Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Chelsea 1 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        29   60  +21      16.46    98.09    15.49    73.70     4.02    23.01    49.28    73.83    88.91    96.58    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   55  +27       4.89    72.85    11.24    70.72     3.98    32.13    23.12    50.80    74.56    90.32    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   52  +16       0.03    49.99    -2.55    69.32     3.77    23.74    11.58    32.03    56.80    83.03    98.55     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   50  +21      -5.53    22.73    -6.71    69.25     4.12    29.73    14.01    35.94    59.99    82.30    98.16     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   49  +12       7.06    81.31     8.87    61.38     3.97    12.08     0.25     1.09     3.62    10.56    57.02     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          28   47  +11      -1.01    44.63    -3.19    64.44     4.14    16.55     1.69     5.90    14.58    31.35    83.33     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   43   -3       5.14    74.84    -0.56    54.38     3.87    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     5.13     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   41   +7      -3.94    30.87    -0.63    54.50     3.94     8.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     6.86     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        27   41   +5      -1.25    43.62    -2.81    58.84     4.54     9.18     0.06     0.39     1.36     4.51    32.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   40   +4     -11.16     7.66   -13.46    55.70     4.05     8.99     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.56    12.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton          28   38  +12      -6.21    21.68     3.37    53.45     4.28    14.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.32     5.86     0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   37   -1       2.39    62.63     6.45    48.47     3.89    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom        28   36   -7       2.88    65.65     0.57    47.08     4.00   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.17R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   35  -10       2.42    62.96     2.03    44.03     3.79   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.63R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   33   -6      -0.01    50.79     2.06    44.16     4.03    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.97R    0.00  
Swansea          29   33   -9      -2.79    36.36    -3.15    43.96     3.91   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.05R    0.00  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -3.72    31.55    -0.87    34.32     3.84   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.42R    1.00  
Norwich          29   24  -23      -4.37    28.80    -4.02    33.05     3.73   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.89R    2.04  
Newcastle        28   24  -25      -2.13    39.44    -4.45    33.92     3.95   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.02R    2.67  
Aston_Villa      29   16  -33      -7.97    11.98    -7.70    23.28     3.44   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   94.29  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Brentford 1 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         35   68  +27       6.01    75.09     6.42    87.13     4.42    32.81    29.23    60.44    99.87    74.06P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   67  +27       6.88    79.21     7.52    88.00     4.53    33.42    37.87    66.20    99.88    77.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            34   64  +28       2.80    62.41     7.28    86.90     4.41    37.35    30.10    61.25    99.87    75.32P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        35   64  +15      11.40    90.56     7.72    80.15     4.39    16.81     1.99     7.66    93.11    24.56P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           35   60  +17       1.27    55.79     0.72    78.55     4.41    22.14     0.77     4.16    88.59    27.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       35   55  +14       4.24    68.87     9.27    71.15     4.42    15.68     0.00     0.06    32.54     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         35   55   +9       4.41    69.17     4.58    70.72     4.42    10.00     0.00     0.05    27.24     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   54   +8       7.01    79.64     6.78    70.20     4.63     7.96     0.01     0.05    22.25     3.57P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         34   54   +2       4.97    71.67    -1.94    72.03     4.62     4.56     0.03     0.12    34.91     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   49   +1       2.55    61.94     1.92    63.33     4.32     0.42     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         34   44   +2      -1.63    42.87     2.87    58.71     4.51    -0.12     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR             35   44   -1      -6.24    24.49    -4.70    59.61     4.39     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   35   43   -6      -5.50    26.98    -7.10    58.48     4.36    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       35   43   -7      -4.10    32.58    -5.58    58.10     4.45    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   34   42   +1      -4.87    28.64    -0.26    58.18     4.60     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United    34   41   -8      -0.03    50.77    -0.94    55.15     4.42   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Blackburn       34   40   +1      -7.23    19.73    -0.81    57.64     4.64     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Huddersfield    35   39   -4      -4.25    31.56     3.00    52.23     4.39    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.64R    0.00  
