Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 18 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 February 2016, Arsenal 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 26 53 +19 14.74 97.52 15.32 72.11 4.70 23.02 22.48 47.96 72.35 92.50 99.36 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 51 +27 5.39 76.53 11.78 71.81 4.70 33.61 25.23 50.00 73.59 93.23 99.41 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 51 +18 2.69 63.70 -1.18 73.35 4.48 27.06 34.65 60.07 80.80 95.99 99.77 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 47 +20 -4.59 25.73 -5.78 70.64 4.51 31.54 17.23 39.58 64.84 90.08 99.01 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 41 +9 -3.33 32.59 -3.83 61.63 4.59 15.21 0.32 1.64 5.26 15.57 69.40 0.00 0.00 Southampton 26 40 +10 -1.14 43.83 1.89 59.10 4.67 13.91 0.08 0.54 1.97 6.72 47.86 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 26 40 +9 3.09 66.37 7.25 56.32 4.65 8.83 0.01 0.10 0.46 1.99 23.78 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 38 +2 -1.95 39.88 -4.40 56.47 4.75 4.99 0.01 0.09 0.47 2.11 23.87 0.00 0.00 Watford 26 36 +1 4.46 72.84 7.23 51.64 4.64 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.16 4.70 0.03R 0.00 Stoke 26 36 -5 3.22 67.38 -1.18 51.73 4.52 -6.06 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14 4.13 0.03R 0.00 Everton 26 35 +11 -5.63 22.62 3.61 54.05 4.74 15.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.81 14.90 0.01R 0.00 Chelsea 26 33 +2 -12.68 4.27 -13.41 54.12 4.71 8.94 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.68 13.40 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 32 -5 1.34 58.41 2.23 45.91 4.48 -8.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 1.23R 0.00 West_Brom 26 32 -8 1.78 60.70 -0.40 45.36 4.43 -12.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 1.82R 0.00 Bournemouth 26 28 -14 0.56 54.38 0.02 39.83 4.44 -21.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.57R 0.46 Swansea 26 27 -10 -4.80 25.66 -4.43 40.94 4.49 -13.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 12.15R 0.30 Norwich 26 24 -20 -2.13 39.43 -3.69 35.56 4.40 -28.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.12R 3.66 Newcastle 26 24 -22 -0.52 48.51 -3.26 36.52 4.42 -28.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.47R 3.32 Sunderland 26 23 -18 -2.72 35.72 -1.52 35.03 4.45 -24.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.61R 4.17 Aston_Villa 26 16 -26 -6.91 14.85 -6.24 25.48 4.02 -37.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.94R 88.09Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackburn 3 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 31 60 +28 3.18 64.80 7.48 88.21 5.10 39.11 53.33 80.43 99.82 87.57P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 30 58 +23 5.62 76.60 6.85 85.76 5.36 31.21 28.62 60.38 99.19 73.16P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 31 57 +10 11.79 92.81 5.43 78.42 5.21 11.66 2.55 10.60 85.58 25.09P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 31 56 +22 2.29 60.49 5.39 82.95 5.27 31.25 13.65 38.74 97.69 58.64P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 53 +16 7.17 80.75 10.65 75.28 5.23 18.74 0.80 3.90 71.70 17.31P 0.00 0.00 Derby 31 51 +13 -0.22 48.81 -0.22 76.03 5.31 19.63 0.99 5.22 76.18 24.93P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 31 48 +8 5.23 74.35 7.10 68.25 5.25 7.93 0.02 0.21 18.45 3.35P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 31 48 +1 3.50 66.19 -2.24 70.12 5.26 3.48 0.04 0.42 28.18 5.50P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 31 46 +5 2.17 60.71 2.47 66.65 5.28 5.36 0.01 0.10 12.70 2.40P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 31 42 +4 -1.88 41.22 1.27 62.30 5.22 3.80 0.00 0.00 3.03 0.62P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 31 42 +0 1.38 57.16 1.64 61.98 5.16 -0.21 0.00 0.00 2.23 0.40P 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 40 -2 -4.66 29.00 -5.50 60.40 5.21 -2.06 0.00 0.00 1.26 0.31P 0.05R 0.00 Brentford 31 40 -6 -1.30 44.18 -4.24 61.64 5.34 -4.41 0.00 0.00 1.99 0.31P 0.09R 0.00 QPR 31 39 -1 -5.56 25.68 -4.32 60.31 5.29 0.36 0.00 0.00 1.39 0.29P 0.06R 0.00 Reading 31 37 +0 -3.38 34.29 2.44 56.81 5.23 -0.61 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 0.50R 0.01 Leeds_United 31 37 -5 -0.78 46.55 0.82 55.70 5.12 -7.21 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.92R 0.02 Huddersfield 31 35 -2 -3.73 33.22 3.79 53.01 5.25 -5.80 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 2.94R 0.10 Blackburn 30 34 +1 -8.13 15.31 -1.25 56.24 5.38 1.73 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.06P 0.77R 0.02 Fulham 31 32 -6 -6.76 20.97 0.59 51.77 5.33 -7.36 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.56R 0.35 MK_Dons 31 31 -17 -3.66 33.05 -6.05 48.95 5.20 -20.