Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 February 2016, Arsenal 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        26   53  +19      14.63    97.51    15.12    72.17     4.73    23.12    22.93    48.26    72.48    92.70    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        26   51  +27       5.46    76.94    11.79    71.85     4.68    33.62    25.45    50.35    74.18    93.37    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          26   51  +18       2.93    64.73    -0.84    73.29     4.46    26.99    33.92    59.74    80.61    95.81    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   47  +20      -4.83    24.53    -6.10    70.63     4.51    31.57    17.24    39.28    64.39    90.15    99.06     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   41   +9      -3.24    32.61    -3.72    61.65     4.60    15.21     0.37     1.72     5.30    15.55    69.15     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   40  +10      -1.18    43.60     1.88    59.08     4.64    13.90     0.08     0.45     1.88     6.48    47.16     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   40   +9       3.01    65.87     7.12    56.37     4.66     8.92     0.01     0.09     0.49     2.15    23.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        26   38   +2      -2.11    39.02    -4.67    56.57     4.79     5.16     0.01     0.09     0.44     2.11    24.79     0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   36   +1       4.51    73.13     7.29    51.59     4.68    -0.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     4.63     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            26   36   -5       3.26    67.64    -1.10    51.73     4.54    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     4.08     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          26   35  +11      -5.61    22.66     3.67    54.09     4.72    15.06     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.78    14.89     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          26   33   +2     -12.65     4.43   -13.35    54.04     4.74     8.83     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.63    13.15     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   32   -5       1.37    58.51     2.27    45.87     4.48    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     1.20R    0.00  
West_Brom        26   32   -8       1.80    60.63    -0.37    45.33     4.45   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.77R    0.00  
Bournemouth      26   28  -14       0.54    53.94    -0.00    39.81     4.42   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.45R    0.50  
Swansea          26   27  -10      -4.82    25.56    -4.46    40.96     4.49   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.06R    0.26  
Norwich          26   24  -20      -1.89    40.72    -3.32    35.50     4.39   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.77R    3.85  
Newcastle        26   24  -22      -0.47    48.70    -3.24    36.51     4.47   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.41R    3.38  
Sunderland       26   23  -18      -2.81    35.34    -1.63    35.08     4.45   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.31R    3.97  
Aston_Villa      26   16  -26      -6.98    14.27    -6.34    25.48     4.02   -37.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R   88.04  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2016, Birmingham 1 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            32   63  +29       4.30    69.31     7.87    89.76     4.85    39.99    55.35    83.07    99.96    89.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         33   62  +25       3.94    67.61     6.07    84.80     4.88    32.07    14.08    42.59    99.36    61.83P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   61  +25       6.30    78.46     7.44    87.12     5.14    32.84    28.18    61.70    99.67    74.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        33   60  +11      11.62    91.61     5.83    78.80     4.81    12.74     1.26     6.43    88.89    21.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       33   54  +15       5.63    74.70     9.93    73.27     4.78    17.34     0.08     0.62    58.29    11.61P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           32   54  +15       0.72    53.50     0.71    77.88     5.06    21.97     1.02     5.36    86.46    28.47P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   51   +9       6.17    77.27     7.10    69.40     5.00     8.29     0.02     0.13    23.33     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         33   49   +6       2.29    61.07     3.18    67.50     4.89     7.04     0.00     0.03    14.71     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         33   48   +2       3.54    66.43     2.17    64.90     4.78     1.28     0.00     0.00     4.92     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         32   48   +0       2.72    62.99    -2.46    68.84     5.07     2.57     0.01     0.06    19.95     3.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   43   -5      -1.58    43.31    -3.97    62.10     4.89    -3.10     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   32   42   +3      -2.66    37.68     1.11    61.43     5.06     3.53     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.37P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             33   41   -1      -6.35    23.51    -4.41    59.76     4.85     0.64     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading         32   40   +1      -2.18    39.95     2.78    57.71     4.94    -0.64     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   40   -6      -5.96    24.48    -7.39    57.42     4.75    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield    33   39   -1      -2.87    37.14     4.04    54.54     4.80    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.52R    0.00  
Leeds_United    32   38   -5      -1.35    43.77     0.50    55.19     4.85    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.44R    0.01  
