Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 16 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 February 2016, Arsenal 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 26 53 +19 14.72 97.62 15.26 72.12 4.72 23.03 22.92 48.13 72.57 92.55 99.45 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 51 +27 5.49 76.85 11.94 71.80 4.64 33.56 25.48 50.40 73.94 93.42 99.49 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 51 +18 2.94 65.01 -0.77 73.22 4.51 26.84 34.04 59.42 80.20 95.77 99.78 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 47 +20 -4.71 25.07 -5.93 70.62 4.51 31.53 17.16 39.75 64.85 90.34 99.02 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 41 +9 -3.24 32.81 -3.71 61.61 4.60 15.16 0.30 1.63 5.46 15.40 68.85 0.00 0.00 Southampton 26 40 +10 -1.05 44.41 2.05 59.02 4.66 13.80 0.08 0.46 1.79 6.44 47.21 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 26 40 +9 3.01 66.14 7.09 56.42 4.65 8.93 0.01 0.09 0.46 2.18 24.46 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 38 +2 -2.02 39.27 -4.46 56.51 4.79 5.07 0.01 0.08 0.47 2.06 24.10 0.00R 0.00 Watford 26 36 +1 4.38 72.57 7.11 51.68 4.66 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 4.83 0.03R 0.00 Stoke 26 36 -5 3.15 67.14 -1.28 51.75 4.55 -6.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 4.23 0.04R 0.00 Everton 26 35 +11 -5.80 21.73 3.35 54.15 4.69 15.16 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.86 14.88 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 26 33 +2 -12.73 4.06 -13.49 54.10 4.71 8.93 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.68 13.22 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 32 -5 1.40 58.47 2.31 45.87 4.50 -8.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 1.28R 0.00 West_Brom 26 32 -8 1.85 60.97 -0.30 45.33 4.43 -12.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 1.83R 0.00 Bournemouth 26 28 -14 0.65 54.92 0.15 39.80 4.41 -21.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.46R 0.49 Swansea 26 27 -10 -4.80 25.55 -4.43 40.98 4.50 -13.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 12.01R 0.30 Norwich 26 24 -20 -2.08 39.64 -3.58 35.55 4.39 -28.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.69R 3.50 Newcastle 26 24 -22 -0.53 48.27 -3.30 36.53 4.44 -28.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.13R 3.23 Sunderland 26 23 -18 -2.76 35.44 -1.59 35.06 4.45 -24.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.51R 3.99 Aston_Villa 26 16 -26 -7.01 14.27 -6.43 25.48 3.98 -37.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.00R 88.47Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackburn 3 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 31 60 +28 3.07 64.61 7.34 88.21 5.08 39.15 53.36 80.67 99.82 87.91P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 30 58 +23 5.56 76.19 6.75 85.79 5.34 31.24 28.87 60.96 99.23 74.02P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 31 57 +10 11.78 92.85 5.42 78.42 5.22 11.66 2.57 10.38 85.64 24.60P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 31 56 +22 2.53 61.91 5.77 82.85 5.27 31.05 13.12 38.13 97.43 57.96P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 53 +16 7.11 80.60 10.60 75.26 5.20 18.72 0.80 3.76 71.51 17.08P 0.00 0.00 Derby 31 51 +13 -0.31 48.45 -0.36 76.05 5.33 19.66 1.20 5.35 76.09 25.01P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 31 48 +8 5.16 73.84 6.98 68.32 5.24 8.05 0.03 0.22 18.93 3.46P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 31 48 +1 3.27 65.42 -2.54 70.18 5.28 3.62 0.05 0.43 28.76 5.64P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 31 46 +5 2.38 61.65 2.71 66.53 5.24 5.16 0.00 0.09 12.03 2.35P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 31 42 +4 -1.98 40.67 1.21 62.35 5.23 3.89 0.00 0.01 3.15 0.59P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 31 42 +0 1.45 57.60 1.68 62.00 5.19 -0.17 0.00 0.00 2.22 0.37P 0.02R 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 40 -2 -4.76 28.35 -5.67 60.42 5.22 -2.05 0.00 0.00 1.21 0.24P 0.05R 0.00 Brentford 31 40 -6 -1.37 43.67 -4.32 61.73 5.35 -4.30 0.00 0.00 1.98 0.35P 0.06R 0.00 QPR 31 39 -1 -5.62 25.41 -4.44 60.43 5.29 0.53 0.00 0.00 1.41 0.30P 0.07R 0.00 Reading 31 37 +0 -3.23 34.71 2.64 56.68 5.20 -0.77 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.05P 0.52R 0.01 Leeds_United 31 37 -5 -0.88 46.52 0.67 55.77 5.10 -7.