Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 10 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 March 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        29   60  +21      16.33    98.13    15.33    73.75     3.99    23.12    50.25    75.28    90.14    97.47    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   55  +27       4.87    72.87    11.20    70.72     3.94    32.11    22.72    51.38    76.45    92.24    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   52  +16      -0.13    48.79    -2.78    69.34     3.77    23.76    11.99    32.77    58.67    85.98    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   50  +21      -5.48    22.95    -6.66    69.24     4.11    29.68    14.29    36.55    61.46    84.74    98.13     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   49  +12       7.00    81.16     8.81    61.42     3.99    12.12     0.23     1.23     4.02    11.90    57.28     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   47  +10      -2.18    39.12    -3.88    62.53     3.89    14.76     0.43     2.07     6.58    18.18    70.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   44   +6      -0.12    49.58    -2.57    60.31     4.30     9.95     0.08     0.69     2.45     7.86    46.10     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   43   -3       5.21    75.14    -0.45    54.34     3.89    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.26     4.94     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   41   +7      -3.91    30.95    -0.60    54.47     3.95     8.68     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.34     6.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   40   +4     -11.08     7.90   -13.32    55.61     4.04     8.86     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.68    11.90     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   39   -6       4.57    72.98     1.50    49.20     3.80    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          28   38  +12      -6.19    21.45     3.41    53.43     4.26    14.65     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     6.13     0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   37   -1       2.42    62.80     6.54    48.46     3.92    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   35  -10       2.57    63.53     2.28    44.02     3.78   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -7      -0.99    45.60     1.56    43.04     3.79   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.62R    0.00  
Swansea          29   33   -9      -2.85    36.18    -3.26    44.00     3.92   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.90R    0.00  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -3.76    31.13    -0.90    34.35     3.85   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.18R    0.93  
Norwich          29   24  -23      -4.31    29.30    -3.83    33.05     3.73   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.88R    2.30  
Newcastle        28   24  -25      -2.19    39.24    -4.59    33.93     3.97   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.82R    2.78  
Aston_Villa      29   16  -33      -8.01    11.79    -7.80    23.28     3.47   -40.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   94.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Blackburn 2 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         36   71  +28       7.01    78.46     6.45    88.47     4.15    33.39    44.05    75.53    99.99    83.85P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   67  +26       5.48    74.08     6.51    85.97     4.30    31.50    22.16    51.16    99.90    68.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        36   65  +15      10.91    89.23     7.48    79.63     4.15    16.59     1.37     6.09    95.80    24.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            34   64  +28       2.81    62.50     7.31    86.92     4.42    37.37    32.18    65.19    99.93    78.55P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           36   60  +15       0.51    52.18    -0.33    77.00     4.21    19.86     0.23     1.93    86.61    25.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   56  +14       4.23    68.66     9.68    71.03     4.15    15.99     0.00     0.03    39.57     7.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         36   55   +7       3.41    65.03     3.15    68.73     4.22     7.12     0.00     0.00    19.03     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         35   55   +2       4.70    70.42    -1.79    71.50     4.36     4.27     0.00     0.06    38.18     6.64P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   54   +6       6.45    77.19     5.90    68.93     4.40     6.07     0.00     0.01    18.71     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   49   +0       1.69    58.08     1.59    62.10     4.10    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             36   47   +1      -5.30    28.08    -3.66    61.51     4.15     2.42     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   46   -5      -4.33    31.69    -6.78    59.50     4.11    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   45   +2      -3.51    34.31     0.35    59.60     4.37     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading         35   44   +0      -2.16    40.44     2.14    57.26     4.29    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United    35   44   -6       1.05    55.26     0.24    57.44     4.24    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   43   +3      -6.28    23.37     0.22    59.22     4.41     4.78     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford       35   43   -7      -4.04    32.70    -5.52    57.99     4.44    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Huddersfield    36   42   -2      -3.46    35.40     3.89    53.86     4.11    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.16R    0.00  