Fulham          33   36   -3      -6.69    21.85     1.69    52.88     4.87    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50R    0.01  
Blackburn       30   34   +1      -7.93    15.80    -0.97    56.16     5.40     1.63     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.49R    0.00  
Bristol_City    33   34  -23      -1.58    43.37    -8.76    47.70     4.65   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.60R    0.77  
MK_Dons         33   32  -19      -4.81    28.63    -7.22    46.48     4.70   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.52R    1.31  
Rotherham       33   26  -22      -6.60    20.29    -2.41    38.55     4.53   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.44R   24.91  
Bolton          33   25  -23     -10.77     8.73    -9.01    38.50     4.58   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.32R   26.55  
Charlton        33   25  -34      -6.72    19.65   -13.80    36.96     4.43   -42.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.00R   46.43  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2016, Bury 0 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    31   63  +15      17.19    97.82     9.90    85.07     5.44    17.36    36.74    61.50    98.19    68.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            32   59  +22       0.76    52.78     0.68    84.42     5.12    31.24    35.39    62.83    98.23    75.75P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       32   58  +19       7.76    81.52     9.32    80.15     5.26    23.48    10.90    28.32    90.68    42.74P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          31   57  +16       8.79    85.19     7.56    80.63     5.34    20.66    12.25    30.40    91.20    45.52P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         32   53  +11       2.62    61.71     1.08    74.83     5.27    14.90     1.67     6.02    62.19    20.13P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         31   52  +22       1.95    58.98    10.63    75.44     5.42    26.39     2.72     8.93    68.73    24.83P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         32   50   +5       7.06    79.31     6.09    68.72     5.13     4.39     0.06     0.40    16.88     3.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        32   48   +5      -1.40    43.28    -3.33    69.40     5.19     8.24     0.09     0.58    22.48     6.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         31   48   +3       4.82    72.18     1.72    69.57     5.32     4.67     0.13     0.72    22.04     5.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         32   46   +6      -1.89    41.71     0.16    67.02     5.15     8.87     0.02     0.18    11.55     3.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale        33   45   -2       2.60    62.39     1.87    62.81     4.90    -1.93     0.00     0.01     1.67     0.30P    0.41R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   44   +5      -3.48    34.71    -0.37    65.88     5.25     9.05     0.01     0.07     8.27     2.14P    0.11R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       31   44   -2       3.89    68.47     1.69    63.81     5.35    -3.26     0.01     0.03     3.68     0.70P    0.46R    0.00  
Bury             32   44   -9       6.37    77.39     0.90    59.61     5.08   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.08P    2.82R    0.00  
Swindon          32   42   -1      -6.35    23.29    -7.73    62.47     5.22     0.82     0.00     0.01     2.18     0.54P    0.84R    0.00  
Rochdale         32   42   -2      -1.81    42.11    -1.68    61.32     5.23    -2.05     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.27P    1.38R    0.00  
Doncaster        31   36   -6      -4.93    27.97    -3.82    55.86     5.37    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   11.66R    0.05  
Blackpool        32   34   -9      -6.23    23.57    -3.94    51.84     5.10   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   32.34R    0.34  
Chesterfield     32   34  -10      -8.76    15.23    -8.08    52.66     5.19   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.29R    0.21  
Fleetwood_Town   31   33   -3      -6.91    20.23     0.41    51.45     5.26    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   33.56R    0.36  
Shrewsbury       31   33  -14      -4.31    31.11    -6.15    50.28     5.37   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.42R    0.87  
Oldham           31   32  -11      -4.91    27.82    -2.99    49.76     5.23   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.22R    0.83  
Crewe            32   28  -22      -3.33    34.54    -1.92    42.44     4.86   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.78R   14.23  
Colchester       32   23  -38      -6.57    20.91   -11.99    35.51     4.75   -49.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.64R   83.09  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          32   73  +27      19.73    99.03    12.71    96.83     5.30    33.98    92.46    99.79   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             32   61  +20       8.24    83.25     7.18    84.33     5.15    26.01     4.62    74.48    98.85    81.45P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   58  +22       6.00    75.48    10.03    81.48     5.16    28.29     1.66    57.12    96.47    68.04P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   55  +17      10.90    90.07    12.80    79.19     5.73    20.36     1.03    36.13    88.77    47.05P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        31   51  +12       5.76    75.12     8.08    72.18     5.46    12.90     0.06     5.91    50.39    15.25P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            33   51   +7       8.11    82.66    10.31    67.75     4.93     5.51     0.00     0.53    18.37     3.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       31   50   +9       5.98    76.00     6.39    72.71     5.44    12.17     0.04     5.52    53.76    16.58P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           31   49  +21      -0.86    45.80    10.11    73.50     5.43    26.78     0.09     9.50    62.79    25.