Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 March 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Aston_Villa 1 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        28   57  +20      15.04    97.43    14.90    72.09     4.28    22.01    22.03    47.68    72.80    92.55    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   54  +28       6.35    79.80    11.79    72.84     4.41    33.69    34.87    60.44    80.87    95.22    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   51  +17       1.81    59.05    -1.51    71.86     4.26    25.94    23.93    48.05    71.78    92.99    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   47  +20      -4.78    24.86    -6.03    70.64     4.50    31.57    18.51    40.67    64.45    88.49    99.02     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   44  +10      -2.23    38.23    -3.66    63.41     4.36    16.43     0.62     2.85     8.54    22.74    80.75     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         27   43  +10       4.12    70.72     7.34    57.44     4.45     9.08     0.03     0.17     0.67     2.82    29.02     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   40   +7      -3.13    34.55    -0.00    55.59     4.18     9.77     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.72    16.43     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   39   +4     -10.25     9.00   -12.73    56.76     4.26     9.99     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.30    24.82     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   39   -4       4.20    71.59    -0.99    52.94     4.32    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     5.49     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          27   38  +13      -5.12    24.95     3.91    55.36     4.50    16.50     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.11    19.26     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        26   38   +2      -2.12    39.01    -4.58    56.53     4.79     5.09     0.02     0.08     0.39     1.86    23.56     0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   37   +1       4.00    70.62     7.06    50.73     4.35    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     2.41     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        28   36   -7       2.86    65.35     0.53    47.11     4.00   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.17R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   33   -6       0.03    51.05     2.09    44.19     4.05    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.37R    0.00  
Bournemouth      28   32  -12       1.53    58.89     1.19    42.14     4.00   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.11R    0.00  
Swansea          27   27  -11      -5.51    23.04    -4.39    40.18     4.29   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.31R    0.09  
Sunderland       28   24  -19      -3.79    30.79    -1.38    33.89     3.99   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.88R    2.06  
Norwich          28   24  -22      -3.56    32.80    -3.61    34.05     3.98   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.05R    2.20  
Newcastle        26   24  -22      -0.46    48.65    -3.13    36.51     4.46   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.31R    1.50  
Aston_Villa      28   16  -29      -8.21    10.97    -6.78    23.70     3.56   -39.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   94.15  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Blackburn 2 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         34   65  +26       5.10    72.12     6.35    85.94     4.64    32.42    20.89    50.75    99.73    66.95P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            33   64  +29       3.79    67.11     7.72    88.76     4.63    39.06    48.13    77.10    99.95    85.63P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   64  +26       6.14    77.12     7.76    86.84     4.70    33.08    27.74    58.00    99.78    72.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        34   63  +15      11.66    91.35     7.66    80.51     4.64    16.82     2.61    10.45    94.28    27.13P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           34   57  +15       0.61    52.59     0.17    77.41     4.65    20.90     0.59     3.10    84.29    25.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       34   55  +15       5.59    74.26    10.31    73.45     4.63    18.08     0.03     0.44    57.05    11.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         34   52   +7       3.30    65.33     3.33    69.09     4.67     7.97     0.00     0.03    19.45     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      33   51   +7       5.61    75.00     6.22    68.10     4.80     6.35     0.00     0.02    13.35     2.34P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         33   51   +1       3.99    68.38    -2.03    70.68     4.83     3.90     0.01     0.10    27.64     4.91P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         34   48   +1       2.85    63.37     2.02    63.73     4.55     0.50     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             34   44   +1      -5.70    26.28    -3.86    61.39     4.65     2.60     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading         33   43   +2      -1.12    45.15     3.10    59.44     4.79     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   43   -5      -4.60    30.06    -6.79    59.33     4.53    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Brentford       34   43   -6      -2.81    37.85    -4.69    60.30     4.65    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   42   +2      -3.87    32.35     0.32    59.26     4.82     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.08P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       33   40   +2      -6.51    22.06    -0.65    58.52     4.83     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield    34   39   -2      -3.94    32.60     3.46    53.10     4.56    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Leeds_United    33   38   -9      -0.96    46.02    -0.97    53.69     4.65   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.96R    0.01  
