Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 6 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 March 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        29   60  +21      16.24    97.93    15.17    73.77     4.00    23.15    50.11    75.05    90.36    97.55    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   55  +27       4.79    72.76    11.10    70.73     3.97    32.12    22.91    51.71    76.52    92.34    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   52  +16      -0.05    49.23    -2.63    69.32     3.79    23.72    11.70    32.62    58.31    85.42    98.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   50  +21      -5.36    23.10    -6.51    69.29     4.11    29.72    14.52    36.72    61.53    85.33    98.18     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   49  +12       7.00    81.27     8.78    61.37     3.96    12.07     0.24     1.19     3.91    11.55    56.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   47  +10      -2.21    38.86    -3.91    62.53     3.89    14.78     0.40     2.07     6.59    18.23    70.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   44   +6      -0.19    48.89    -2.70    60.37     4.29    10.05     0.12     0.63     2.60     8.09    46.77     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   43   -3       5.27    75.47    -0.41    54.31     3.88    -4.44     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.22     5.04     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   41   +7      -3.83    31.51    -0.45    54.46     3.94     8.67     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.28     6.95     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   40   +4     -11.12     7.74   -13.35    55.61     4.04     8.83     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.64    11.81     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   39   -6       4.45    72.20     1.35    49.19     3.82    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          28   38  +12      -6.11    21.69     3.55    53.39     4.27    14.59     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.34     6.03     0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   37   -1       2.34    62.17     6.39    48.54     3.91    -2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   35  -10       2.46    63.35     2.08    44.07     3.78   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -7      -1.01    45.63     1.54    43.04     3.80   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.00  
Swansea          29   33   -9      -2.79    36.35    -3.19    43.98     3.90   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.92R    0.00  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -3.66    31.45    -0.76    34.31     3.84   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.38R    0.97  
Norwich          29   24  -23      -4.24    29.44    -3.72    33.03     3.74   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.01R    2.21  
Newcastle        28   24  -25      -2.16    39.49    -4.54    33.92     3.94   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.62R    2.71  
Aston_Villa      29   16  -33      -8.01    11.76    -7.80    23.27     3.44   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   94.11  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Brentford 1 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         35   68  +27       6.04    75.34     6.45    87.17     4.42    32.84    29.85    60.68    99.87    73.40P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   67  +27       7.04    80.10     7.76    87.95     4.52    33.35    37.58    66.03    99.94    77.56P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            34   64  +28       2.92    62.95     7.49    86.86     4.43    37.30    29.81    60.88    99.86    75.50P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        35   64  +15      11.20    90.32     7.44    80.24     4.37    16.93     1.98     7.90    93.57    25.15P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           35   60  +17       1.32    55.96     0.79    78.51     4.43    22.10     0.76     4.20    88.22    27.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       35   55  +14       4.16    68.68     9.14    71.13     4.40    15.66     0.00     0.07    32.48     5.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         35   55   +9       4.15    68.46     4.26    70.76     4.45    10.07     0.01     0.05    27.73     4.91P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   54   +8       7.31    80.71     7.17    70.07     4.60     7.78     0.00     0.05    21.27     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         34   54   +2       5.04    72.00    -1.83    72.07     4.60     4.60     0.01     0.14    35.34     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   49   +1       2.54    61.84     2.00    63.29     4.32     0.36     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         34   44   +2      -1.72    42.39     2.70    58.79     4.52    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             35   44   -1      -6.26    24.54    -4.71    59.57     4.40    -0.01     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   35   43   -6      -5.24    27.73    -6.75    58.44     4.36    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       35   43   -7      -4.02    32.74    -5.45    58.07     4.43    -7.05     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   34   42   +1      -4.71    29.09    -0.00    58.07     4.59     0.67     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Leeds_United    34   41   -8      -0.04    50.69    -0.93    55.14     4.42   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Blackburn       34   40   +1      -7.28    19.89    -0.89    57.68     4.61     2.92     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Huddersfield    35   39   -4      -4.28    31.61     2.99    52.22     4.35    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.53R    0.01  
