Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 10 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 March 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 29 60 +21 16.33 98.13 15.33 73.75 3.99 23.12 50.25 75.28 90.14 97.47 99.89 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 55 +27 4.87 72.87 11.20 70.72 3.94 32.11 22.72 51.38 76.45 92.24 99.36 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 52 +16 -0.13 48.79 -2.78 69.34 3.77 23.76 11.99 32.77 58.67 85.98 98.56 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 50 +21 -5.48 22.95 -6.66 69.24 4.11 29.68 14.29 36.55 61.46 84.74 98.13 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 29 49 +12 7.00 81.16 8.81 61.42 3.99 12.12 0.23 1.23 4.02 11.90 57.28 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 47 +10 -2.18 39.12 -3.88 62.53 3.89 14.76 0.43 2.07 6.58 18.18 70.19 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 28 44 +6 -0.12 49.58 -2.57 60.31 4.30 9.95 0.08 0.69 2.45 7.86 46.10 0.00 0.00 Stoke 29 43 -3 5.21 75.14 -0.45 54.34 3.89 -4.43 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.26 4.94 0.00 0.00 Southampton 29 41 +7 -3.91 30.95 -0.60 54.47 3.95 8.68 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.34 6.96 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 40 +4 -11.08 7.90 -13.32 55.61 4.04 8.86 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.68 11.90 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 29 39 -6 4.57 72.98 1.50 49.20 3.80 -9.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.02R 0.00 Everton 28 38 +12 -6.19 21.45 3.41 53.43 4.26 14.65 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.35 6.13 0.00 0.00 Watford 29 37 -1 2.42 62.80 6.54 48.46 3.92 -2.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03R 0.00 Bournemouth 29 35 -10 2.57 63.53 2.28 44.02 3.78 -15.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 33 -7 -0.99 45.60 1.56 43.04 3.79 -10.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.62R 0.00 Swansea 29 33 -9 -2.85 36.18 -3.26 44.00 3.92 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.90R 0.00 Sunderland 29 25 -19 -3.76 31.13 -0.90 34.35 3.85 -23.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.18R 0.93 Norwich 29 24 -23 -4.31 29.30 -3.83 33.05 3.73 -28.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.88R 2.30 Newcastle 28 24 -25 -2.19 39.24 -4.59 33.93 3.97 -31.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.82R 2.78 Aston_Villa 29 16 -33 -8.01 11.79 -7.80 23.28 3.47 -40.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.89R 94.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Blackburn 2 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 36 71 +28 7.01 78.46 6.45 88.47 4.15 33.39 44.05 75.53 99.99 83.85P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 35 67 +26 5.48 74.08 6.51 85.97 4.30 31.50 22.16 51.16 99.90 68.13P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 36 65 +15 10.91 89.23 7.48 79.63 4.15 16.59 1.37 6.09 95.80 24.20P 0.00 0.00 Hull 34 64 +28 2.81 62.50 7.31 86.92 4.42 37.37 32.18 65.19 99.93 78.55P 0.00 0.00 Derby 36 60 +15 0.51 52.18 -0.33 77.00 4.21 19.86 0.23 1.93 86.61 25.14P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 36 56 +14 4.23 68.66 9.68 71.03 4.15 15.99 0.00 0.03 39.57 7.06P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 36 55 +7 3.41 65.03 3.15 68.73 4.22 7.12 0.00 0.00 19.03 3.20P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 35 55 +2 4.70 70.42 -1.79 71.50 4.36 4.27 0.00 0.06 38.18 6.64P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 35 54 +6 6.45 77.19 5.90 68.93 4.40 6.07 0.00 0.01 18.71 2.85P 0.00 0.00 Preston 36 49 +0 1.69 58.08 1.59 62.10 4.10 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.70 0.11P 0.00 0.00 QPR 36 47 +1 -5.30 28.08 -3.66 61.51 4.15 2.42 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 36 46 -5 -4.33 31.69 -6.78 59.50 4.11 -5.21 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 0.02R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 35 45 +2 -3.51 34.31 0.35 59.60 4.37 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.05P 0.02R 0.00 Reading 35 44 +0 -2.16 40.44 2.14 57.26 4.29 -2.28 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.07R 0.00 Leeds_United 35 44 -6 1.05 55.26 0.24 57.44 4.24 -8.06 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.09R 0.00 Blackburn 35 43 +3 -6.28 23.37 0.22 59.22 4.41 4.78 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 0.04R 0.00 Brentford 35 43 -7 -4.04 32.70 -5.52 57.99 4.44 -7.13 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.15R 0.00 Huddersfield 36 42 -2 -3.46 35.40 3.89 53.86 4.11 -4.