Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2016, Bournemouth 1 3 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        25   53  +20      15.44    98.31    15.31    73.07     4.89    23.41    30.02    57.28    80.09    94.86    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   48  +26       3.89    70.24    10.98    69.54     4.87    31.54    13.32    32.10    56.70    85.59    98.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   48  +17       1.87    59.95    -0.92    72.02     4.74    26.52    25.16    49.97    74.00    93.15    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   47  +21      -3.29    30.87    -5.05    72.59     4.75    33.41    31.15    58.30    80.19    94.75    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   41   +9      -3.30    32.74    -3.83    61.63     4.61    15.16     0.27     1.70     5.90    17.84    71.23     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   40  +10      -1.26    43.47     1.76    59.07     4.67    13.86     0.06     0.48     2.02     7.54    49.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   40   +9       3.08    66.56     7.24    56.40     4.66     8.95     0.02     0.12     0.66     2.89    26.23     0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   36   +1       4.37    72.50     7.14    51.65     4.67    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     5.30     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            26   36   -5       3.22    67.52    -1.19    51.75     4.52    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     4.73     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          26   35  +11      -5.63    22.67     3.64    54.04     4.71    15.01     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.05    15.89     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        25   35   -4      -1.52    41.96    -7.10    54.62     4.97    -1.34     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.21    15.51     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          26   33   +2     -12.68     4.14   -13.36    54.00     4.70     8.75     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.74    13.78     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   32   -5       1.40    58.52     2.29    45.93     4.50    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31     1.22R    0.00  
West_Brom        26   32   -8       1.90    61.17    -0.25    45.39     4.43   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     1.69R    0.01  
Bournemouth      26   28  -14       0.56    54.19    -0.01    39.83     4.43   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.97R    0.98  
Swansea          26   27  -10      -4.91    25.40    -4.63    40.98     4.49   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.22R    0.51  
Norwich          26   24  -20      -2.00    40.13    -3.46    35.53     4.35   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.03R    6.60  
Newcastle        26   24  -22      -0.65    47.76    -3.46    36.56     4.44   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.10R    5.49  
Sunderland       26   23  -18      -2.68    35.93    -1.39    35.03     4.45   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.60R    7.72  
Aston_Villa      25   16  -20      -7.49    12.48    -3.71    27.09     4.32   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.11R   78.69  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2016, Blackburn 0 2 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            30   59  +28       3.67    67.21     7.59    89.23     5.28    40.08    56.24    82.97    99.85    89.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   57  +23       6.09    78.70     6.94    86.56     5.57    31.81    29.37    64.00    99.32    75.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         31   56  +22       2.33    60.72     5.49    82.97     5.23    31.23    10.99    35.81    97.60    57.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        30   56  +10      11.97    93.36     5.25    78.02     5.35    10.67     2.01     8.93    83.38    22.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       31   53  +16       7.06    80.64    10.56    75.38     5.23    18.83     0.61     3.37    72.71    16.93P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           31   51  +13      -0.04    49.73     0.04    75.98     5.32    19.59     0.72     4.34    76.02    24.24P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      31   48   +8       5.04    73.28     6.88    68.31     5.24     8.02     0.03     0.18    19.25     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         31   48   +1       3.47    66.42    -2.26    70.06     5.28     3.44     0.04     0.31    28.28     5.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         31   46   +5       2.23    61.10     2.55    66.58     5.24     5.21     0.00     0.08    12.49     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   31   42   +4      -1.87    41.27     1.34    62.33     5.25     3.85     0.00     0.01     3.15     0.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         31   42   +0       1.35    57.09     1.59    62.04     5.19    -0.13     0.00     0.00     2.52     0.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   31   40   -2      -4.71    28.68    -5.55    60.45     5.23    -1.99     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.27P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       31   40   -6      -1.36    43.95    -4.30    61.69     5.40    -4.36     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.41P    0.05R    0.00  
QPR             31   39   -1      -5.57    25.73    -4.30    60.39     5.32     0.46     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.34P    0.10R    0.00  
Reading         31   37   +0      -3.31    34.42     2.56    56.75     5.16    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.54R    0.01  
Leeds_United    30   36   -5      -0.75    46.66     0.50    55.71     5.27    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.00R    0.04  
Huddersfield    31   35   -2      -3.77    32.30     3.72    53.09     5.26    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.90R    0.08  
