Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 February 2016, Arsenal 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        26   53  +19      14.84    97.57    15.45    72.06     4.74    22.96    22.63    47.38    71.65    92.27    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        26   51  +27       5.43    76.74    11.77    71.85     4.68    33.63    25.89    50.84    74.35    93.45    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          26   51  +18       2.87    64.78    -0.94    73.27     4.47    26.97    33.94    59.94    80.59    95.87    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   47  +20      -4.68    25.45    -5.87    70.62     4.50    31.50    17.12    39.55    64.92    90.24    99.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   41   +9      -3.21    33.07    -3.65    61.62     4.61    15.14     0.32     1.62     5.35    15.32    68.80     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   40  +10      -1.21    43.47     1.75    59.12     4.66    13.94     0.07     0.46     1.88     6.70    47.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   40   +9       3.06    66.21     7.18    56.39     4.66     8.94     0.02     0.11     0.49     2.20    23.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        26   38   +2      -2.12    39.08    -4.64    56.55     4.78     5.14     0.00     0.07     0.49     2.12    24.40     0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   36   +1       4.42    72.76     7.16    51.65     4.65    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     4.71     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            26   36   -5       3.25    67.74    -1.13    51.70     4.53    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     4.07     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          26   35  +11      -5.63    22.59     3.61    54.08     4.74    15.06     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.89    14.98     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          26   33   +2     -12.52     4.52   -13.26    54.00     4.73     8.79     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.64    13.13     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   32   -5       1.40    58.64     2.39    45.84     4.48    -8.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     1.27R    0.00  
West_Brom        26   32   -8       1.70    60.16    -0.58    45.42     4.43   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.57R    0.00  
Bournemouth      26   28  -14       0.45    53.58    -0.18    39.85     4.46   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.29R    0.48  
Swansea          26   27  -10      -4.89    25.44    -4.56    40.97     4.51   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.24R    0.25  
Norwich          26   24  -20      -1.89    40.75    -3.28    35.48     4.39   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.47R    3.86  
Newcastle        26   24  -22      -0.64    47.52    -3.53    36.62     4.46   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.30R    3.28  
Sunderland       26   23  -18      -2.69    35.76    -1.42    35.02     4.43   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.90R    4.30  
Aston_Villa      26   16  -26      -6.99    14.64    -6.28    25.48     4.02   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.90R   87.83  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackburn 3 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            31   60  +28       3.08    64.30     7.38    88.18     5.12    39.09    52.92    79.91    99.81    87.34P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   58  +23       5.63    76.42     6.81    85.77     5.34    31.21    28.63    60.65    99.23    73.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        31   57  +10      11.79    92.86     5.47    78.41     5.22    11.65     2.61    10.38    85.51    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         31   56  +22       2.34    61.07     5.47    82.97     5.29    31.27    13.85    39.33    97.74    58.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       31   53  +16       7.07    80.39    10.54    75.31     5.23    18.78     0.84     3.96    71.86    16.99P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           31   51  +13      -0.17    49.09    -0.15    76.03     5.32    19.60     1.05     5.12    76.14    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      31   48   +8       5.15    73.83     6.99    68.32     5.22     8.03     0.03     0.18    18.94     3.54P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         31   48   +1       3.60    66.99    -2.08    69.98     5.26     3.32     0.06     0.36    27.71     5.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         31   46   +5       2.45    62.12     2.80    66.60     5.24     5.24     0.00     0.09    12.41     2.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   31   42   +4      -1.86    41.53     1.36    62.32     5.22     3.85     0.00     0.01     2.99     0.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         31   42   +0       1.59    58.21     1.90    61.89     5.18    -0.32     0.00     0.01     2.20     0.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   31   40   -2      -4.80    28.45    -5.72    60.43     5.26    -2.05     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.22P    0.07R    0.00  
Brentford       31   40   -6      -1.44    43.59    -4.39    61.72     5.36    -4.33     0.00     0.00     2.03     0.38P    0.07R    0.00  
QPR             31   39   -1      -5.57    25.58    -4.34    60.30     5.34     0.35     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.30P    0.08R    0.00  
Reading         31   37   +0      -3.24    34.76     2.66    56.75     5.20    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.48R    0.01  
Leeds_United    31   37   -5      -0.95    45.92     0.61    55.79     5.07    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.80R    0.01  
Huddersfield    31   35   -2      -3.81    32.44     3.61    53.09     5.26    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.96R    0.10  
