Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 4 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 March 2016, Arsenal 1 2 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 28 57 +20 15.03 97.29 14.82 72.06 4.27 22.01 34.72 61.45 80.86 92.91 99.50 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 54 +27 5.17 74.66 11.16 71.17 4.20 32.22 32.70 58.70 78.73 91.87 99.31 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 51 +16 0.36 51.52 -2.58 69.57 4.03 23.57 17.13 38.90 62.65 84.91 98.30 0.00 0.00 Man_City 27 47 +17 -5.39 22.75 -7.65 68.57 4.26 27.39 13.34 32.84 56.16 79.00 96.82 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 28 47 +11 -1.02 44.44 -3.21 64.45 4.14 16.57 1.92 6.91 16.75 35.26 82.93 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 28 46 +11 5.60 76.65 8.04 59.34 4.21 10.49 0.12 0.61 2.17 6.27 37.08 0.00 0.00 Stoke 28 42 -3 5.35 76.19 -0.77 54.09 4.08 -5.34 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.30 5.44 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 41 +5 -1.27 43.29 -2.84 58.82 4.54 9.16 0.06 0.42 1.65 5.20 33.86 0.00 0.00 Southampton 28 40 +7 -3.13 34.32 0.01 55.59 4.19 9.76 0.00 0.03 0.20 1.00 12.35 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 28 39 +4 -10.42 8.77 -12.99 56.77 4.24 9.98 0.01 0.06 0.41 1.80 19.47 0.00 0.00 Everton 27 38 +13 -4.91 26.02 4.24 55.19 4.49 16.27 0.01 0.06 0.35 1.45 14.01 0.00R 0.00 Watford 28 37 +0 3.13 66.35 6.62 49.96 4.18 -1.12 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.86 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 28 36 -7 2.91 65.63 0.60 47.16 4.01 -10.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.21R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 28 33 -6 -0.01 50.96 1.99 44.18 4.04 -9.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.50R 0.00 Bournemouth 28 32 -12 1.65 59.69 1.31 42.10 3.99 -18.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.98R 0.01 Swansea 28 30 -10 -4.00 30.19 -3.46 42.74 4.15 -11.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.89R 0.00 Sunderland 28 24 -19 -3.72 31.00 -1.34 33.89 4.00 -24.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.40R 2.23 Norwich 28 24 -22 -3.49 32.92 -3.52 34.05 3.97 -28.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.11R 2.35 Newcastle 27 24 -23 -1.30 44.08 -3.55 35.60 4.23 -28.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.13R 2.00 Aston_Villa 28 16 -29 -8.23 11.36 -6.89 23.76 3.56 -38.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.77R 93.41Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 4 March 2016, Middlesbrough 2 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 34 67 +27 7.00 79.82 7.64 88.01 4.53 33.45 40.13 68.85 99.90 79.43P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 34 65 +26 5.06 72.05 6.28 86.04 4.63 32.53 24.06 52.32 99.64 68.03P 0.00 0.00 Hull 34 64 +28 2.84 62.53 7.35 86.87 4.42 37.31 32.10 63.82 99.86 77.30P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 34 63 +15 11.63 91.40 7.61 80.45 4.62 16.77 2.97 10.73 93.05 26.96P 0.00 0.00 Derby 34 57 +15 0.65 52.47 0.19 77.50 4.65 21.02 0.66 3.59 83.24 25.33P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 34 55 +15 5.54 74.10 10.24 73.51 4.63 18.14 0.06 0.49 55.03 10.89P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 34 54 +8 7.34 80.45 7.23 70.13 4.61 7.85 0.01 0.07 21.79 3.46P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 34 52 +7 3.40 65.48 3.49 68.99 4.67 7.85 0.00 0.03 17.76 3.21P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 33 51 +1 3.88 67.44 -2.17 70.69 4.83 3.93 0.00 0.10 25.82 4.66P 0.00 0.00 Preston 34 48 +1 3.02 64.11 2.26 63.61 4.55 0.32 0.00 0.00 1.73 0.32P 0.00 0.00 QPR 34 44 +1 -5.65 26.28 -3.86 61.36 4.66 2.59 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.14P 0.00R 0.00 Reading 33 43 +2 -1.25 44.66 2.89 59.47 4.78 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.07P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 34 43 -6 -2.77 38.08 -4.65 60.35 4.68 -4.64 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.07P 0.02R 0.00 Wolverhampton 35 43 -6 -5.43 27.22 -6.99 58.50 4.39 -5.25 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 0.03R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 42 +2 -4.03 31.80 0.09 59.34 4.85 1.48 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.07P 0.01R 0.00 Blackburn 33 40 +2 -6.61 21.78 -0.79 58.55 4.80 3.21 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.05P 0.04R 0.00 Huddersfield 34 39 -2 -3.70 33.50 3.84 52.99 4.52 -5.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.96R 0.00 Leeds_United 33 38 -9 -1.21 44.87 -1.36 53.80 4.65 -11.