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 1.16R 0.00 Fulham 36 37 -6 -8.47 17.72 0.89 50.54 4.25 -6.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.78R 0.07 Bristol_City 36 37 -25 -1.56 44.02 -9.02 47.79 4.00 -29.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.57R 0.49 MK_Dons 36 36 -18 -4.84 29.54 -6.24 47.18 4.03 -21.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.19R 0.40 Rotherham 36 35 -19 -1.99 41.87 -0.30 45.29 3.97 -24.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.57R 1.33 Charlton 36 29 -34 -6.38 22.32 -13.00 37.73 3.79 -41.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.10R 43.72 Bolton 36 26 -25 -12.67 6.28 -9.16 36.45 3.98 -30.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.25R 53.99League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Bradford 2 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 35 68 +14 17.14 97.02 9.41 84.27 4.47 15.86 42.31 75.10 99.60 80.04P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 35 64 +25 -0.31 48.12 0.97 84.07 4.44 32.29 46.62 79.53 99.58 86.96P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 35 59 +17 5.21 71.45 8.24 76.06 4.57 20.00 3.16 12.92 82.88 29.78P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 34 59 +14 7.01 78.54 6.04 77.47 4.66 17.13 4.99 18.04 87.95 35.29P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 35 58 +14 2.20 59.37 2.20 75.57 4.54 17.66 2.27 10.17 79.59 29.22P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 35 55 +11 0.80 53.78 1.79 72.32 4.47 14.52 0.47 2.74 54.97 15.99P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 35 55 +5 5.41 72.98 2.20 70.29 4.46 5.46 0.12 0.85 32.13 7.39P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 35 52 +17 -1.90 41.91 8.22 68.18 4.49 18.75 0.04 0.42 22.71 6.03P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 36 52 +2 3.67 66.13 3.15 65.23 4.24 1.37 0.00 0.02 5.69 1.05P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 35 51 +2 4.98 70.91 4.55 64.63 4.42 -0.05 0.00 0.03 5.04 0.96P 0.05R 0.00 Scunthorpe 35 50 +0 3.88 67.42 2.59 64.40 4.48 -1.03 0.00 0.02 4.73 0.83P 0.05R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 35 49 +2 -3.42 35.23 -4.71 65.57 4.51 4.20 0.00 0.05 8.30 2.25P 0.04R 0.00 Swindon 34 48 +2 -4.31 31.61 -6.55 65.83 4.78 4.03 0.01 0.09 10.17 2.70P 0.07R 0.00 Rochdale 35 48 -1 0.24 51.53 -0.50 63.78 4.56 -0.11 0.00 0.01 3.55 0.81P 0.26R 0.00 Bury 35 48 -10 7.23 79.42 1.32 60.53 4.40 -13.98 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.08P 1.38R 0.00 Peterborough 35 45 +2 -5.59 27.28 -1.70 62.53 4.57 5.69 0.00 0.00 2.42 0.58P 0.53R 0.00 Shrewsbury 35 43 -10 -1.28 44.83 -4.72 55.78 4.41 -13.46 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 11.34R 0.00 Chesterfield 35 41 -8 -6.51 23.59 -7.11 56.10 4.50 -8.05 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 10.65R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 34 40 -1 -4.19 31.88 2.20 55.30 4.62 -2.58 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 12.53R 0.01 Doncaster 35 37 -11 -7.62 19.33 -6.26 51.21 4.46 -12.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.90R 0.26 Blackpool 35 35 -13 -7.17 21.05 -5.00 49.05 4.43 -14.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.82R 1.01 Oldham 33 34 -11 -5.34 26.30 -2.71 49.36 4.80 -14.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.11R 0.77 Crewe 35 30 -23 -4.50 30.24 -1.74 41.64 4.25 -28.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.41R 19.13 Colchester 35 27 -39 -5.76 25.34 -11.89 36.79 4.16 -48.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.83R 78.82League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 3 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 35 78 +30 18.83 98.23 13.11 96.70 4.57 35.36 95.27 99.93 100.00 99.96P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 65 +27 6.96 77.85 12.16 84.15 4.53 33.01 2.82 79.85 99.68 85.59P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 35 65 +20 8.07 81.64 7.04 83.25 4.46 24.59 1.67 69.67 99.33 77.97P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 59 +26 1.34 56.05 11.70 77.61 4.49 31.18 0.14 23.22 91.74 43.99P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 59 +15 6.68 76.58 8.42 76.67 4.55 18.71 0.07 14.18 87.52 31.79P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 34 57 +14 8.38 82.54 11.31 75.04 4.78 16.37 0.03 9.43 76.56 22.54P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 53 +9 3.89 66.91 7.43 68.96 4.53 10.31 0.00 0.53 27.91 6.35P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 35 53 +3 -4.18 32.66 -10.74 71.58 4.58 8.29 0.00 1.84 47.63 15.59P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 