Blackburn       30   34   +1      -8.11    15.55    -1.21    56.23     5.40     1.69     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    0.89R    0.01  
Fulham          31   32   -6      -6.81    20.75     0.55    51.84     5.30    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    5.32R    0.33  
MK_Dons         31   31  -17      -3.77    32.68    -6.22    48.96     5.22   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.24R    1.37  
Bristol_City    31   31  -21      -2.69    37.90    -8.13    47.15     5.10   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.85R    2.85  
Rotherham       31   26  -19      -5.64    23.88    -2.16    39.97     4.88   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.10R   25.99  
Charlton        31   25  -30      -5.69    23.08   -12.62    38.95     4.85   -39.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.20R   40.13  
Bolton          31   24  -22      -9.87    10.34    -9.12    39.73     5.02   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.91R   29.19  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackpool 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    30   63  +17      17.87    98.50    11.02    86.95     5.61    20.10    45.81    69.42    98.95    75.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       31   58  +20       9.00    85.52    10.09    82.06     5.48    25.31    15.79    37.46    94.19    50.52P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   57  +17       9.83    88.47     8.05    82.07     5.58    21.76    16.09    36.68    93.77    50.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            31   56  +21      -0.61    46.46     0.20    82.77     5.34    30.22    19.47    44.22    95.85    62.95P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         31   52  +22       1.85    58.67    10.47    75.45     5.42    26.40     1.78     7.09    67.83    22.60P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         31   50   +8       2.36    60.61     0.23    72.87     5.47    11.36     0.66     2.68    45.60    13.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         31   47   +3       6.28    77.06     5.30    66.75     5.33     1.96     0.02     0.16     9.90     1.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford         30   47   +3       5.22    73.93     1.78    70.14     5.55     4.97     0.16     0.85    25.57     5.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        31   45   +4      -2.56    38.04    -3.63    68.16     5.43     7.81     0.05     0.30    16.61     4.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale        32   45   -1       3.50    66.54     2.23    63.81     5.12    -1.48     0.00     0.02     3.17     0.57P    0.22R    0.00  
Peterborough     30   44   +9      -2.21    39.78     1.33    69.81     5.67    14.88     0.13     0.83    27.54     7.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       30   44   -1       4.82    72.58     1.99    65.14     5.62    -2.31     0.02     0.08     6.58     1.21P    0.23R    0.00  
Barnsley         30   42   +5      -2.81    37.17    -0.36    66.39     5.63     8.76     0.02     0.20    11.13     2.81P    0.09R    0.00  
Bury             30   40  -12       6.35    78.59    -0.14    57.93     5.49   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.04P    5.28R    0.02  
Swindon          31   39   -2      -7.46    19.32    -7.92    61.19     5.44     0.36     0.00     0.01     1.57     0.39P    1.32R    0.00  
Rochdale         30   38   -3      -2.50    38.54    -1.79    59.78     5.61    -3.45     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.20P    2.56R    0.01  
Doncaster        30   36   -5      -4.29    30.18    -3.88    57.21     5.56    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    6.32R    0.04  
Blackpool        31   34   -8      -5.39    26.55    -3.88    53.10     5.36    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   20.41R    0.33  
Shrewsbury       31   33  -14      -4.27    30.99    -6.06    50.22     5.32   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.01R    1.18  
Chesterfield     31   31  -12      -9.36    13.31    -8.54    51.34     5.40   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.91R    0.70  
Fleetwood_Town   29   30   -3      -7.28    18.10     0.33    50.95     5.66    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   32.06R    0.85  
Crewe            31   28  -20      -2.73    37.51    -1.30    43.38     5.03   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.12R   14.03  
Oldham           29   26  -13      -7.59    16.54    -4.19    45.15     5.56   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.63R    8.03  
Colchester       31   23  -35      -6.31    21.64   -11.33    36.71     5.02   -47.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.73R   74.80  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          30   67  +25      17.42    98.35    12.13    94.08     5.71    32.71    79.56    98.70    99.99    99.04P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             30   59  +20       9.17    86.82     7.38    85.86     5.56    27.15    14.23    82.20    99.34    87.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           30   55  +20       6.79    79.06     9.62    81.44     5.62    26.63     4.24    57.04    96.10    67.84P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   49  +15       8.16    84.04    11.57    75.43     6.15    17.55     0.68    18.34    74.18    29.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   49   +7       2.74    63.22    -0.58    73.06     5.62    10.10     0.14     7.85    59.39    21.41P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           29   48  +22       0.89    54.03    11.04    76.23     5.90    29.27     0.97    22.74    80.86    40.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            32   48   +6       6.88    79.26     9.86    66.33     5.13     4.77     0.00     0.39    15.80     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       30   47   +8       4.64    71.20     5.87    71.19     5.69    11.35     0.08     4.12    47.64    14.