Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 February 2016, Arsenal 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        26   53  +19      14.72    97.62    15.26    72.12     4.72    23.03    22.92    48.13    72.57    92.55    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        26   51  +27       5.49    76.85    11.94    71.80     4.64    33.56    25.48    50.40    73.94    93.42    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          26   51  +18       2.94    65.01    -0.77    73.22     4.51    26.84    34.04    59.42    80.20    95.77    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   47  +20      -4.71    25.07    -5.93    70.62     4.51    31.53    17.16    39.75    64.85    90.34    99.02     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   41   +9      -3.24    32.81    -3.71    61.61     4.60    15.16     0.30     1.63     5.46    15.40    68.85     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   40  +10      -1.05    44.41     2.05    59.02     4.66    13.80     0.08     0.46     1.79     6.44    47.21     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   40   +9       3.01    66.14     7.09    56.42     4.65     8.93     0.01     0.09     0.46     2.18    24.46     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        26   38   +2      -2.02    39.27    -4.46    56.51     4.79     5.07     0.01     0.08     0.47     2.06    24.10     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          26   36   +1       4.38    72.57     7.11    51.68     4.66    -0.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     4.83     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            26   36   -5       3.15    67.14    -1.28    51.75     4.55    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     4.23     0.04R    0.00  
Everton          26   35  +11      -5.80    21.73     3.35    54.15     4.69    15.16     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.86    14.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          26   33   +2     -12.73     4.06   -13.49    54.10     4.71     8.93     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.68    13.22     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   32   -5       1.40    58.47     2.31    45.87     4.50    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     1.28R    0.00  
West_Brom        26   32   -8       1.85    60.97    -0.30    45.33     4.43   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     1.83R    0.00  
Bournemouth      26   28  -14       0.65    54.92     0.15    39.80     4.41   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.46R    0.49  
Swansea          26   27  -10      -4.80    25.55    -4.43    40.98     4.50   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.01R    0.30  
Norwich          26   24  -20      -2.08    39.64    -3.58    35.55     4.39   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.69R    3.50  
Newcastle        26   24  -22      -0.53    48.27    -3.30    36.53     4.44   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.13R    3.23  
Sunderland       26   23  -18      -2.76    35.44    -1.59    35.06     4.45   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.51R    3.99  
Aston_Villa      26   16  -26      -7.01    14.27    -6.43    25.48     3.98   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R   88.47  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackburn 3 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            31   60  +28       3.07    64.61     7.34    88.21     5.08    39.15    53.36    80.67    99.82    87.91P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   58  +23       5.56    76.19     6.75    85.79     5.34    31.24    28.87    60.96    99.23    74.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        31   57  +10      11.78    92.85     5.42    78.42     5.22    11.66     2.57    10.38    85.64    24.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         31   56  +22       2.53    61.91     5.77    82.85     5.27    31.05    13.12    38.13    97.43    57.96P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       31   53  +16       7.11    80.60    10.60    75.26     5.20    18.72     0.80     3.76    71.51    17.08P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           31   51  +13      -0.31    48.45    -0.36    76.05     5.33    19.66     1.20     5.35    76.09    25.01P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      31   48   +8       5.16    73.84     6.98    68.32     5.24     8.05     0.03     0.22    18.93     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         31   48   +1       3.27    65.42    -2.54    70.18     5.28     3.62     0.05     0.43    28.76     5.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         31   46   +5       2.38    61.65     2.71    66.53     5.24     5.16     0.00     0.09    12.03     2.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   31   42   +4      -1.98    40.67     1.21    62.35     5.23     3.89     0.00     0.01     3.15     0.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         31   42   +0       1.45    57.60     1.68    62.00     5.19    -0.17     0.00     0.00     2.22     0.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   31   40   -2      -4.76    28.35    -5.67    60.42     5.22    -2.05     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       31   40   -6      -1.37    43.67    -4.32    61.73     5.35    -4.30     0.00     0.00     1.98     0.35P    0.06R    0.00  
QPR             31   39   -1      -5.62    25.41    -4.44    60.43     5.29     0.53     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.30P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         31   37   +0      -3.23    34.71     2.64    56.68     5.20    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.52R    0.01  
Leeds_United    31   37   -5      -0.88    46.52     0.67    55.77     5.10    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.74R    0.01  
Huddersfield    31   35   -2      -3.77    32.48     3.66    53.04     5.26    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.93R    0.07  
