Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 17 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 February 2016, Arsenal 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 26 53 +19 14.84 97.57 15.45 72.06 4.74 22.96 22.63 47.38 71.65 92.27 99.31 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 51 +27 5.43 76.74 11.77 71.85 4.68 33.63 25.89 50.84 74.35 93.45 99.41 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 51 +18 2.87 64.78 -0.94 73.27 4.47 26.97 33.94 59.94 80.59 95.87 99.79 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 47 +20 -4.68 25.45 -5.87 70.62 4.50 31.50 17.12 39.55 64.92 90.24 99.07 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 41 +9 -3.21 33.07 -3.65 61.62 4.61 15.14 0.32 1.62 5.35 15.32 68.80 0.00 0.00 Southampton 26 40 +10 -1.21 43.47 1.75 59.12 4.66 13.94 0.07 0.46 1.88 6.70 47.98 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 26 40 +9 3.06 66.21 7.18 56.39 4.66 8.94 0.02 0.11 0.49 2.20 23.92 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 38 +2 -2.12 39.08 -4.64 56.55 4.78 5.14 0.00 0.07 0.49 2.12 24.40 0.00 0.00 Watford 26 36 +1 4.42 72.76 7.16 51.65 4.65 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 4.71 0.02R 0.00 Stoke 26 36 -5 3.25 67.74 -1.13 51.70 4.53 -6.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.13 4.07 0.03R 0.00 Everton 26 35 +11 -5.63 22.59 3.61 54.08 4.74 15.06 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.89 14.98 0.01R 0.00 Chelsea 26 33 +2 -12.52 4.52 -13.26 54.00 4.73 8.79 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.64 13.13 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 32 -5 1.40 58.64 2.39 45.84 4.48 -8.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 1.27R 0.00 West_Brom 26 32 -8 1.70 60.16 -0.58 45.42 4.43 -12.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 1.57R 0.00 Bournemouth 26 28 -14 0.45 53.58 -0.18 39.85 4.46 -21.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.29R 0.48 Swansea 26 27 -10 -4.89 25.44 -4.56 40.97 4.51 -13.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.24R 0.25 Norwich 26 24 -20 -1.89 40.75 -3.28 35.48 4.39 -28.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.47R 3.86 Newcastle 26 24 -22 -0.64 47.52 -3.53 36.62 4.46 -28.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.30R 3.28 Sunderland 26 23 -18 -2.69 35.76 -1.42 35.02 4.43 -24.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.90R 4.30 Aston_Villa 26 16 -26 -6.99 14.64 -6.28 25.48 4.02 -37.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.90R 87.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackburn 3 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 31 60 +28 3.08 64.30 7.38 88.18 5.12 39.09 52.92 79.91 99.81 87.34P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 30 58 +23 5.63 76.42 6.81 85.77 5.34 31.21 28.63 60.65 99.23 73.81P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 31 57 +10 11.79 92.86 5.47 78.41 5.22 11.65 2.61 10.38 85.51 24.77P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 31 56 +22 2.34 61.07 5.47 82.97 5.29 31.27 13.85 39.33 97.74 58.90P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 53 +16 7.07 80.39 10.54 75.31 5.23 18.78 0.84 3.96 71.86 16.99P 0.00 0.00 Derby 31 51 +13 -0.17 49.09 -0.15 76.03 5.32 19.60 1.05 5.12 76.14 24.91P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 31 48 +8 5.15 73.83 6.99 68.32 5.22 8.03 0.03 0.18 18.94 3.54P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 31 48 +1 3.60 66.99 -2.08 69.98 5.26 3.32 0.06 0.36 27.71 5.38P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 31 46 +5 2.45 62.12 2.80 66.60 5.24 5.24 0.00 0.09 12.41 2.31P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 31 42 +4 -1.86 41.53 1.36 62.32 5.22 3.85 0.00 0.01 2.99 0.61P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 31 42 +0 1.59 58.21 1.90 61.89 5.18 -0.32 0.00 0.01 2.20 0.42P 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 40 -2 -4.80 28.45 -5.72 60.43 5.26 -2.05 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.22P 0.07R 0.00 Brentford 31 40 -6 -1.44 43.59 -4.39 61.72 5.36 -4.33 0.00 0.00 2.03 0.38P 0.07R 0.00 QPR 31 39 -1 -5.57 25.58 -4.34 60.30 5.34 0.35 0.00 0.00 1.49 0.30P 0.08R 0.00 Reading 31 37 +0 -3.24 34.76 2.66 56.75 5.20 -0.70 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.48R 0.01 Leeds_United 31 37 -5 -0.95 45.92 0.61 55.79 5.07 -7.08 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.80R 0.01 Huddersfield 31 35 -2 -3.81 32.44 3.61 53.09 5.26 -5.66 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 2.96R 0.10 Blackburn 30 34 +1 -8.11 15.55 -1.21 56.23 5.40 1.69 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.06P 0.89R 0.01 Fulham 31 32 -6 -6.81 20.75 0.55 51.84 5.30 -7.27 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 5.32R 0.33 MK_Dons 31 31 -17 -3.77 32.68 -6.22 48.96 5.22 -20.70 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 15.24R 1.37 Bristol_City 31 31 -21 -2.69 37.90 -8.13 47.15 5.10 -27.