Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 2 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 March 2016, Arsenal 1 2 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 28 57 +20 15.07 97.32 14.92 72.03 4.25 21.93 34.40 61.35 80.66 92.84 99.48 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 54 +27 5.12 74.39 11.00 71.16 4.22 32.23 32.45 58.68 78.64 91.89 99.34 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 51 +16 0.38 51.62 -2.53 69.61 4.05 23.59 17.60 39.30 63.06 84.95 98.37 0.00 0.00 Man_City 27 47 +17 -5.30 23.36 -7.51 68.56 4.28 27.38 13.36 32.57 56.09 79.09 96.87 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 28 47 +11 -0.97 44.61 -3.15 64.44 4.12 16.58 1.95 6.87 16.74 34.94 82.97 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 28 46 +11 5.52 76.24 7.91 59.36 4.19 10.52 0.11 0.59 2.16 6.44 37.19 0.00 0.00 Stoke 28 42 -3 5.24 75.82 -0.91 54.09 4.08 -5.32 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.32 5.49 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 41 +5 -1.18 43.68 -2.72 58.75 4.54 9.07 0.09 0.44 1.57 5.17 33.35 0.00 0.00 Southampton 28 40 +7 -3.16 34.31 -0.03 55.60 4.17 9.80 0.01 0.04 0.24 0.99 12.13 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 28 39 +4 -10.41 8.84 -12.97 56.76 4.26 9.97 0.01 0.07 0.39 1.79 19.45 0.00 0.00 Everton 27 38 +13 -4.98 25.70 4.12 55.26 4.52 16.37 0.01 0.08 0.39 1.55 14.34 0.00 0.00 Watford 28 37 +0 3.28 67.07 6.81 49.94 4.18 -1.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.86 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 28 36 -7 3.05 66.06 0.76 47.11 4.02 -11.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.24R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 28 33 -6 -0.29 49.41 1.59 44.26 4.06 -9.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.45R 0.00 Bournemouth 28 32 -12 1.62 59.35 1.30 42.10 4.00 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.94R 0.01 Swansea 28 30 -10 -4.00 30.34 -3.50 42.78 4.16 -11.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.77R 0.01 Sunderland 28 24 -19 -3.72 31.02 -1.27 33.94 4.01 -24.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.11R 2.20 Norwich 28 24 -22 -3.38 33.29 -3.41 33.99 3.99 -28.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.45R 2.47 Newcastle 27 24 -23 -1.38 43.45 -3.64 35.59 4.24 -28.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.24R 1.86 Aston_Villa 28 16 -29 -8.17 11.50 -6.78 23.74 3.58 -38.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.80R 93.45Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Blackburn 2 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 34 65 +26 4.88 71.07 6.03 86.07 4.65 32.59 21.30 51.46 99.67 67.72P 0.00 0.00 Hull 33 64 +29 3.84 67.51 7.82 88.73 4.62 39.04 47.51 76.57 99.96 85.27P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 64 +26 5.99 76.63 7.59 86.88 4.76 33.15 28.07 58.28 99.73 72.56P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 34 63 +15 11.68 91.31 7.65 80.46 4.61 16.75 2.51 9.92 94.15 26.71P 0.00 0.00 Derby 34 57 +15 0.57 52.49 0.11 77.44 4.63 20.96 0.57 3.23 84.83 25.45P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 34 55 +15 5.76 74.94 10.55 73.41 4.58 18.01 0.03 0.40 56.92 10.90P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 34 52 +7 3.48 66.11 3.60 68.98 4.68 7.83 0.00 0.02 19.01 3.28P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 33 51 +7 5.64 75.08 6.29 68.07 4.82 6.32 0.00 0.02 13.54 2.12P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 33 51 +1 3.86 67.71 -2.14 70.71 4.84 3.93 0.01 0.09 27.80 5.19P 0.00 0.00 Preston 34 48 +1 2.95 64.00 2.12 63.69 4.52 0.42 0.00 0.00 1.96 0.30P 0.00 0.00 QPR 34 44 +1 -5.67 26.24 -3.81 61.38 4.66 2.61 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.21P 0.00R 0.00 Reading 33 43 +2 -1.13 45.21 3.10 59.46 4.80 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.07P 0.02R 0.00 Wolverhampton 34 43 -5 -4.58 30.49 -6.75 59.33 4.53 -5.02 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 34 43 -6 -2.79 38.01 -4.68 60.40 4.66 -4.58 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.07P 0.02R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 42 +2 -3.99 32.15 0.13 59.35 4.84 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.07P 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 33 40 +2 -6.29 22.94 -0.36 58.49 4.82 3.12 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.04P 0.04R 0.00 Huddersfield 34 39 -2 -3.95 32.68 3.45 53.04 4.51 -5.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.92R 0.00 Leeds_United 33 38 -9 -1.22 44.83 -1.32 53.82 4.65 -11.