Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 February 2016, Arsenal 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        26   53  +19      14.67    97.48    15.20    72.15     4.72    23.09    23.12    48.49    72.61    92.73    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        26   51  +27       5.51    77.14    11.93    71.76     4.66    33.52    25.11    49.78    73.58    93.21    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          26   51  +18       2.91    64.80    -0.86    73.28     4.48    26.93    34.04    59.78    80.60    95.78    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   47  +20      -4.72    24.90    -5.99    70.63     4.51    31.55    17.31    39.65    64.77    90.12    98.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   41   +9      -3.31    32.79    -3.81    61.65     4.60    15.21     0.35     1.65     5.41    15.54    69.37     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   40  +10      -1.12    44.27     1.93    59.09     4.63    13.88     0.05     0.43     1.82     6.63    47.70     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   40   +9       3.15    66.64     7.30    56.36     4.65     8.87     0.02     0.13     0.51     2.19    24.02     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        26   38   +2      -2.01    39.39    -4.50    56.52     4.76     5.10     0.01     0.07     0.43     2.11    24.33     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          26   36   +1       4.38    72.53     7.08    51.67     4.65    -0.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     4.67     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            26   36   -5       3.12    66.77    -1.30    51.78     4.53    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     4.12     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          26   35  +11      -5.63    22.61     3.66    54.08     4.71    15.03     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.76    14.64     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          26   33   +2     -12.66     4.14   -13.43    54.07     4.70     8.89     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.66    13.11     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   32   -5       1.23    57.47     2.06    45.92     4.50    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     1.18R    0.00  
West_Brom        26   32   -8       1.87    61.05    -0.33    45.33     4.43   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.67R    0.00  
Bournemouth      26   28  -14       0.61    54.49     0.16    39.78     4.42   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.62R    0.51  
Swansea          26   27  -10      -4.90    25.28    -4.60    41.00     4.52   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.95R    0.25  
Norwich          26   24  -20      -2.00    40.15    -3.45    35.52     4.36   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.50R    3.74  
Newcastle        26   24  -22      -0.59    48.28    -3.44    36.57     4.46   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.89R    3.25  
Sunderland       26   23  -18      -2.63    36.08    -1.29    35.00     4.44   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.12R    4.17  
Aston_Villa      26   16  -26      -6.95    14.59    -6.32    25.45     4.01   -37.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.01R   88.08  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 February 2016, Bolton 1 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            31   60  +28       3.15    64.99     7.50    88.22     5.10    39.14    52.41    79.97    99.84    87.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         32   59  +24       2.99    63.84     6.00    83.63     5.09    31.74    15.89    43.61    98.57    62.28P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   58  +23       5.55    76.03     6.74    85.77     5.35    31.22    28.20    59.92    99.15    73.22P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        32   57   +7      11.58    91.86     4.02    76.69     5.03     8.15     1.12     5.35    77.36    17.62P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           32   54  +15       0.69    53.03     0.68    77.89     5.08    21.95     1.97     8.46    85.81    30.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       32   53  +15       6.23    77.57    10.26    73.85     5.01    17.61     0.30     1.93    61.92    13.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         32   49   +8       2.77    63.17     3.98    68.49     5.07     8.58     0.03     0.17    20.33     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      31   48   +8       5.10    73.84     6.93    68.30     5.22     8.03     0.03     0.21    18.75     3.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         31   48   +1       3.40    65.89    -2.30    70.15     5.24     3.56     0.05     0.37    28.56     5.67P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         32   45   +1       2.72    63.18     2.16    63.80     4.97     1.01     0.00     0.01     3.83     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   31   42   +4      -1.94    40.78     1.17    62.38     5.22     3.91     0.00     0.00     3.01     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             32   40   -1      -6.02    24.21    -4.47    59.85     5.10     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   32   40   -3      -5.81    24.45    -6.17    58.91     5.00    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.09P    0.10R    0.00  
Brentford       32   40   -8      -2.14    40.80    -5.33    60.18     5.15    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.15P    0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield    32   38   -1      -2.49    38.96     4.16    54.81     5.00    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.97R    0.01  
Reading         31   37   +0      -3.33    34.31     2.53    56.70     5.17    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.41R    0.01  
Leeds_United    31   37   -5      -0.80    46.86     0.79    55.73     5.08    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.68R    0.00  
