Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 February 2016, Man_Utd 3 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        27   56  +20      15.61    97.96    15.12    73.07     4.51    22.95    28.85    55.15    78.02    94.37    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   54  +28       6.27    79.32    11.58    72.85     4.46    33.73    32.44    58.23    79.84    95.09    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   51  +17       1.82    58.84    -1.50    71.84     4.26    25.87    21.59    45.61    70.18    92.82    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   47  +20      -4.73    24.96    -5.92    70.61     4.51    31.53    16.62    38.27    62.73    88.18    98.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   44  +10      -1.85    40.04    -3.13    63.32     4.34    16.26     0.47     2.43     7.55    21.17    79.82     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         27   43  +10       4.28    71.50     7.60    57.35     4.39     8.96     0.00     0.10     0.51     2.31    27.44     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   40   +9      -2.26    38.17     1.32    57.59     4.41    12.69     0.01     0.11     0.58     2.52    31.33     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   39   -4       4.29    72.02    -0.88    52.85     4.31    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     5.28     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        26   38   +2      -1.96    39.85    -4.34    56.47     4.78     4.99     0.01     0.08     0.32     1.66    22.66     0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   37   +1       3.86    70.21     6.78    50.85     4.39    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.39     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          27   36   +3     -11.35     6.59   -12.86    55.80     4.47    10.02     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.93    18.88     0.00     0.00  
Everton          26   35  +11      -5.69    22.36     3.56    54.16     4.73    15.11     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.73    14.04     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        27   35   -7       3.09    66.77     0.24    47.01     4.20   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.38R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   32   -6       0.24    52.09     1.74    44.63     4.28    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.57R    0.00  
Bournemouth      27   29  -14       0.44    53.25     0.12    39.84     4.23   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    15.67R    0.20  
Swansea          27   27  -11      -5.68    22.50    -4.64    40.25     4.31   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.44R    0.17  
Norwich          27   24  -21      -2.79    36.25    -3.62    34.82     4.20   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.50R    3.12  
Newcastle        26   24  -22      -0.61    47.82    -3.37    36.56     4.46   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.36R    2.29  
Sunderland       27   23  -19      -3.30    32.91    -1.29    34.14     4.24   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.69R    3.79  
Aston_Villa      27   16  -27      -7.86    11.99    -6.52    24.67     3.82   -37.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.38R   90.42  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2016, Blackburn 3 2 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         34   65  +26       4.79    70.85     5.90    86.09     4.65    32.62    18.35    47.84    99.71    65.57P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            33   64  +29       3.75    66.75     7.74    88.63     4.63    38.86    40.75    73.78    99.95    83.78P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   64  +27       6.97    80.50     8.14    88.67     4.94    34.73    39.25    69.52    99.90    80.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        33   60  +11      11.60    91.72     5.79    78.82     4.83    12.78     1.16     5.48    88.28    20.98P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           34   57  +15       0.72    53.23     0.34    77.49     4.64    21.04     0.44     2.88    85.17    26.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       34   55  +15       5.58    74.14    10.26    73.55     4.65    18.21     0.04     0.39    59.18    11.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         34   52   +7       3.40    65.45     3.47    68.98     4.64     7.82     0.00     0.01    19.45     3.44P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      33   51   +7       5.51    74.42     6.04    68.16     4.81     6.45     0.00     0.02    14.77     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         33   51   +1       3.94    67.81    -2.03    70.67     4.84     3.89     0.01     0.08    28.88     5.27P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         34   48   +1       2.95    63.63     2.09    63.69     4.52     0.42     0.00     0.00     2.13     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             34   44   +1      -5.42    27.13    -3.44    61.29     4.62     2.50     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading         33   43   +2      -1.04    45.58     3.17    59.44     4.77     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   43   -5      -4.77    29.64    -7.09    59.26     4.53    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       34   43   -6      -2.76    38.00    -4.64    60.42     4.66    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   42   +2      -4.00    31.83     0.12    59.42     4.83     1.61     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.09P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield    34   39   -2      -3.70    33.96     3.85    52.91     4.55    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.00  
Leeds_United    32   38   -5      -1.38    44.22     0.46    55.16     4.85    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.46R    0.00  
