Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 8 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 February 2016, Bournemouth 0 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 25 53 +20 15.47 98.22 15.36 73.07 4.89 23.42 29.52 56.06 78.40 93.03 99.52 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 48 +26 3.95 70.36 11.08 69.59 4.89 31.59 13.24 31.43 55.10 81.85 97.90 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 48 +17 1.81 59.42 -0.96 72.09 4.71 26.60 24.79 49.31 72.54 90.89 99.35 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 47 +21 -3.27 31.14 -4.96 72.64 4.74 33.42 31.17 57.82 78.84 93.24 99.54 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 41 +10 -1.80 39.95 -2.63 63.75 4.81 17.23 1.22 4.69 12.21 29.25 81.98 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 25 39 +9 3.77 70.23 7.69 57.13 4.87 9.46 0.03 0.24 0.93 3.54 29.76 0.00R 0.00 Southampton 25 37 +9 -2.50 36.48 1.31 57.51 4.89 12.96 0.03 0.26 1.07 4.07 34.53 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 35 +12 -4.32 27.81 4.49 56.27 4.94 17.30 0.02 0.15 0.68 2.74 28.33 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 35 -4 -1.56 41.78 -7.16 54.60 5.01 -1.42 0.00 0.03 0.18 0.95 14.52 0.01R 0.00 Watford 25 33 +0 3.18 67.75 6.83 49.60 4.84 -1.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 2.40 0.21R 0.00 Stoke 25 33 -7 2.20 62.78 -2.33 49.91 4.74 -8.33 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 2.22 0.20R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 25 32 -4 2.25 63.49 2.49 47.68 4.74 -6.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.89 0.59R 0.00 Chelsea 25 30 -2 -12.61 3.99 -14.59 52.94 4.89 5.64 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.32 8.93 0.05R 0.00 West_Brom 25 29 -9 0.19 51.91 -1.37 42.95 4.61 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 6.01R 0.08 Bournemouth 25 28 -12 1.20 57.68 0.74 41.47 4.71 -19.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 11.60R 0.35 Swansea 25 27 -9 -3.83 30.09 -3.93 42.15 4.70 -12.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 8.34R 0.24 Newcastle 25 24 -18 -0.64 47.53 -2.12 37.34 4.62 -25.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.67R 3.62 Norwich 25 23 -20 -1.75 41.23 -3.69 35.57 4.61 -28.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.58R 6.39 Sunderland 25 20 -19 -4.38 26.19 -2.41 32.63 4.60 -26.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.87R 16.61 Aston_Villa 25 16 -20 -7.55 12.45 -3.85 27.08 4.31 -30.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.87R 72.69Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Birmingham 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 29 56 +26 2.91 63.99 6.77 87.53 5.52 37.96 41.37 71.61 99.39 81.77P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 56 +23 6.59 81.14 7.13 87.44 5.75 32.54 38.40 67.71 99.26 78.49P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 30 55 +22 2.74 63.07 5.46 83.62 5.48 31.72 15.06 39.94 97.34 59.51P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 29 53 +9 10.89 91.94 4.94 76.96 5.56 10.47 1.86 7.04 74.09 19.73P 0.00 0.00 Derby 30 51 +14 1.33 56.29 1.02 78.33 5.51 22.07 2.77 10.41 83.97 31.16P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 30 50 +12 7.02 81.06 8.81 73.37 5.44 14.37 0.32 1.80 53.07 11.10P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 30 48 +2 4.57 71.45 -1.65 71.85 5.49 5.06 0.15 0.99 38.05 8.00P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 30 47 +8 5.71 76.32 7.32 68.86 5.48 8.25 0.04 0.30 20.89 3.67P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 30 45 +5 2.69 63.41 2.67 67.28 5.47 5.64 0.01 0.13 14.52 2.65P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 42 +6 -1.02 45.20 2.62 64.61 5.43 7.16 0.01 0.04 6.73 1.40P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 30 40 -1 -3.60 33.10 -4.99 62.36 5.45 -0.25 0.00 0.00 2.89 0.58P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 30 40 -2 -1.43 43.47 -2.52 63.31 5.59 0.05 0.00 0.01 4.29 0.78P 0.01R 0.00 QPR 30 39 +1 -5.02 27.18 -3.51 62.84 5.58 4.09 0.00 0.01 3.88 0.86P 0.02R 0.00 Preston 30 39 -1 0.08 51.01 1.10 59.78 5.39 -1.96 0.00 0.00 0.96 0.18P 0.07R 0.00 Reading 30 36 +0 -3.24 34.71 2.29 56.87 5.41 -1.04 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 0.39R 0.01 Leeds_United 30 36 -5 -0.65 47.49 0.66 55.74 5.29 -7.65 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.73R 0.02 Huddersfield 30 32 -4 -5.05 26.71 2.33 50.67 5.39 -8.