Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 15 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 February 2016, Arsenal 2 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 26 53 +19 14.63 97.55 15.13 72.14 4.72 23.08 23.10 48.25 72.33 92.48 99.37 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 51 +27 5.50 76.85 11.87 71.83 4.64 33.60 25.60 50.20 74.09 93.30 99.50 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 51 +18 2.89 64.46 -0.86 73.26 4.46 26.94 34.06 59.83 80.38 95.92 99.74 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 47 +20 -4.73 24.98 -5.97 70.61 4.49 31.52 16.80 39.28 64.66 90.05 98.97 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 41 +9 -3.22 33.00 -3.70 61.65 4.61 15.21 0.35 1.74 5.49 15.51 69.06 0.00 0.00 Southampton 26 40 +10 -1.16 43.85 1.86 59.09 4.65 13.89 0.06 0.47 1.84 6.59 47.62 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 26 40 +9 3.08 66.24 7.24 56.37 4.65 8.92 0.02 0.10 0.50 2.25 23.93 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 38 +2 -2.04 39.33 -4.50 56.57 4.78 5.15 0.00 0.08 0.47 2.22 24.62 0.00 0.00 Watford 26 36 +1 4.36 72.56 7.10 51.68 4.64 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 4.73 0.03R 0.00 Stoke 26 36 -5 3.35 68.06 -1.02 51.66 4.50 -6.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 4.06 0.03R 0.00 Everton 26 35 +11 -5.64 22.61 3.64 54.07 4.73 15.04 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.81 14.81 0.01R 0.00 Chelsea 26 33 +2 -12.69 4.10 -13.38 54.08 4.71 8.85 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.64 13.12 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 32 -5 1.38 58.59 2.30 45.88 4.51 -8.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 1.26R 0.00 West_Brom 26 32 -8 1.81 61.21 -0.41 45.33 4.43 -12.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 1.75R 0.01 Bournemouth 26 28 -14 0.61 54.53 0.12 39.77 4.44 -21.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 19.82R 0.47 Swansea 26 27 -10 -4.84 25.38 -4.51 40.97 4.51 -13.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.13R 0.27 Norwich 26 24 -20 -2.10 39.80 -3.58 35.58 4.39 -28.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.00R 3.57 Newcastle 26 24 -22 -0.53 48.44 -3.37 36.51 4.44 -28.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.06R 3.45 Sunderland 26 23 -18 -2.71 35.71 -1.51 35.04 4.42 -24.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.94R 4.21 Aston_Villa 26 16 -26 -7.08 14.27 -6.46 25.49 4.01 -37.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.95R 88.02Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 February 2016, Leeds_United 0 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 30 59 +28 3.64 67.36 7.58 89.21 5.30 40.03 58.56 83.78 99.87 89.65P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 30 58 +23 5.66 76.31 6.92 85.76 5.37 31.22 25.72 59.69 99.27 73.07P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 31 56 +22 2.58 62.06 5.86 82.86 5.29 31.07 11.42 37.35 97.50 57.69P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 30 56 +10 11.80 93.03 4.98 78.10 5.39 10.79 2.51 9.93 83.89 23.79P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 53 +16 7.07 80.42 10.59 75.33 5.23 18.81 0.76 3.76 72.39 17.31P 0.00 0.00 Derby 31 51 +13 -0.28 48.44 -0.30 76.10 5.31 19.75 0.97 4.86 76.90 24.94P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 31 48 +8 5.12 73.69 6.97 68.25 5.22 7.93 0.01 0.20 18.62 3.40P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 31 48 +1 3.41 66.17 -2.33 70.07 5.24 3.43 0.05 0.32 28.21 5.65P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 31 46 +5 2.22 61.10 2.54 66.60 5.24 5.26 0.01 0.09 12.50 2.45P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 31 42 +4 -1.74 42.12 1.49 62.32 5.22 3.83 0.00 0.01 3.00 0.59P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 31 42 +0 1.61 58.60 1.95 61.91 5.20 -0.30 0.00 0.00 2.24 0.35P 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 40 -2 -4.73 28.76 -5.59 60.46 5.28 -2.01 0.00 0.00 1.41 0.26P 0.08R 0.00 Brentford 31 40 -6 -1.47 43.49 -4.41 61.72 5.36 -4.35 0.00 0.00 2.04 0.37P 0.06R 0.00 QPR 31 39 -1 -5.66 25.33 -4.43 60.45 5.31 0.54 0.00 0.00 1.55 0.36P 0.09R 0.00 Reading 31 37 +0 -3.36 34.30 2.44 56.81 5.21 -0.64 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 0.53R 0.01 Leeds_United 31 37 -5 -0.78 46.64 0.81 55.75 5.13 -7.17 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.87R 0.02 Huddersfield 31 35 -2 -4.04 31.44 3.33 53.18 5.28 -5.56 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 2.77R 0.10 Fulham 30 32 -3 -6.53 21.39 1.78 53.24 5.54 -4.14 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 3.50R 0.16 Blackburn 29 31 -2 -8.63 13.42 -2.65 54.50 5.60 -1.40 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 2.15R 0.08 MK_Dons 31 31 -17 -3.60 33.48 -5.95 48.83 5.23 -20.