Fulham          32   35   -3      -6.33    22.89     1.68    53.10     5.13    -4.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.48R    0.05  
Blackburn       30   34   +1      -8.27    14.91    -1.39    56.29     5.40     1.78     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.70R    0.01  
Bristol_City    32   34  -19      -1.80    41.98    -7.35    49.47     4.97   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.90R    0.58  
MK_Dons         32   31  -19      -4.28    30.52    -6.93    46.92     4.92   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.21R    2.02  
Rotherham       32   26  -21      -5.83    23.45    -2.19    39.34     4.74   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.94R   25.53  
Bolton          32   25  -22     -10.04    10.31    -8.85    39.34     4.81   -29.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.78R   27.15  
Charlton        32   25  -33      -5.85    22.89   -13.61    37.89     4.65   -42.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.66R   44.66  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 February 2016, Barnsley 1 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    30   63  +17      17.68    98.39    10.68    86.91     5.60    20.06    47.00    71.44    98.94    77.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            32   59  +22       0.56    52.19     0.34    84.53     5.12    31.43    30.56    61.14    98.19    74.51P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       32   58  +19       7.88    81.65     9.50    80.08     5.27    23.39     8.87    25.23    90.12    40.09P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          31   57  +16       8.77    85.46     7.54    80.64     5.36    20.68    10.10    27.57    91.01    43.20P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         32   53  +11       2.43    60.94     0.85    74.84     5.22    14.93     1.31     5.22    61.05    19.63P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         31   52  +22       2.01    58.95    10.72    75.32     5.39    26.23     1.86     7.46    67.25    22.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        32   48   +5      -1.65    42.55    -3.71    69.56     5.19     8.50     0.07     0.53    22.33     6.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         31   48   +3       4.69    71.49     1.53    69.54     5.33     4.68     0.11     0.59    21.10     4.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         31   47   +3       6.08    76.66     5.00    66.82     5.31     2.05     0.02     0.18     9.83     2.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley         31   45   +6      -1.42    43.53     0.28    67.66     5.39     9.30     0.06     0.27    14.61     3.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale        33   45   -2       2.61    62.28     1.92    62.81     4.89    -1.93     0.00     0.01     1.60     0.31P    0.35R    0.00  
Peterborough     31   44   +6      -2.26    39.80     0.37    68.09     5.45    11.36     0.05     0.33    16.72     4.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       31   44   -2       4.01    68.89     1.85    63.68     5.35    -3.46     0.00     0.02     3.39     0.65P    0.45R    0.00  
Bury             31   43   -9       6.68    79.06     0.98    59.69     5.28   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.10P    3.01R    0.00  
Swindon          32   42   -1      -6.39    23.08    -7.80    62.53     5.22     0.87     0.00     0.00     2.28     0.56P    0.73R    0.00  
Rochdale         31   39   -3      -2.76    37.77    -1.66    59.76     5.42    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.15P    2.82R    0.00  
Doncaster        31   36   -6      -5.25    26.56    -4.27    56.02     5.35    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   10.28R    0.05  
Blackpool        32   34   -9      -5.96    24.35    -3.55    51.75     5.12   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.68R    0.35  
Chesterfield     32   34  -10      -8.75    15.19    -8.08    52.68     5.14   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.92R    0.15  
Fleetwood_Town   30   33   -2      -5.92    23.56     0.92    52.60     5.46    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   24.66R    0.19  
Shrewsbury       31   33  -14      -4.25    31.20    -6.06    50.22     5.33   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.27R    0.83  
Oldham           30   29  -12      -6.26    21.71    -3.59    47.36     5.37   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.96R    2.44  
Crewe            32   28  -22      -3.29    35.21    -1.84    42.41     4.84   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.15R   13.75  
Colchester       32   23  -38      -6.55    20.73   -11.93    35.44     4.75   -50.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.60R   82.24  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 February 2016, Barnet 1 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          31   70  +26      18.56    98.75    12.41    95.71     5.46    33.74    88.68    99.57   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             31   60  +20       8.66    84.87     7.21    85.12     5.35    26.63     8.46    80.54    99.07    85.86P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           31   55  +19       5.85    75.23     9.21    79.52     5.41    24.83     1.29    43.54    91.68    56.74P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   29   52  +16       9.62    87.51    12.26    77.56     5.93    19.37     0.90    30.02    81.99    40.56P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            33   51   +7       8.05    82.38    10.23    67.65     4.90     5.34     0.00     0.61    17.60     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       31   50   +9       5.92    75.78     6.36    72.70     5.44    12.14     0.07     6.72    53.40    17.41P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           30   49  +22       0.27    51.35    10.74    75.45     5.65    28.68     0.43    19.58    74.81    35.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   49   +6       1.68    58.08    -1.17    71.73     5.41     9.20     0.03     5.27    45.19    15.