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.83R 0.01 Bristol_City 34 37 -22 -0.23 49.88 -8.14 50.08 4.51 -27.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.28R 0.12 Fulham 34 36 -5 -7.16 20.60 1.03 51.67 4.70 -6.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.43R 0.04 MK_Dons 34 32 -20 -5.65 25.83 -7.23 45.51 4.51 -24.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.99R 1.53 Rotherham 34 29 -21 -5.11 26.86 -1.61 40.49 4.32 -28.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.92R 10.53 Bolton 34 25 -24 -11.60 7.54 -9.21 37.59 4.40 -29.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.39R 30.69 Charlton 34 25 -35 -7.88 16.12 -14.20 35.78 4.26 -43.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.11R 57.09League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Barnsley 2 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 33 67 +16 17.99 98.12 10.26 86.58 4.95 18.72 50.12 80.71 99.77 84.62P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 34 63 +25 0.50 51.66 1.50 85.02 4.67 33.19 39.92 77.52 99.63 85.57P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 33 59 +16 8.03 82.46 7.55 79.34 4.90 19.80 6.24 22.91 92.76 40.75P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 34 58 +17 5.73 73.80 8.43 76.49 4.79 20.07 2.42 10.88 83.37 28.13P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 34 55 +11 1.70 57.20 0.87 74.17 4.77 14.96 0.75 4.16 67.93 21.10P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 33 52 +19 0.14 50.73 9.12 71.84 4.97 22.11 0.39 2.34 52.19 15.06P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 34 52 +9 0.13 50.52 1.28 70.16 4.72 11.73 0.09 0.79 35.07 9.09P 0.00 0.00 Southend 34 51 +3 5.87 74.69 4.87 66.35 4.70 1.45 0.00 0.07 10.94 2.13P 0.03R 0.00 Bradford 33 51 +3 4.87 71.55 1.26 68.95 4.92 3.32 0.05 0.48 24.16 5.37P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 35 49 +0 3.10 64.07 2.71 64.20 4.47 0.27 0.00 0.02 4.02 0.84P 0.08R 0.00 Swindon 34 48 +2 -4.39 31.34 -6.70 65.92 4.77 4.18 0.01 0.06 10.27 2.70P 0.07R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 34 48 +2 -3.11 36.19 -4.80 66.07 4.77 4.40 0.00 0.04 11.11 2.91P 0.07R 0.00 Bury 34 47 -10 7.35 79.84 1.15 60.88 4.70 -14.10 0.00 0.00 1.06 0.17P 1.59R 0.00 Scunthorpe 33 46 -2 3.52 66.35 2.10 63.07 4.94 -3.16 0.00 0.01 3.56 0.64P 0.54R 0.00 Rochdale 34 45 -2 -1.18 45.18 -1.21 61.49 4.76 -2.14 0.00 0.00 1.55 0.33P 1.09R 0.00 Peterborough 34 44 +2 -5.47 27.19 -2.12 62.23 4.74 4.67 0.00 0.01 2.48 0.58P 0.63R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 33 39 -1 -4.05 32.24 1.81 55.62 4.84 -2.58 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 11.73R 0.02 Chesterfield 34 38 -9 -7.79 19.14 -7.56 54.21 4.73 -9.45 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 19.45R 0.06 Doncaster 33 37 -8 -5.98 24.55 -4.86 54.41 4.96 -8.53 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 19.71R 0.11 Shrewsbury 33 37 -12 -3.67 34.26 -5.31 51.73 4.84 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 40.28R 0.29 Blackpool 34 35 -10 -7.38 20.35 -4.27 50.25 4.66 -11.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.24R 0.94 Oldham 33 34 -11 -5.26 26.99 -2.52 49.26 4.81 -14.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.22R 1.22 Crewe 34 29 -23 -4.32 30.94 -1.95 41.60 4.47 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.66R 24.21 Colchester 34 27 -37 -5.43 26.56 -11.61 37.71 4.35 -47.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.60R 73.15League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Barnet 1 0 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 34 75 +27 18.49 98.36 12.09 95.00 4.80 32.30 89.25 99.74 100.00 99.80P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 34 64 +27 7.05 78.62 11.79 84.44 4.69 32.92 6.15 81.30 99.55 86.65P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 34 64 +20 8.37 83.03 7.00 83.69 4.69 24.74 4.13 73.46 99.02 80.57P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 32 56 +16 9.37 85.45 12.13 76.87 5.29 18.47 0.33 19.70 81.13 32.14P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 33 53 +22 -0.18 48.95 10.26 74.26 4.98 27.05 0.08 9.59 69.35 27.20P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 33 53 +11 5.21 72.45 6.93 73.01 5.03 14.19 0.04 4.58 57.15 16.62P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 34 53 +4 -3.34 35.61 -10.65 73.49 4.76 10.11 0.01 5.11 59.55 22.38P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 33 52 +11 4.69 70.21 8.02 70.85 5.02 12.56 0.01 2.36 40.49 10.55P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 33 52 +6 2.02 59.49 -1.14 71.64 4.97 8.65 0.01 2.80 43.89 