Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 11 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 February 2016, Bournemouth 0 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 25 53 +20 15.49 98.31 15.39 73.09 4.89 23.44 29.76 56.28 78.29 92.96 99.54 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 48 +26 3.84 69.80 10.90 69.56 4.89 31.57 13.18 31.45 54.65 81.63 97.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 48 +17 1.75 58.92 -1.07 72.12 4.69 26.63 24.87 49.70 72.93 91.08 99.36 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 47 +21 -3.24 31.20 -4.90 72.60 4.71 33.37 30.95 57.36 78.75 93.38 99.53 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 41 +10 -1.88 39.42 -2.70 63.78 4.80 17.26 1.16 4.60 12.46 29.10 81.92 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 25 39 +9 3.74 69.99 7.66 57.12 4.87 9.44 0.03 0.22 0.94 3.62 29.87 0.00 0.00 Southampton 25 37 +9 -2.47 36.51 1.34 57.49 4.91 12.92 0.05 0.26 1.13 3.99 34.47 0.00R 0.00 Everton 25 35 +12 -4.31 27.79 4.50 56.26 4.93 17.27 0.00 0.09 0.58 2.76 28.32 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 25 35 -4 -1.49 42.08 -7.03 54.54 5.02 -1.49 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.96 14.18 0.01R 0.00 Watford 25 33 +0 2.98 66.62 6.47 49.72 4.82 -1.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 2.45 0.19R 0.00 Stoke 25 33 -7 2.25 62.78 -2.27 49.90 4.74 -8.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 2.24 0.18R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 25 32 -4 2.48 64.69 2.85 47.55 4.74 -7.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.98 0.63R 0.00 Chelsea 25 30 -2 -12.55 3.93 -14.48 52.86 4.94 5.52 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.38 9.03 0.06R 0.00 West_Brom 25 29 -9 0.12 51.70 -1.46 43.00 4.61 -14.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 6.04R 0.09 Bournemouth 25 28 -12 1.18 57.42 0.64 41.46 4.72 -19.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 11.80R 0.35 Swansea 25 27 -9 -3.92 29.56 -4.03 42.19 4.70 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 8.22R 0.25 Newcastle 25 24 -18 -0.61 47.58 -2.06 37.37 4.58 -25.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.19R 3.51 Norwich 25 23 -20 -1.73 41.39 -3.64 35.55 4.61 -28.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.14R 6.34 Sunderland 25 20 -19 -4.36 26.49 -2.46 32.69 4.62 -26.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.26R 16.21 Aston_Villa 25 16 -20 -7.41 12.89 -3.65 27.01 4.27 -30.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.26R 73.24Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2016, MK_Dons 1 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 29 57 +23 6.17 78.87 7.01 86.55 5.54 31.81 33.14 63.54 99.17 75.60P 0.00 0.00 Hull 29 56 +26 2.95 64.15 6.86 87.46 5.55 37.87 44.06 72.17 99.31 81.98P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 30 55 +22 2.67 62.48 5.32 83.64 5.52 31.75 17.00 42.09 97.39 60.80P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 29 53 +9 10.80 91.73 4.87 77.02 5.57 10.54 2.00 7.33 74.19 19.66P 0.00 0.00 Derby 30 51 +14 1.09 55.04 0.63 78.52 5.49 22.29 3.15 11.47 84.70 32.50P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 30 50 +12 6.85 80.23 8.61 73.42 5.43 14.43 0.40 1.92 52.89 11.21P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 30 48 +2 4.53 71.28 -1.70 71.89 5.51 5.12 0.19 1.01 38.07 7.91P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 30 47 +8 5.44 75.39 6.95 69.07 5.42 8.53 0.05 0.32 21.38 3.85P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 30 45 +5 2.65 63.27 2.64 67.22 5.47 5.61 0.00 0.11 14.05 2.66P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 42 +6 -1.03 45.21 2.60 64.60 5.43 7.11 0.01 0.03 6.61 1.36P 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 30 40 -1 -3.63 32.87 -5.01 62.30 5.44 -0.28 0.00 0.00 2.72 0.52P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 30 40 -2 -1.54 42.99 -2.66 63.33 5.57 0.12 0.00 0.01 4.32 0.80P 0.02R 0.00 QPR 30 39 +1 -4.90 27.92 -3.34 62.79 5.56 4.02 0.00 0.01 3.78 0.91P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 30 39 -1 0.23 51.63 1.27 59.77 5.35 -1.98 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.12P 0.05R 0.00 Reading 30 36 +0 -3.03 35.69 2.57 56.80 5.41 -1.11 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.05P 0.42R 0.01 Leeds_United 30 36 -5 -0.63 47.35 0.73 55.70 5.26 -7.68 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.68R 0.02 Huddersfield 30 32 -4 -5.06 26.63 2.34 50.64 5.44 -8.95 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 6.30R 0.45 Blackburn 28 31 +0 -7.82 15.54 -1.33 55.82 5.77 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 1.01R 0.03 Fulham 29 29 -5 -7.54 17.25 0.71 50.65 5.68 -7.