Blackburn       32   37   +1      -7.79    17.38    -1.12    56.39     5.02     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.27R    0.00  
Bristol_City    34   37  -22      -0.32    49.53    -8.33    50.13     4.51   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.02R    0.07  
Fulham          34   36   -5      -7.16    20.86     1.02    51.67     4.66    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.32R    0.02  
MK_Dons         34   32  -20      -5.52    26.11    -7.14    45.54     4.54   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.62R    1.50  
Rotherham       34   29  -21      -5.44    25.70    -2.14    40.53     4.32   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.73R    9.59  
Bolton          34   25  -24     -11.45     7.72    -8.97    37.47     4.40   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.91R   30.58  
Charlton        34   25  -35      -7.44    17.85   -13.49    35.60     4.20   -43.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.68R   58.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2016, Blackpool 0 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    32   64  +15      16.85    97.53     9.92    84.59     5.18    17.20    33.57    63.07    98.49    70.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            33   62  +25       0.80    53.07     1.31    85.57     4.90    33.50    47.96    76.28    99.43    84.90P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       33   58  +18       6.80    77.76     9.01    78.04     5.03    21.35     5.36    18.00    85.81    33.96P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   58  +16       8.41    83.76     7.55    80.33     5.14    20.74    10.42    30.22    92.78    46.22P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         33   54  +11       2.28    60.11     1.16    74.35     5.02    14.73     1.24     5.46    62.86    20.53P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         32   52  +21       0.67    52.92     9.80    73.30     5.20    24.26     1.06     4.46    57.34    18.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         32   51   +4       6.23    77.00     2.32    71.32     5.10     5.84     0.30     1.63    35.95     8.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         33   50   +3       6.46    76.91     5.23    67.26     4.89     2.22     0.02     0.16    11.95     2.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley         33   49   +7      -1.08    45.43    -0.08    68.47     4.94     9.63     0.05     0.38    19.51     5.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        33   48   +3      -1.98    41.07    -4.12    67.78     4.99     5.90     0.03     0.27    15.64     4.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale        34   48   +0       3.45    65.81     2.78    64.53     4.68     0.21     0.00     0.01     3.77     0.76P    0.08R    0.00  
Swindon          33   45   +0      -5.12    28.21    -7.32    64.42     4.97     2.37     0.00     0.03     4.93     1.24P    0.27R    0.00  
Rochdale         33   45   +0      -0.83    46.33    -0.73    63.21     4.98     0.36     0.00     0.01     2.96     0.63P    0.46R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       32   45   -2       3.52    66.69     1.70    63.09     5.16    -3.75     0.00     0.02     3.23     0.61P    0.46R    0.00  
Peterborough     33   44   +4      -4.75    29.68    -1.14    64.17     5.01     7.51     0.00     0.01     4.83     1.19P    0.32R    0.00  
Bury             33   44  -12       6.37    77.32     0.15    58.78     4.90   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    3.93R    0.00  
Doncaster        32   37   -6      -5.47    26.31    -4.13    55.66     5.16    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   12.48R    0.03  
Chesterfield     33   37   -9      -7.32    20.14    -7.39    54.84     5.00    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.66R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town   32   36   -2      -5.17    27.18     1.60    53.68     5.04    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   19.64R    0.07  
Blackpool        33   34  -10      -7.11    20.84    -4.34    50.31     4.84   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.42R    0.45  
Shrewsbury       32   34  -14      -4.64    29.72    -6.23    49.76     5.06   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.79R    0.54  
Oldham           32   33  -11      -5.03    27.44    -2.68    49.75     5.00   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   51.52R    0.53  
Crewe            33   28  -23      -4.10    31.48    -1.96    41.35     4.63   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.13R   16.03  
Colchester       33   24  -38      -7.01    19.54   -12.43    35.20     4.52   -49.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   82.33  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 February 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          33   74  +27      18.96    98.63    12.18    95.86     5.04    33.02    88.64    99.63   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             33   64  +21       9.49    86.53     7.61    85.67     4.91    26.56     7.37    80.16    99.49    85.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           33   61  +23       7.28    79.52    10.58    83.00     4.96    29.16     3.04    65.37    98.25    74.49P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   31   56  +17      10.14    88.16    12.22    78.46     5.50    19.82     0.75    26.55    86.33    38.90P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           32   52  +22       0.25    51.10    10.35    74.81     5.22    27.32     0.11    10.53    70.89    28.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   52   +7       3.07    64.14    -0.57    73.32     5.18    10.13     0.02     5.19    55.35    18.