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 0.74R 0.01 Huddersfield 31 35 -2 -3.77 32.48 3.66 53.04 5.26 -5.69 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 2.93R 0.07 Blackburn 30 34 +1 -8.23 15.10 -1.41 56.28 5.39 1.79 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 0.79R 0.02 Fulham 31 32 -6 -6.69 21.24 0.72 51.79 5.33 -7.34 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 5.32R 0.35 MK_Dons 31 31 -17 -3.47 34.13 -5.76 48.80 5.20 -20.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.43R 1.40 Bristol_City 31 31 -21 -2.74 37.43 -8.22 47.23 5.11 -27.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.38R 2.81 Rotherham 31 26 -19 -5.58 24.06 -2.08 39.98 4.85 -29.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.94R 25.57 Charlton 31 25 -30 -5.70 23.00 -12.61 38.92 4.81 -39.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.46R 39.70 Bolton 31 24 -22 -9.60 10.69 -8.73 39.61 5.04 -29.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.27R 30.07League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Blackpool 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 30 63 +17 17.74 98.38 10.84 86.88 5.63 20.02 45.28 68.92 98.93 75.09P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 31 58 +20 9.06 85.64 10.18 82.04 5.48 25.24 15.67 37.37 94.14 50.70P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 30 57 +17 9.77 88.31 8.02 82.06 5.55 21.74 15.52 36.31 93.87 49.93P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 31 56 +21 -0.78 46.12 -0.07 82.89 5.35 30.38 20.48 44.96 96.06 63.38P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 31 52 +22 1.93 58.96 10.59 75.48 5.44 26.39 1.93 7.23 67.94 22.84P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 31 50 +8 2.27 60.44 0.09 72.89 5.53 11.39 0.69 2.80 45.85 13.10P 0.00 0.00 Southend 31 47 +3 6.32 77.24 5.38 66.74 5.34 1.95 0.04 0.16 9.85 1.81P 0.04R 0.00 Bradford 30 47 +3 5.23 74.08 1.76 70.12 5.55 4.97 0.17 0.83 25.49 5.98P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 31 45 +4 -2.70 37.70 -3.79 68.17 5.43 7.83 0.05 0.34 16.76 4.45P 0.03R 0.00 Port_Vale 32 45 -1 3.36 65.96 2.08 63.86 5.11 -1.41 0.00 0.02 3.26 0.60P 0.15R 0.00 Peterborough 30 44 +9 -2.06 40.11 1.55 69.75 5.66 14.80 0.14 0.81 27.11 7.37P 0.01R 0.00 Scunthorpe 30 44 -1 4.95 73.07 2.16 65.07 5.57 -2.41 0.01 0.06 6.31 1.20P 0.20R 0.00 Barnsley 30 42 +5 -2.86 36.81 -0.39 66.33 5.63 8.72 0.02 0.19 11.05 2.82P 0.11R 0.00 Bury 30 40 -12 6.33 78.39 -0.22 58.03 5.50 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.05P 5.09R 0.02 Swindon 31 39 -2 -7.41 19.53 -7.85 61.22 5.44 0.35 0.00 0.00 1.68 0.41P 1.23R 0.00 Rochdale 30 38 -3 -2.44 39.02 -1.69 59.78 5.65 -3.47 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.20P 2.63R 0.01 Doncaster 30 36 -5 -4.43 29.93 -4.06 57.27 5.57 -5.95 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.07P 6.22R 0.04 Blackpool 31 34 -8 -5.08 27.44 -3.47 52.97 5.30 -10.09 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 20.82R 0.37 Shrewsbury 31 33 -14 -4.36 30.78 -6.22 50.19 5.34 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.23R 1.16 Chesterfield 31 31 -12 -9.42 13.13 -8.64 51.31 5.40 -12.53 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 30.93R 0.66 Fleetwood_Town 29 30 -3 -7.21 18.50 0.39 50.99 5.68 -6.25 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 32.07R 0.97 Crewe 31 28 -20 -2.66 37.41 -1.21 43.38 5.07 -28.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.28R 13.94 Oldham 29 26 -13 -7.63 16.37 -4.25 45.22 5.54 -18.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.10R 7.77 Colchester 31 23 -35 -6.21 22.11 -11.17 36.67 5.02 -47.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.86R 75.05League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 30 67 +25 17.36 98.30 12.04 94.17 5.68 32.85 80.03 98.86 99.98 99.15P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 30 59 +20 9.18 86.96 7.40 85.81 5.58 27.08 13.98 81.97 99.38 86.90P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 55 +20 6.75 79.23 9.58 81.47 5.58 26.63 4.07 57.13 96.17 67.69P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 28 49 +15 8.28 84.57 11.75 75.38 6.15 17.46 0.71 18.27 74.16 29.52P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 49 +7 2.64 62.56 -0.71 73.08 5.59 10.15 0.11 7.77 59.55 21.18P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 29 48 +22 0.70 53.28 10.82 76.32 5.88 29.39 0.95 23.05 81.35 40.30P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 32 48 +6 6.98 79.43 9.96 66.25 5.17 4.69 0.00 0.35 15.51 2.97P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 30 47 +8 4.83 71.80 6.11 71.14 5.69 11.24 0.07 4.05 47.45 