Fulham          30   32   -3      -6.54    21.35     1.75    53.29     5.53    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    3.41R    0.16  
Blackburn       29   31   -2      -8.51    13.63    -2.45    54.43     5.64    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    2.29R    0.11  
MK_Dons         31   31  -17      -3.74    32.80    -6.14    48.91     5.21   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.12R    1.29  
Bristol_City    31   31  -21      -2.83    37.41    -8.33    47.30     5.15   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.11R    2.79  
Rotherham       31   26  -19      -5.40    24.77    -1.78    39.91     4.85   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.61R   26.03  
Charlton        31   25  -30      -5.59    23.75   -12.41    38.86     4.87   -39.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.63R   40.70  
Bolton          31   24  -22      -9.91     9.91    -9.23    39.70     5.00   -29.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.14R   28.80  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2016, Blackpool 2 3 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    30   63  +17      17.59    98.21    10.60    87.04     5.60    20.24    46.10    69.15    98.75    74.95P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       31   58  +20       8.97    85.51    10.00    82.04     5.47    25.26    15.43    36.22    93.07    49.26P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   57  +17       9.79    88.38     8.08    82.12     5.54    21.84    15.61    35.59    92.92    49.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            31   56  +21      -0.54    46.98     0.25    82.72     5.34    30.13    18.83    43.04    94.77    61.62P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         31   52  +22       1.87    58.64    10.56    75.41     5.43    26.30     1.73     6.71    64.29    21.24P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         30   50  +10       2.81    62.75     0.83    75.27     5.75    14.94     1.83     6.63    59.65    19.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         30   47   +5       6.76    79.41     6.09    68.24     5.55     4.19     0.08     0.40    14.37     3.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        30   45   +5      -1.41    43.16    -2.94    70.04     5.61     9.55     0.16     0.83    24.16     6.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale        32   45   -1       3.47    66.38     2.19    63.76     5.14    -1.58     0.00     0.01     2.69     0.51P    0.17R    0.00  
Peterborough     30   44   +9      -2.14    40.06     1.39    69.88     5.66    14.95     0.13     0.77    25.05     6.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford         29   44   +1       4.42    71.26     0.95    68.33     5.73     2.75     0.07     0.40    14.95     3.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         30   42   +5      -2.65    38.15    -0.10    66.31     5.62     8.66     0.03     0.19     9.33     2.35P    0.11R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       29   41   -3       3.85    68.76     1.00    62.57     5.76    -5.77     0.01     0.04     2.76     0.47P    0.97R    0.00  
Swindon          31   39   -2      -7.40    19.57    -7.85    61.23     5.47     0.42     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.31P    1.33R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   37   -3      -1.81    41.83    -1.32    60.82     5.86    -2.43     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.28P    2.14R    0.01  
Bury             29   37  -13       4.98    73.70    -0.57    55.80     5.70   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   11.85R    0.10  
Doncaster        30   36   -5      -4.28    30.26    -3.85    57.17     5.59    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    6.29R    0.05  
Blackpool        30   33   -8      -4.70    29.10    -3.37    53.66     5.58    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.73R    0.36  
Shrewsbury       31   33  -14      -4.26    31.20    -5.98    50.20     5.32   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.10R    1.14  
Fleetwood_Town   29   30   -3      -7.10    18.64     0.56    50.78     5.67    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.74R    1.11  
Chesterfield     30   30  -12      -8.99    13.67    -8.51    52.22     5.63   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   26.06R    0.81  
Crewe            30   27  -20      -2.65    37.59    -1.86    43.25     5.26   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.05R   15.44  
Oldham           28   25  -13      -7.64    15.88    -4.68    45.33     5.77   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.02R    8.20  
Colchester       30   22  -35      -6.13    21.67   -11.48    36.84     5.23   -47.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.34R   72.78  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 4 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          29   64  +24      15.96    97.64    11.37    92.31     5.90    31.49    69.00    96.49    99.97    97.37P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             30   59  +20       9.25    86.91     7.50    85.81     5.57    27.06    17.49    80.06    99.34    85.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   55  +21       7.88    83.28    10.22    83.04     5.83    27.95    10.31    64.66    97.39    73.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   49   +7       2.58    62.12    -0.82    73.19     5.60    10.32     0.22     7.07    59.39    20.72P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           29   48  +22       0.79    53.78    10.98    76.27     5.88    29.31     1.25    20.49    80.62    38.79P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   27   48  +15       8.68    85.90    11.84    76.03     6.43    17.86     1.49    19.99    75.48    31.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            32   48   +6       7.01    79.81    10.04    66.20     5.14     4.60     0.00     0.29    15.04     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       30   47   +8       4.71    71.32     5.97    71.14     5.68    11.23     0.10     3.35    46.74    13.