Fulham          36   37   -6      -8.47    17.72     0.89    50.54     4.25    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.78R    0.07  
Bristol_City    36   37  -25      -1.56    44.02    -9.02    47.79     4.00   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.57R    0.49  
MK_Dons         36   36  -18      -4.84    29.54    -6.24    47.18     4.03   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.19R    0.40  
Rotherham       36   35  -19      -1.99    41.87    -0.30    45.29     3.97   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.57R    1.33  
Charlton        36   29  -34      -6.38    22.32   -13.00    37.73     3.79   -41.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.10R   43.72  
Bolton          36   26  -25     -12.67     6.28    -9.16    36.45     3.98   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.25R   53.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Bradford 2 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    35   68  +14      17.14    97.02     9.41    84.27     4.47    15.86    42.31    75.10    99.60    80.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            35   64  +25      -0.31    48.12     0.97    84.07     4.44    32.29    46.62    79.53    99.58    86.96P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       35   59  +17       5.21    71.45     8.24    76.06     4.57    20.00     3.16    12.92    82.88    29.78P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   59  +14       7.01    78.54     6.04    77.47     4.66    17.13     4.99    18.04    87.95    35.29P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   58  +14       2.20    59.37     2.20    75.57     4.54    17.66     2.27    10.17    79.59    29.22P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         35   55  +11       0.80    53.78     1.79    72.32     4.47    14.52     0.47     2.74    54.97    15.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         35   55   +5       5.41    72.98     2.20    70.29     4.46     5.46     0.12     0.85    32.13     7.39P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   52  +17      -1.90    41.91     8.22    68.18     4.49    18.75     0.04     0.42    22.71     6.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        36   52   +2       3.67    66.13     3.15    65.23     4.24     1.37     0.00     0.02     5.69     1.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         35   51   +2       4.98    70.91     4.55    64.63     4.42    -0.05     0.00     0.03     5.04     0.96P    0.05R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       35   50   +0       3.88    67.42     2.59    64.40     4.48    -1.03     0.00     0.02     4.73     0.83P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        35   49   +2      -3.42    35.23    -4.71    65.57     4.51     4.20     0.00     0.05     8.30     2.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon          34   48   +2      -4.31    31.61    -6.55    65.83     4.78     4.03     0.01     0.09    10.17     2.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   48   -1       0.24    51.53    -0.50    63.78     4.56    -0.11     0.00     0.01     3.55     0.81P    0.26R    0.00  
Bury             35   48  -10       7.23    79.42     1.32    60.53     4.40   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.08P    1.38R    0.00  
Peterborough     35   45   +2      -5.59    27.28    -1.70    62.53     4.57     5.69     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.58P    0.53R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       35   43  -10      -1.28    44.83    -4.72    55.78     4.41   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   11.34R    0.00  
Chesterfield     35   41   -8      -6.51    23.59    -7.11    56.10     4.50    -8.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.65R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   34   40   -1      -4.19    31.88     2.20    55.30     4.62    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.53R    0.01  
Doncaster        35   37  -11      -7.62    19.33    -6.26    51.21     4.46   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.90R    0.26  
Blackpool        35   35  -13      -7.17    21.05    -5.00    49.05     4.43   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.82R    1.01  
Oldham           33   34  -11      -5.34    26.30    -2.71    49.36     4.80   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.11R    0.77  
Crewe            35   30  -23      -4.50    30.24    -1.74    41.64     4.25   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.41R   19.13  
Colchester       35   27  -39      -5.76    25.34   -11.89    36.79     4.16   -48.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   78.82  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 3 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          35   78  +30      18.83    98.23    13.11    96.70     4.57    35.36    95.27    99.93   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   65  +27       6.96    77.85    12.16    84.15     4.53    33.01     2.82    79.85    99.68    85.59P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             35   65  +20       8.07    81.64     7.04    83.25     4.46    24.59     1.67    69.67    99.33    77.97P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   59  +26       1.34    56.05    11.70    77.61     4.49    31.18     0.14    23.22    91.74    43.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       35   59  +15       6.68    76.58     8.42    76.67     4.55    18.71     0.07    14.18    87.52    31.79P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   57  +14       8.38    82.54    11.31    75.04     4.78    16.37     0.03     9.43    76.56    22.54P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   53   +9       3.89    66.91     7.43    68.96     4.53    10.31     0.00     0.53    27.91     6.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        35   53   +3      -4.18    32.66   -10.74    71.58     4.58     8.29     0.00     1.84    47.63    15.