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        32   49   +2      -3.27    35.49   -10.62    72.73     5.29     8.88     0.04     6.65    52.82    21.07P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   48  +11       4.67    71.08     7.87    70.53     5.64    11.84     0.05     4.47    39.31    12.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        32   47   +3       3.91    67.96     4.50    64.47     5.17     0.27     0.00     0.22     7.29     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             29   46   +5       5.63    75.16     4.49    69.01     5.93     4.29     0.04     2.63    28.42     7.81P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                32   41   -1      -3.96    32.36    -2.58    60.79     5.24    -0.18     0.00     0.02     1.77     0.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               31   41   -4      -0.29    49.06    -1.81    60.18     5.45    -6.18     0.00     0.03     1.65     0.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County         30   39   -7      -4.33    31.07   -10.08    62.46     5.72    -4.81     0.00     0.11     4.51     1.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         32   38  -16      -2.91    37.36   -11.40    56.61     5.25   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.25R    0.02  
Morecambe            32   36   -6      -5.28    27.62    -1.27    55.13     5.29    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.43R    0.04  
Barnet               30   36   -7       0.38    52.47     1.71    54.89     5.56   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.70R    0.06  
Stevenage            33   34  -13      -9.73    13.25   -10.39    50.15     4.95   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.17R    0.37  
Newport_County       30   31  -10      -5.18    26.74    -2.59    50.15     5.51   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.41R    0.63  
Hartlepool           29   27  -20      -2.37    38.83    -4.15    43.68     5.42   -30.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.96R   10.83  
York                 31   26  -22      -8.88    13.42   -10.47    42.21     5.14   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.58R   14.82  
Yeovil               31   25  -15     -13.87     4.70    -9.83    43.54     5.40   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.62R    8.91  
Dag_&_Red            31   20  -25     -13.43     4.39   -10.58    35.95     5.18   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.82R   64.31  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 February 2016, Altrincham 1 1 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       34   78  +44       8.07    83.54     8.15   102.03     4.47    55.43    88.94   100.00    93.41P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     34   74  +27      13.17    94.01     5.34    94.45     4.74    33.16    10.75   100.00    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          32   59  +35      -4.01    30.48     5.93    83.66     5.04    43.17     0.31    95.87    36.38P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   54  +10      -4.23    31.32    -7.16    74.22     4.75    15.41     0.00    44.18    10.63P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        33   54   -5       8.57    84.03    -4.77    70.36     4.84    -7.33     0.00    15.12     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          34   52  +14      -1.68    42.42     3.52    69.29     4.65    15.21     0.00    12.98     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   52  +13       4.55    70.72     5.71    75.47     5.40    17.36     0.00    54.51     8.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     35   52   +8       2.23    59.84     5.70    66.76     4.47     7.28     0.00     4.12     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   30   50  +10       5.76    76.39     5.28    73.41     5.49    12.36     0.00    37.39     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        32   50   +5       1.86    58.56    -1.08    71.99     5.14     9.34     0.00    26.51     3.97P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           34   49  +11      -5.30    27.63    -0.58    65.26     4.70    10.42     0.00     3.03     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     33   47   +7      -2.36    39.16     0.97    66.80     4.96     9.94     0.00     5.80     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        33   42   -8       0.29    52.14    -2.68    59.58     4.89    -8.42     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.19R    0.00  
Bromley          32   41   -4       2.42    61.41     6.00    60.30     5.37    -4.25     0.00     0.36     0.03P    0.23R    0.01  
Chester          33   39   -8       0.33    52.33     2.70    55.14     4.83   -10.88     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.58R    0.04  
Southport        33   39  -12       3.53    67.45     2.57    54.89     4.77   -14.87     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.16R    0.08  
Guiseley         32   38  -16       4.51    71.60    -0.11    51.53     4.85   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.56R    0.40  
Barrow           32   38  -17       4.95    73.12     1.67    54.04     5.18   -22.12     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.57R    0.19  
Altrincham       33   34  -23       1.58    58.71    -2.44    48.48     4.80   -28.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.40R    2.88  
Halifax          32   33  -19      -6.63    22.03   -11.13    49.82     5.07   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.05R    1.69  
Boreham_Wood     33   32   -7      -5.57    25.98     2.90    47.74     4.77    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.08R    2.33  
Welling          32   26  -20      -7.14    18.23    -4.17    40.44     4.83   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.76R   38.36  
Kidderminster    33   24  -19     -13.99     4.32    -7.79    39.96     4.87   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.29R   39.37  
Torquay          30   23  -26     -11.26     7.29   -14.52    44.68     5.62   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.14R   14.64