Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 12 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 February 2016, Bournemouth 0 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 25 53 +20 15.49 98.46 15.35 73.12 4.90 23.47 30.02 56.55 78.53 92.97 99.52 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 48 +26 3.88 70.04 10.97 69.58 4.87 31.58 13.03 31.58 55.16 81.97 97.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 48 +17 1.78 59.23 -1.04 72.09 4.70 26.64 25.04 49.52 72.53 90.87 99.39 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 47 +21 -3.22 31.30 -4.89 72.58 4.75 33.34 30.62 57.09 78.44 93.06 99.53 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 41 +10 -1.84 39.81 -2.65 63.74 4.83 17.22 1.20 4.67 12.50 29.21 81.57 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 25 39 +9 3.66 69.49 7.51 57.12 4.88 9.48 0.03 0.24 0.96 3.56 29.65 0.00 0.00 Southampton 25 37 +9 -2.47 36.64 1.36 57.51 4.88 12.95 0.03 0.20 1.06 3.99 34.81 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 35 +12 -4.29 28.16 4.55 56.27 4.95 17.28 0.02 0.12 0.59 2.87 28.51 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 25 35 -4 -1.59 41.71 -7.21 54.63 4.98 -1.38 0.01 0.03 0.17 1.02 14.48 0.02R 0.00 Watford 25 33 +0 3.08 67.08 6.57 49.67 4.84 -1.70 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 2.40 0.18R 0.00 Stoke 25 33 -7 2.25 63.09 -2.23 49.91 4.75 -8.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 2.36 0.20R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 25 32 -4 2.40 64.14 2.74 47.58 4.72 -7.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.90 0.61R 0.00 Chelsea 25 30 -2 -12.47 4.13 -14.39 52.83 4.91 5.50 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.36 8.78 0.06R 0.00 West_Brom 25 29 -9 0.22 52.23 -1.29 42.91 4.60 -15.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 6.10R 0.09 Bournemouth 25 28 -12 1.24 58.01 0.76 41.45 4.71 -19.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 11.77R 0.36 Swansea 25 27 -9 -3.94 29.54 -4.11 42.18 4.71 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 8.36R 0.22 Newcastle 25 24 -18 -0.79 46.75 -2.34 37.45 4.63 -25.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.36R 3.58 Norwich 25 23 -20 -1.61 42.09 -3.47 35.48 4.59 -29.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.83R 6.81 Sunderland 25 20 -19 -4.33 26.53 -2.34 32.66 4.59 -26.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.50R 16.35 Aston_Villa 25 16 -20 -7.54 12.18 -3.86 27.08 4.29 -30.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.02R 72.59Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2016, MK_Dons 1 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 29 57 +23 6.14 78.88 6.92 86.47 5.58 31.71 32.92 62.83 99.05 74.74P 0.00 0.00 Hull 29 56 +26 2.97 64.44 6.85 87.54 5.52 37.97 44.78 73.08 99.39 82.76P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 30 55 +22 2.86 63.45 5.62 83.57 5.46 31.67 16.59 41.67 97.42 60.11P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 29 53 +9 10.88 91.82 5.00 76.98 5.56 10.48 2.03 7.52 74.48 19.97P 0.00 0.00 Derby 30 51 +14 0.97 54.41 0.48 78.51 5.44 22.32 3.06 11.50 84.99 32.63P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 30 50 +12 6.94 80.38 8.74 73.36 5.42 14.34 0.36 1.86 52.87 11.49P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 30 48 +2 4.71 72.06 -1.47 71.79 5.47 4.99 0.18 0.99 37.80 7.91P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 30 47 +8 5.79 76.64 7.44 68.83 5.46 8.21 0.04 0.33 20.52 3.77P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 30 45 +5 2.57 63.13 2.51 67.30 5.47 5.66 0.03 0.17 14.38 2.79P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 42 +6 -0.94 45.60 2.74 64.58 5.46 7.09 0.01 0.03 6.58 1.34P 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 30 40 -1 -3.52 33.61 -4.81 62.27 5.44 -0.39 0.00 0.01 2.67 0.57P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 30 40 -2 -1.52 43.05 -2.68 63.35 5.56 0.12 0.00 0.01 4.42 0.74P 0.01R 0.00 QPR 30 39 +1 -5.03 27.75 -3.51 62.84 5.59 4.10 0.00 0.01 3.94 0.88P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 30 39 -1 -0.08 50.11 0.91 59.86 5.39 -1.85 0.00 0.00 0.90 0.16P 0.05R 0.00 Reading 30 36 +0 -3.12 35.36 2.43 56.87 5.40 -1.06 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.02P 0.41R 0.01 Leeds_United 30 36 -5 -0.74 46.92 0.57 55.78 5.32 -7.57 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.71R 0.01 Huddersfield 30 32 -4 -5.04 26.71 2.35 50.65 5.43 -8.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 6.24R 0.45 Blackburn 28 31 +0 -8.08 14.58 -1.68 56.00 5.79 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.08P 0.92R 0.04 Fulham 29 29 -5 -7.61 17.12 0.65 50.65 5.71 -7.