Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 7 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 March 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        29   60  +21      16.35    98.03    15.36    73.72     4.02    23.08    50.29    74.98    90.10    97.36    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   55  +27       4.97    73.22    11.40    70.70     3.98    32.06    23.18    51.70    76.46    92.08    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   52  +16      -0.00    49.64    -2.62    69.29     3.79    23.69    11.89    32.69    58.65    85.42    98.50     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   50  +21      -5.33    23.38    -6.41    69.20     4.15    29.58    13.92    36.63    61.26    84.91    97.86     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   49  +12       6.85    80.86     8.59    61.49     3.97    12.22     0.23     1.14     4.01    12.39    57.76     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   47  +10      -2.22    38.71    -3.88    62.52     3.88    14.74     0.38     2.13     6.73    18.16    70.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   44   +6      -0.12    49.37    -2.57    60.30     4.32     9.95     0.11     0.72     2.57     7.99    46.17     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   43   -3       5.18    75.09    -0.49    54.33     3.89    -4.41     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.25     4.96     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   41   +7      -3.84    31.42    -0.44    54.45     3.95     8.65     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.31     6.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   40   +4     -11.20     7.56   -13.51    55.67     4.03     8.93     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.73    12.02     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   39   -6       4.62    73.04     1.65    49.17     3.81    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          28   38  +12      -6.21    21.40     3.35    53.41     4.27    14.65     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.38     6.12     0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   37   -1       2.42    62.86     6.52    48.47     3.92    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   35  -10       2.44    63.09     2.06    44.07     3.77   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.60R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -7      -1.02    45.57     1.57    43.03     3.80   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70R    0.00  
Swansea          29   33   -9      -2.89    35.85    -3.34    43.99     3.90   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.00  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -3.79    30.98    -0.99    34.35     3.85   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.19R    1.06  
Norwich          29   24  -23      -4.33    29.22    -3.90    33.07     3.74   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.18R    2.15  
Newcastle        28   24  -25      -2.16    39.47    -4.56    33.94     3.93   -31.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.55R    2.69  
Aston_Villa      29   16  -33      -7.99    12.04    -7.79    23.32     3.44   -40.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   94.10  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Brentford 1 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         35   68  +27       6.02    75.49     6.36    87.16     4.40    32.86    29.60    60.34    99.86    73.70P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   67  +27       7.00    79.62     7.74    87.93     4.53    33.31    36.83    65.73    99.90    77.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            34   64  +28       2.63    61.67     7.04    86.95     4.41    37.42    30.73    61.55    99.88    76.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        35   64  +15      11.35    90.49     7.67    80.20     4.41    16.87     2.02     7.76    93.22    24.79P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           35   60  +17       1.32    55.79     0.84    78.55     4.41    22.16     0.80     4.31    88.45    27.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       35   55  +14       4.20    68.73     9.17    71.17     4.40    15.71     0.01     0.06    32.73     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         35   55   +9       4.32    69.07     4.44    70.74     4.44    10.03     0.00     0.07    27.64     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   54   +8       7.15    79.83     7.00    70.14     4.60     7.90     0.01     0.08    21.50     3.47P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         34   54   +2       5.07    72.22    -1.79    72.07     4.60     4.56     0.01     0.10    35.12     6.27P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   49   +1       2.62    62.10     2.05    63.27     4.32     0.36     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         34   44   +2      -1.73    42.55     2.73    58.74     4.55    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR             35   44   -1      -6.06    25.28    -4.44    59.56     4.39    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   35   43   -6      -5.41    27.23    -6.97    58.47     4.35    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Brentford       35   43   -7      -4.18    32.23    -5.74    58.14     4.45    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   34   42   +1      -4.90    28.55    -0.23    58.18     4.59     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United    34   41   -8      -0.08    50.52    -1.01    55.17     4.41   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.53R    0.00  
Blackburn       34   40   +1      -7.30    19.51    -0.91    57.70     4.62     2.92     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Huddersfield    35   39   -4      -4.07    32.30     3.31    52.16     4.35    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.50R    0.02  