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.85R 2.85 Rotherham 31 26 -19 -5.64 23.88 -2.16 39.97 4.88 -29.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.10R 25.99 Charlton 31 25 -30 -5.69 23.08 -12.62 38.95 4.85 -39.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.20R 40.13 Bolton 31 24 -22 -9.87 10.34 -9.12 39.73 5.02 -29.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.91R 29.19League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackpool 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 30 63 +17 17.87 98.50 11.02 86.95 5.61 20.10 45.81 69.42 98.95 75.23P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 31 58 +20 9.00 85.52 10.09 82.06 5.48 25.31 15.79 37.46 94.19 50.52P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 30 57 +17 9.83 88.47 8.05 82.07 5.58 21.76 16.09 36.68 93.77 50.51P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 31 56 +21 -0.61 46.46 0.20 82.77 5.34 30.22 19.47 44.22 95.85 62.95P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 31 52 +22 1.85 58.67 10.47 75.45 5.42 26.40 1.78 7.09 67.83 22.60P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 31 50 +8 2.36 60.61 0.23 72.87 5.47 11.36 0.66 2.68 45.60 13.15P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 31 47 +3 6.28 77.06 5.30 66.75 5.33 1.96 0.02 0.16 9.90 1.91P 0.04R 0.00 Bradford 30 47 +3 5.22 73.93 1.78 70.14 5.55 4.97 0.16 0.85 25.57 5.78P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 31 45 +4 -2.56 38.04 -3.63 68.16 5.43 7.81 0.05 0.30 16.61 4.49P 0.03R 0.00 Port_Vale 32 45 -1 3.50 66.54 2.23 63.81 5.12 -1.48 0.00 0.02 3.17 0.57P 0.22R 0.00 Peterborough 30 44 +9 -2.21 39.78 1.33 69.81 5.67 14.88 0.13 0.83 27.54 7.57P 0.02R 0.00 Scunthorpe 30 44 -1 4.82 72.58 1.99 65.14 5.62 -2.31 0.02 0.08 6.58 1.21P 0.23R 0.00 Barnsley 30 42 +5 -2.81 37.17 -0.36 66.39 5.63 8.76 0.02 0.20 11.13 2.81P 0.09R 0.00 Bury 30 40 -12 6.35 78.59 -0.14 57.93 5.49 -18.37 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.04P 5.28R 0.02 Swindon 31 39 -2 -7.46 19.32 -7.92 61.19 5.44 0.36 0.00 0.01 1.57 0.39P 1.32R 0.00 Rochdale 30 38 -3 -2.50 38.54 -1.79 59.78 5.61 -3.45 0.00 0.00 1.01 0.20P 2.56R 0.01 Doncaster 30 36 -5 -4.29 30.18 -3.88 57.21 5.56 -6.06 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.06P 6.32R 0.04 Blackpool 31 34 -8 -5.39 26.55 -3.88 53.10 5.36 -9.94 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 20.41R 0.33 Shrewsbury 31 33 -14 -4.27 30.99 -6.06 50.22 5.32 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 41.01R 1.18 Chesterfield 31 31 -12 -9.36 13.31 -8.54 51.34 5.40 -12.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.91R 0.70 Fleetwood_Town 29 30 -3 -7.28 18.10 0.33 50.95 5.66 -6.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 32.06R 0.85 Crewe 31 28 -20 -2.73 37.51 -1.30 43.38 5.03 -28.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.12R 14.03 Oldham 29 26 -13 -7.59 16.54 -4.19 45.15 5.56 -19.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.63R 8.03 Colchester 31 23 -35 -6.31 21.64 -11.33 36.71 5.02 -47.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.73R 74.80League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 30 67 +25 17.42 98.35 12.13 94.08 5.71 32.71 79.56 98.70 99.99 99.04P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 30 59 +20 9.17 86.82 7.38 85.86 5.56 27.15 14.23 82.20 99.34 87.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 55 +20 6.79 79.06 9.62 81.44 5.62 26.63 4.24 57.04 96.10 67.84P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 28 49 +15 8.16 84.04 11.57 75.43 6.15 17.55 0.68 18.34 74.18 29.98P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 49 +7 2.74 63.22 -0.58 73.06 5.62 10.10 0.14 7.85 59.39 21.41P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 29 48 +22 0.89 54.03 11.04 76.23 5.90 29.27 0.97 22.74 80.86 40.02P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 32 48 +6 6.88 79.26 9.86 66.33 5.13 4.77 0.00 0.39 15.80 3.02P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 30 47 +8 4.64 71.20 5.87 71.19 5.69 11.35 0.08 4.12 47.64 