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.08R 1.30 Bristol_City 31 31 -21 -2.77 37.39 -8.27 47.25 5.12 -27.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.68R 2.76 Rotherham 31 26 -19 -5.66 23.93 -2.23 39.99 4.89 -29.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.02R 26.02 Charlton 31 25 -30 -5.78 22.77 -12.73 39.01 4.87 -39.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.84R 39.57 Bolton 31 24 -22 -9.67 10.46 -8.88 39.66 4.98 -29.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.45R 29.85League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackpool 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 30 63 +17 17.81 98.43 10.89 86.92 5.61 20.05 45.52 69.24 98.93 75.24P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 31 58 +20 9.05 85.67 10.17 82.05 5.47 25.29 15.85 37.28 94.32 50.53P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 30 57 +17 9.82 88.39 8.10 82.06 5.56 21.76 15.76 36.07 93.70 49.76P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 31 56 +21 -0.84 45.39 -0.09 82.87 5.35 30.33 20.06 45.14 95.83 63.63P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 31 52 +22 1.97 59.03 10.66 75.39 5.43 26.32 1.81 6.97 67.43 22.55P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 31 50 +8 2.17 59.71 -0.05 72.92 5.50 11.48 0.59 2.77 45.73 13.04P 0.00 0.00 Southend 31 47 +3 6.24 77.17 5.29 66.74 5.34 1.98 0.02 0.15 10.00 1.87P 0.04R 0.00 Bradford 30 47 +3 5.16 73.71 1.66 70.24 5.52 5.09 0.17 0.90 26.06 6.09P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 31 45 +4 -2.58 38.18 -3.65 68.15 5.43 7.80 0.05 0.30 16.65 4.54P 0.02R 0.00 Port_Vale 32 45 -1 3.44 66.30 2.19 63.79 5.12 -1.53 0.00 0.02 3.20 0.61P 0.18R 0.00 Peterborough 30 44 +9 -2.23 39.50 1.30 69.83 5.66 14.92 0.12 0.86 27.72 7.65P 0.01R 0.00 Scunthorpe 30 44 -1 4.94 72.86 2.20 65.01 5.58 -2.46 0.02 0.09 6.17 1.08P 0.20R 0.00 Barnsley 30 42 +5 -2.74 37.69 -0.20 66.31 5.66 8.68 0.02 0.21 10.82 2.68P 0.10R 0.00 Bury 30 40 -12 6.34 78.52 -0.18 58.06 5.48 -18.17 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.05P 5.07R 0.02 Swindon 31 39 -2 -7.70 18.27 -8.28 61.31 5.46 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.43P 1.35R 0.00 Rochdale 30 38 -3 -2.51 38.62 -1.85 59.82 5.62 -3.40 0.00 0.00 1.03 0.17P 2.53R 0.01 Doncaster 30 36 -5 -4.26 30.48 -3.80 57.21 5.59 -6.05 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.06P 6.29R 0.03 Blackpool 31 34 -8 -4.90 28.36 -3.25 52.86 5.33 -10.26 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 21.59R 0.35 Shrewsbury 31 33 -14 -4.32 30.78 -6.10 50.19 5.34 -19.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.14R 1.22 Chesterfield 31 31 -12 -9.31 13.33 -8.47 51.30 5.39 -12.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 30.89R 0.75 Fleetwood_Town 29 30 -3 -7.12 18.63 0.58 50.87 5.68 -6.44 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 32.53R 0.95 Crewe 31 28 -20 -2.79 37.41 -1.42 43.44 5.08 -28.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.81R 13.64 Oldham 29 26 -13 -7.82 15.83 -4.54 45.29 5.60 -18.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.43R 7.71 Colchester 31 23 -35 -6.20 21.97 -11.16 36.65 4.98 -47.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.82R 75.32League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 30 67 +25 17.39 98.27 12.14 94.09 5.67 32.72 79.69 98.83 99.99 99.12P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 30 59 +20 9.10 86.61 7.29 85.90 5.57 27.20 14.24 82.35 99.40 87.17P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 55 +20 6.80 79.46 9.64 81.45 5.57 26.61 4.21 57.30 96.09 68.00P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 28 49 +15 8.17 84.36 11.58 75.39 6.13 17.48 0.61 17.93 74.37 29.62P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 49 +7 2.47 61.80 -0.98 73.16 5.66 10.30 0.15 8.10 60.14 21.67P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 29 48 +22 0.77 53.86 10.90 76.27 5.88 29.34 0.94 22.78 81.26 40.18P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 32 48 +6 6.84 79.06 9.77 66.31 5.14 4.78 0.00 0.38 15.65 2.99P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 30 47 +8 4.88 72.43 6.23 71.10 5.67 11.19 0.06 3.87 47.11 13.79P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 