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.23R 0.46 Blackburn 28 31 +0 -8.09 14.69 -1.71 56.01 5.79 0.86 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.07P 1.02R 0.04 Fulham 29 29 -5 -7.60 17.26 0.65 50.65 5.68 -7.79 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 7.37R 0.72 Bristol_City 30 28 -22 -4.17 30.36 -8.80 45.24 5.32 -29.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.20R 6.20 MK_Dons 29 27 -18 -5.07 26.33 -7.04 45.97 5.53 -24.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.41R 5.13 Rotherham 30 25 -19 -5.31 24.97 -1.91 40.09 5.09 -29.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.87R 25.27 Bolton 30 24 -21 -9.04 11.82 -9.02 40.49 5.21 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.81R 23.78 Charlton 30 24 -30 -5.55 23.36 -12.62 39.03 5.06 -40.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.87R 38.37League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 February 2016, Barnsley 3 0 Bury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 29 60 +16 16.66 98.00 10.62 85.54 5.85 19.39 35.37 59.89 97.40 67.63P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 29 56 +17 10.45 90.25 8.47 83.10 5.76 22.73 21.87 44.04 94.73 56.36P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 30 55 +21 0.16 50.19 0.66 83.95 5.54 31.40 27.60 53.63 96.68 69.15P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 30 55 +19 7.79 82.25 9.73 80.59 5.73 24.53 11.77 28.88 88.68 42.67P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 30 49 +16 2.63 62.33 8.16 73.47 5.61 19.79 0.97 3.88 50.91 15.09P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 29 47 +9 1.58 57.49 0.44 73.62 5.95 13.87 1.28 4.51 49.68 16.26P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 29 47 +6 7.48 82.03 6.18 69.98 5.80 5.62 0.26 1.08 24.62 5.54P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 29 44 +13 -1.87 40.99 3.68 72.26 5.85 20.57 0.63 2.78 43.69 13.84P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 31 44 -1 3.85 68.20 2.37 64.41 5.33 -1.21 0.00 0.04 4.46 0.89P 0.20R 0.00 Barnsley 29 42 +6 -1.77 41.66 0.13 67.50 5.86 9.31 0.09 0.46 15.32 4.13P 0.07R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 42 +4 -2.71 37.08 -3.40 68.29 5.88 8.41 0.11 0.57 18.28 5.06P 0.05R 0.00 Bradford 28 41 -3 4.07 70.30 -1.25 65.38 5.93 -3.15 0.04 0.18 7.65 1.69P 0.36R 0.00 Scunthorpe 28 38 -4 2.55 63.35 0.65 60.83 5.94 -6.98 0.00 0.03 1.78 0.34P 2.37R 0.01 Rochdale 28 37 -2 -0.87 46.17 -0.93 62.37 6.09 -1.17 0.01 0.04 3.64 0.82P 1.34R 0.01 Bury 28 37 -7 3.95 69.48 1.39 57.76 5.91 -13.20 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.08P 6.42R 0.07 Doncaster 29 36 -4 -3.22 34.75 -3.24 58.64 5.82 -4.96 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.16P 4.19R 0.03 Swindon 30 36 -5 -8.04 16.83 -9.24 59.77 5.70 -2.36 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.26P 2.76R 0.01 Blackpool 29 33 -7 -3.69 33.08 -2.97 55.50 5.76 -7.99 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 12.05R 0.27 Chesterfield 29 30 -11 -8.09 15.92 -8.11 53.35 5.83 -11.11 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 20.53R 0.62 Shrewsbury 30 30 -15 -5.73 24.46 -6.86 48.17 5.49 -20.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.05R 3.55 Fleetwood_Town 28 29 -3 -6.83 19.18 0.55 51.00 5.91 -6.85 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 32.49R 1.35 Crewe 29 26 -20 -2.51 38.03 -2.02 42.98 5.45 -30.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.44R 19.56 Oldham 27 24 -13 -7.46 16.23 -4.76 44.63 5.91 -21.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.55R 11.93 Colchester 29 22 -32 -5.70 22.61 -10.28 38.12 5.44 -44.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.10R 62.59League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 28 61 +20 15.75 97.62 9.64 89.63 6.14 25.89 60.12 92.90 99.71 94.49P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 29 56 +17 8.80 86.19 6.17 84.04 5.78 23.86 19.36 74.69 97.80 81.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 27 51 +19 7.68 83.66 9.78 82.22 6.27 26.52 15.34 64.20 95.04 72.59P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 47 +10 5.12 73.38 6.61 72.68 5.89 13.56 0.58 8.70 56.52 19.95P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 30 47 +9 7.23 81.14 10.81 67.53 5.53 7.14 0.07 1.52 22.28 5.34P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 30 46 +5 -4.65 29.33 -9.37 73.44 5.71 13.29 0.69 10.98 61.76 27.75P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 28 45 +20 0.08 50.34 10.27 74.63 6.06 27.30 1.59 18.13 70.76 33.74P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 26 45 +12 8.11 85.27 10.42 73.87 6.59 14.06 1.53 15.60 62.30 