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 7.36R 0.67 MK_Dons 30 28 -18 -5.19 26.23 -6.72 46.22 5.35 -23.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.19R 4.10 Bristol_City 30 28 -22 -4.29 29.76 -9.02 45.29 5.33 -29.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.09R 6.04 Rotherham 30 25 -19 -5.33 24.93 -1.98 40.06 5.11 -29.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.19R 25.63 Bolton 30 24 -21 -8.90 12.30 -8.82 40.38 5.19 -29.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00R 24.32 Charlton 30 24 -30 -5.48 23.49 -12.52 38.99 5.04 -40.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.65R 38.73League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 February 2016, Barnsley 3 0 Bury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 29 60 +16 16.64 97.95 10.58 85.52 5.85 19.34 35.06 59.52 97.49 67.24P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 29 56 +17 10.33 89.84 8.31 83.11 5.80 22.73 21.64 44.08 94.64 56.53P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 30 55 +21 -0.05 49.07 0.30 84.02 5.54 31.50 28.35 54.19 96.69 69.80P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 30 55 +19 7.87 82.85 9.93 80.59 5.70 24.54 11.51 28.71 89.26 42.62P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 30 49 +16 2.73 62.85 8.32 73.39 5.62 19.69 1.02 3.82 50.32 14.88P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 29 47 +9 1.76 58.23 0.70 73.49 5.96 13.68 1.30 4.49 49.23 15.82P 0.00 0.00 Southend 29 47 +6 7.76 82.63 6.67 69.75 5.78 5.29 0.26 1.08 23.29 5.31P 0.02R 0.00 Peterborough 29 44 +13 -1.91 40.95 3.59 72.29 5.87 20.62 0.62 2.75 43.93 13.87P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 31 44 -1 3.88 68.30 2.40 64.32 5.38 -1.33 0.01 0.04 4.42 0.86P 0.27R 0.00 Barnsley 29 42 +6 -1.82 41.03 0.07 67.52 5.87 9.35 0.08 0.45 15.67 4.15P 0.08R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 42 +4 -2.89 36.27 -3.71 68.43 5.90 8.66 0.12 0.65 19.17 5.51P 0.04R 0.00 Bradford 28 41 -3 3.98 69.89 -1.39 65.50 5.90 -2.98 0.03 0.16 7.86 1.69P 0.27R 0.00 Scunthorpe 28 38 -4 2.55 63.25 0.58 60.86 5.98 -6.96 0.01 0.01 1.87 0.34P 2.26R 0.01 Rochdale 28 37 -2 -0.99 45.61 -1.10 62.49 6.09 -1.00 0.01 0.04 3.71 0.81P 1.35R 0.00 Bury 28 37 -7 4.03 70.07 1.56 57.72 5.95 -13.25 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.09P 6.70R 0.06 Doncaster 29 36 -4 -3.32 34.53 -3.40 58.71 5.84 -4.86 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.16P 4.21R 0.03 Swindon 30 36 -5 -8.03 16.89 -9.20 59.72 5.67 -2.43 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.26P 2.87R 0.02 Blackpool 29 33 -7 -3.69 33.03 -2.98 55.56 5.74 -7.89 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 11.75R 0.19 Chesterfield 29 30 -11 -7.88 16.67 -7.78 53.19 5.84 -11.35 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 21.24R 0.73 Shrewsbury 30 30 -15 -5.53 25.23 -6.49 48.06 5.49 -20.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.80R 3.81 Fleetwood_Town 28 29 -3 -6.90 18.86 0.48 51.06 5.86 -6.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 31.58R 1.38 Crewe 29 26 -20 -2.65 37.26 -2.29 43.07 5.43 -29.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.34R 19.35 Oldham 27 24 -13 -7.47 15.82 -4.81 44.68 5.90 -21.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.24R 11.99 Colchester 29 22 -32 -5.76 23.07 -10.34 38.13 5.50 -44.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.96R 62.44League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2016, Dag_&_Red 1 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 28 61 +20 15.65 97.54 9.41 89.70 6.13 25.99 62.15 93.30 99.68 94.78P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 29 56 +17 8.80 86.28 6.17 84.02 5.80 23.83 19.90 74.64 97.72 80.86P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 28 52 +19 7.24 81.74 9.63 81.39 6.04 25.91 12.51 59.79 94.36 69.14P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 31 48 +9 7.23 80.52 11.31 67.51 5.31 7.56 0.03 1.21 20.77 4.73P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 47 +10 5.21 73.97 6.73 72.60 5.87 13.42 0.55 8.99 54.96 19.95P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 29 46 +6 1.57 57.68 -0.94 71.85 5.82 9.74 0.41 7.15 48.44 17.95P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 30 46 +5 -4.73 28.73 -9.53 73.47 5.75 13.37 0.72 11.81 61.22 28.37P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 28 45 +20 -0.00 50.04 10.21 74.69 6.09 27.41 1.76 19.05 70.40 