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        31   46   +1      -4.54    30.06   -11.05    71.15     5.49     7.93     0.05     3.19    45.52    16.18P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   45  +10       3.50    66.58     7.57    68.94     5.89    10.86     0.05     2.31    33.30     8.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        31   44   +1       3.36    65.58     4.18    62.77     5.37    -1.88     0.00     0.09     5.53     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             27   42   +4       4.74    72.51     4.14    67.51     6.40     2.73     0.04     1.70    25.03     6.23P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               29   40   -2       0.91    54.84    -0.67    62.83     5.91    -2.88     0.00     0.15     6.64     1.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                31   38   -2      -5.16    27.25    -2.96    59.50     5.47    -0.70     0.00     0.01     1.64     0.41P    0.07R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         31   37  -16      -2.65    38.45   -11.48    56.53     5.45   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.42R    0.05  
Morecambe            31   36   -5      -4.33    30.87    -0.93    56.45     5.53    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    0.40R    0.06  
Barnet               29   36   -6       1.21    56.58     1.93    56.17     5.75   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.06P    0.61R    0.05  
Notts_County         28   36   -7      -4.43    29.96    -9.87    62.50     6.20    -4.38     0.00     0.15     6.97     1.92P    0.06R    0.01  
Stevenage            32   34  -12      -8.90    15.12   -10.14    51.56     5.22   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.60R    0.35  
Newport_County       29   30  -10      -5.00    27.05    -2.83    50.43     5.72   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    5.15R    0.95  
Hartlepool           27   27  -18      -0.73    47.39    -4.03    45.84     5.82   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   23.76R    7.37  
Yeovil               30   24  -15     -13.48     4.86    -9.76    43.46     5.59   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.54R   11.57  
York                 29   23  -22      -9.21    11.87   -10.62    41.32     5.57   -29.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.27R   23.77  
Dag_&_Red            30   20  -24     -12.65     5.13   -10.59    37.25     5.40   -31.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.11R   55.83  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 February 2016, Aldershot 0 0 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       32   72  +41       6.40    78.61     7.49    99.62     4.89    53.80    82.56   100.00    89.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     33   71  +26      12.25    92.70     5.49    93.09     4.94    32.57    14.81    99.90    37.16P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          31   59  +37      -3.07    34.18     7.40    86.12     5.22    46.81     2.58    97.17    38.99P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         33   54  +11      -3.45    33.92    -7.10    75.62     4.95    16.54     0.01    47.77    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   52  +13       4.65    71.08     5.89    75.38     5.42    17.19     0.01    46.98     6.92P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   29   50  +12       6.68    80.11     6.62    75.67     5.67    15.58     0.02    47.54     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        30   50   +7       3.68    66.88    -0.54    74.57     5.57    11.03     0.01    38.94     5.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          33   49  +12      -2.46    38.90     2.78    67.82     4.82    13.39     0.00     6.20     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           33   49  +12      -4.12    31.57     0.03    66.84     4.95    11.73     0.00     4.73     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     34   49   +6       1.61    57.57     5.17    65.42     4.69     5.68     0.00     1.95     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        31   48   -7       6.19    77.45    -5.53    66.91     5.27    -9.64     0.00     4.50     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     33   47   +7      -2.02    40.92     1.44    66.77     4.93     9.93     0.00     3.98     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        32   42   -7       1.33    56.85    -2.23    60.85     5.12    -7.52     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Southport        32   39  -10       3.84    68.91     2.92    56.10     4.96   -13.12     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.17R    0.04  
Bromley          31   38   -5       0.89    54.88     5.19    58.45     5.60    -5.63     0.00     0.15     0.01P    0.68R    0.03  
Barrow           32   38  -17       4.80    72.49     1.40    54.19     5.18   -21.91     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.67R    0.21  
Guiseley         31   37  -16       4.87    73.34    -0.07    51.64     5.00   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.05R    0.51  
Chester          31   35  -11      -0.01    50.88     1.07    53.23     5.25   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.99R    0.41  
Altrincham       31   33  -20       2.41    63.41    -0.98    50.92     5.27   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.19R    1.46  
Halifax          31   30  -21      -7.82    17.55   -12.52    47.07     5.24   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.27R    6.42  
Boreham_Wood     31   29   -8      -5.41    25.72     2.64    46.82     5.15   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.20R    5.24  
Welling          31   26  -18      -6.81    18.98    -3.69    41.83     5.03   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.59R   27.95  
Kidderminster    31   23  -17     -13.47     4.11    -7.83    41.14     5.20   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.92R   31.77  
Torquay          29   20  -27     -12.69     4.47   -15.04    42.68     5.81   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.18R   25.96