29     -11.16     9.08   -12.49    37.29     4.26   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.77R   42.50  
Dag_&_Red            35   25  -25     -13.75     5.17   -10.93    36.21     4.27   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.47R   52.07  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Altrincham 2 3 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       37   80  +43       5.50    72.96     7.14    97.45     3.83    50.58    78.60   100.00    86.93P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     37   78  +27      12.73    92.24     5.04    93.03     4.04    31.16    17.83    99.99    39.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   68  +39      -0.99    44.64     7.25    87.32     4.41    45.32     3.56    99.11    40.23P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   35   61  +15       7.37    79.98     6.66    76.63     4.37    16.07     0.01    52.72     8.40P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   61  +13      -3.05    36.80    -6.70    75.80     4.05    16.58     0.00    46.17    10.71P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   34   58  +14       5.87    74.72     5.92    76.11     4.76    16.49     0.00    48.62     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        36   58   -6       9.31    84.98    -4.44    71.20     4.29    -6.75     0.00    10.19     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   56  +16      -1.37    44.24     4.10    70.18     4.17    16.70     0.00     9.30     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        35   56   +5       4.09    67.56    -0.58    74.16     4.48     9.73     0.00    29.06     4.16P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     36   55  +10       3.11    63.51     6.51    68.36     4.20     9.31     0.00     3.97     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          36   51   +0       5.07    70.91     6.59    64.59     4.36    -0.46     0.00     0.58     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           37   49   +7      -7.50    21.16    -1.54    61.47     3.97     7.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     36   49   +6      -4.21    32.17     0.28    63.41     4.26     7.12     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        36   45  -15       1.74    58.49    -5.59    57.92     4.19   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Chester          36   43   -3      -1.65    43.38     4.81    55.59     4.17    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Barrow           35   43  -15       5.15    72.37     2.16    56.05     4.53   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Southport        37   42  -16       2.98    64.43     1.43    53.56     3.97   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.03R    0.00  
Guiseley         35   40  -17       3.40    66.15     0.20    50.77     4.20   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.87R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood     36   36   -6      -5.76    26.01     3.46    47.78     4.06    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.32R    0.12  
Halifax          35   36  -21      -6.61    23.17   -11.56    49.26     4.39   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.32R    0.16  
Altrincham       35   35  -24       0.28    52.52    -2.98    47.30     4.34   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.59R    0.60  
Torquay          34   33  -22      -8.20    16.94   -12.89    49.72     4.78   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.35R    0.18  
Welling          37   27  -26     -10.14    11.34    -6.04    36.62     3.76   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.95R   43.13  
Kidderminster    37   24  -24     -17.04     1.97    -9.24    35.20     3.95   -25.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R   55.80