Bristol_City    34   37  -22      -0.08    50.43    -8.01    50.01     4.48   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.31R    0.08  
Fulham          34   36   -5      -7.20    20.54     0.96    51.68     4.66    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31R    0.03  
MK_Dons         34   32  -20      -5.63    25.57    -7.20    45.50     4.49   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.32R    1.50  
Rotherham       34   29  -21      -5.30    26.38    -1.95    40.55     4.34   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.34R   10.30  
Bolton          34   25  -24     -11.59     7.48    -9.19    37.63     4.41   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.46R   30.40  
Charlton        34   25  -35      -7.84    16.35   -14.03    35.76     4.23   -43.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.19R   57.67  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Barnsley 2 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    33   67  +16      18.14    98.17    10.44    86.58     4.94    18.68    50.09    80.78    99.77    84.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            34   63  +25       0.43    51.34     1.41    85.05     4.68    33.23    40.04    77.45    99.63    85.46P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   59  +16       8.14    82.56     7.65    79.29     4.94    19.74     6.25    22.99    92.58    40.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       34   58  +17       5.44    72.83     8.05    76.55     4.78    20.18     2.38    10.97    83.85    28.01P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         34   55  +11       1.99    58.68     1.27    74.05     4.80    14.80     0.72     4.07    67.16    20.88P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         33   52  +19       0.05    50.05     9.00    71.82     4.97    22.10     0.34     2.30    52.00    15.17P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         34   52   +9      -0.14    49.70     0.88    70.25     4.72    11.87     0.12     0.80    35.76     9.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +3       5.96    75.21     5.00    66.31     4.63     1.37     0.00     0.07    10.30     2.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford         33   51   +3       4.66    70.72     0.95    69.03     4.90     3.48     0.06     0.45    24.64     5.51P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        35   49   +0       3.24    64.72     2.96    64.14     4.47     0.17     0.00     0.00     3.96     0.78P    0.11R    0.00  
Swindon          34   48   +2      -4.36    31.57    -6.73    65.89     4.78     4.16     0.00     0.05    10.27     2.70P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        34   48   +2      -3.08    36.36    -4.79    66.04     4.77     4.35     0.00     0.05    10.95     2.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury             34   47  -10       7.25    79.83     0.97    60.85     4.69   -14.14     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.16P    1.64R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       33   46   -2       3.35    65.58     1.80    63.13     4.97    -3.09     0.00     0.00     3.80     0.62P    0.52R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   45   -2      -1.17    45.28    -1.17    61.46     4.75    -2.18     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.30P    1.08R    0.00  
Peterborough     34   44   +2      -5.48    27.15    -2.13    62.30     4.77     4.72     0.00     0.00     2.63     0.63P    0.63R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   33   39   -1      -3.90    32.81     2.03    55.59     4.84    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   11.93R    0.02  
Chesterfield     34   38   -9      -7.75    19.00    -7.46    54.17     4.74    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   20.04R    0.07  
Doncaster        33   37   -8      -5.96    24.54    -4.80    54.40     4.94    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   19.71R    0.11  
Shrewsbury       33   37  -12      -3.81    33.41    -5.50    51.79     4.86   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.22R    0.24  
Blackpool        34   35  -10      -7.33    20.59    -4.15    50.28     4.67   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.99R    0.84  
Oldham           33   34  -11      -5.40    26.39    -2.73    49.38     4.79   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.63R    1.09  
Crewe            34   29  -23      -4.22    31.25    -1.78    41.58     4.48   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.71R   24.39  
Colchester       34   27  -37      -5.19    27.47   -11.17    37.65     4.38   -47.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R   73.24  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Barnet 1 0 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          34   75  +27      18.57    98.27    12.22    95.04     4.79    32.32    89.17    99.75   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           34   64  +27       7.16    78.70    12.01    84.46     4.71    32.93     6.01    81.40    99.49    86.68P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             34   64  +20       8.15    82.07     6.66    83.79     4.70    24.84     4.37    73.85    99.12    80.96P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   32   56  +16       9.42    85.72    12.23    76.83     5.29    18.45     0.30    19.44    80.98    31.90P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           33   53  +22      -0.23    48.76    10.20    74.28     5.02    27.07     0.09     9.42    69.37    27.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       33   53  +11       5.17    72.50     6.87    73.02     5.02    14.17     0.02     4.54    57.87    16.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        34   53   +4      -3.12    36.56   -10.30    73.40     4.80    10.00     0.02     5.07    58.97    21.95P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        33   52  +11       4.71    70.38     8.08    70.87     5.00    12.56     0.01     2.42    40.51    10.