14.09P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 31 46 +1 -4.66 29.52 -11.29 71.17 5.55 7.97 0.02 3.83 46.72 17.48P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 29 45 +10 3.28 65.64 7.23 69.02 5.88 10.99 0.04 2.74 34.34 9.61P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 44 +1 3.30 65.42 4.06 62.84 5.38 -1.75 0.00 0.11 5.79 1.14P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 28 43 +4 4.52 71.31 4.34 67.29 6.18 3.04 0.01 1.57 23.82 5.92P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 40 -4 0.36 52.24 -1.41 60.75 5.65 -5.93 0.00 0.05 2.83 0.61P 0.03R 0.00 Notts_County 29 39 -6 -3.18 35.57 -9.39 63.78 6.01 -3.92 0.00 0.24 9.58 2.67P 0.02R 0.00 Luton 31 38 -2 -5.12 27.76 -2.95 59.53 5.48 -0.63 0.00 0.01 1.68 0.42P 0.08R 0.01 Crawley_Town 31 37 -16 -2.81 37.67 -11.71 56.64 5.46 -17.53 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.09P 0.46R 0.06 Morecambe 31 36 -5 -4.40 30.62 -1.04 56.48 5.52 -5.47 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.14P 0.40R 0.05 Barnet 29 36 -6 1.21 56.64 1.89 56.22 5.78 -10.77 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.12P 0.68R 0.06 Stevenage 32 34 -12 -9.02 14.58 -10.35 51.65 5.19 -14.55 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 2.91R 0.36 Newport_County 29 30 -10 -4.89 27.49 -2.66 50.32 5.68 -14.42 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 6.28R 1.23 Hartlepool 28 27 -19 -1.49 43.31 -3.90 44.65 5.62 -29.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.01R 11.15 York 30 26 -20 -8.10 15.50 -9.44 43.44 5.36 -26.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.62R 14.05 Yeovil 30 24 -15 -13.53 4.63 -9.85 43.52 5.54 -18.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.68R 12.31 Dag_&_Red 30 20 -24 -12.61 5.30 -10.48 37.17 5.42 -31.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.81R 60.72National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 February 2016, Altrincham 0 3 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 33 75 +43 7.09 80.87 8.06 100.32 4.72 54.37 85.43 100.00 91.08P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 33 71 +26 12.20 92.78 5.32 93.18 4.92 32.72 12.60 99.96 36.02P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 59 +37 -2.96 34.63 7.59 86.11 5.22 46.78 1.97 97.78 38.65P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 33 54 +11 -3.49 33.99 -7.11 75.62 4.96 16.54 0.00 53.05 12.23P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 52 +13 4.77 71.63 6.03 75.32 5.40 17.12 0.00 51.18 7.46P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 32 51 -6 7.44 81.01 -5.19 68.83 5.06 -8.13 0.00 9.18 1.02P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 50 +10 5.71 76.07 5.22 73.49 5.48 12.45 0.00 35.72 5.65P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 31 50 +6 2.68 62.23 -0.95 73.01 5.34 9.69 0.00 31.53 4.44P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 49 +12 -2.35 39.66 2.88 67.78 4.86 13.34 0.00 7.59 1.30P 0.00 0.00 Woking 33 49 +12 -4.27 31.18 -0.22 66.99 4.97 11.95 0.00 6.23 1.05P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 49 +6 1.67 57.62 5.23 65.31 4.67 5.50 0.00 2.33 0.29P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 33 47 +7 -2.13 40.38 1.31 66.78 4.92 9.96 0.00 4.91 0.76P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 42 -7 1.18 56.07 -2.43 60.87 5.14 -7.48 0.00 0.30 0.04P 0.09R 0.00 Southport 32 39 -10 3.93 69.53 3.02 56.06 4.97 -13.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.37R 0.06 Bromley 31 38 -5 1.03 55.57 5.42 58.38 5.62 -5.75 0.00 0.20 0.02P 0.74R 0.02 Chester 32 38 -8 0.65 53.95 2.52 55.26 5.07 -11.20 0.00 0.02 0.00 1.76R 0.09 Barrow 32 38 -17 4.99 73.12 1.71 54.04 5.17 -22.12 0.00 0.01 0.00 4.09R 0.22 Guiseley 31 37 -16 4.84 73.05 -0.12 51.59 5.05 -24.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.92R 0.58 Altrincham 32 33 -23 2.00 61.24 -2.41 49.06 5.02 -27.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.82R 2.90 Boreham_Wood 32 32 -6 -4.50 30.14 3.55 49.43 5.05 -8.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.27R 1.51 Halifax 31 30 -21 -7.67 17.88 -12.31 47.13 5.25 -27.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.22R 6.19 Welling 31 26 -18 -6.71 19.37 -3.57 41.73 5.03 -25.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.46R 28.39 Kidderminster 32 23 -19 -13.88 3.84 -8.30 40.66 5.11 -21.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.29R 34.88 Torquay 29 20 -27 -12.77 4.56 -15.23 42.77 5.81 -28.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.97R 25.15