Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 February 2016, Arsenal 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        26   53  +19      14.70    97.53    15.27    72.12     4.71    23.04    22.77    47.82    72.25    92.52    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        26   51  +27       5.49    77.13    11.91    71.82     4.65    33.63    25.41    50.36    73.92    93.34    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          26   51  +18       2.89    64.70    -0.86    73.30     4.47    26.98    34.35    60.04    80.66    95.94    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   47  +20      -4.64    25.34    -5.81    70.62     4.49    31.52    17.03    39.40    64.77    90.28    99.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   41   +9      -3.32    32.55    -3.79    61.66     4.60    15.22     0.36     1.68     5.31    15.58    69.39     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   40  +10      -1.08    44.24     1.98    59.03     4.66    13.78     0.06     0.50     1.88     6.41    46.83     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   40   +9       3.04    66.23     7.18    56.37     4.68     8.90     0.01     0.10     0.53     2.12    24.01     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        26   38   +2      -2.10    39.12    -4.62    56.53     4.78     5.09     0.01     0.08     0.46     2.14    24.39     0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   36   +1       4.47    73.13     7.28    51.61     4.64    -0.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     4.67     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            26   36   -5       3.14    66.91    -1.27    51.80     4.54    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     4.30     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          26   35  +11      -5.69    22.34     3.50    54.14     4.73    15.15     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.77    15.27     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          26   33   +2     -12.72     4.18   -13.45    54.09     4.72     8.91     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.62    13.05     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   32   -5       1.29    58.07     2.16    45.89     4.51    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     1.21R    0.01  
West_Brom        26   32   -8       1.86    61.17    -0.30    45.31     4.42   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.66R    0.00  
Bournemouth      26   28  -14       0.55    54.24     0.01    39.82     4.43   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.27R    0.44  
Swansea          26   27  -10      -4.70    26.17    -4.33    40.92     4.51   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.38R    0.29  
Norwich          26   24  -20      -2.07    39.72    -3.60    35.56     4.37   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.37R    3.50  
Newcastle        26   24  -22      -0.53    48.18    -3.39    36.52     4.43   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.45R    3.26  
Sunderland       26   23  -18      -2.78    35.50    -1.53    35.04     4.46   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.61R    4.21  
Aston_Villa      26   16  -26      -6.99    14.42    -6.33    25.47     4.00   -37.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R   88.30  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 February 2016, Hull 0 0 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            33   64  +29       3.87    67.40     7.87    88.62     4.65    38.88    47.81    77.98    99.94    86.19P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         33   62  +25       3.95    67.65     6.07    84.80     4.87    32.07    16.36    43.64    99.23    62.46P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   61  +25       6.17    78.41     7.25    87.16     5.15    32.92    32.39    62.89    99.70    75.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        33   60  +11      11.68    91.90     5.91    78.75     4.82    12.68     1.51     6.82    88.09    21.35P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           33   57  +16       1.83    58.47     1.03    79.06     4.88    22.33     1.86     7.94    90.47    31.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       34   55  +15       5.53    73.96    10.23    73.55     4.62    18.18     0.06     0.52    59.58    11.83P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   51   +9       6.26    77.56     7.22    69.38     5.03     8.25     0.01     0.10    22.02     3.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         33   49   +6       2.28    61.08     3.20    67.50     4.87     7.03     0.00     0.03    13.47     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         33   48   +2       3.74    67.47     2.35    64.85     4.72     1.20     0.00     0.00     4.45     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         32   48   +0       2.59    62.34    -2.65    68.89     5.08     2.67     0.01     0.08    19.07     3.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   43   -5      -1.61    42.89    -4.05    62.10     4.90    -3.09     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   32   42   +3      -2.67    37.92     1.11    61.48     5.03     3.62     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.28P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             33   41   -1      -6.31    23.47    -4.41    59.75     4.87     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading         32   40   +1      -2.41    38.81     2.44    57.92     4.98    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   40   -6      -6.00    24.24    -7.47    57.41     4.76    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.11R    0.00  
Huddersfield    33   39   -1      -2.88    37.32     4.02    54.51     4.83    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.44R    0.00  
Leeds_United    32   38   -5      -1.18    44.85     0.74    55.08     4.83    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.41R    0.01  