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.54R 0.76 MK_Dons 30 28 -18 -5.23 25.89 -6.84 46.22 5.36 -23.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.36R 4.17 Bristol_City 30 28 -22 -4.03 30.93 -8.63 45.08 5.32 -29.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.63R 6.63 Rotherham 30 25 -19 -5.38 24.75 -1.98 40.15 5.10 -29.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.77R 25.22 Bolton 30 24 -21 -9.01 12.21 -8.98 40.51 5.16 -28.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.17R 23.62 Charlton 30 24 -30 -5.50 23.50 -12.61 39.01 5.03 -40.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.16R 39.10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 February 2016, Burton_Albion 1 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 30 63 +17 17.69 98.43 10.77 86.95 5.66 20.07 42.22 67.27 98.84 73.66P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 29 56 +17 10.41 90.24 8.43 83.11 5.73 22.71 19.01 41.39 94.77 54.37P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 30 55 +21 -0.10 48.84 0.19 84.14 5.53 31.69 25.76 52.48 96.77 68.85P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 30 55 +19 7.77 82.36 9.76 80.64 5.68 24.61 10.36 27.10 89.20 41.55P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 30 49 +16 2.77 63.22 8.40 73.42 5.65 19.70 0.80 3.55 50.45 14.52P 0.00R 0.00 Millwall 29 47 +9 1.77 58.24 0.73 73.48 5.93 13.67 0.98 3.88 48.93 15.21P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 29 47 +6 7.86 83.01 6.74 69.69 5.78 5.26 0.20 0.88 22.92 4.98P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 29 44 +13 -1.88 40.94 3.60 72.30 5.87 20.62 0.51 2.38 43.82 13.76P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 31 44 -1 3.74 67.72 2.19 64.40 5.34 -1.22 0.00 0.03 4.26 0.83P 0.21R 0.00 Barnsley 29 42 +6 -1.77 41.56 0.17 67.41 5.87 9.20 0.06 0.38 15.37 3.81P 0.05R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 42 +4 -2.74 36.90 -3.51 68.39 5.86 8.57 0.06 0.45 18.60 5.13P 0.05R 0.00 Bradford 28 41 -3 3.84 69.24 -1.56 65.54 5.89 -2.90 0.03 0.16 8.09 1.68P 0.22R 0.00 Scunthorpe 28 38 -4 2.45 62.72 0.48 60.97 6.00 -6.80 0.00 0.02 2.02 0.37P 2.11R 0.00 Rochdale 28 37 -2 -0.87 46.05 -0.91 62.38 6.09 -1.18 0.00 0.03 3.52 0.78P 1.30R 0.01 Bury 28 37 -7 3.90 69.32 1.35 57.79 5.99 -13.19 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.12P 6.27R 0.05 Doncaster 29 36 -4 -3.22 35.10 -3.23 58.66 5.84 -4.91 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.15P 4.12R 0.05 Swindon 30 36 -5 -7.82 17.54 -8.92 59.64 5.67 -2.56 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.19P 2.70R 0.01 Blackpool 29 33 -7 -3.65 33.39 -2.94 55.51 5.75 -7.96 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 11.51R 0.25 Chesterfield 30 30 -12 -9.00 13.60 -8.41 52.14 5.64 -11.90 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 25.23R 0.88 Shrewsbury 30 30 -15 -5.41 25.82 -6.35 47.96 5.49 -21.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.07R 3.95 Fleetwood_Town 28 29 -3 -6.86 19.07 0.57 51.03 5.89 -6.79 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 31.01R 1.29 Crewe 29 26 -20 -2.57 37.95 -2.18 43.02 5.43 -29.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.80R 19.66 Oldham 27 24 -13 -7.47 15.88 -4.88 44.61 5.90 -21.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.69R 12.14 Colchester 29 22 -32 -5.85 22.68 -10.49 38.21 5.48 -44.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.63R 61.71League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2016, Dag_&_Red 1 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 28 61 +20 15.71 97.62 9.55 89.69 6.12 25.97 62.37 93.26 99.74 94.71P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 29 56 +17 8.80 86.24 6.17 83.98 5.77 23.77 19.72 74.44 97.69 80.93P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 28 52 +19 7.25 81.77 9.68 81.39 6.05 25.89 12.48 59.64 94.25 69.00P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 31 48 +9 7.01 80.06 11.05 67.62 5.35 7.71 0.03 1.29 21.53 5.03P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 47 +10 5.20 73.68 6.70 72.72 5.91 13.57 0.60 9.56 55.80 20.46P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 29 46 +6 1.68 58.32 -0.76 71.77 5.86 9.65 0.43 7.29 47.93 17.68P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 30 46 +5 -4.64 29.10 -9.36 73.40 5.72 13.26 0.75 11.45 60.90 28.15P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 28 45 +20 0.01 49.72 10.22 74.61 6.03 27.29 1.61 18.47 69.98 