Fulham          35   37   -5      -7.42    20.35     1.26    51.59     4.47    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.71R    0.05  
Bristol_City    35   37  -24      -0.52    48.65    -8.59    48.65     4.25   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.66R    0.38  
MK_Dons         35   35  -18      -4.71    29.96    -6.35    47.57     4.31   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.29R    0.64  
Rotherham       35   32  -20      -3.63    33.85    -1.13    43.04     4.16   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.50R    5.07  
Charlton        35   28  -34      -6.01    23.29   -12.73    38.12     4.07   -41.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.80R   40.10  
Bolton          35   25  -25     -12.30     6.57    -9.21    36.46     4.18   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.43R   53.75  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Bury 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    34   68  +16      17.50    97.47    10.07    85.85     4.71    18.18    52.36    82.34    99.77    85.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            35   64  +25      -0.31    48.10     1.01    84.06     4.45    32.27    39.05    78.22    99.58    85.96P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       35   59  +17       5.29    71.88     8.41    75.99     4.53    19.89     2.32    10.87    82.73    27.44P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   59  +14       7.31    79.56     6.45    77.46     4.72    17.08     3.96    16.08    87.73    33.54P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   58  +14       1.99    58.43     1.91    75.60     4.57    17.71     1.74     8.52    79.66    28.47P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         35   55  +11       1.20    55.24     2.39    72.23     4.49    14.37     0.37     2.24    54.32    14.97P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         34   52  +18      -1.00    45.61     8.52    69.85     4.75    20.14     0.15     1.18    36.00    10.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         34   52   +3       4.49    69.93     1.22    68.49     4.67     3.24     0.05     0.40    20.62     4.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        36   52   +2       3.83    66.61     3.36    65.30     4.21     1.43     0.00     0.02     5.80     1.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         35   51   +2       5.02    71.40     4.61    64.65     4.40    -0.01     0.00     0.03     5.29     0.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        35   49   +2      -3.51    34.85    -4.83    65.68     4.51     4.34     0.00     0.03     8.87     2.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon          34   48   +2      -4.35    31.52    -6.64    65.86     4.80     4.08     0.00     0.06    10.18     2.68P    0.08R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   48   -1       0.11    50.88    -0.75    63.73     4.53    -0.13     0.00     0.01     3.41     0.70P    0.21R    0.00  
Bury             35   48  -10       7.05    78.63     1.04    60.60     4.43   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.11P    1.44R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       34   47   -2       3.06    64.15     1.87    62.75     4.71    -3.07     0.00     0.01     2.54     0.48P    0.55R    0.00  
Peterborough     35   45   +2      -5.61    27.16    -1.73    62.56     4.62     5.72     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.63P    0.54R    0.00  
Chesterfield     35   41   -8      -6.25    24.33    -6.78    56.01     4.54    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   11.05R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town   34   40   -1      -4.08    32.33     2.35    55.26     4.62    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.65R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       34   40  -11      -2.55    39.08    -5.13    53.87     4.62   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   23.21R    0.02  
Doncaster        34   37   -9      -6.92    21.51    -5.29    52.60     4.70   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.58R    0.18  
Blackpool        35   35  -13      -7.41    20.24    -5.34    49.05     4.42   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.67R    0.94  
Oldham           33   34  -11      -5.44    26.06    -2.87    49.35     4.75   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.77R    0.72  
Crewe            35   30  -23      -4.45    30.43    -1.68    41.60     4.26   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.32R   19.13  
Colchester       35   27  -39      -5.83    25.12   -12.15    36.77     4.16   -48.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   78.99  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          35   78  +30      18.86    98.33    13.17    96.65     4.55    35.31    95.25    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   65  +27       6.87    77.62    12.03    84.24     4.51    33.13     2.83    81.94    99.64    86.97P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             35   65  +20       7.76    80.47     6.62    83.32     4.46    24.72     1.73    72.17    99.30    79.79P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   57  +16       9.10    84.82    12.25    76.44     5.06    18.44     0.12    17.18    82.84    30.55P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           34   56  +24       0.53    52.24    10.93    75.83     4.75    28.95     0.04    15.11    82.83    35.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       34   56  +13       6.07    75.19     7.86    74.87     4.80    16.50     0.04     8.41    75.43    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   53  +11       4.35    68.74     7.98    70.36     4.76    12.38     0.00     1.63    39.33     9.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        35   53   +3      -4.15    32.67   -10.67    71.58     4.57     8.23     0.00     2.04    46.96    16.