Fulham          33   36   -3      -6.64    22.33     1.70    52.91     4.90    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.53R    0.02  
Blackburn       31   34   +0      -8.83    13.68    -1.36    55.21     5.21     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.66R    0.01  
Bristol_City    33   34  -23      -1.52    43.62    -8.73    47.71     4.66   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.55R    0.71  
MK_Dons         33   32  -19      -4.69    29.42    -7.06    46.46     4.69   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.65R    1.40  
Rotherham       33   26  -22      -6.53    20.81    -2.32    38.54     4.53   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.64R   24.98  
Bolton          33   25  -23     -10.72     8.76    -9.05    38.47     4.58   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.06R   26.94  
Charlton        33   25  -34      -6.80    19.33   -14.04    37.00     4.43   -42.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.84R   45.93  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 February 2016, Port_Vale 3 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    31   63  +15      17.23    97.92     9.99    85.00     5.40    17.29    36.40    61.35    98.17    68.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            32   59  +22       0.78    53.03     0.70    84.48     5.09    31.29    36.13    63.96    98.41    76.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       32   58  +19       7.75    81.42     9.31    80.14     5.21    23.46    10.76    28.18    91.09    43.12P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          31   57  +16       8.78    85.20     7.56    80.64     5.36    20.70    12.38    30.24    91.55    45.29P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         32   53  +11       2.55    61.37     1.02    74.79     5.24    14.84     1.56     5.94    62.90    20.76P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         31   52  +22       1.97    58.81    10.63    75.39     5.41    26.32     2.48     8.60    69.02    24.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         33   50   +3       6.62    77.50     5.49    67.17     4.91     2.08     0.01     0.17    10.27     2.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        32   48   +5      -1.50    43.08    -3.51    69.49     5.19     8.38     0.10     0.59    23.18     6.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         31   48   +3       4.75    71.79     1.62    69.58     5.33     4.69     0.16     0.70    22.73     5.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale        34   48   +0       3.59    66.56     3.01    64.51     4.68     0.13     0.00     0.01     3.11     0.55P    0.09R    0.00  
Barnsley         32   46   +6      -1.93    41.40     0.07    67.12     5.15     9.07     0.01     0.16    12.50     2.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   44   +5      -3.45    34.82    -0.30    65.88     5.28     9.03     0.00     0.07     8.79     2.23P    0.10R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       31   44   -2       4.10    69.00     2.04    63.67     5.37    -3.48     0.00     0.03     3.74     0.72P    0.55R    0.00  
Bury             32   44   -9       6.29    77.07     0.76    59.72     5.09   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.10P    2.74R    0.00  
Swindon          32   42   -1      -6.62    22.43    -8.21    62.59     5.24     0.99     0.00     0.01     2.48     0.64P    0.78R    0.00  
Rochdale         32   42   -2      -1.57    43.23    -1.35    61.17     5.26    -2.24     0.00     0.01     1.35     0.32P    1.56R    0.00  
Doncaster        31   36   -6      -5.13    27.15    -4.17    56.03     5.41    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   11.29R    0.06  
Blackpool        32   34   -9      -6.01    24.15    -3.67    51.81     5.14   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.88R    0.48  
Chesterfield     32   34  -10      -8.82    14.78    -8.21    52.65     5.17   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   27.17R    0.17  
Fleetwood_Town   31   33   -3      -6.80    20.53     0.54    51.37     5.25    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.99R    0.40  
Shrewsbury       31   33  -14      -4.53    30.02    -6.42    50.28     5.33   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.58R    0.87  
Oldham           31   32  -11      -4.79    28.09    -2.77    49.80     5.22   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.07R    0.80  
Crewe            32   28  -22      -3.54    33.99    -2.22    42.54     4.90   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.43R   13.78  
Colchester       32   23  -38      -6.57    20.81   -11.92    35.47     4.77   -50.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.68R   83.43  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          32   73  +27      19.63    99.10    12.60    96.93     5.21    34.12    92.92    99.81   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             32   61  +20       8.24    83.06     7.17    84.33     5.15    26.01     4.36    74.23    98.88    81.24P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   58  +22       6.08    75.84    10.19    81.42     5.17    28.23     1.61    56.53    96.26    67.68P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   55  +17      10.75    89.74    12.56    79.29     5.74    20.51     0.92    37.01    89.12    47.82P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        31   51  +12       5.82    75.14     8.10    72.13     5.41    12.82     0.04     5.64    49.88    15.14P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            33   51   +7       8.04    82.35    10.19    67.77     4.90     5.53     0.00     0.48    18.35     3.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       31   50   +9       5.70    74.82     6.02    72.86     5.45    12.38     0.04     5.84    55.00    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           31   49  +21      -0.96    45.44     9.95    73.53     5.46    26.85     0.08     9.53    63.19    25.