Blackburn       30   34   +1      -8.23    15.10    -1.41    56.28     5.39     1.79     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.79R    0.02  
Fulham          31   32   -6      -6.69    21.24     0.72    51.79     5.33    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.32R    0.35  
MK_Dons         31   31  -17      -3.47    34.13    -5.76    48.80     5.20   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.43R    1.40  
Bristol_City    31   31  -21      -2.74    37.43    -8.22    47.23     5.11   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.38R    2.81  
Rotherham       31   26  -19      -5.58    24.06    -2.08    39.98     4.85   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.94R   25.57  
Charlton        31   25  -30      -5.70    23.00   -12.61    38.92     4.81   -39.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.46R   39.70  
Bolton          31   24  -22      -9.60    10.69    -8.73    39.61     5.04   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.27R   30.07  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackpool 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    30   63  +17      17.74    98.38    10.84    86.88     5.63    20.02    45.28    68.92    98.93    75.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       31   58  +20       9.06    85.64    10.18    82.04     5.48    25.24    15.67    37.37    94.14    50.70P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   57  +17       9.77    88.31     8.02    82.06     5.55    21.74    15.52    36.31    93.87    49.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            31   56  +21      -0.78    46.12    -0.07    82.89     5.35    30.38    20.48    44.96    96.06    63.38P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         31   52  +22       1.93    58.96    10.59    75.48     5.44    26.39     1.93     7.23    67.94    22.84P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         31   50   +8       2.27    60.44     0.09    72.89     5.53    11.39     0.69     2.80    45.85    13.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         31   47   +3       6.32    77.24     5.38    66.74     5.34     1.95     0.04     0.16     9.85     1.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford         30   47   +3       5.23    74.08     1.76    70.12     5.55     4.97     0.17     0.83    25.49     5.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        31   45   +4      -2.70    37.70    -3.79    68.17     5.43     7.83     0.05     0.34    16.76     4.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale        32   45   -1       3.36    65.96     2.08    63.86     5.11    -1.41     0.00     0.02     3.26     0.60P    0.15R    0.00  
Peterborough     30   44   +9      -2.06    40.11     1.55    69.75     5.66    14.80     0.14     0.81    27.11     7.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       30   44   -1       4.95    73.07     2.16    65.07     5.57    -2.41     0.01     0.06     6.31     1.20P    0.20R    0.00  
Barnsley         30   42   +5      -2.86    36.81    -0.39    66.33     5.63     8.72     0.02     0.19    11.05     2.82P    0.11R    0.00  
Bury             30   40  -12       6.33    78.39    -0.22    58.03     5.50   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.05P    5.09R    0.02  
Swindon          31   39   -2      -7.41    19.53    -7.85    61.22     5.44     0.35     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.41P    1.23R    0.00  
Rochdale         30   38   -3      -2.44    39.02    -1.69    59.78     5.65    -3.47     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.20P    2.63R    0.01  
Doncaster        30   36   -5      -4.43    29.93    -4.06    57.27     5.57    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.07P    6.22R    0.04  
Blackpool        31   34   -8      -5.08    27.44    -3.47    52.97     5.30   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   20.82R    0.37  
Shrewsbury       31   33  -14      -4.36    30.78    -6.22    50.19     5.34   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.23R    1.16  
Chesterfield     31   31  -12      -9.42    13.13    -8.64    51.31     5.40   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.93R    0.66  
Fleetwood_Town   29   30   -3      -7.21    18.50     0.39    50.99     5.68    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   32.07R    0.97  
Crewe            31   28  -20      -2.66    37.41    -1.21    43.38     5.07   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.28R   13.94  
Oldham           29   26  -13      -7.63    16.37    -4.25    45.22     5.54   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.10R    7.77  
Colchester       31   23  -35      -6.21    22.11   -11.17    36.67     5.02   -47.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.86R   75.05  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          30   67  +25      17.36    98.30    12.04    94.17     5.68    32.85    80.03    98.86    99.98    99.15P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             30   59  +20       9.18    86.96     7.40    85.81     5.58    27.08    13.98    81.97    99.38    86.90P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           30   55  +20       6.75    79.23     9.58    81.47     5.58    26.63     4.07    57.13    96.17    67.69P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   49  +15       8.28    84.57    11.75    75.38     6.15    17.46     0.71    18.27    74.16    29.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   49   +7       2.64    62.56    -0.71    73.08     5.59    10.15     0.11     7.77    59.55    21.18P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           29   48  +22       0.70    53.28    10.82    76.32     5.88    29.39     0.95    23.05    81.35    40.30P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            32   48   +6       6.98    79.43     9.96    66.25     5.17     4.69     0.00     0.35    15.51     2.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       30   47   +8       4.83    71.80     6.11    71.14     5.69    11.24     0.07     4.05    47.45    14.