33.75P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 26 45 +12 8.17 85.24 10.51 73.77 6.60 13.88 1.50 15.66 61.12 24.80P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 44 +3 3.87 68.05 4.82 64.55 5.63 0.80 0.00 0.46 9.97 2.24P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 28 42 +7 2.90 64.40 6.06 66.93 6.13 7.30 0.09 1.95 21.45 5.97P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 26 42 +5 5.92 77.47 4.83 69.09 6.63 4.02 0.32 4.59 32.18 10.00P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 28 40 -1 2.05 60.39 0.04 63.92 6.08 -2.26 0.01 0.44 9.25 2.12P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 30 38 +1 -4.63 29.18 -1.27 61.40 5.63 3.13 0.00 0.08 3.68 0.91P 0.03R 0.01 Crawley_Town 30 37 -13 -2.72 38.12 -10.77 58.50 5.69 -13.76 0.00 0.01 1.00 0.24P 0.16R 0.02 Morecambe 30 36 -3 -3.74 33.25 -0.32 57.79 5.73 -3.53 0.00 0.02 0.99 0.20P 0.19R 0.03 Notts_County 27 36 -6 -3.16 35.41 -9.06 64.58 6.50 -2.27 0.04 0.84 12.50 3.97P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 28 33 -8 0.45 53.31 1.29 54.12 5.99 -13.55 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.04P 1.47R 0.26 Stevenage 31 31 -14 -9.88 12.03 -11.18 49.80 5.44 -16.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 4.59R 0.88 Newport_County 28 27 -11 -6.13 21.65 -3.02 48.32 5.91 -16.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 9.09R 2.26 Yeovil 29 24 -14 -12.52 5.65 -9.44 45.33 5.81 -16.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.77R 6.57 Hartlepool 26 24 -19 -2.08 39.80 -4.57 43.80 6.01 -30.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.23R 13.60 Dag_&_Red 29 20 -22 -11.97 5.94 -9.63 38.81 5.67 -29.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.77R 38.41 York 28 20 -23 -10.61 7.82 -11.29 39.00 5.70 -31.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.67R 37.96National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 February 2016, Altrincham 1 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 31 69 +39 5.91 76.38 7.17 98.84 5.08 53.15 80.59 100.00 87.91P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 32 68 +24 11.40 91.68 4.74 91.76 5.22 31.04 13.53 99.70 35.09P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 30 58 +37 -2.24 37.80 7.85 87.55 5.37 48.37 5.77 97.94 41.86P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 32 53 +11 -2.74 36.95 -6.67 76.31 5.18 17.00 0.01 51.10 11.84P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 30 50 +7 3.58 66.74 -0.76 74.50 5.58 10.91 0.00 36.61 5.45P 0.00 0.00 Woking 32 49 +13 -2.89 36.66 0.79 69.22 5.17 14.28 0.00 10.32 1.77P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 49 +12 6.97 81.67 6.57 76.29 5.87 15.92 0.09 50.34 8.31P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 49 +9 4.57 71.07 4.30 73.53 5.62 12.81 0.01 30.86 4.42P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 33 48 +6 2.06 59.49 5.20 65.99 4.92 6.01 0.00 2.53 0.34P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 48 -3 5.82 76.22 -4.26 68.57 5.53 -5.16 0.00 8.18 0.99P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 32 47 +9 -1.61 42.53 2.05 68.70 5.14 12.75 0.00 8.04 1.36P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 32 46 +10 -3.18 35.43 2.19 66.58 5.09 12.03 0.00 3.79 0.61P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 31 41 -7 1.37 57.30 -2.53 60.91 5.31 -8.01 0.00 0.26 0.02P 0.08R 0.00 Bromley 30 38 -3 1.43 57.44 5.82 59.60 5.81 -4.06 0.00 0.30 0.03P 0.42R 0.01 Southport 31 38 -10 4.30 71.33 3.16 56.21 5.20 -13.42 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.29R 0.03 Barrow 32 38 -17 4.86 72.56 1.57 54.17 5.17 -21.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.05R 0.13 Chester 31 35 -11 0.03 51.08 1.10 53.31 5.27 -14.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.22R 0.29 Guiseley 30 34 -17 3.30 67.24 -0.74 49.03 5.23 -27.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.20R 1.79 Altrincham 30 32 -20 2.84 65.58 -1.11 50.90 5.47 -24.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.80R 1.26 Halifax 30 30 -19 -7.14 19.48 -11.58 48.24 5.43 -25.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.13R 3.47 Boreham_Wood 30 28 -8 -5.46 25.16 2.26 46.29 5.36 -12.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.68R 5.23 Welling 30 26 -16 -6.40 20.77 -3.23 42.37 5.20 -24.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.78R 20.95 Kidderminster 30 20 -19 -14.43 2.90 -8.80 38.89 5.40 -23.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.22R 45.67 Torquay 29 20 -27 -12.73 4.57 -15.11 42.75 5.77 -28.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.13R 21.17