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   49   +6       1.80    58.56    -1.02    71.61     5.42     9.04     0.02     4.24    44.58    14.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        32   49   +2      -3.22    36.04   -10.53    72.65     5.27     8.73     0.02     5.49    52.39    20.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        32   47   +3       4.07    68.56     4.72    64.43     5.15     0.22     0.00     0.17     7.21     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             30   46   +4       5.00    72.47     4.63    67.49     5.70     3.06     0.00     1.00    19.72     4.60P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                32   41   -1      -4.04    32.25    -2.74    60.80     5.20    -0.15     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               32   41   -7      -0.49    48.10    -2.91    58.71     5.24    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnet               31   39   -6       1.95    59.78     2.48    57.06     5.40    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.15R    0.00  
Notts_County         31   39   -8      -5.00    28.77    -9.98    60.93     5.51    -6.04     0.00     0.02     2.23     0.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         32   38  -16      -3.01    37.15   -11.58    56.67     5.27   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.20R    0.01  
Morecambe            32   36   -6      -5.24    27.80    -1.21    55.16     5.30    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.43R    0.04  
Stevenage            33   34  -13      -9.82    13.06   -10.58    50.17     4.97   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.63R    0.32  
Newport_County       30   31  -10      -5.23    26.20    -2.67    50.12     5.50   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.09R    0.66  
Hartlepool           29   27  -20      -2.50    38.10    -4.33    43.68     5.42   -30.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.18R   10.48  
Yeovil               32   26  -15     -13.97     4.79    -9.60    43.58     5.21   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.62R    7.79  
York                 32   26  -23      -9.43    12.58   -10.27    41.06     4.93   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.20R   19.21  
Dag_&_Red            31   20  -25     -13.86     3.77   -11.20    36.09     5.20   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.45R   61.47  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2016, Braintree_Town 2 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       35   79  +44       7.33    80.57     7.89   100.69     4.26    53.87    81.76   100.00    89.15P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   77  +28      14.35    95.31     5.79    95.47     4.51    33.22    17.76   100.00    40.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   62  +37      -3.50    32.80     6.11    84.93     4.79    44.69     0.48    97.54    37.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          35   55  +16      -1.06    45.34     4.03    70.55     4.41    16.69     0.00    16.11     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        34   55   -5       8.43    83.45    -4.48    70.82     4.67    -5.89     0.00    14.69     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   54  +10      -4.24    31.06    -7.28    74.20     4.77    15.43     0.00    40.89     9.39P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   31   53  +12       6.30    78.00     5.79    74.83     5.25    14.05     0.00    44.84     6.98P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   52  +13       4.71    71.32     5.97    75.40     5.41    17.26     0.00    51.11     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     35   52   +8       2.38    61.04     5.89    66.76     4.43     7.29     0.00     3.47     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        32   50   +5       1.91    58.88    -1.04    72.05     5.16     9.42     0.00    24.82     3.61P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           35   49   +9      -5.47    27.28    -0.78    64.33     4.50     9.09     0.00     1.29     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     33   47   +7      -2.16    40.48     1.23    66.72     4.94     9.83     0.00     4.80     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        33   42   -8       0.27    51.98    -2.67    59.54     4.90    -8.49     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.13R    0.00  
Bromley          32   41   -4       2.29    60.95     5.72    60.38     5.39    -4.08     0.00     0.35     0.04P    0.18R    0.00  
Chester          33   39   -8       0.31    52.33     2.62    55.12     4.84   -10.97     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.38R    0.03  
Southport        33   39  -12       3.62    67.89     2.69    54.95     4.80   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94R    0.05  
Barrow           32   38  -17       4.99    72.97     1.70    54.02     5.17   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.09R    0.13  
Guiseley         33   38  -17       3.93    68.86    -0.02    50.55     4.59   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.12R    0.38  
Altrincham       33   34  -23       1.45    58.13    -2.74    48.57     4.78   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.36R    2.18  
Halifax          33   33  -21      -6.98    21.09   -11.59    48.58     4.87   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.22R    2.05  
Boreham_Wood     33   32   -7      -5.46    26.65     3.02    47.73     4.80    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.98R    1.88  
Welling          33   26  -22      -7.90    16.17    -5.30    39.34     4.56   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.58R   43.09  
Torquay          31   26  -24     -10.50     9.59   -13.89    46.20     5.40   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.32R    6.72  
Kidderminster    34   24  -21     -14.58     3.58    -8.66    38.95     4.66   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.70R   43.48