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        31   46   +1      -4.66    29.52   -11.29    71.17     5.55     7.97     0.02     3.83    46.72    17.48P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   45  +10       3.28    65.64     7.23    69.02     5.88    10.99     0.04     2.74    34.34     9.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        31   44   +1       3.30    65.42     4.06    62.84     5.38    -1.75     0.00     0.11     5.79     1.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             28   43   +4       4.52    71.31     4.34    67.29     6.18     3.04     0.01     1.57    23.82     5.92P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               30   40   -4       0.36    52.24    -1.41    60.75     5.65    -5.93     0.00     0.05     2.83     0.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County         29   39   -6      -3.18    35.57    -9.39    63.78     6.01    -3.92     0.00     0.24     9.58     2.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton                31   38   -2      -5.12    27.76    -2.95    59.53     5.48    -0.63     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.42P    0.08R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         31   37  -16      -2.81    37.67   -11.71    56.64     5.46   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.09P    0.46R    0.06  
Morecambe            31   36   -5      -4.40    30.62    -1.04    56.48     5.52    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.14P    0.40R    0.05  
Barnet               29   36   -6       1.21    56.64     1.89    56.22     5.78   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.12P    0.68R    0.06  
Stevenage            32   34  -12      -9.02    14.58   -10.35    51.65     5.19   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.91R    0.36  
Newport_County       29   30  -10      -4.89    27.49    -2.66    50.32     5.68   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    6.28R    1.23  
Hartlepool           28   27  -19      -1.49    43.31    -3.90    44.65     5.62   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.01R   11.15  
York                 30   26  -20      -8.10    15.50    -9.44    43.44     5.36   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.62R   14.05  
Yeovil               30   24  -15     -13.53     4.63    -9.85    43.52     5.54   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.68R   12.31  
Dag_&_Red            30   20  -24     -12.61     5.30   -10.48    37.17     5.42   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.81R   60.72  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Altrincham 0 3 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       33   75  +43       7.09    80.87     8.06   100.32     4.72    54.37    85.43   100.00    91.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     33   71  +26      12.20    92.78     5.32    93.18     4.92    32.72    12.60    99.96    36.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          31   59  +37      -2.96    34.63     7.59    86.11     5.22    46.78     1.97    97.78    38.65P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         33   54  +11      -3.49    33.99    -7.11    75.62     4.96    16.54     0.00    53.05    12.23P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   52  +13       4.77    71.63     6.03    75.32     5.40    17.12     0.00    51.18     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        32   51   -6       7.44    81.01    -5.19    68.83     5.06    -8.13     0.00     9.18     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   30   50  +10       5.71    76.07     5.22    73.49     5.48    12.45     0.00    35.72     5.65P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        31   50   +6       2.68    62.23    -0.95    73.01     5.34     9.69     0.00    31.53     4.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          33   49  +12      -2.35    39.66     2.88    67.78     4.86    13.34     0.00     7.59     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           33   49  +12      -4.27    31.18    -0.22    66.99     4.97    11.95     0.00     6.23     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     34   49   +6       1.67    57.62     5.23    65.31     4.67     5.50     0.00     2.33     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     33   47   +7      -2.13    40.38     1.31    66.78     4.92     9.96     0.00     4.91     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        32   42   -7       1.18    56.07    -2.43    60.87     5.14    -7.48     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.09R    0.00  
Southport        32   39  -10       3.93    69.53     3.02    56.06     4.97   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    0.06  
Bromley          31   38   -5       1.03    55.57     5.42    58.38     5.62    -5.75     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.74R    0.02  
Chester          32   38   -8       0.65    53.95     2.52    55.26     5.07   -11.20     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.76R    0.09  
Barrow           32   38  -17       4.99    73.12     1.71    54.04     5.17   -22.12     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.09R    0.22  
Guiseley         31   37  -16       4.84    73.05    -0.12    51.59     5.05   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.92R    0.58  
Altrincham       32   33  -23       2.00    61.24    -2.41    49.06     5.02   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.82R    2.90  
Boreham_Wood     32   32   -6      -4.50    30.14     3.55    49.43     5.05    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.27R    1.51  
Halifax          31   30  -21      -7.67    17.88   -12.31    47.13     5.25   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.22R    6.19  
Welling          31   26  -18      -6.71    19.37    -3.57    41.73     5.03   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.46R   28.39  
Kidderminster    32   23  -19     -13.88     3.84    -8.30    40.66     5.11   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.29R   34.88  
Torquay          29   20  -27     -12.77     4.56   -15.23    42.77     5.81   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.97R   25.15