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.93R 0.01 Bristol_City 34 37 -22 -0.08 50.49 -7.97 50.01 4.49 -27.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.63R 0.10 Fulham 34 36 -5 -7.06 20.99 1.21 51.59 4.70 -6.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.48R 0.03 MK_Dons 34 32 -20 -5.65 25.63 -7.29 45.53 4.51 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.96R 1.59 Rotherham 34 29 -21 -5.24 26.62 -1.77 40.57 4.33 -28.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.43R 10.27 Bolton 34 25 -24 -11.80 6.96 -9.51 37.74 4.39 -29.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.12R 29.50 Charlton 34 25 -35 -7.79 16.48 -13.97 35.72 4.23 -43.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.38R 58.49League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Barnsley 2 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 33 67 +16 18.13 98.09 10.39 86.52 4.93 18.65 49.25 80.39 99.76 84.37P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 34 63 +25 0.26 50.59 1.15 85.12 4.67 33.34 40.52 77.76 99.62 86.15P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 33 59 +16 8.04 82.49 7.53 79.34 4.92 19.81 6.47 23.08 93.00 40.76P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 34 58 +17 5.58 73.39 8.28 76.55 4.79 20.15 2.45 10.91 83.55 27.76P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 34 55 +11 1.86 58.13 1.13 74.11 4.79 14.89 0.73 4.14 67.66 21.01P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 33 52 +19 0.02 50.17 8.96 71.83 4.99 22.09 0.40 2.29 51.99 15.44P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 34 52 +9 -0.01 49.94 1.01 70.24 4.67 11.84 0.10 0.75 35.69 9.12P 0.00 0.00 Southend 34 51 +3 5.95 74.60 5.07 66.26 4.65 1.34 0.01 0.07 10.25 1.81P 0.02R 0.00 Bradford 33 51 +3 4.79 71.25 1.12 69.01 4.91 3.43 0.08 0.52 24.54 5.59P 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 35 49 +0 3.06 63.81 2.71 64.18 4.48 0.21 0.00 0.01 4.07 0.81P 0.10R 0.00 Swindon 34 48 +2 -4.29 31.83 -6.58 65.89 4.73 4.12 0.00 0.03 9.89 2.53P 0.06R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 34 48 +2 -3.04 36.44 -4.67 65.99 4.74 4.30 0.00 0.04 10.68 2.83P 0.08R 0.00 Bury 34 47 -10 7.33 80.01 1.12 60.88 4.67 -14.10 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.16P 1.48R 0.00 Scunthorpe 33 46 -2 3.38 65.83 1.91 63.12 4.96 -3.08 0.00 0.01 3.78 0.69P 0.52R 0.00 Rochdale 34 45 -2 -1.33 44.46 -1.42 61.54 4.77 -2.07 0.00 0.00 1.71 0.38P 1.03R 0.00 Peterborough 34 44 +2 -5.36 27.73 -2.01 62.24 4.78 4.66 0.00 0.00 2.49 0.57P 0.66R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 33 39 -1 -3.91 32.79 2.06 55.63 4.84 -2.59 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 11.58R 0.03 Chesterfield 34 38 -9 -7.79 19.24 -7.58 54.21 4.75 -9.47 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 19.66R 0.04 Doncaster 33 37 -8 -6.05 24.31 -4.92 54.43 4.96 -8.48 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 19.65R 0.11 Shrewsbury 33 37 -12 -3.86 33.33 -5.59 51.77 4.84 -16.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 40.00R 0.26 Blackpool 34 35 -10 -7.22 20.80 -4.07 50.21 4.67 -11.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.87R 0.90 Oldham 33 34 -11 -5.25 26.94 -2.53 49.29 4.77 -14.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.80R 1.13 Crewe 34 29 -23 -4.25 31.00 -1.81 41.56 4.46 -29.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.89R 24.57 Colchester 34 27 -37 -5.21 27.25 -11.27 37.67 4.38 -47.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.59R 72.97League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Barnet 1 0 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 34 75 +27 18.55 98.27 12.11 95.02 4.82 32.29 89.26 99.76 100.00 99.82P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 34 64 +27 7.20 79.14 12.01 84.41 4.73 32.88 5.88 81.01 99.45 86.37P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 34 64 +20 8.17 82.56 6.75 83.75 4.68 24.80 4.31 73.70 99.10 80.83P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 32 56 +16 9.18 85.35 11.85 76.92 5.25 18.58 0.40 19.62 81.45 32.50P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 33 53 +22 -0.04 49.94 10.49 74.23 4.99 27.02 0.08 9.52 69.28 26.92P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 33 53 +11 5.41 73.07 7.21 72.90 5.00 14.02 0.03 4.46 56.43 16.49P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 34 53 +4 -3.25 36.01 -10.47 73.45 4.79 10.08 0.02 5.20 59.23 22.18P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 33 52 +11 4.80 70.72 8.20 70.88 4.99 12.59 0.01 2.42 40.89 10.54P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 33 52 +6 2.02 59.42 -1.13 