24.63P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 44 +3 3.95 68.53 4.92 64.54 5.62 0.77 0.02 0.47 10.07 2.24P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 28 43 +5 0.50 52.82 -1.16 70.47 6.04 9.12 0.30 5.07 40.65 14.51P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 28 42 +7 2.95 64.62 6.14 66.87 6.08 7.24 0.07 1.84 21.24 5.92P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 26 42 +5 5.76 76.98 4.50 69.21 6.57 4.27 0.29 4.53 33.48 10.12P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 28 40 -1 2.02 60.29 -0.06 63.94 6.10 -2.22 0.01 0.51 9.65 2.32P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 30 38 +1 -4.65 29.16 -1.32 61.42 5.65 3.15 0.00 0.10 3.93 1.01P 0.02R 0.00 Crawley_Town 30 37 -13 -2.88 37.43 -10.99 58.53 5.73 -13.71 0.00 0.02 1.14 0.29P 0.16R 0.02 Morecambe 30 36 -3 -3.62 33.86 -0.09 57.66 5.69 -3.70 0.00 0.01 0.95 0.20P 0.24R 0.04 Notts_County 27 36 -6 -3.17 34.84 -9.07 64.57 6.42 -2.31 0.03 0.74 12.44 3.85P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 28 33 -8 0.54 53.68 1.37 54.05 6.03 -13.65 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.05P 1.80R 0.42 Stevenage 30 28 -15 -10.96 9.30 -11.37 48.29 5.63 -17.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 9.61R 2.44 Newport_County 28 27 -11 -6.31 21.23 -3.28 48.42 5.93 -15.93 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 9.88R 2.59 Yeovil 29 24 -14 -12.38 6.02 -9.20 45.24 5.84 -16.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.11R 7.57 Hartlepool 25 24 -18 -1.02 45.67 -4.08 44.87 6.19 -30.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.07R 11.78 Dag_&_Red 28 20 -21 -11.11 7.07 -9.44 39.89 5.81 -28.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.29R 33.83 York 28 20 -23 -10.52 7.91 -11.20 39.05 5.77 -31.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.78R 41.30National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Barrow 1 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 31 69 +39 5.94 76.88 7.29 98.75 5.09 52.98 81.20 100.00 88.24P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 32 68 +24 11.48 91.62 4.79 91.75 5.21 31.00 13.87 99.58 35.41P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 29 55 +36 -3.27 32.72 7.79 86.50 5.58 48.31 4.77 96.20 40.80P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 32 53 +11 -2.70 37.31 -6.61 76.29 5.18 16.96 0.02 48.64 11.35P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 29 50 +8 4.87 72.36 0.13 76.33 5.81 12.63 0.08 47.12 7.36P 0.00 0.00 Woking 32 49 +13 -2.77 37.54 0.96 69.18 5.19 14.21 0.00 9.30 1.56P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 49 +12 7.04 81.98 6.65 76.21 5.88 15.85 0.06 47.36 7.74P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 49 +9 4.50 70.65 4.19 73.53 5.65 12.82 0.01 28.97 4.34P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 33 48 +6 2.05 59.62 5.26 65.96 4.91 6.01 0.00 2.23 0.24P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 30 48 -3 5.89 76.31 -4.13 68.58 5.52 -5.16 0.00 7.40 0.86P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 32 47 +9 -1.54 42.91 2.15 68.74 5.14 12.76 0.00 7.35 1.17P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 31 45 +10 -2.72 37.42 2.32 67.42 5.27 12.71 0.00 5.13 0.86P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 31 41 -7 1.39 57.35 -2.56 60.90 5.32 -7.96 0.00 0.24 0.02P 0.08R 0.00 Bromley 29 38 -2 2.27 61.32 5.95 60.37 6.01 -4.13 0.00 0.46 0.05P 0.28R 0.01 Southport 31 38 -10 4.29 71.53 3.04 56.20 5.17 -13.45 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.04R 0.02 Barrow 32 38 -17 4.97 73.24 1.72 54.11 5.14 -22.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.82R 0.10 Chester 31 35 -11 0.06 51.38 1.21 53.26 5.25 -14.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.02R 0.20 Guiseley 30 34 -17 3.28 67.00 -0.85 49.05 5.21 -27.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.39R 1.27 Altrincham 29 31 -20 2.84 66.33 -1.60 50.91 5.66 -25.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.78R 1.10 Halifax 30 30 -19 -7.19 19.15 -11.67 48.33 5.45 -25.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.63R 2.64 Boreham_Wood 30 28 -8 -5.39 25.40 2.32 46.30 5.34 -12.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.58R 3.92 Welling 30 26 -16 -6.53 20.08 -3.42 42.42 5.15 -24.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.52R 15.78 Torquay 29 20 -27 -12.79 4.53 -15.16 42.77 5.77 -28.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.05R 17.40 Kidderminster 29 17 -20 -16.01 1.34 -9.81 36.86 5.58 -25.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.82R 57.55