Fulham          35   37   -5      -7.65    19.71     0.95    51.62     4.47    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.04  
Bristol_City    35   37  -24      -0.56    48.35    -8.69    48.68     4.22   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.63R    0.39  
MK_Dons         35   35  -18      -4.70    29.84    -6.36    47.57     4.30   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.34R    0.61  
Rotherham       35   32  -20      -3.61    34.03    -1.06    43.02     4.13   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.04R    5.16  
Charlton        35   28  -34      -6.11    23.16   -12.93    38.19     4.03   -41.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.73R   40.01  
Bolton          35   25  -25     -12.46     6.49    -9.52    36.55     4.22   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.21R   53.78  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Bury 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    34   68  +16      17.80    97.72    10.51    85.71     4.71    17.99    51.42    81.31    99.76    85.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            35   64  +25      -0.21    48.49     1.13    84.06     4.45    32.26    39.84    78.16    99.59    86.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       35   59  +17       5.18    71.43     8.19    76.07     4.54    19.99     2.45    11.45    82.87    28.19P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   59  +14       7.24    79.50     6.36    77.47     4.70    17.12     3.98    16.11    87.93    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   58  +14       1.97    58.12     1.86    75.64     4.56    17.77     1.77     9.00    79.57    28.53P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         35   55  +11       0.98    54.22     2.08    72.27     4.47    14.49     0.33     2.25    54.69    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         34   52  +18      -1.19    44.52     8.21    69.93     4.75    20.31     0.15     1.15    36.43    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         34   52   +3       4.50    69.90     1.25    68.47     4.65     3.21     0.04     0.35    20.20     4.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale        36   52   +2       3.78    66.69     3.24    65.28     4.23     1.42     0.00     0.02     5.78     1.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         35   51   +2       5.11    71.82     4.71    64.65     4.43    -0.01     0.00     0.02     5.13     0.89P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        35   49   +2      -3.67    34.38    -4.98    65.67     4.52     4.30     0.00     0.06     8.70     2.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon          34   48   +2      -4.33    31.66    -6.61    65.83     4.80     4.06     0.01     0.10    10.02     2.60P    0.09R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   48   -1       0.19    50.91    -0.58    63.70     4.53    -0.18     0.00     0.01     3.46     0.74P    0.23R    0.00  
Bury             35   48  -10       7.17    79.20     1.26    60.50     4.43   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.07P    1.56R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       34   47   -2       3.03    64.14     1.81    62.77     4.69    -3.00     0.00     0.01     2.54     0.47P    0.47R    0.00  
Peterborough     35   45   +2      -5.64    27.19    -1.80    62.56     4.59     5.73     0.00     0.00     2.64     0.68P    0.48R    0.00  
Chesterfield     35   41   -8      -6.62    23.26    -7.32    56.16     4.52    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.26R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   34   40   -1      -4.19    31.66     2.20    55.29     4.62    -2.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.61R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       34   40  -11      -2.39    40.00    -4.94    53.85     4.65   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   23.51R    0.03  
Doncaster        34   37   -9      -7.00    21.16    -5.46    52.63     4.70   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.43R    0.14  
Blackpool        35   35  -13      -7.13    21.23    -4.93    48.99     4.43   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.04R    1.05  
Oldham           33   34  -11      -5.39    26.66    -2.78    49.31     4.79   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.19R    0.80  
Crewe            35   30  -23      -4.39    30.70    -1.64    41.63     4.27   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.18R   19.14  
Colchester       35   27  -39      -5.67    25.57   -11.78    36.73     4.16   -48.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   78.81  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          35   78  +30      19.07    98.40    13.39    96.63     4.59    35.27    95.05    99.93   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   65  +27       6.86    77.63    12.00    84.22     4.50    33.13     2.84    81.72    99.67    87.08P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             35   65  +20       7.74    80.74     6.60    83.35     4.49    24.74     1.90    72.45    99.33    80.16P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   57  +16       8.87    83.88    11.93    76.48     5.04    18.49     0.12    17.10    83.00    30.65P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           34   56  +24       0.55    52.30    10.97    75.86     4.74    29.00     0.06    15.17    83.06    35.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       34   56  +13       6.36    76.14     8.23    74.78     4.78    16.36     0.03     8.30    74.87    23.78P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   53  +11       4.39    68.88     8.08    70.31     4.74    12.35     0.00     1.56    39.07     9.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        35   53   +3      -4.30    32.27   -10.86    71.54     4.57     8.23     0.00     2.05    46.81    15.