Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 29 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 February 2016, Man_Utd 3 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        27   56  +20      15.66    97.99    15.18    73.01     4.49    22.87    27.88    54.78    77.47    93.97    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   54  +28       6.28    79.61    11.66    72.87     4.44    33.76    32.73    58.53    79.84    94.99    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   51  +17       1.94    59.64    -1.30    71.85     4.23    25.86    21.78    45.59    70.25    92.82    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   47  +20      -4.73    25.10    -5.99    70.64     4.50    31.56    16.97    38.29    62.88    88.22    98.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   44  +10      -2.05    39.25    -3.41    63.43     4.36    16.45     0.59     2.46     7.84    21.73    80.09     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         27   43  +10       4.19    70.94     7.50    57.39     4.44     9.01     0.02     0.12     0.54     2.30    27.52     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   40   +9      -2.18    38.59     1.37    57.58     4.43    12.67     0.01     0.12     0.55     2.47    31.42     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   39   -4       4.08    71.27    -1.21    52.92     4.32    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     5.36     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        26   38   +2      -2.10    38.97    -4.53    56.55     4.78     5.10     0.01     0.07     0.36     1.68    22.85     0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   37   +1       3.79    69.28     6.68    50.84     4.40    -0.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.34     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          27   36   +3     -11.43     6.40   -13.03    55.84     4.49    10.09     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.95    18.92     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          26   35  +11      -5.56    22.95     3.76    54.07     4.74    15.01     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.68    13.21     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        27   35   -7       3.10    67.28     0.25    46.96     4.23   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.34R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   32   -6       0.30    52.57     1.91    44.56     4.30    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.65R    0.01  
Bournemouth      27   29  -14       0.61    54.44     0.46    39.80     4.22   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.72R    0.17  
Swansea          27   27  -11      -5.69    22.48    -4.60    40.24     4.31   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.61R    0.16  
Norwich          27   24  -21      -2.81    36.00    -3.57    34.83     4.19   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.43R    2.87  
Newcastle        26   24  -22      -0.48    48.43    -3.19    36.52     4.44   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.63R    2.18  
Sunderland       27   23  -19      -3.42    32.02    -1.55    34.18     4.24   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.22R    3.61  
Aston_Villa      27   16  -27      -7.76    12.50    -6.39    24.60     3.78   -37.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.38R   91.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 February 2016, Brighton 4 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         34   65  +26       5.05    72.20     6.31    85.95     4.63    32.45    17.77    45.97    99.69    64.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            33   64  +29       3.68    66.48     7.54    88.74     4.62    39.08    41.67    74.09    99.96    83.84P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   64  +27       7.03    80.59     8.17    88.58     4.92    34.58    38.08    68.42    99.88    79.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        34   63  +15      11.62    91.24     7.57    80.45     4.58    16.80     2.03     8.46    94.38    25.55P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           34   57  +15       0.70    52.98     0.26    77.48     4.65    21.00     0.43     2.66    84.68    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       34   55  +15       5.54    74.07    10.21    73.46     4.61    18.09     0.02     0.30    57.27    10.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         34   52   +7       3.50    66.19     3.60    68.99     4.67     7.85     0.00     0.01    18.94     3.32P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      33   51   +7       5.53    74.73     6.12    68.11     4.79     6.36     0.00     0.02    13.15     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         33   51   +1       3.83    67.60    -2.19    70.66     4.82     3.91     0.00     0.07    27.64     5.06P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         34   48   +1       2.83    63.25     2.01    63.75     4.56     0.51     0.00     0.00     2.07     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             34   44   +1      -5.59    26.51    -3.69    61.34     4.66     2.55     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         33   43   +2      -1.22    44.86     2.90    59.45     4.78     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   43   -5      -4.79    29.41    -7.04    59.35     4.54    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       34   43   -6      -2.69    38.36    -4.53    60.30     4.66    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   42   +2      -3.80    32.63     0.43    59.27     4.80     1.41     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield    34   39   -2      -3.79    33.43     3.68    53.00     4.54    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.94R    0.00  
Leeds_United    33   38   -9      -0.94    46.03    -0.96    53.70     4.66   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.97R    0.01  