31 46 +1 -4.48 30.40 -11.03 71.11 5.55 7.89 0.04 3.73 46.28 17.14P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 29 45 +10 3.48 66.47 7.54 68.89 5.87 10.79 0.03 2.67 33.45 9.20P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 44 +1 3.22 65.12 3.93 62.82 5.37 -1.79 0.00 0.12 5.79 1.20P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 28 43 +4 4.52 71.18 4.36 67.31 6.17 3.04 0.02 1.59 24.12 5.84P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 40 -4 0.31 52.10 -1.43 60.69 5.65 -5.97 0.00 0.03 2.99 0.65P 0.06R 0.00 Notts_County 29 39 -6 -3.43 34.72 -9.79 63.91 5.99 -3.75 0.00 0.29 10.06 2.67P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 31 38 -2 -5.18 27.27 -3.02 59.53 5.42 -0.60 0.00 0.01 1.74 0.44P 0.09R 0.01 Crawley_Town 31 37 -16 -2.85 37.70 -11.76 56.70 5.45 -17.41 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.07P 0.49R 0.04 Morecambe 31 36 -5 -4.36 30.80 -1.00 56.42 5.51 -5.56 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.12P 0.44R 0.04 Barnet 29 36 -6 1.32 57.24 2.06 56.21 5.82 -10.80 0.00 0.01 0.68 0.13P 0.72R 0.08 Stevenage 32 34 -12 -8.93 15.16 -10.19 51.56 5.22 -14.66 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 2.96R 0.43 Newport_County 29 30 -10 -4.88 27.14 -2.64 50.40 5.68 -14.35 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 6.10R 1.21 Hartlepool 28 27 -19 -1.54 43.19 -3.98 44.69 5.60 -29.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.47R 10.96 York 30 26 -20 -7.96 15.86 -9.27 43.44 5.35 -26.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.82R 14.35 Yeovil 30 24 -15 -13.37 4.84 -9.62 43.42 5.55 -18.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.30R 12.99 Dag_&_Red 30 20 -24 -12.70 4.94 -10.74 37.24 5.40 -31.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.53R 59.88National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Altrincham 0 3 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 33 75 +43 7.02 80.16 7.94 100.35 4.71 54.40 85.28 100.00 91.08P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 33 71 +26 12.19 92.61 5.42 93.17 4.97 32.66 12.78 99.94 35.74P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 59 +37 -2.94 34.84 7.57 86.08 5.23 46.74 1.93 97.75 39.24P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 33 54 +11 -3.35 34.55 -6.93 75.47 4.95 16.32 0.00 51.95 11.88P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 52 +13 4.68 70.92 5.91 75.40 5.43 17.26 0.01 51.74 7.16P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 32 51 -6 7.32 80.50 -5.37 68.84 5.06 -8.13 0.00 9.12 1.05P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 50 +10 5.72 76.31 5.23 73.50 5.46 12.46 0.00 35.67 5.58P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 31 50 +6 2.52 61.70 -1.20 73.05 5.37 9.78 0.00 32.08 4.85P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 49 +12 -2.45 39.02 2.79 67.75 4.86 13.30 0.00 7.67 1.22P 0.00 0.00 Woking 33 49 +12 -4.17 31.57 -0.01 66.96 4.94 11.89 0.00 6.14 1.05P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 49 +6 1.62 57.63 5.15 65.34 4.69 5.57 0.00 2.37 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 33 47 +7 -2.20 39.95 1.17 66.80 4.93 9.98 0.00 5.09 0.82P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 42 -7 1.28 56.67 -2.36 60.83 5.09 -7.52 0.00 0.25 0.02P 0.08R 0.00 Southport 32 39 -10 4.10 70.03 3.31 56.01 4.96 -13.23 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.33R 0.07 Bromley 31 38 -5 1.11 56.06 5.53 58.32 5.59 -5.80 0.00 0.22 0.02P 0.71R 0.03 Chester 32 38 -8 0.62 53.93 2.41 55.41 5.08 -11.01 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.65R 0.06 Barrow 32 38 -17 4.95 73.01 1.65 54.10 5.20 -22.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.06R 0.19 Guiseley 31 37 -16 4.62 72.20 -0.47 51.75 5.04 -24.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.24R 0.52 Altrincham 32 33 -23 1.99 61.01 -2.46 49.05 5.06 -27.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.94R 2.76 Boreham_Wood 32 32 -6 -4.34 30.71 3.79 49.31 5.06 -8.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.71R 1.54 Halifax 31 30 -21 -7.72 17.68 -12.39 47.15 5.24 -27.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.05R 6.30 Welling 31 26 -18 -6.82 18.89 -3.63 41.79 5.05 -25.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.21R 27.91 Kidderminster 32 23 -19 -13.70 4.17 -7.96 40.56 5.05 -21.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.83R 34.99 Torquay 29 20 -27 -12.71 4.66 -15.09 42.69 5.79 -28.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.18R 25.63