71.60 4.99 8.63 0.01 2.82 43.53 13.33P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 34 51 +6 7.06 78.93 9.66 66.12 4.65 4.12 0.00 0.11 10.33 1.92P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 32 50 +5 5.68 74.03 4.82 69.15 5.26 4.77 0.00 1.22 26.51 6.08P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 34 50 +3 4.41 69.20 4.78 65.34 4.76 1.26 0.00 0.11 7.56 1.53P 0.00 0.00 Luton 34 47 +1 -1.86 41.88 -2.32 63.76 4.75 1.42 0.00 0.03 4.11 1.04P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 34 45 -5 0.21 51.37 -1.92 60.60 4.79 -6.34 0.00 0.01 0.91 0.18P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 33 43 -5 3.10 64.47 3.22 59.32 4.97 -7.31 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.11P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 34 41 -16 -2.53 39.66 -11.25 57.13 4.78 -16.57 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.06R 0.00 Notts_County 33 40 -9 -6.38 24.11 -10.49 58.78 5.08 -7.62 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.13P 0.02R 0.00 Morecambe 34 36 -8 -7.00 21.80 -1.73 52.29 4.81 -8.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.63R 0.05 Newport_County 32 34 -11 -4.68 29.32 -3.33 50.49 5.01 -14.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.71R 0.13 Stevenage 34 34 -15 -10.47 11.85 -11.49 48.47 4.70 -18.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.11R 0.27 Yeovil 34 32 -13 -11.43 9.57 -8.79 47.08 4.70 -14.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.21R 0.63 Hartlepool 31 28 -23 -2.60 38.30 -4.96 42.74 5.04 -32.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.23R 9.03 York 34 26 -28 -10.20 11.14 -12.00 38.68 4.52 -33.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.76R 26.36 Dag_&_Red 33 21 -26 -14.75 3.30 -11.18 34.77 4.72 -32.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.27R 63.51National League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 4 March 2016, Forest_Green 0 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 36 79 +43 6.09 75.88 7.39 98.75 4.04 51.97 84.85 100.00 90.88P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 37 78 +27 12.92 92.42 5.34 92.96 4.04 31.05 13.10 100.00 35.58P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 34 65 +38 -2.18 39.03 6.80 86.65 4.56 45.78 2.04 99.01 39.97P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 33 57 +13 6.81 79.00 5.66 75.36 4.82 14.07 0.00 47.26 7.28P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 35 57 +11 -3.09 36.18 -6.84 75.50 4.50 15.93 0.00 50.20 11.76P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 36 56 +16 -1.17 44.93 4.43 70.25 4.16 16.80 0.00 12.62 2.17P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 34 55 -5 8.54 83.66 -4.35 70.91 4.70 -5.80 0.00 14.04 1.55P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 33 53 +6 3.45 65.27 -0.22 74.13 4.93 11.12 0.00 37.35 5.19P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 32 52 +12 3.49 65.98 5.22 73.22 5.21 15.03 0.00 32.90 4.76P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 52 +8 2.39 60.83 5.88 66.84 4.46 7.46 0.00 3.45 0.42P 0.00 0.00 Woking 35 49 +9 -5.53 26.95 -0.84 64.40 4.47 9.25 0.00 1.17 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 35 48 +6 -3.59 34.27 0.68 64.13 4.47 7.61 0.00 0.91 0.15P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 34 47 -1 4.11 67.98 6.19 63.57 4.87 -1.12 0.00 0.96 0.09P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 34 45 -7 1.43 56.87 -2.52 61.14 4.66 -7.50 0.00 0.13 0.01P 0.04R 0.00 Southport 35 42 -14 4.81 72.22 2.16 55.49 4.33 -16.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10R 0.00 Chester 34 39 -9 -0.44 48.71 2.38 53.86 4.63 -11.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.64R 0.01 Barrow 33 39 -17 4.68 71.55 1.81 54.19 4.97 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.00P 3.87R 0.02 Guiseley 34 39 -17 3.54 67.01 -0.28 50.54 4.42 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.84R 0.06 Boreham_Wood 34 35 -4 -5.29 27.86 4.01 50.15 4.59 -5.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.38R 0.10 Altrincham 33 34 -23 1.65 59.23 -2.57 48.48 4.81 -28.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.00R 0.74 Halifax 33 33 -21 -6.94 21.11 -11.51 48.55 4.87 -25.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.65R 0.76 Torquay 32 29 -23 -8.95 13.81 -13.16 48.43 5.22 -22.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.88R 1.19 Welling 35 26 -25 -9.23 12.71 -6.37 36.90 4.11 -31.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.73R 48.70 Kidderminster 36 24 -23 -16.28 2.49 -9.30 36.44 4.22 -24.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.86R 48.43