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   49   +6       1.69    57.95    -1.16    71.74     5.40     9.19     0.02     4.31    45.73    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        32   49   +2      -3.35    35.38   -10.70    72.68     5.29     8.78     0.02     5.60    52.45    20.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        32   47   +3       4.02    68.14     4.69    64.42     5.19     0.21     0.00     0.16     7.29     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             30   46   +4       4.88    72.17     4.46    67.48     5.66     3.04     0.00     0.92    19.65     4.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                32   41   -1      -3.97    32.62    -2.64    60.80     5.22    -0.19     0.00     0.02     1.74     0.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               32   41   -7      -0.53    48.08    -3.03    58.74     5.26    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.16P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnet               31   39   -6       1.80    59.25     2.23    57.12     5.40    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.18R    0.01  
Notts_County         31   39   -8      -5.06    28.70   -10.06    60.94     5.53    -6.02     0.00     0.01     2.33     0.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         32   38  -16      -3.13    37.02   -11.69    56.72     5.26   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.15R    0.02  
Morecambe            32   36   -6      -5.43    26.99    -1.51    55.16     5.31    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.39R    0.03  
Stevenage            33   34  -13      -9.85    12.96   -10.60    50.21     4.95   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77R    0.30  
Newport_County       30   31  -10      -5.24    26.56    -2.72    50.15     5.51   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.01R    0.61  
Hartlepool           29   27  -20      -2.49    38.37    -4.31    43.67     5.45   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.09R   10.56  
Yeovil               32   26  -15     -13.90     4.72    -9.50    43.59     5.20   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.30R    7.49  
York                 32   26  -23      -9.47    12.40   -10.31    41.07     4.98   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.03R   18.88  
Dag_&_Red            31   20  -25     -13.56     4.38   -10.75    35.96     5.21   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.02R   62.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 February 2016, Braintree_Town 2 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       35   79  +44       7.35    80.75     7.91   100.64     4.28    53.82    81.71   100.00    89.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   77  +28      14.44    95.26     5.91    95.43     4.51    33.18    17.75   100.00    40.43P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   62  +37      -3.38    33.35     6.29    84.89     4.79    44.57     0.54    97.47    37.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          35   55  +16      -1.09    45.06     4.01    70.54     4.41    16.68     0.00    16.03     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        34   55   -5       8.62    83.88    -4.21    70.84     4.66    -5.91     0.00    14.73     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   54  +10      -4.26    31.42    -7.24    74.19     4.75    15.41     0.00    40.59     9.43P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   31   53  +12       6.26    77.93     5.69    74.87     5.28    14.12     0.00    45.23     7.29P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   52  +13       4.81    71.56     6.14    75.39     5.41    17.22     0.00    50.93     7.34P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     35   52   +8       2.23    59.91     5.67    66.80     4.45     7.38     0.00     3.69     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        32   50   +5       1.91    58.60    -0.97    72.07     5.13     9.42     0.00    24.61     3.55P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           35   49   +9      -5.46    27.32    -0.71    64.26     4.50     8.99     0.00     1.30     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     33   47   +7      -2.23    40.02     1.14    66.80     4.93     9.94     0.00     4.92     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        33   42   -8       0.24    51.57    -2.76    59.56     4.91    -8.46     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.11R    0.00  
Bromley          32   41   -4       2.10    60.09     5.46    60.42     5.37    -4.04     0.00     0.39     0.04P    0.17R    0.00  
Chester          33   39   -8       0.37    52.57     2.69    55.11     4.80   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39R    0.02  
Southport        33   39  -12       3.45    67.22     2.39    55.03     4.77   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.85R    0.04  
Barrow           32   38  -17       4.90    72.74     1.55    54.05     5.18   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.02R    0.12  
Guiseley         33   38  -17       3.83    68.61    -0.24    50.56     4.61   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.23R    0.34  
Altrincham       33   34  -23       1.48    58.26    -2.67    48.50     4.80   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.84R    2.23  
Halifax          33   33  -21      -6.98    20.93   -11.46    48.52     4.82   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.07R    1.99  
Boreham_Wood     33   32   -7      -5.28    26.97     3.30    47.70     4.78    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.25R    1.90  
Welling          33   26  -22      -7.89    15.99    -5.31    39.34     4.59   -28.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.33R   43.09  
Torquay          31   26  -24     -10.55     9.54   -13.99    46.22     5.42   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.21R    6.80  
Kidderminster    34   24  -21     -14.57     3.70    -8.59    38.94     4.66   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.54R   43.46