Fulham          35   37   -5      -7.48    20.34     1.09    51.60     4.43    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.04  
Bristol_City    35   37  -24      -0.76    47.52    -9.00    48.69     4.23   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.25R    0.35  
MK_Dons         35   35  -18      -4.54    30.51    -6.12    47.47     4.30   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.22R    0.62  
Rotherham       35   32  -20      -3.69    33.43    -1.19    43.03     4.18   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.49R    5.23  
Charlton        35   28  -34      -5.99    23.55   -12.66    38.11     4.04   -41.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.79R   40.07  
Bolton          35   25  -25     -12.42     6.41    -9.38    36.48     4.19   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.26R   53.67  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Bury 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    34   68  +16      17.59    97.47    10.17    85.81     4.74    18.14    52.36    81.93    99.74    85.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            35   64  +25      -0.23    48.29     1.06    84.03     4.42    32.23    38.93    77.99    99.56    86.05P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       35   59  +17       5.37    72.40     8.46    76.01     4.58    19.91     2.43    11.18    82.44    27.92P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   59  +14       7.35    79.63     6.51    77.44     4.72    17.04     3.93    16.07    87.89    33.18P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   58  +14       1.95    58.25     1.82    75.65     4.56    17.77     1.76     8.78    79.80    28.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         35   55  +11       1.09    54.99     2.30    72.25     4.47    14.45     0.35     2.25    54.89    14.98P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         34   52  +18      -1.15    44.91     8.25    69.87     4.76    20.21     0.16     1.18    35.98    10.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         34   52   +3       4.67    70.55     1.46    68.46     4.67     3.20     0.06     0.42    20.33     4.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale        36   52   +2       3.55    65.41     2.99    65.30     4.22     1.44     0.00     0.02     5.69     1.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         35   51   +2       5.27    71.94     4.96    64.63     4.41    -0.05     0.00     0.02     5.20     0.97P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        35   49   +2      -3.57    34.67    -4.91    65.68     4.53     4.35     0.00     0.04     8.81     2.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon          34   48   +2      -4.47    31.00    -6.80    65.92     4.81     4.18     0.01     0.10    10.66     2.82P    0.09R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   48   -1       0.16    50.98    -0.60    63.73     4.54    -0.13     0.00     0.01     3.43     0.72P    0.23R    0.00  
Bury             35   48  -10       7.26    79.58     1.34    60.51     4.44   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.10P    1.48R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       34   47   -2       3.10    64.17     1.91    62.71     4.73    -3.12     0.00     0.01     2.54     0.48P    0.54R    0.00  
Peterborough     35   45   +2      -5.67    26.67    -1.80    62.50     4.59     5.64     0.00     0.00     2.31     0.52P    0.51R    0.00  
Chesterfield     35   41   -8      -6.44    23.88    -7.07    56.07     4.50    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.58R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   34   40   -1      -4.15    31.99     2.26    55.30     4.63    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.62R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       34   40  -11      -2.56    39.06    -5.22    53.92     4.65   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.16R    0.03  
Doncaster        34   37   -9      -7.01    21.07    -5.45    52.64     4.70   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.59R    0.17  
Blackpool        35   35  -13      -7.31    20.87    -5.21    49.08     4.43   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.17R    0.97  
Oldham           33   34  -11      -5.32    26.70    -2.68    49.31     4.76   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.71R    0.76  
Crewe            35   30  -23      -4.49    30.41    -1.72    41.63     4.27   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.34R   18.99  
Colchester       35   27  -39      -5.79    25.11   -12.05    36.74     4.14   -48.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   79.05  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          35   78  +30      18.89    98.32    13.12    96.62     4.55    35.28    95.24    99.95   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   65  +27       7.05    78.18    12.26    84.17     4.50    33.02     2.66    81.70    99.63    86.89P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             35   65  +20       7.72    80.51     6.57    83.34     4.48    24.74     1.89    72.26    99.28    80.02P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   57  +16       9.03    84.40    12.19    76.45     5.01    18.44     0.09    17.03    82.78    30.29P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           34   56  +24       0.59    52.57    11.04    75.83     4.72    28.96     0.07    15.03    83.01    35.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       34   56  +13       5.92    74.43     7.61    74.92     4.81    16.55     0.04     8.68    75.60    24.42P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   53  +11       4.30    68.44     8.01    70.40     4.77    12.44     0.00     1.67    39.95    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        35   53   +3      -4.07    32.78   -10.59    71.57     4.53     8.23     0.00     2.04    46.73    15.