Blackburn       32   37   +1      -7.95    16.95    -1.30    56.59     4.97     1.84     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.21R    0.00  
Bristol_City    34   37  -22      -0.06    50.63    -7.92    50.03     4.50   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.51R    0.07  
Fulham          34   36   -5      -7.20    20.55     0.94    51.70     4.70    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.34R    0.02  
MK_Dons         34   32  -20      -5.65    25.75    -7.27    45.57     4.52   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.40R    1.43  
Rotherham       34   29  -21      -5.29    26.54    -1.91    40.54     4.32   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.70R   10.02  
Bolton          34   25  -24     -11.56     7.63    -9.16    37.58     4.40   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.51R   30.29  
Charlton        34   25  -35      -7.64    16.99   -13.76    35.70     4.21   -43.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.34R   58.16  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2016, Blackpool 0 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    32   64  +15      16.75    97.36     9.80    84.60     5.18    17.21    33.81    63.27    98.49    70.60P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            33   62  +25       0.92    53.62     1.47    85.53     4.91    33.40    47.32    75.67    99.32    84.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       33   58  +18       6.62    77.35     8.68    78.18     5.02    21.56     5.65    18.70    86.35    34.82P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   58  +16       8.42    83.78     7.57    80.33     5.12    20.72    10.48    29.98    92.66    45.92P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         33   54  +11       1.92    58.48     0.64    74.44     5.00    14.87     1.30     5.39    63.50    20.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         32   52  +21       0.69    52.92     9.80    73.32     5.19    24.24     1.02     4.38    57.52    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         32   51   +4       6.06    76.47     2.13    71.36     5.13     5.89     0.32     1.74    35.82     9.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         33   50   +3       6.48    77.11     5.32    67.25     4.97     2.22     0.03     0.20    12.17     2.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley         33   49   +7      -0.90    46.03     0.17    68.41     4.93     9.52     0.04     0.35    19.15     4.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        33   48   +3      -1.99    41.07    -4.18    67.76     4.96     5.88     0.02     0.22    15.36     4.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale        34   48   +0       3.49    66.00     2.88    64.53     4.69     0.22     0.00     0.01     3.65     0.76P    0.15R    0.00  
Swindon          33   45   +0      -5.18    27.95    -7.47    64.50     5.03     2.48     0.00     0.04     5.28     1.38P    0.25R    0.00  
Rochdale         33   45   +0      -0.56    47.94    -0.31    63.13     4.97     0.30     0.00     0.01     2.79     0.60P    0.45R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       32   45   -2       3.70    67.44     1.96    62.94     5.13    -3.96     0.00     0.02     2.86     0.55P    0.57R    0.00  
Peterborough     33   44   +4      -4.72    29.78    -1.09    64.14     5.02     7.49     0.00     0.02     4.67     1.16P    0.20R    0.00  
Bury             33   44  -12       6.48    77.86     0.32    58.71     4.91   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    4.22R    0.00  
Doncaster        32   37   -6      -5.60    25.86    -4.29    55.79     5.17    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   12.02R    0.03  
Chesterfield     33   37   -9      -7.25    20.72    -7.24    54.83     4.98    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.57R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town   32   36   -2      -5.27    26.95     1.53    53.68     5.05    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   19.85R    0.07  
Blackpool        33   34  -10      -6.92    21.34    -4.12    50.23     4.87   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   46.12R    0.49  
Shrewsbury       32   34  -14      -4.61    29.96    -6.19    49.71     5.05   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   54.06R    0.54  
Oldham           32   33  -11      -5.11    27.38    -2.81    49.76     5.00   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.97R    0.55  
Crewe            33   28  -23      -4.15    31.30    -2.07    41.42     4.67   -29.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.70R   15.94  
Colchester       33   24  -38      -7.06    19.62   -12.51    35.21     4.52   -49.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   82.36  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          33   74  +27      18.95    98.66    12.14    95.90     5.04    33.05    88.96    99.64   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             33   64  +21       9.62    86.87     7.80    85.59     4.91    26.48     7.01    79.74    99.53    85.18P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           33   61  +23       7.14    79.47    10.36    83.01     4.93    29.20     3.08    65.77    98.36    74.77P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   31   56  +17      10.17    88.02    12.27    78.41     5.53    19.75     0.73    26.38    85.86    38.51P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           32   52  +22       0.23    51.01    10.32    74.87     5.19    27.40     0.11    10.63    71.50    28.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   52   +7       3.06    64.02    -0.60    73.31     5.20    10.10     0.03     5.33    55.41    17.