33.41P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 26 45 +12 8.08 84.76 10.35 73.96 6.62 14.19 1.64 16.48 61.92 25.51P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 44 +3 3.75 67.78 4.65 64.65 5.65 0.92 0.01 0.49 10.26 2.30P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 28 42 +7 3.00 65.07 6.16 66.83 6.07 7.19 0.07 1.77 20.51 5.72P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 26 42 +5 5.95 77.69 4.89 69.07 6.61 3.99 0.25 4.58 32.21 9.76P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 28 40 -1 1.83 59.16 -0.29 64.01 6.09 -2.12 0.01 0.49 9.45 2.29P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 30 38 +1 -4.65 29.18 -1.31 61.48 5.65 3.24 0.00 0.09 3.82 1.07P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 30 37 -13 -2.58 38.50 -10.58 58.42 5.69 -13.86 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.22P 0.21R 0.03 Morecambe 30 36 -3 -3.74 33.17 -0.27 57.73 5.69 -3.59 0.00 0.00 0.91 0.21P 0.15R 0.03 Notts_County 27 36 -6 -3.23 34.80 -9.11 64.56 6.39 -2.31 0.02 0.69 11.86 3.52P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 28 33 -8 0.50 53.32 1.33 54.10 6.00 -13.60 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.04P 1.46R 0.27 Stevenage 31 31 -14 -9.76 12.12 -11.01 49.72 5.43 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 4.67R 0.96 Newport_County 28 27 -11 -6.24 21.23 -3.20 48.32 5.94 -16.08 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 9.16R 2.36 Yeovil 29 24 -14 -12.44 5.98 -9.33 45.34 5.81 -16.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.62R 6.50 Hartlepool 26 24 -19 -1.91 40.89 -4.35 43.64 5.97 -30.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.79R 14.07 Dag_&_Red 29 20 -22 -12.07 5.79 -9.82 38.85 5.62 -29.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.58R 37.91 York 28 20 -23 -10.60 7.83 -11.36 39.04 5.72 -31.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.33R 37.86National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2016, Altrincham 1 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 31 69 +39 5.92 76.89 7.22 98.81 5.08 53.10 80.53 100.00 87.94P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 32 68 +24 11.45 91.72 4.74 91.72 5.17 30.98 13.36 99.69 35.05P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 30 58 +37 -2.26 37.66 7.83 87.57 5.39 48.44 6.01 97.99 41.93P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 32 53 +11 -2.93 36.23 -6.97 76.40 5.20 17.14 0.02 52.37 12.27P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 30 50 +7 3.70 66.95 -0.56 74.43 5.57 10.74 0.01 35.84 5.53P 0.00 0.00 Woking 32 49 +13 -2.86 36.91 0.85 69.26 5.16 14.36 0.00 10.46 1.76P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 49 +12 7.03 82.06 6.63 76.25 5.88 15.87 0.06 50.00 8.02P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 49 +9 4.70 71.56 4.52 73.43 5.64 12.68 0.01 30.29 4.21P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 33 48 +6 2.08 59.88 5.29 66.03 4.92 6.06 0.00 2.51 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 48 -3 5.81 76.32 -4.23 68.55 5.49 -5.19 0.00 7.96 0.95P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 32 47 +9 -1.62 42.57 2.01 68.78 5.12 12.85 0.00 8.40 1.38P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 32 46 +10 -3.21 35.52 2.15 66.61 5.08 12.03 0.00 3.96 0.60P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 31 41 -7 1.52 58.03 -2.40 60.83 5.30 -8.11 0.00 0.21 0.02P 0.09R 0.00 Bromley 30 38 -3 1.51 57.69 6.00 59.55 5.80 -4.14 0.00 0.32 0.05P 0.43R 0.01 Southport 31 38 -10 4.30 71.16 3.16 56.14 5.17 -13.49 0.00 0.02 0.00P 1.19R 0.05 Barrow 32 38 -17 4.93 72.92 1.62 54.16 5.15 -21.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.10R 0.14 Chester 31 35 -11 -0.02 50.74 1.09 53.27 5.24 -14.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.27R 0.26 Guiseley 30 34 -17 3.33 67.25 -0.73 49.00 5.17 -27.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.61R 1.83 Altrincham 30 32 -20 2.72 65.22 -1.30 50.89 5.47 -24.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.78R 1.30 Halifax 30 30 -19 -7.15 19.10 -11.64 48.31 5.46 -25.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.83R 3.72 Boreham_Wood 30 28 -8 -5.56 24.66 2.15 46.39 5.33 -12.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.36R 5.13 Welling 30 26 -16 -6.47 20.33 -3.32 42.38 5.17 -24.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.14R 20.49 Kidderminster 30 20 -19 -14.45 2.88 -8.83 38.89 5.38 -23.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.43R 45.72 Torquay 29 20 -27 -12.85 4.45 -15.30 42.82 5.84 -27.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.76R 21.37