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   52   +5       1.10    55.17    -1.48    69.89     4.73     7.16     0.00     1.07    33.16     9.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            35   51   +5       6.06    75.42     9.17    64.58     4.42     2.91     0.00     0.03     6.21     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             33   50   +2       5.56    73.43     3.79    67.57     5.03     1.46     0.00     0.41    18.38     3.53P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                35   50   +2      -0.46    48.16    -1.69    65.88     4.54     3.14     0.00     0.07     9.20     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        35   50   +2       3.57    65.75     4.52    63.70     4.50    -0.17     0.00     0.04     3.92     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   48   -4       1.62    57.63    -1.30    62.35     4.50    -5.14     0.00     0.01     1.78     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               34   43   -7       2.30    60.70     2.23    57.38     4.72   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         35   42  -16      -3.06    37.36   -11.50    56.63     4.53   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County         34   40  -11      -7.08    22.10   -11.53    57.28     4.84    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe            35   37   -8      -7.41    21.14    -1.86    52.06     4.59    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.07  
Newport_County       33   37  -10      -3.04    36.58    -2.50    52.42     4.83   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.58R    0.03  
Yeovil               35   35  -12     -10.30    12.59    -8.62    49.05     4.52   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.20R    0.22  
Stevenage            35   34  -17     -11.05    10.91   -12.32    47.07     4.46   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.64R    0.74  
Hartlepool           32   31  -21      -1.52    43.69    -3.75    45.07     4.88   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.17R    4.54  
York                 35   26  -29     -11.14     9.22   -12.48    37.29     4.24   -34.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.21R   43.15  
Dag_&_Red            34   24  -25     -13.48     5.16   -10.90    36.35     4.50   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.40R   51.24  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Altrincham 0 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       37   80  +43       5.51    73.01     7.23    97.42     3.83    50.57    79.43   100.00    87.23P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     37   78  +27      12.81    92.28     5.20    92.94     4.03    31.00    17.51   100.00    38.63P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   65  +38      -2.07    39.30     6.97    86.66     4.54    45.78     3.04    98.69    38.73P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   34   60  +15       7.68    81.39     6.60    77.09     4.62    16.20     0.02    57.88     9.24P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         36   60  +13      -2.52    38.71    -6.46    76.79     4.24    17.43     0.00    56.95    13.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   56  +16      -1.27    44.63     4.21    70.23     4.17    16.78     0.00    10.47     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   33   55  +13       4.80    70.90     5.70    75.14     4.95    16.50     0.00    42.36     6.28P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     36   55  +10       3.19    63.98     6.66    68.40     4.20     9.34     0.00     4.29     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        35   55   -7       8.17    82.27    -4.80    69.76     4.53    -7.46     0.00     7.04     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        34   53   +4       2.74    62.12    -1.15    72.69     4.73     8.93     0.00    21.31     3.08P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           36   49   +8      -6.79    23.15    -1.57    62.84     4.26     7.98     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     36   49   +6      -4.27    31.87     0.24    63.41     4.22     7.12     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          35   48   -1       3.87    66.56     6.41    63.13     4.63    -1.21     0.00     0.42     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot        35   45   -9       1.09    55.68    -3.03    59.74     4.42    -9.52     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Barrow           34   42  -15       5.68    74.93     2.61    56.47     4.76   -18.28     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.23R    0.00  
Southport        36   42  -15       3.79    67.73     1.54    53.99     4.11   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.00  
Chester          35   40   -9      -0.98    46.33     2.08    53.50     4.37   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.89R    0.00  
Guiseley         34   39  -17       3.73    67.62     0.10    50.56     4.40   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.67R    0.02  
Halifax          34   36  -20      -5.66    26.24   -11.19    50.40     4.67   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.23R    0.17  
Boreham_Wood     35   35   -6      -5.64    26.44     3.36    48.12     4.32    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.88R    0.21  
Altrincham       34   35  -23       1.49    58.37    -2.50    48.43     4.57   -27.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.71R    0.55  
Torquay          33   32  -22      -7.87    17.62   -12.83    49.89     4.99   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.34R    0.27  
Welling          36   27  -25      -9.11    13.45    -5.73    37.42     3.96   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.67R   38.28  
Kidderminster    37   24  -24     -17.36     1.90    -9.65    35.23     3.96   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   60.49