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        33   52   +4      -2.64    38.48   -10.07    74.09     5.05    10.43     0.03     6.50    61.87    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        32   51  +11       4.83    71.15     7.73    70.87     5.21    11.99     0.02     2.27    39.34    10.11P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            34   51   +6       7.02    78.81     9.67    66.18     4.72     4.21     0.00     0.09    10.23     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       32   50   +8       5.17    72.81     6.14    71.30     5.23    11.07     0.01     2.20    41.53    11.11P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             31   49   +5       6.04    76.04     4.74    69.30     5.49     4.38     0.01     1.39    27.08     6.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        33   47   +2       2.93    63.61     4.13    63.44     4.96    -0.17     0.00     0.04     4.20     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                33   44   +0      -2.80    37.85    -2.31    62.24     4.99     0.57     0.00     0.01     2.52     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               33   44   -5       0.72    53.85    -1.66    60.64     5.00    -6.87     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               32   40   -6       1.69    58.56     2.71    57.11     5.17    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.10R    0.00  
Notts_County         32   39   -9      -6.09    24.86   -10.55    59.78     5.29    -6.67     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         33   38  -18      -3.32    36.26   -11.99    55.41     5.04   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.30R    0.02  
Morecambe            33   36   -7      -6.36    23.91    -1.87    53.65     5.08    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.64R    0.04  
Newport_County       31   34   -9      -3.84    32.89    -2.12    51.96     5.30   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.43R    0.11  
Stevenage            34   34  -15     -10.71    11.39   -11.80    48.51     4.70   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.19R    0.40  
Yeovil               33   29  -14     -12.64     6.87    -9.13    45.14     4.91   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.89R    2.48  
Hartlepool           30   28  -20      -2.26    39.75    -3.60    43.91     5.22   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.02R    7.03  
York                 33   26  -24     -10.51    10.36   -10.73    39.93     4.71   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.14R   20.68  
Dag_&_Red            32   20  -26     -14.76     3.09   -11.58    34.70     4.95   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.27R   69.23  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 February 2016, Chester 0 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       35   79  +44       7.44    80.97     8.10   100.64     4.27    53.79    86.44   100.00    91.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   78  +28      13.90    94.30     5.66    94.35     4.28    32.07    12.89   100.00    36.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   62  +37      -3.37    33.30     6.39    84.93     4.80    44.67     0.68    97.35    37.35P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   57  +11      -3.15    35.75    -6.93    75.51     4.50    15.96     0.00    51.48    12.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   56  +16      -1.28    44.33     4.27    70.28     4.19    16.81     0.00    13.56     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        34   55   -5       8.56    83.56    -4.28    70.89     4.73    -5.83     0.00    14.74     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   32   54  +12       5.84    75.79     5.60    74.05     5.04    13.52     0.00    38.21     6.15P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   52  +13       4.81    71.39     6.07    75.46     5.40    17.34     0.00    51.49     7.75P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     35   52   +8       2.43    60.74     5.92    66.79     4.45     7.35     0.00     3.47     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        32   50   +5       1.81    58.07    -1.16    72.06     5.19     9.42     0.00    24.51     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           35   49   +9      -5.54    26.83    -0.84    64.38     4.50     9.17     0.00     1.30     0.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     34   48   +7      -2.74    37.74     0.90    66.17     4.72     9.59     0.00     3.10     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        34   45   -7       1.50    57.32    -2.38    61.19     4.68    -7.41     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Bromley          33   44   -3       3.54    66.14     5.96    62.20     5.14    -2.77     0.00     0.65     0.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Chester          34   39   -9      -0.54    48.21     2.30    53.99     4.64   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.01  
Southport        34   39  -15       3.11    65.39     1.05    53.11     4.54   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.65R    0.05  
Barrow           33   39  -17       4.48    70.81     1.53    54.30     4.96   -21.10     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.05R    0.02  
Guiseley         34   39  -17       3.67    67.57    -0.08    50.53     4.38   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.42R    0.09  
Boreham_Wood     34   35   -4      -5.01    28.49     4.36    50.03     4.59    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.94R    0.21  
Altrincham       33   34  -23       1.63    59.15    -2.51    48.47     4.78   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.10R    1.24  
Halifax          33   33  -21      -6.89    21.23   -11.36    48.56     4.88   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.19R    1.10  
Welling          34   26  -23      -8.59    14.17    -5.42    37.93     4.35   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.22R   45.86  
Torquay          31   26  -24     -10.49     9.45   -13.93    46.19     5.37   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.42R    4.48  
Kidderminster    35   24  -22     -15.59     2.85    -9.25    37.42     4.39   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.90R   46.95