Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 March 2016, Arsenal 1 2 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        28   57  +20      15.07    97.32    14.92    72.03     4.25    21.93    34.40    61.35    80.66    92.84    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        28   54  +27       5.12    74.39    11.00    71.16     4.22    32.23    32.45    58.68    78.64    91.89    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   51  +16       0.38    51.62    -2.53    69.61     4.05    23.59    17.60    39.30    63.06    84.95    98.37     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   47  +17      -5.30    23.36    -7.51    68.56     4.28    27.38    13.36    32.57    56.09    79.09    96.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          28   47  +11      -0.97    44.61    -3.15    64.44     4.12    16.58     1.95     6.87    16.74    34.94    82.97     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         28   46  +11       5.52    76.24     7.91    59.36     4.19    10.52     0.11     0.59     2.16     6.44    37.19     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            28   42   -3       5.24    75.82    -0.91    54.09     4.08    -5.32     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.32     5.49     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        27   41   +5      -1.18    43.68    -2.72    58.75     4.54     9.07     0.09     0.44     1.57     5.17    33.35     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   40   +7      -3.16    34.31    -0.03    55.60     4.17     9.80     0.01     0.04     0.24     0.99    12.13     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   39   +4     -10.41     8.84   -12.97    56.76     4.26     9.97     0.01     0.07     0.39     1.79    19.45     0.00     0.00  
Everton          27   38  +13      -4.98    25.70     4.12    55.26     4.52    16.37     0.01     0.08     0.39     1.55    14.34     0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   37   +0       3.28    67.07     6.81    49.94     4.18    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.86     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        28   36   -7       3.05    66.06     0.76    47.11     4.02   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.24R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   33   -6      -0.29    49.41     1.59    44.26     4.06    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.45R    0.00  
Bournemouth      28   32  -12       1.62    59.35     1.30    42.10     4.00   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.94R    0.01  
Swansea          28   30  -10      -4.00    30.34    -3.50    42.78     4.16   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.01  
Sunderland       28   24  -19      -3.72    31.02    -1.27    33.94     4.01   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.11R    2.20  
Norwich          28   24  -22      -3.38    33.29    -3.41    33.99     3.99   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.45R    2.47  
Newcastle        27   24  -23      -1.38    43.45    -3.64    35.59     4.24   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.24R    1.86  
Aston_Villa      28   16  -29      -8.17    11.50    -6.78    23.74     3.58   -38.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   93.45  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Blackburn 2 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         34   65  +26       4.88    71.07     6.03    86.07     4.65    32.59    21.30    51.46    99.67    67.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            33   64  +29       3.84    67.51     7.82    88.73     4.62    39.04    47.51    76.57    99.96    85.27P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   64  +26       5.99    76.63     7.59    86.88     4.76    33.15    28.07    58.28    99.73    72.56P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        34   63  +15      11.68    91.31     7.65    80.46     4.61    16.75     2.51     9.92    94.15    26.71P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           34   57  +15       0.57    52.49     0.11    77.44     4.63    20.96     0.57     3.23    84.83    25.45P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       34   55  +15       5.76    74.94    10.55    73.41     4.58    18.01     0.03     0.40    56.92    10.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         34   52   +7       3.48    66.11     3.60    68.98     4.68     7.83     0.00     0.02    19.01     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      33   51   +7       5.64    75.08     6.29    68.07     4.82     6.32     0.00     0.02    13.54     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         33   51   +1       3.86    67.71    -2.14    70.71     4.84     3.93     0.01     0.09    27.80     5.19P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         34   48   +1       2.95    64.00     2.12    63.69     4.52     0.42     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             34   44   +1      -5.67    26.24    -3.81    61.38     4.66     2.61     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading         33   43   +2      -1.13    45.21     3.10    59.46     4.80     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   43   -5      -4.58    30.49    -6.75    59.33     4.53    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       34   43   -6      -2.79    38.01    -4.68    60.40     4.66    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   42   +2      -3.99    32.15     0.13    59.35     4.84     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       33   40   +2      -6.29    22.94    -0.36    58.49     4.82     3.12     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield    34   39   -2      -3.95    32.68     3.45    53.04     4.51    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.92R    0.00  
Leeds_United    33   38   -9      -1.22    44.83    -1.32    53.82     4.65   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.01  