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   52   +6       2.05    59.57    -1.10    71.57     4.98     8.58     0.01     2.72    43.37    13.14P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            34   51   +6       6.89    78.53     9.45    66.14     4.68     4.19     0.00     0.13    10.65     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             32   50   +5       5.70    74.44     4.79    69.12     5.23     4.71     0.01     1.16    26.12     5.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        34   50   +3       4.45    69.40     4.86    65.31     4.73     1.17     0.00     0.07     7.40     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                34   47   +1      -1.53    43.45    -1.88    63.70     4.75     1.31     0.00     0.02     3.99     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               34   45   -5       0.42    52.32    -1.58    60.51     4.76    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               33   43   -5       2.80    62.90     2.87    59.41     5.00    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         34   41  -16      -2.24    40.75   -10.80    57.04     4.79   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County         33   40   -9      -6.51    23.96   -10.71    58.89     5.05    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            34   36   -8      -7.04    21.81    -1.83    52.30     4.83    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.04  
Newport_County       32   34  -11      -4.50    30.04    -3.15    50.50     5.05   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.11  
Stevenage            34   34  -15     -10.47    11.91   -11.47    48.40     4.71   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35R    0.36  
Yeovil               34   32  -13     -11.53     9.39    -8.97    47.10     4.72   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.39R    0.62  
Hartlepool           31   28  -23      -2.76    37.35    -5.14    42.75     5.03   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.09R    8.86  
York                 34   26  -28     -10.23    11.02   -12.16    38.73     4.52   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.82R   26.52  
Dag_&_Red            33   21  -26     -14.70     3.37   -11.14    34.79     4.72   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.96R   63.49  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2016, Braintree_Town 2 1 Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       36   79  +43       6.25    76.29     7.66    98.65     4.02    51.85    78.03   100.00    86.78P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   78  +28      13.57    93.89     5.11    94.43     4.29    32.20    20.84   100.00    42.13P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   62  +37      -3.40    33.38     6.34    84.97     4.80    44.70     1.13    97.46    37.36P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   33   57  +13       6.95    79.56     5.90    75.31     4.85    13.99     0.00    47.34     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   57  +11      -3.02    36.56    -6.78    75.48     4.48    15.93     0.00    50.34    11.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   56  +16      -1.29    44.52     4.27    70.30     4.18    16.87     0.00    12.89     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        34   55   -5       8.58    83.66    -4.29    70.85     4.71    -5.87     0.00    14.08     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        33   53   +6       3.28    64.43    -0.45    74.19     4.96    11.25     0.00    38.07     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   32   52  +12       3.61    66.44     5.42    73.17     5.20    14.89     0.00    32.86     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     35   52   +8       2.27    60.12     5.69    66.89     4.46     7.52     0.00     3.60     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           35   49   +9      -5.52    27.32    -0.83    64.39     4.51     9.20     0.00     1.27     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     35   48   +6      -3.80    33.67     0.38    64.24     4.47     7.75     0.00     0.96     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          34   47   -1       4.16    68.25     6.26    63.53     4.89    -1.21     0.00     1.00     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot        34   45   -7       1.64    58.19    -2.13    61.06     4.69    -7.62     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport        35   42  -14       4.78    71.88     2.12    55.48     4.35   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.11R    0.00  
Chester          34   39   -9      -0.46    48.54     2.41    53.91     4.63   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.47R    0.01  
Barrow           33   39  -17       4.50    70.98     1.49    54.28     4.97   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00P    3.85R    0.01  
Guiseley         34   39  -17       3.52    66.72    -0.28    50.59     4.40   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.88R    0.04  
Boreham_Wood     34   35   -4      -5.05    28.63     4.35    50.05     4.61    -5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.60R    0.14  
Altrincham       33   34  -23       1.70    59.67    -2.36    48.43     4.79   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.34R    0.85  
Halifax          33   33  -21      -6.96    21.25   -11.53    48.57     4.88   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.53R    0.70  
Torquay          32   29  -23      -8.94    14.09   -13.07    48.44     5.22   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.54R    1.14  
Welling          35   26  -25      -9.25    12.80    -6.41    36.94     4.12   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.61R   48.44  
Kidderminster    36   24  -23     -16.27     2.56    -9.27    36.45     4.19   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.04R   48.68