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        33   52   +4      -2.71    38.17   -10.21    74.11     5.03    10.52     0.02     6.50    62.48    23.94P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        32   51  +11       4.94    71.79     7.83    70.83     5.22    11.94     0.01     2.40    38.64    10.03P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            34   51   +6       7.21    80.06     9.92    66.14     4.71     4.13     0.00     0.09     9.99     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       32   50   +8       5.10    72.45     6.04    71.42     5.21    11.26     0.02     2.18    42.38    11.19P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             31   49   +5       6.08    76.27     4.80    69.27     5.49     4.32     0.01     1.33    26.93     6.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        33   47   +2       3.01    63.70     4.23    63.44     4.99    -0.19     0.00     0.04     4.31     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                33   44   +0      -2.81    37.87    -2.29    62.21     5.03     0.53     0.00     0.01     2.48     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               33   44   -5       0.55    52.83    -1.91    60.68     4.96    -6.79     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               32   40   -6       1.49    57.55     2.45    57.11     5.20    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County         32   39   -9      -6.03    25.27   -10.48    59.75     5.33    -6.69     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         33   38  -18      -3.26    36.37   -11.87    55.38     5.03   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.30R    0.03  
Morecambe            33   36   -7      -6.43    23.49    -2.00    53.65     5.06    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.58R    0.04  
Newport_County       31   34   -9      -4.00    31.95    -2.40    52.02     5.27   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.26R    0.09  
Stevenage            34   34  -15     -10.63    11.45   -11.69    48.50     4.71   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.26R    0.47  
Yeovil               33   29  -14     -12.54     7.11    -8.98    45.08     4.95   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.26R    2.49  
Hartlepool           30   28  -20      -2.34    39.32    -3.73    43.97     5.22   -29.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.94R    6.68  
York                 33   26  -24     -10.74     9.75   -11.08    40.03     4.74   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.56R   19.68  
Dag_&_Red            32   20  -26     -14.39     3.44   -11.01    34.52     4.93   -33.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.74R   70.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 February 2016, Chester 0 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       35   79  +44       7.51    81.33     8.18   100.58     4.30    53.70    85.80   100.00    91.32P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   78  +28      13.61    93.82     5.24    94.41     4.27    32.18    13.49    99.99    36.89P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   62  +37      -3.42    33.21     6.28    84.94     4.82    44.67     0.71    97.42    37.16P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   57  +11      -3.23    35.67    -7.02    75.54     4.48    15.99     0.00    51.70    12.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          36   56  +16      -1.24    44.82     4.36    70.20     4.16    16.74     0.00    13.02     2.28P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        34   55   -5       8.60    83.70    -4.28    70.88     4.72    -5.85     0.00    14.83     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   32   54  +12       5.94    76.29     5.71    74.09     5.06    13.55     0.00    38.49     5.94P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   52  +13       4.74    71.35     6.02    75.48     5.40    17.37     0.00    51.55     7.63P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     35   52   +8       2.51    61.24     6.04    66.81     4.44     7.36     0.00     3.50     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        32   50   +5       1.83    58.36    -1.16    72.05     5.16     9.40     0.00    24.34     3.49P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           35   49   +9      -5.81    26.17    -1.31    64.47     4.49     9.33     0.00     1.32     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     34   48   +7      -2.42    39.53     1.37    66.13     4.70     9.51     0.00     3.06     0.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot        34   45   -7       1.50    57.52    -2.37    61.16     4.67    -7.45     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Bromley          33   44   -3       3.55    65.89     6.01    62.18     5.10    -2.79     0.00     0.61     0.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Chester          34   39   -9      -0.47    48.73     2.39    53.98     4.60   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98R    0.02  
Southport        34   39  -15       3.25    66.27     1.25    53.09     4.53   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.59R    0.06  
Barrow           33   39  -17       4.65    71.63     1.85    54.25     4.96   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.06R    0.02  
Guiseley         34   39  -17       3.60    67.39    -0.17    50.53     4.39   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.43R    0.11  
Boreham_Wood     34   35   -4      -5.13    28.24     4.22    50.04     4.56    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.94R    0.20  
Altrincham       33   34  -23       1.74    60.03    -2.31    48.46     4.80   -28.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.46R    1.35  
Halifax          33   33  -21      -6.98    20.86   -11.58    48.59     4.87   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.91R    1.07  
Welling          34   26  -23      -8.71    14.12    -5.64    37.96     4.37   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.08R   45.32  
Torquay          31   26  -24     -10.50     9.76   -13.97    46.22     5.41   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.53R    4.59  
Kidderminster    35   24  -22     -15.54     2.94    -9.11    37.38     4.40   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.97R   47.26