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   52   +5       0.79    53.63    -1.90    69.96     4.72     7.24     0.00     1.07    33.74     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            35   51   +5       6.07    75.55     9.21    64.51     4.43     2.80     0.00     0.03     5.96     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             34   51   +2       5.12    71.86     3.65    66.84     4.76     0.95     0.00     0.18    14.03     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                35   50   +2      -0.08    49.64    -1.15    65.77     4.54     3.00     0.00     0.05     9.08     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        35   50   +2       3.51    65.37     4.48    63.75     4.51    -0.07     0.00     0.02     4.07     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   48   -4       1.71    57.67    -1.20    62.26     4.53    -5.24     0.00     0.00     1.95     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               35   46   -4       2.65    61.85     3.28    59.49     4.53    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         35   42  -16      -2.98    37.86   -11.46    56.56     4.55   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County         34   40  -11      -6.94    22.59   -11.25    57.14     4.83   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            35   37   -8      -7.50    20.67    -1.93    52.09     4.62    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.07  
Newport_County       34   37  -13      -3.54    34.64    -4.18    50.66     4.59   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.07  
Yeovil               35   35  -12     -10.29    12.82    -8.62    48.99     4.48   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.20  
Stevenage            35   34  -17     -11.06    10.73   -12.29    47.19     4.46   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.30R    0.70  
Hartlepool           32   31  -21      -1.42    44.24    -3.62    45.16     4.88   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.49R    4.28  
York                 35   26  -29     -11.21     9.14   -12.61    37.30     4.28   -34.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.94R   42.41  
Dag_&_Red            35   25  -25     -13.69     5.34   -10.83    36.19     4.28   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.42R   52.27  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Altrincham 2 3 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       37   80  +43       5.51    73.07     7.16    97.42     3.83    50.56    78.41   100.00    86.88P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     37   78  +27      12.86    92.36     5.21    92.99     4.02    31.09    17.97    99.99    39.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   68  +39      -1.28    43.19     6.82    87.41     4.37    45.44     3.62    99.25    40.54P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   35   61  +15       7.36    80.09     6.70    76.59     4.35    16.02     0.00    52.05     8.14P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   61  +13      -3.23    36.15    -6.96    75.84     4.03    16.64     0.00    46.22    10.46P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   34   58  +14       5.66    73.90     5.62    76.14     4.74    16.58     0.00    48.89     6.94P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        36   58   -6       9.38    85.19    -4.34    71.24     4.27    -6.73     0.00    10.08     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   56  +16      -1.31    44.29     4.20    70.18     4.17    16.69     0.00     9.23     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        35   56   +5       3.89    66.75    -0.94    74.24     4.47     9.88     0.00    29.37     4.18P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     36   55  +10       3.05    63.26     6.40    68.35     4.24     9.28     0.00     4.12     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          36   51   +0       4.98    70.53     6.43    64.61     4.35    -0.39     0.00     0.54     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           37   49   +7      -7.44    21.11    -1.47    61.51     3.98     7.07     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     36   49   +6      -4.25    31.92     0.25    63.46     4.22     7.21     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        36   45  -15       1.56    57.70    -5.83    57.99     4.16   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Chester          36   43   -3      -1.39    44.58     5.20    55.54     4.16    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Barrow           35   43  -15       5.27    72.98     2.40    55.97     4.55   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Southport        37   42  -16       3.07    64.73     1.52    53.51     3.95   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.00  
Guiseley         35   40  -17       3.34    66.02     0.17    50.76     4.19   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.81R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood     36   36   -6      -5.86    26.09     3.38    47.80     4.05    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.12R    0.12  
Halifax          35   36  -21      -6.49    23.50   -11.34    49.26     4.40   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.93R    0.14  
Altrincham       35   35  -24       0.46    53.45    -2.70    47.24     4.33   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.96R    0.61  
Torquay          34   33  -22      -8.01    17.63   -12.65    49.60     4.79   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.96R    0.22  
Welling          37   27  -26      -9.95    11.71    -5.86    36.60     3.76   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.91R   43.40  
Kidderminster    37   24  -24     -17.16     2.15    -9.36    35.21     3.96   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.92R   55.50