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   52   +5       1.04    54.92    -1.58    69.98     4.71     7.23     0.00     1.04    33.59     9.43P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            35   51   +5       6.08    75.66     9.16    64.63     4.45     2.96     0.00     0.02     6.41     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             33   50   +2       5.47    73.28     3.71    67.53     5.05     1.41     0.00     0.42    18.40     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                35   50   +2      -0.33    48.60    -1.54    65.83     4.54     3.09     0.00     0.06     9.06     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        35   50   +2       3.59    65.53     4.55    63.66     4.49    -0.20     0.00     0.02     3.92     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   48   -4       1.69    57.83    -1.24    62.33     4.54    -5.15     0.00     0.01     1.90     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               34   43   -7       2.38    61.20     2.32    57.36     4.75   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         35   42  -16      -3.06    37.75   -11.57    56.61     4.54   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County         34   40  -11      -6.83    22.78   -11.17    57.15     4.83   -10.01     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe            35   37   -8      -7.56    20.63    -2.06    52.13     4.57    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.07  
Newport_County       33   37  -10      -3.07    36.24    -2.53    52.42     4.83   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.63R    0.04  
Yeovil               35   35  -12     -10.12    12.78    -8.38    49.01     4.48   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.26  
Stevenage            35   34  -17     -11.03    11.05   -12.23    47.11     4.47   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.81R    0.74  
Hartlepool           32   31  -21      -1.61    43.48    -3.91    45.06     4.86   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.36R    4.61  
York                 35   26  -29     -11.25     9.12   -12.66    37.38     4.26   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.85R   42.34  
Dag_&_Red            34   24  -25     -13.58     5.07   -11.06    36.34     4.48   -31.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.40R   51.95  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2016, Altrincham 0 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       37   80  +43       5.64    73.50     7.50    97.41     3.83    50.54    79.04   100.00    87.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     37   78  +27      12.75    92.52     5.14    92.96     4.03    31.02    17.85   100.00    38.88P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   65  +38      -2.20    38.76     6.74    86.70     4.57    45.86     3.10    98.73    39.46P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   34   60  +15       7.58    81.05     6.49    77.07     4.62    16.15     0.01    58.08     9.05P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         36   60  +13      -2.51    38.70    -6.46    76.76     4.27    17.42     0.00    56.59    13.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   56  +16      -1.30    44.30     4.20    70.26     4.17    16.82     0.00    10.17     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   33   55  +13       4.78    71.04     5.63    75.17     4.95    16.52     0.01    42.97     6.20P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     36   55  +10       3.15    63.85     6.61    68.41     4.20     9.37     0.00     4.32     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        35   55   -7       8.16    82.28    -4.78    69.78     4.51    -7.45     0.00     7.07     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        34   53   +4       2.80    62.42    -1.08    72.68     4.71     8.92     0.00    21.18     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           36   49   +8      -6.63    23.65    -1.39    62.82     4.23     7.94     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     36   49   +6      -4.14    32.57     0.39    63.44     4.21     7.16     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          35   48   -1       3.89    66.83     6.45    63.10     4.62    -1.23     0.00     0.37     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot        35   45   -9       0.97    54.73    -3.17    59.81     4.43    -9.42     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Barrow           34   42  -15       5.77    75.01     2.75    56.42     4.74   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Southport        36   42  -15       3.78    67.51     1.54    53.98     4.09   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.20R    0.00  
Chester          35   40   -9      -0.79    47.10     2.39    53.40     4.35   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.09R    0.00  
Guiseley         34   39  -17       3.66    67.47    -0.05    50.55     4.39   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.86R    0.02  
Halifax          34   36  -20      -5.60    26.14   -11.13    50.36     4.63   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.08R    0.12  
Boreham_Wood     35   35   -6      -5.48    27.08     3.56    48.08     4.30    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.18R    0.19  
Altrincham       34   35  -23       1.33    57.67    -2.73    48.48     4.55   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.26R    0.48  
Torquay          33   32  -22      -8.04    17.05   -13.10    49.97     5.00   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.09R    0.24  
Welling          36   27  -25      -9.11    13.38    -5.77    37.40     3.97   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.88R   38.40  
Kidderminster    37   24  -24     -17.41     1.94    -9.72    35.23     3.97   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.08R   60.54