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   52   +5       0.93    54.35    -1.77    69.95     4.74     7.23     0.00     1.13    33.73     9.33P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            35   51   +5       5.93    74.83     8.96    64.65     4.44     3.02     0.00     0.04     6.51     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             33   50   +2       5.46    73.30     3.70    67.61     5.02     1.51     0.00     0.47    18.73     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                35   50   +2      -0.14    49.55    -1.26    65.79     4.51     3.02     0.00     0.07     8.99     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        35   50   +2       3.61    65.84     4.61    63.64     4.48    -0.21     0.00     0.02     3.91     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   48   -4       1.56    57.45    -1.43    62.34     4.52    -5.13     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               34   43   -7       2.36    61.14     2.34    57.38     4.71   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         35   42  -16      -3.16    36.93   -11.69    56.70     4.56   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County         34   40  -11      -6.92    22.67   -11.25    57.14     4.89   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.05R    0.00  
Morecambe            35   37   -8      -7.65    20.26    -2.21    52.17     4.61    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.07  
Newport_County       33   37  -10      -3.04    36.79    -2.51    52.45     4.87   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.06  
Yeovil               35   35  -12     -10.11    13.08    -8.33    49.01     4.50   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.23R    0.21  
Stevenage            35   34  -17     -11.02    11.10   -12.24    47.07     4.49   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.74R    0.73  
Hartlepool           32   31  -21      -1.54    43.77    -3.78    45.11     4.85   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.90R    4.43  
York                 35   26  -29     -11.19     9.28   -12.54    37.32     4.27   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.19R   42.75  
Dag_&_Red            34   24  -25     -13.52     5.23   -10.94    36.31     4.50   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.50R   51.73  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Altrincham 0 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       37   80  +43       5.49    73.02     7.18    97.45     3.84    50.59    79.46   100.00    87.35P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     37   78  +27      12.79    92.34     5.12    92.91     4.04    30.96    17.64    99.99    38.79P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   65  +38      -1.94    40.09     7.17    86.59     4.58    45.67     2.86    98.53    38.84P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   34   60  +15       7.78    81.84     6.76    77.08     4.61    16.16     0.02    57.94     9.09P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         36   60  +13      -2.81    37.49    -6.83    76.88     4.25    17.58     0.00    57.70    13.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   56  +16      -1.43    43.61     4.03    70.27     4.18    16.84     0.00    10.48     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   33   55  +13       4.91    71.29     5.92    75.10     4.99    16.44     0.01    42.17     6.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     36   55  +10       3.27    64.14     6.75    68.36     4.22     9.32     0.00     4.26     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        35   55   -7       8.06    81.92    -4.94    69.79     4.49    -7.40     0.00     6.97     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        34   53   +4       2.86    62.84    -0.98    72.68     4.74     8.92     0.00    21.01     3.07P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           36   49   +8      -6.53    23.92    -1.22    62.78     4.23     7.89     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     36   49   +6      -4.38    31.39     0.08    63.48     4.24     7.24     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          35   48   -1       3.93    66.99     6.41    63.12     4.60    -1.20     0.00     0.37     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot        35   45   -9       1.15    55.89    -2.92    59.72     4.41    -9.56     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Barrow           34   42  -15       5.61    74.47     2.53    56.48     4.79   -18.29     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.21R    0.00  
Southport        36   42  -15       3.57    66.82     1.20    54.05     4.09   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.13R    0.00  
Chester          35   40   -9      -0.86    46.90     2.27    53.48     4.36   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.96R    0.01  
Guiseley         34   39  -17       3.51    66.70    -0.26    50.62     4.37   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.96R    0.03  
Halifax          34   36  -20      -5.63    26.19   -11.14    50.40     4.65   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.95R    0.13  
Boreham_Wood     35   35   -6      -5.45    27.20     3.64    48.04     4.34    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.56R    0.21  
Altrincham       34   35  -23       1.42    58.09    -2.51    48.44     4.57   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.69R    0.53  
Torquay          33   32  -22      -7.81    17.77   -12.77    49.88     4.97   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.34R    0.27  
Welling          36   27  -25      -9.20    13.19    -5.84    37.40     3.95   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.99R   38.32  
Kidderminster    37   24  -24     -17.33     1.87    -9.65    35.22     3.96   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   60.50