Bristol_City    34   37  -22      -0.23    49.88    -8.14    50.08     4.51   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.28R    0.12  
Fulham          34   36   -5      -7.16    20.60     1.03    51.67     4.70    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.43R    0.04  
MK_Dons         34   32  -20      -5.65    25.83    -7.23    45.51     4.51   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.99R    1.53  
Rotherham       34   29  -21      -5.11    26.86    -1.61    40.49     4.32   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.92R   10.53  
Bolton          34   25  -24     -11.60     7.54    -9.21    37.59     4.40   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.39R   30.69  
Charlton        34   25  -35      -7.88    16.12   -14.20    35.78     4.26   -43.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.11R   57.09  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Barnsley 2 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    33   67  +16      17.99    98.12    10.26    86.58     4.95    18.72    50.12    80.71    99.77    84.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            34   63  +25       0.50    51.66     1.50    85.02     4.67    33.19    39.92    77.52    99.63    85.57P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   59  +16       8.03    82.46     7.55    79.34     4.90    19.80     6.24    22.91    92.76    40.75P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       34   58  +17       5.73    73.80     8.43    76.49     4.79    20.07     2.42    10.88    83.37    28.13P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         34   55  +11       1.70    57.20     0.87    74.17     4.77    14.96     0.75     4.16    67.93    21.10P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         33   52  +19       0.14    50.73     9.12    71.84     4.97    22.11     0.39     2.34    52.19    15.06P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         34   52   +9       0.13    50.52     1.28    70.16     4.72    11.73     0.09     0.79    35.07     9.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +3       5.87    74.69     4.87    66.35     4.70     1.45     0.00     0.07    10.94     2.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford         33   51   +3       4.87    71.55     1.26    68.95     4.92     3.32     0.05     0.48    24.16     5.37P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        35   49   +0       3.10    64.07     2.71    64.20     4.47     0.27     0.00     0.02     4.02     0.84P    0.08R    0.00  
Swindon          34   48   +2      -4.39    31.34    -6.70    65.92     4.77     4.18     0.01     0.06    10.27     2.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        34   48   +2      -3.11    36.19    -4.80    66.07     4.77     4.40     0.00     0.04    11.11     2.91P    0.07R    0.00  
Bury             34   47  -10       7.35    79.84     1.15    60.88     4.70   -14.10     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.17P    1.59R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       33   46   -2       3.52    66.35     2.10    63.07     4.94    -3.16     0.00     0.01     3.56     0.64P    0.54R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   45   -2      -1.18    45.18    -1.21    61.49     4.76    -2.14     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.33P    1.09R    0.00  
Peterborough     34   44   +2      -5.47    27.19    -2.12    62.23     4.74     4.67     0.00     0.01     2.48     0.58P    0.63R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   33   39   -1      -4.05    32.24     1.81    55.62     4.84    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   11.73R    0.02  
Chesterfield     34   38   -9      -7.79    19.14    -7.56    54.21     4.73    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    19.45R    0.06  
Doncaster        33   37   -8      -5.98    24.55    -4.86    54.41     4.96    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   19.71R    0.11  
Shrewsbury       33   37  -12      -3.67    34.26    -5.31    51.73     4.84   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.28R    0.29  
Blackpool        34   35  -10      -7.38    20.35    -4.27    50.25     4.66   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.24R    0.94  
Oldham           33   34  -11      -5.26    26.99    -2.52    49.26     4.81   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.22R    1.22  
Crewe            34   29  -23      -4.32    30.94    -1.95    41.60     4.47   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.66R   24.21  
Colchester       34   27  -37      -5.43    26.56   -11.61    37.71     4.35   -47.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.60R   73.15  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Barnet 1 0 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          34   75  +27      18.49    98.36    12.09    95.00     4.80    32.30    89.25    99.74   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           34   64  +27       7.05    78.62    11.79    84.44     4.69    32.92     6.15    81.30    99.55    86.65P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             34   64  +20       8.37    83.03     7.00    83.69     4.69    24.74     4.13    73.46    99.02    80.57P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   32   56  +16       9.37    85.45    12.13    76.87     5.29    18.47     0.33    19.70    81.13    32.14P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           33   53  +22      -0.18    48.95    10.26    74.26     4.98    27.05     0.08     9.59    69.35    27.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       33   53  +11       5.21    72.45     6.93    73.01     5.03    14.19     0.04     4.58    57.15    16.