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.54R 1.36 Bristol_City 31 31 -21 -2.67 37.84 -8.07 47.16 5.11 -27.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.70R 2.80 Rotherham 31 26 -19 -5.53 24.27 -1.98 39.98 4.89 -29.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.75R 25.73 Charlton 31 25 -30 -5.77 22.67 -12.70 38.98 4.85 -39.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.13R 39.33 Bolton 31 24 -22 -9.65 10.87 -8.84 39.55 5.02 -29.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.83R 30.40League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2016, Blackpool 2 3 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 30 63 +17 17.63 98.37 10.60 87.08 5.60 20.31 46.30 69.52 98.77 75.45P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 31 58 +20 9.03 85.69 10.10 81.98 5.47 25.17 15.09 35.74 93.02 48.54P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 30 57 +17 9.86 88.54 8.12 82.05 5.61 21.75 15.66 35.41 92.51 48.84P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 31 56 +21 -0.49 47.11 0.35 82.74 5.34 30.15 18.90 43.42 94.93 62.03P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 31 52 +22 1.98 59.12 10.69 75.35 5.41 26.25 1.64 6.46 64.20 20.92P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 30 50 +10 2.80 62.95 0.80 75.37 5.71 15.08 1.94 6.77 60.19 20.44P 0.00 0.00 Southend 30 47 +5 6.66 78.97 5.94 68.28 5.54 4.22 0.05 0.37 14.47 3.02P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 30 45 +5 -1.43 43.26 -3.00 70.05 5.61 9.59 0.17 0.84 24.28 6.78P 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 32 45 -1 3.42 66.20 2.12 63.80 5.11 -1.49 0.00 0.01 2.62 0.46P 0.15R 0.00 Peterborough 30 44 +9 -2.07 40.43 1.46 69.79 5.66 14.83 0.13 0.77 24.26 6.62P 0.02R 0.00 Bradford 29 44 +1 4.24 70.50 0.73 68.36 5.76 2.83 0.09 0.47 15.36 3.42P 0.06R 0.00 Barnsley 30 42 +5 -2.54 38.45 0.07 66.30 5.64 8.65 0.02 0.18 9.55 2.25P 0.12R 0.00 Scunthorpe 29 41 -3 3.79 68.59 0.94 62.60 5.73 -5.70 0.00 0.03 2.66 0.50P 0.95R 0.00 Swindon 31 39 -2 -7.53 18.81 -8.00 61.28 5.44 0.47 0.00 0.00 1.27 0.33P 1.23R 0.00 Rochdale 29 37 -3 -1.91 41.13 -1.53 60.88 5.82 -2.29 0.00 0.01 1.51 0.32P 2.06R 0.01 Bury 29 37 -13 5.01 74.06 -0.54 55.77 5.73 -20.26 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 12.04R 0.15 Doncaster 30 36 -5 -4.18 30.58 -3.73 57.15 5.56 -6.15 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.05P 6.40R 0.02 Blackpool 30 33 -8 -4.80 28.48 -3.47 53.71 5.57 -9.64 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 18.35R 0.36 Shrewsbury 31 33 -14 -4.28 30.91 -6.11 50.19 5.29 -19.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 41.19R 1.10 Fleetwood_Town 29 30 -3 -7.16 18.22 0.54 50.83 5.69 -6.52 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 33.18R 0.98 Chesterfield 30 30 -12 -8.91 13.88 -8.38 52.15 5.62 -11.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 26.48R 0.80 Crewe 30 27 -20 -2.60 37.84 -1.74 43.21 5.26 -29.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.98R 15.65 Oldham 28 25 -13 -7.56 16.11 -4.54 45.24 5.81 -19.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.37R 8.40 Colchester 30 22 -35 -6.08 21.95 -11.43 36.80 5.26 -47.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.37R 72.53League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 4 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 29 64 +24 16.04 97.64 11.51 92.26 5.90 31.43 68.50 96.53 99.95 97.40P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 30 59 +20 9.13 86.72 7.34 85.87 5.57 27.13 17.97 80.42 99.37 85.75P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 29 55 +21 7.82 83.23 10.10 83.11 5.80 28.06 10.42 65.34 97.44 74.13P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 49 +7 2.75 62.93 -0.61 73.14 5.59 10.26 0.20 6.84 59.09 20.24P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 29 48 +22 0.83 54.09 10.97 76.27 5.83 29.30 1.25 20.29 80.84 38.76P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 27 48 +15 8.68 86.11 11.84 75.97 6.38 17.80 1.44 19.46 75.56 30.90P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 32 48 +6 6.72 78.48 9.59 66.31 5.14 4.80 0.00 0.35 15.36 3.08P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 30 47 +8 4.93 72.17 6.26 71.07 5.67 11.16 0.06 3.16 46.02 12.85P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 