52 +5 0.79 53.63 -1.90 69.96 4.72 7.24 0.00 1.07 33.74 9.26P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 35 51 +5 6.07 75.55 9.21 64.51 4.43 2.80 0.00 0.03 5.96 1.03P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 34 51 +2 5.12 71.86 3.65 66.84 4.76 0.95 0.00 0.18 14.03 2.58P 0.00 0.00 Luton 35 50 +2 -0.08 49.64 -1.15 65.77 4.54 3.00 0.00 0.05 9.08 2.13P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 35 50 +2 3.51 65.37 4.48 63.75 4.51 -0.07 0.00 0.02 4.07 0.71P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 35 48 -4 1.71 57.67 -1.20 62.26 4.53 -5.24 0.00 0.00 1.95 0.37P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 35 46 -4 2.65 61.85 3.28 59.49 4.53 -6.42 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 35 42 -16 -2.98 37.86 -11.46 56.56 4.55 -16.84 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 0.04R 0.00 Notts_County 34 40 -11 -6.94 22.59 -11.25 57.14 4.83 -10.07 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.03R 0.00 Morecambe 35 37 -8 -7.50 20.67 -1.93 52.09 4.62 -8.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62R 0.07 Newport_County 34 37 -13 -3.54 34.64 -4.18 50.66 4.59 -17.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.20R 0.07 Yeovil 35 35 -12 -10.29 12.82 -8.62 48.99 4.48 -13.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.96R 0.20 Stevenage 35 34 -17 -11.06 10.73 -12.29 47.19 4.46 -19.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.30R 0.70 Hartlepool 32 31 -21 -1.42 44.24 -3.62 45.16 4.88 -28.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.49R 4.28 York 35 26 -29 -11.21 9.14 -12.61 37.30 4.28 -34.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.94R 42.41 Dag_&_Red 35 25 -25 -13.69 5.34 -10.83 36.19 4.28 -30.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.42R 52.27National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2016, Altrincham 2 3 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 37 80 +43 5.51 73.07 7.16 97.42 3.83 50.56 78.41 100.00 86.88P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 37 78 +27 12.86 92.36 5.21 92.99 4.02 31.09 17.97 99.99 39.69P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 35 68 +39 -1.28 43.19 6.82 87.41 4.37 45.44 3.62 99.25 40.54P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 35 61 +15 7.36 80.09 6.70 76.59 4.35 16.02 0.00 52.05 8.14P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 37 61 +13 -3.23 36.15 -6.96 75.84 4.03 16.64 0.00 46.22 10.46P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 34 58 +14 5.66 73.90 5.62 76.14 4.74 16.58 0.00 48.89 6.94P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 36 58 -6 9.38 85.19 -4.34 71.24 4.27 -6.73 0.00 10.08 1.02P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 36 56 +16 -1.31 44.29 4.20 70.18 4.17 16.69 0.00 9.23 1.60P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 35 56 +5 3.89 66.75 -0.94 74.24 4.47 9.88 0.00 29.37 4.18P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 36 55 +10 3.05 63.26 6.40 68.35 4.24 9.28 0.00 4.12 0.47P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 36 51 +0 4.98 70.53 6.43 64.61 4.35 -0.39 0.00 0.54 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Woking 37 49 +7 -7.44 21.11 -1.47 61.51 3.98 7.07 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 36 49 +6 -4.25 31.92 0.25 63.46 4.22 7.21 0.00 0.25 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 36 45 -15 1.56 57.70 -5.83 57.99 4.16 -16.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00 Chester 36 43 -3 -1.39 44.58 5.20 55.54 4.16 -5.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52R 0.00 Barrow 35 43 -15 5.27 72.98 2.40 55.97 4.55 -18.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84R 0.00 Southport 37 42 -16 3.07 64.73 1.52 53.51 3.95 -17.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.88R 0.00 Guiseley 35 40 -17 3.34 66.02 0.17 50.76 4.19 -23.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.81R 0.01 Boreham_Wood 36 36 -6 -5.86 26.09 3.38 47.80 4.05 -8.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.12R 0.12 Halifax 35 36 -21 -6.49 23.50 -11.34 49.26 4.40 -24.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.93R 0.14 Altrincham 35 35 -24 0.46 53.45 -2.70 47.24 4.33 -28.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.96R 0.61 Torquay 34 33 -22 -8.01 17.63 -12.65 49.60 4.79 -21.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.96R 0.22 Welling 37 27 -26 -9.95 11.71 -5.86 36.60 3.76 -29.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.91R 43.40 Kidderminster 37 24 -24 -17.16 2.15 -9.36 35.21 3.96 -25.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.92R 55.50