Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 7 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 February 2016, Bournemouth 0 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        25   53  +20      15.50    98.32    15.36    73.11     4.88    23.45    30.11    56.54    78.29    93.09    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   48  +26       3.89    70.09    10.94    69.58     4.85    31.61    13.01    31.46    55.20    81.86    97.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   48  +17       1.77    59.05    -1.07    72.09     4.68    26.62    24.83    49.39    72.62    91.02    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   47  +21      -3.25    31.07    -4.87    72.60     4.75    33.36    30.76    57.29    78.49    93.15    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          25   41  +10      -1.97    38.98    -2.83    63.79     4.80    17.32     1.18     4.73    12.55    29.14    81.83     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   39   +9       3.74    70.06     7.64    57.09     4.88     9.42     0.05     0.21     0.92     3.50    29.95     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      25   37   +9      -2.44    36.55     1.42    57.49     4.88    12.93     0.05     0.25     1.00     3.94    34.42     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          25   35  +12      -4.25    28.35     4.58    56.27     4.96    17.27     0.01     0.10     0.68     2.85    28.39     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        25   35   -4      -1.43    42.52    -6.99    54.53     5.01    -1.51     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.97    14.15     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          25   33   +0       2.92    66.20     6.35    49.79     4.84    -1.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     2.66     0.15R    0.00  
Stoke            25   33   -7       2.15    62.72    -2.36    49.92     4.74    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     2.33     0.18R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   32   -4       2.42    64.48     2.73    47.60     4.74    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.92     0.64R    0.00  
Chelsea          25   30   -2     -12.54     4.10   -14.49    52.86     4.91     5.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.30     8.93     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom        25   29   -9       0.28    52.68    -1.24    42.89     4.58   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     6.11R    0.11  
Bournemouth      25   28  -12       1.33    58.63     0.93    41.40     4.71   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    12.12R    0.38  
Swansea          25   27   -9      -3.92    29.38    -4.06    42.19     4.73   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.45R    0.25  
Newcastle        25   24  -18      -0.73    46.99    -2.21    37.40     4.61   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.99R    3.49  
Norwich          25   23  -20      -1.82    40.99    -3.82    35.63     4.61   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.46R    6.19  
Sunderland       25   20  -19      -4.35    26.30    -2.33    32.64     4.59   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.64R   16.53  
Aston_Villa      25   16  -20      -7.44    12.61    -3.64    27.04     4.30   -30.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.19R   73.05  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Birmingham 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            29   56  +26       2.90    63.98     6.76    87.53     5.54    37.96    41.67    71.40    99.42    81.76P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   56  +23       6.72    81.58     7.23    87.40     5.75    32.47    38.00    67.65    99.26    78.32P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         30   55  +22       2.93    63.87     5.73    83.56     5.50    31.64    15.03    40.00    97.25    58.97P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        29   53   +9      10.84    91.86     4.92    76.96     5.53    10.47     1.82     6.78    74.14    19.11P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           30   51  +14       1.00    54.84     0.57    78.52     5.52    22.33     3.00    10.98    84.76    32.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       30   50  +12       6.85    80.22     8.61    73.43     5.42    14.44     0.28     1.77    53.09    11.43P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         30   48   +2       4.64    71.75    -1.55    71.81     5.47     4.98     0.14     0.95    37.62     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      30   47   +8       5.55    75.66     7.06    68.93     5.49     8.37     0.04     0.29    21.20     3.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         30   45   +5       2.61    63.14     2.56    67.28     5.48     5.64     0.02     0.11    14.20     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   30   42   +6      -0.98    45.53     2.68    64.62     5.48     7.15     0.00     0.04     6.73     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   30   40   -1      -3.49    33.65    -4.76    62.28     5.42    -0.36     0.00     0.01     2.61     0.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       30   40   -2      -1.63    42.45    -2.83    63.40     5.58     0.19     0.00     0.01     4.35     0.80P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR             30   39   +1      -4.73    28.46    -3.09    62.69     5.59     3.84     0.00     0.01     3.78     0.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         30   39   -1       0.05    50.93     1.07    59.79     5.38    -1.93     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.17P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         30   36   +0      -3.05    35.43     2.51    56.84     5.37    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.40R    0.01  
Leeds_United    30   36   -5      -0.68    47.32     0.65    55.76     5.26    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.69R    0.02  
Huddersfield    30   32   -4      -4.92    27.27     2.54    50.60     5.42    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.21R    0.44  