31 46 +1 -4.78 29.36 -11.46 71.26 5.50 8.09 0.05 3.32 46.27 16.88P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 29 45 +10 3.45 66.41 7.51 69.01 5.88 10.97 0.06 2.23 33.38 8.96P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 44 +1 3.22 65.32 3.95 62.84 5.39 -1.73 0.00 0.10 5.65 1.11P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 27 42 +4 4.69 72.19 4.09 67.48 6.40 2.64 0.03 1.68 24.91 6.10P 0.00R 0.00 Exeter 29 40 -2 1.09 55.89 -0.34 62.77 5.89 -2.97 0.00 0.13 6.35 1.37P 0.02R 0.00 Luton 31 38 -2 -5.03 28.08 -2.79 59.46 5.42 -0.73 0.00 0.01 1.54 0.39P 0.06R 0.00 Crawley_Town 31 37 -16 -2.81 37.88 -11.69 56.67 5.46 -17.51 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.08P 0.43R 0.05 Morecambe 31 36 -5 -4.37 30.82 -0.97 56.44 5.51 -5.52 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.08P 0.36R 0.03 Barnet 29 36 -6 1.23 56.80 1.92 56.21 5.80 -10.75 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.12P 0.64R 0.07 Notts_County 28 36 -7 -4.38 30.23 -9.76 62.44 6.20 -4.48 0.00 0.15 6.76 1.78P 0.08R 0.01 Stevenage 32 34 -12 -8.89 15.31 -10.15 51.57 5.21 -14.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 2.49R 0.35 Newport_County 29 30 -10 -4.98 27.12 -2.78 50.33 5.72 -14.45 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 5.25R 0.98 Hartlepool 27 27 -18 -0.57 48.12 -3.73 45.73 5.84 -29.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.59R 7.87 Yeovil 30 24 -15 -13.57 4.57 -9.86 43.45 5.62 -18.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.07R 11.43 York 29 23 -22 -9.06 12.08 -10.40 41.22 5.56 -29.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.41R 24.01 Dag_&_Red 30 20 -24 -12.64 5.19 -10.54 37.28 5.40 -31.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.60R 55.20National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2016, Aldershot 0 0 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 32 72 +41 6.50 78.79 7.61 99.55 4.89 53.73 81.73 100.00 88.74P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 33 71 +26 12.13 92.47 5.30 93.20 4.95 32.74 15.74 99.92 38.00P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 59 +37 -2.94 34.63 7.63 86.09 5.21 46.71 2.51 97.28 38.75P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 33 54 +11 -3.25 34.88 -6.77 75.53 4.95 16.38 0.00 47.31 10.92P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 52 +13 4.57 70.42 5.79 75.36 5.41 17.18 0.00 46.52 6.84P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 29 50 +12 6.65 80.05 6.59 75.64 5.71 15.56 0.02 47.41 7.68P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 30 50 +7 3.67 66.82 -0.60 74.67 5.58 11.22 0.00 39.58 5.75P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 49 +12 -2.57 38.42 2.60 67.83 4.86 13.44 0.00 6.29 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Woking 33 49 +12 -4.12 31.64 0.04 66.83 4.95 11.71 0.00 4.65 0.77P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 49 +6 1.77 58.29 5.43 65.35 4.67 5.56 0.00 1.97 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 31 48 -7 6.13 76.87 -5.65 66.95 5.30 -9.59 0.00 4.58 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 33 47 +7 -2.33 39.42 0.99 66.83 4.95 10.02 0.00 4.14 0.71P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 42 -7 1.29 56.96 -2.28 60.82 5.08 -7.52 0.00 0.18 0.01P 0.07R 0.00 Southport 32 39 -10 3.93 69.37 3.04 56.10 4.98 -13.11 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.33R 0.04 Bromley 31 38 -5 1.07 55.74 5.51 58.31 5.59 -5.84 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.69R 0.03 Barrow 32 38 -17 4.87 72.36 1.63 54.14 5.14 -22.03 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.72R 0.20 Guiseley 31 37 -16 4.78 72.87 -0.23 51.60 5.03 -24.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.34R 0.56 Chester 31 35 -11 0.02 51.05 1.11 53.25 5.23 -14.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.02R 0.43 Altrincham 31 33 -20 2.31 62.67 -1.18 50.96 5.26 -24.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.96R 1.45 Halifax 31 30 -21 -7.72 17.84 -12.37 47.06 5.21 -27.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.89R 6.25 Boreham_Wood 31 29 -8 -5.42 25.67 2.60 46.85 5.21 -11.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.13R 5.15 Welling 31 26 -18 -6.70 19.80 -3.56 41.73 5.07 -25.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.48R 29.36 Kidderminster 31 23 -17 -13.59 4.04 -7.99 41.24 5.21 -20.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.32R 31.36 Torquay 29 20 -27 -12.79 4.56 -15.23 42.85 5.81 -27.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.05R 25.17