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        34   53   +4      -3.34    35.61   -10.65    73.49     4.76    10.11     0.01     5.11    59.55    22.38P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        33   52  +11       4.69    70.21     8.02    70.85     5.02    12.56     0.01     2.36    40.49    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   52   +6       2.02    59.49    -1.14    71.64     4.97     8.65     0.01     2.80    43.89    13.31P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            34   51   +6       7.17    79.38     9.82    66.07     4.66     4.07     0.00     0.11    10.26     1.94P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             32   50   +5       5.85    74.85     5.05    69.11     5.26     4.70     0.01     1.15    26.48     6.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        34   50   +3       4.70    70.38     5.30    65.25     4.74     1.07     0.00     0.08     7.15     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                34   47   +1      -1.76    42.37    -2.15    63.72     4.76     1.37     0.00     0.03     4.00     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               34   45   -5       0.24    51.46    -1.90    60.58     4.76    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               33   43   -5       2.91    63.78     3.00    59.34     4.97    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         34   41  -16      -2.57    39.45   -11.32    57.12     4.80   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County         33   40   -9      -6.45    23.54   -10.63    58.86     5.07    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            34   36   -8      -7.23    21.30    -2.10    52.36     4.82    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.66R    0.05  
Newport_County       32   34  -11      -4.50    30.33    -3.09    50.44     5.05   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77R    0.13  
Stevenage            34   34  -15     -10.65    11.21   -11.76    48.49     4.70   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.09R    0.31  
Yeovil               34   32  -13     -11.32     9.88    -8.60    47.06     4.69   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.40R    0.59  
Hartlepool           31   28  -23      -2.62    37.81    -4.92    42.71     5.04   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.56R    8.95  
York                 34   26  -28     -10.14    11.32   -11.98    38.71     4.52   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.42R   26.28  
Dag_&_Red            33   21  -26     -14.73     3.30   -11.16    34.78     4.74   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.04R   63.68  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Braintree_Town 2 1 Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       36   79  +43       6.31    76.51     7.77    98.67     4.05    51.85    78.29   100.00    86.90P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   78  +28      13.71    94.05     5.30    94.38     4.28    32.10    20.51   100.00    42.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   62  +37      -3.42    32.99     6.25    85.03     4.80    44.79     1.19    97.54    37.35P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   33   57  +13       6.93    79.26     5.80    75.32     4.83    14.02     0.00    47.26     7.18P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   57  +11      -3.05    36.28    -6.82    75.50     4.49    15.93     0.00    50.22    11.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   56  +16      -1.20    44.58     4.39    70.29     4.18    16.83     0.00    12.99     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        34   55   -5       8.40    83.27    -4.55    70.89     4.69    -5.82     0.00    14.21     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        33   53   +6       3.38    65.08    -0.28    74.19     4.90    11.18     0.00    37.85     5.53P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   32   52  +12       3.38    65.19     5.12    73.23     5.20    15.05     0.00    33.39     4.84P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     35   52   +8       2.41    60.77     5.93    66.82     4.44     7.40     0.00     3.33     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           35   49   +9      -5.72    26.31    -1.10    64.41     4.51     9.25     0.00     1.30     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     35   48   +6      -3.66    34.37     0.57    64.20     4.45     7.70     0.00     0.82     0.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          34   47   -1       4.18    68.10     6.36    63.53     4.91    -1.19     0.00     0.94     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot        34   45   -7       1.65    58.37    -2.21    61.08     4.68    -7.59     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport        35   42  -14       4.74    71.90     2.15    55.49     4.38   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.21R    0.00  
Chester          34   39   -9      -0.36    49.22     2.50    53.86     4.63   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.01  
Barrow           33   39  -17       4.55    70.95     1.61    54.26     4.99   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95R    0.02  
Guiseley         34   39  -17       3.46    66.78    -0.35    50.60     4.40   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.87R    0.06  
Boreham_Wood     34   35   -4      -4.98    28.63     4.46    50.03     4.58    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.90R    0.12  
Altrincham       33   34  -23       1.62    59.14    -2.55    48.50     4.79   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.95R    0.86  
Halifax          33   33  -21      -7.11    20.74   -11.76    48.59     4.89   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.31R    0.76  
Torquay          32   29  -23      -8.93    13.96   -13.13    48.44     5.17   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.39R    1.10  
Welling          35   26  -25      -9.22    12.89    -6.31    36.90     4.11   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.88R   48.31  
Kidderminster    36   24  -23     -16.20     2.70    -9.15    36.41     4.22   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.99R   48.77