Blackburn       28   31   +0      -8.02    14.74    -1.59    55.95     5.76     0.76     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.97R    0.04  
Fulham          29   29   -5      -7.73    16.75     0.50    50.70     5.68    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.42R    0.62  
Bristol_City    30   28  -22      -4.11    30.94    -8.76    45.18     5.32   -29.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.60R    6.43  
MK_Dons         29   27  -18      -5.20    25.76    -7.28    46.10     5.56   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.05R    4.82  
Rotherham       30   25  -19      -5.30    24.66    -1.84    40.09     5.08   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.98R   25.34  
Bolton          30   24  -21      -8.99    12.09    -8.96    40.49     5.18   -29.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.76R   23.85  
Charlton        30   24  -30      -5.61    23.16   -12.74    39.04     5.05   -40.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.81R   38.42  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 February 2016, Barnsley 3 0 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    29   60  +16      16.57    97.80    10.49    85.55     5.90    19.44    35.72    60.01    97.46    67.54P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          29   56  +17      10.49    90.39     8.59    83.04     5.80    22.62    21.62    43.83    94.46    56.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            30   55  +21      -0.00    49.25     0.35    84.06     5.52    31.59    28.24    54.55    96.69    69.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       30   55  +19       7.86    82.53     9.86    80.52     5.73    24.44    11.19    28.31    88.76    42.40P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         30   49  +16       2.66    62.44     8.21    73.55     5.62    19.90     0.95     3.90    51.93    15.43P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         29   47   +9       1.83    58.52     0.80    73.42     5.94    13.59     1.16     4.22    48.50    15.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         29   47   +6       7.68    82.51     6.47    69.82     5.80     5.40     0.24     1.07    23.56     5.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     29   44  +13      -1.96    40.44     3.55    72.33     5.86    20.65     0.64     2.79    44.01    14.12P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        31   44   -1       3.67    67.34     2.11    64.38     5.37    -1.24     0.00     0.02     4.50     0.92P    0.18R    0.00  
Barnsley         29   42   +6      -1.78    41.55     0.13    67.46     5.86     9.27     0.08     0.46    15.43     4.14P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        29   42   +4      -2.77    36.74    -3.52    68.44     5.88     8.65     0.11     0.63    18.92     5.61P    0.06R    0.00  
Bradford         28   41   -3       3.83    69.36    -1.54    65.54     5.93    -2.95     0.04     0.17     8.04     1.70P    0.23R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       28   38   -4       2.48    63.05     0.49    60.91     5.96    -6.85     0.00     0.01     1.93     0.35P    2.31R    0.01  
Rochdale         28   37   -2      -0.78    46.45    -0.83    62.41     6.03    -1.16     0.01     0.03     3.39     0.72P    1.35R    0.00  
Bury             28   37   -7       3.80    69.06     1.20    57.88     5.98   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.10P    6.47R    0.07  
Doncaster        29   36   -4      -3.14    35.09    -3.14    58.58     5.85    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.15P    4.44R    0.04  
Swindon          30   36   -5      -7.79    17.78    -8.88    59.64     5.68    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.18P    2.92R    0.01  
Blackpool        29   33   -7      -3.57    33.54    -2.72    55.43     5.76    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P   12.33R    0.26  
Chesterfield     29   30  -11      -8.10    15.85    -8.12    53.30     5.84   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   20.74R    0.67  
Shrewsbury       30   30  -15      -5.53    25.47    -6.54    48.05     5.48   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.67R    3.69  
Fleetwood_Town   28   29   -3      -6.95    18.89     0.42    51.02     5.89    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   32.04R    1.34  
Crewe            29   26  -20      -2.58    37.82    -2.14    43.05     5.43   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.42R   19.45  
Oldham           27   24  -13      -7.49    15.88    -4.87    44.70     5.93   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.82R   11.98  
Colchester       29   22  -32      -5.81    22.81   -10.37    38.13     5.50   -44.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.94R   62.48  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          28   61  +20      15.79    97.62     9.64    89.61     6.16    25.86    60.49    93.04    99.65    94.46P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             29   56  +17       8.79    86.06     6.18    83.95     5.80    23.74    19.17    74.29    97.85    80.64P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   51  +19       7.81    84.17     9.94    82.11     6.24    26.41    15.28    63.94    94.95    72.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       29   47  +10       5.47    74.85     7.06    72.58     5.88    13.33     0.51     8.76    55.63    19.69P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            30   47   +9       7.30    81.41    10.82    67.56     5.51     7.18     0.04     1.57    22.23     5.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        30   46   +5      -4.81    28.44    -9.58    73.43     5.69    13.31     0.72    11.24    62.10    28.02P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           28   45  +20       0.12    50.56    10.34    74.68     6.04    27.37     1.65    18.56    71.10    34.15P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   45  +12       8.07    85.20    10.41    73.83     6.54    14.02     1.47    15.50    62.15    24.