14.09P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 31 46 +1 -4.51 30.34 -11.00 71.08 5.54 7.87 0.04 3.74 46.16 16.91P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 29 45 +10 3.32 65.85 7.29 69.04 5.87 11.04 0.04 2.84 34.50 9.72P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 44 +1 3.13 64.52 3.80 62.85 5.41 -1.75 0.00 0.15 5.97 1.18P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 28 43 +4 4.53 71.51 4.38 67.30 6.13 3.04 0.02 1.56 23.83 5.84P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 40 -4 0.19 51.25 -1.71 60.83 5.69 -5.77 0.00 0.05 3.12 0.67P 0.05R 0.00 Notts_County 29 39 -6 -3.31 35.01 -9.59 63.82 6.01 -3.88 0.00 0.27 9.72 2.61P 0.02R 0.00 Luton 31 38 -2 -5.04 28.06 -2.78 59.50 5.45 -0.71 0.00 0.01 1.76 0.41P 0.09R 0.01 Crawley_Town 31 37 -16 -2.87 37.54 -11.82 56.71 5.48 -17.44 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08P 0.48R 0.04 Morecambe 31 36 -5 -4.25 31.40 -0.78 56.37 5.52 -5.64 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.09P 0.51R 0.05 Barnet 29 36 -6 1.37 57.40 2.09 56.22 5.79 -10.78 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.08P 0.63R 0.05 Stevenage 32 34 -12 -8.96 15.06 -10.32 51.63 5.20 -14.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 2.94R 0.41 Newport_County 29 30 -10 -4.87 27.95 -2.64 50.30 5.69 -14.45 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 6.23R 1.06 Hartlepool 28 27 -19 -1.48 43.74 -3.91 44.62 5.65 -29.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.48R 11.46 York 30 26 -20 -8.03 15.80 -9.36 43.46 5.39 -26.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.28R 14.09 Yeovil 30 24 -15 -13.57 4.67 -9.93 43.51 5.59 -18.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.56R 12.57 Dag_&_Red 30 20 -24 -12.65 5.10 -10.58 37.23 5.38 -31.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.72R 60.26National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Altrincham 0 3 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 33 75 +43 6.84 79.98 7.67 100.45 4.72 54.52 85.36 100.00 91.09P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 33 71 +26 12.06 92.54 5.17 93.25 4.96 32.80 12.69 99.96 35.85P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 59 +37 -3.03 34.29 7.51 86.16 5.21 46.86 1.94 97.96 39.57P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 33 54 +11 -3.40 34.57 -7.00 75.52 4.95 16.41 0.00 53.11 12.21P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 52 +13 4.64 71.06 5.90 75.35 5.39 17.16 0.01 51.60 7.23P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 32 51 -6 7.63 81.81 -4.81 68.72 5.06 -8.31 0.00 8.82 0.91P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 50 +10 5.71 76.30 5.21 73.46 5.43 12.46 0.00 35.49 5.47P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 31 50 +6 2.78 62.80 -0.78 72.98 5.36 9.63 0.00 31.80 4.43P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 49 +12 -2.42 39.45 2.87 67.74 4.85 13.29 0.00 7.48 1.18P 0.00 0.00 Woking 33 49 +12 -4.05 32.35 0.08 66.86 4.93 11.79 0.00 5.83 0.94P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 49 +6 1.46 56.94 4.93 65.39 4.66 5.64 0.00 2.44 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 33 47 +7 -2.19 40.16 1.20 66.75 4.93 9.93 0.00 4.98 0.79P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 42 -7 1.19 56.11 -2.42 60.89 5.12 -7.46 0.00 0.32 0.03P 0.09R 0.00 Southport 32 39 -10 4.09 69.91 3.27 55.97 4.97 -13.28 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.39R 0.05 Bromley 31 38 -5 1.12 55.93 5.53 58.41 5.62 -5.72 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.79R 0.04 Chester 32 38 -8 0.83 54.81 2.78 55.27 5.04 -11.20 0.00 0.02 0.00 1.77R 0.09 Barrow 32 38 -17 4.77 72.49 1.26 54.19 5.18 -21.89 0.00 0.01 0.00 3.77R 0.17 Guiseley 31 37 -16 4.72 72.50 -0.31 51.67 5.06 -24.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.59R 0.51 Altrincham 32 33 -23 1.95 61.10 -2.42 49.05 5.03 -27.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.00R 2.73 Boreham_Wood 32 32 -6 -4.58 29.81 3.46 49.43 5.06 -8.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.22R 1.61 Halifax 31 30 -21 -7.68 17.94 -12.30 47.10 5.22 -27.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.19R 6.16 Welling 31 26 -18 -6.77 19.58 -3.68 41.82 5.05 -25.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.14R 27.63 Kidderminster 32 23 -19 -13.59 4.36 -7.86 40.50 5.07 -21.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.17R 35.65 Torquay 29 20 -27 -12.77 4.37 -15.26 42.75 5.81 -28.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.89R 25.36