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        31   46   +1      -4.51    30.34   -11.00    71.08     5.54     7.87     0.04     3.74    46.16    16.91P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   45  +10       3.32    65.85     7.29    69.04     5.87    11.04     0.04     2.84    34.50     9.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        31   44   +1       3.13    64.52     3.80    62.85     5.41    -1.75     0.00     0.15     5.97     1.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             28   43   +4       4.53    71.51     4.38    67.30     6.13     3.04     0.02     1.56    23.83     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               30   40   -4       0.19    51.25    -1.71    60.83     5.69    -5.77     0.00     0.05     3.12     0.67P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County         29   39   -6      -3.31    35.01    -9.59    63.82     6.01    -3.88     0.00     0.27     9.72     2.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton                31   38   -2      -5.04    28.06    -2.78    59.50     5.45    -0.71     0.00     0.01     1.76     0.41P    0.09R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         31   37  -16      -2.87    37.54   -11.82    56.71     5.48   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.48R    0.04  
Morecambe            31   36   -5      -4.25    31.40    -0.78    56.37     5.52    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P    0.51R    0.05  
Barnet               29   36   -6       1.37    57.40     2.09    56.22     5.79   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.08P    0.63R    0.05  
Stevenage            32   34  -12      -8.96    15.06   -10.32    51.63     5.20   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.94R    0.41  
Newport_County       29   30  -10      -4.87    27.95    -2.64    50.30     5.69   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    6.23R    1.06  
Hartlepool           28   27  -19      -1.48    43.74    -3.91    44.62     5.65   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.48R   11.46  
York                 30   26  -20      -8.03    15.80    -9.36    43.46     5.39   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.28R   14.09  
Yeovil               30   24  -15     -13.57     4.67    -9.93    43.51     5.59   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.56R   12.57  
Dag_&_Red            30   20  -24     -12.65     5.10   -10.58    37.23     5.38   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.72R   60.26  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Altrincham 0 3 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       33   75  +43       6.84    79.98     7.67   100.45     4.72    54.52    85.36   100.00    91.09P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     33   71  +26      12.06    92.54     5.17    93.25     4.96    32.80    12.69    99.96    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          31   59  +37      -3.03    34.29     7.51    86.16     5.21    46.86     1.94    97.96    39.57P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         33   54  +11      -3.40    34.57    -7.00    75.52     4.95    16.41     0.00    53.11    12.21P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   52  +13       4.64    71.06     5.90    75.35     5.39    17.16     0.01    51.60     7.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        32   51   -6       7.63    81.81    -4.81    68.72     5.06    -8.31     0.00     8.82     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   30   50  +10       5.71    76.30     5.21    73.46     5.43    12.46     0.00    35.49     5.47P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        31   50   +6       2.78    62.80    -0.78    72.98     5.36     9.63     0.00    31.80     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          33   49  +12      -2.42    39.45     2.87    67.74     4.85    13.29     0.00     7.48     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           33   49  +12      -4.05    32.35     0.08    66.86     4.93    11.79     0.00     5.83     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     34   49   +6       1.46    56.94     4.93    65.39     4.66     5.64     0.00     2.44     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     33   47   +7      -2.19    40.16     1.20    66.75     4.93     9.93     0.00     4.98     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        32   42   -7       1.19    56.11    -2.42    60.89     5.12    -7.46     0.00     0.32     0.03P    0.09R    0.00  
Southport        32   39  -10       4.09    69.91     3.27    55.97     4.97   -13.28     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.39R    0.05  
Bromley          31   38   -5       1.12    55.93     5.53    58.41     5.62    -5.72     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.79R    0.04  
Chester          32   38   -8       0.83    54.81     2.78    55.27     5.04   -11.20     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.77R    0.09  
Barrow           32   38  -17       4.77    72.49     1.26    54.19     5.18   -21.89     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.77R    0.17  
Guiseley         31   37  -16       4.72    72.50    -0.31    51.67     5.06   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.59R    0.51  
Altrincham       32   33  -23       1.95    61.10    -2.42    49.05     5.03   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.00R    2.73  
Boreham_Wood     32   32   -6      -4.58    29.81     3.46    49.43     5.06    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.22R    1.61  
Halifax          31   30  -21      -7.68    17.94   -12.30    47.10     5.22   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.19R    6.16  
Welling          31   26  -18      -6.77    19.58    -3.68    41.82     5.05   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.14R   27.63  
Kidderminster    32   23  -19     -13.59     4.36    -7.86    40.50     5.07   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.17R   35.65  
Torquay          29   20  -27     -12.77     4.37   -15.26    42.75     5.81   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.89R   25.36