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        30   44   +3       4.04    68.97     5.07    64.51     5.65     0.74     0.01     0.42    10.25     2.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              28   43   +5       0.52    52.77    -1.14    70.48     6.00     9.13     0.24     5.01    40.74    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   42   +7       3.03    64.88     6.26    66.81     6.08     7.16     0.07     1.71    21.12     5.96P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             26   42   +5       5.99    77.91     4.91    69.08     6.61     4.03     0.33     4.50    32.95     9.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               28   40   -1       1.88    59.60    -0.23    64.05     6.07    -2.10     0.01     0.48     9.79     2.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                30   38   +1      -4.70    28.88    -1.40    61.42     5.66     3.15     0.00     0.11     4.00     1.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         30   37  -13      -2.73    37.64   -10.81    58.48     5.66   -13.79     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.26P    0.19R    0.03  
Morecambe            30   36   -3      -3.70    33.64    -0.22    57.75     5.71    -3.57     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.22P    0.19R    0.03  
Notts_County         27   36   -6      -3.28    34.67    -9.27    64.65     6.47    -2.19     0.03     0.84    13.07     4.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               28   33   -8       0.54    53.50     1.40    54.05     5.99   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    1.76R    0.31  
Stevenage            30   28  -15     -11.04     9.11   -11.46    48.30     5.65   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.57R    2.54  
Newport_County       28   27  -11      -6.33    21.00    -3.37    48.44     5.90   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.58R    2.67  
Yeovil               29   24  -14     -12.51     5.80    -9.37    45.31     5.82   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.00R    7.63  
Hartlepool           25   24  -18      -1.18    44.50    -4.34    44.97     6.19   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.07R   11.70  
Dag_&_Red            28   20  -21     -11.12     6.94    -9.44    39.91     5.85   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.45R   33.87  
York                 28   20  -23     -10.64     7.77   -11.40    39.08     5.71   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.13R   41.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Barrow 1 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       31   69  +39       5.98    77.08     7.30    98.80     5.07    53.05    81.63    99.99    88.48P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     32   68  +24      11.41    91.53     4.66    91.69     5.20    30.94    13.43    99.62    34.96P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          29   55  +36      -3.26    32.34     7.79    86.52     5.62    48.33     4.76    96.16    40.52P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         32   53  +11      -3.08    35.64    -7.14    76.38     5.20    17.11     0.02    49.36    11.79P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        29   50   +8       4.91    72.67     0.21    76.26     5.75    12.50     0.06    46.67     7.06P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           32   49  +13      -2.81    37.11     0.88    69.27     5.15    14.37     0.00     9.58     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   28   49  +12       6.99    81.73     6.62    76.26     5.83    15.91     0.08    47.46     7.84P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   30   49   +9       4.63    71.23     4.41    73.45     5.66    12.68     0.01    28.41     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     33   48   +6       2.17    60.14     5.41    65.94     4.92     5.93     0.00     2.09     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        30   48   -3       5.97    76.75    -4.05    68.53     5.52    -5.24     0.00     7.16     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     32   47   +9      -1.47    43.16     2.28    68.79     5.14    12.84     0.00     7.58     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          31   45  +10      -2.63    37.72     2.49    67.35     5.29    12.59     0.00     5.10     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        31   41   -7       1.36    57.38    -2.57    60.88     5.32    -8.01     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.07R    0.00  
Bromley          29   38   -2       2.22    61.08     5.89    60.47     6.03    -3.95     0.00     0.53     0.06P    0.29R    0.00  
Southport        31   38  -10       4.28    71.28     3.07    56.25     5.18   -13.35     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.07R    0.04  
Barrow           32   38  -17       4.85    72.88     1.53    54.21     5.18   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.10  
Chester          31   35  -11      -0.17    49.83     0.88    53.35     5.25   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.20  
Guiseley         30   34  -17       3.31    67.02    -0.86    49.02     5.19   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.16R    1.12  
Altrincham       29   31  -20       2.90    66.36    -1.50    50.89     5.68   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.83R    1.11  
Halifax          30   30  -19      -7.13    19.42   -11.64    48.32     5.45   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.68R    2.54  
Boreham_Wood     30   28   -8      -5.34    26.00     2.46    46.24     5.37   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.87R    3.97  
Welling          30   26  -16      -6.54    19.57    -3.38    42.46     5.17   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.03R   15.78  
Torquay          29   20  -27     -12.86     4.23   -15.29    42.73     5.79   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.19R   16.91  
Kidderminster    29   17  -20     -15.72     1.48    -9.44    36.72     5.57   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.20R   58.24