13.31P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 34 51 +6 7.17 79.38 9.82 66.07 4.66 4.07 0.00 0.11 10.26 1.94P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 32 50 +5 5.85 74.85 5.05 69.11 5.26 4.70 0.01 1.15 26.48 6.10P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 34 50 +3 4.70 70.38 5.30 65.25 4.74 1.07 0.00 0.08 7.15 1.43P 0.00 0.00 Luton 34 47 +1 -1.76 42.37 -2.15 63.72 4.76 1.37 0.00 0.03 4.00 0.94P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 34 45 -5 0.24 51.46 -1.90 60.58 4.76 -6.37 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 33 43 -5 2.91 63.78 3.00 59.34 4.97 -7.26 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.10P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 34 41 -16 -2.57 39.45 -11.32 57.12 4.80 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.04R 0.00 Notts_County 33 40 -9 -6.45 23.54 -10.63 58.86 5.07 -7.50 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.10P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 34 36 -8 -7.23 21.30 -2.10 52.36 4.82 -8.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.66R 0.05 Newport_County 32 34 -11 -4.50 30.33 -3.09 50.44 5.05 -15.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.77R 0.13 Stevenage 34 34 -15 -10.65 11.21 -11.76 48.49 4.70 -18.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.09R 0.31 Yeovil 34 32 -13 -11.32 9.88 -8.60 47.06 4.69 -14.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.40R 0.59 Hartlepool 31 28 -23 -2.62 37.81 -4.92 42.71 5.04 -32.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.56R 8.95 York 34 26 -28 -10.14 11.32 -11.98 38.71 4.52 -33.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.42R 26.28 Dag_&_Red 33 21 -26 -14.73 3.30 -11.16 34.78 4.74 -32.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.04R 63.68National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Braintree_Town 2 1 Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 36 79 +43 6.31 76.51 7.77 98.67 4.05 51.85 78.29 100.00 86.90P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 78 +28 13.71 94.05 5.30 94.38 4.28 32.10 20.51 100.00 42.02P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 33 62 +37 -3.42 32.99 6.25 85.03 4.80 44.79 1.19 97.54 37.35P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 33 57 +13 6.93 79.26 5.80 75.32 4.83 14.02 0.00 47.26 7.18P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 35 57 +11 -3.05 36.28 -6.82 75.50 4.49 15.93 0.00 50.22 11.54P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 36 56 +16 -1.20 44.58 4.39 70.29 4.18 16.83 0.00 12.99 2.17P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 34 55 -5 8.40 83.27 -4.55 70.89 4.69 -5.82 0.00 14.21 1.60P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 33 53 +6 3.38 65.08 -0.28 74.19 4.90 11.18 0.00 37.85 5.53P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 32 52 +12 3.38 65.19 5.12 73.23 5.20 15.05 0.00 33.39 4.84P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 52 +8 2.41 60.77 5.93 66.82 4.44 7.40 0.00 3.33 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Woking 35 49 +9 -5.72 26.31 -1.10 64.41 4.51 9.25 0.00 1.30 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 35 48 +6 -3.66 34.37 0.57 64.20 4.45 7.70 0.00 0.82 0.13P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 34 47 -1 4.18 68.10 6.36 63.53 4.91 -1.19 0.00 0.94 0.07P 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 34 45 -7 1.65 58.37 -2.21 61.08 4.68 -7.59 0.00 0.14 0.02P 0.03R 0.00 Southport 35 42 -14 4.74 71.90 2.15 55.49 4.38 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.21R 0.00 Chester 34 39 -9 -0.36 49.22 2.50 53.86 4.63 -11.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.52R 0.01 Barrow 33 39 -17 4.55 70.95 1.61 54.26 4.99 -21.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.95R 0.02 Guiseley 34 39 -17 3.46 66.78 -0.35 50.60 4.40 -24.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.87R 0.06 Boreham_Wood 34 35 -4 -4.98 28.63 4.46 50.03 4.58 -5.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.90R 0.12 Altrincham 33 34 -23 1.62 59.14 -2.55 48.50 4.79 -28.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.95R 0.86 Halifax 33 33 -21 -7.11 20.74 -11.76 48.59 4.89 -25.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.31R 0.76 Torquay 32 29 -23 -8.93 13.96 -13.13 48.44 5.17 -22.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.39R 1.10 Welling 35 26 -25 -9.22 12.89 -6.31 36.90 4.11 -31.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.88R 48.31 Kidderminster 36 24 -23 -16.20 2.70 -9.15 36.41 4.22 -24.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.99R 48.77