Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 February 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Aston_Villa 2 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        25   53  +20      15.44    98.18    15.35    73.11     4.91    23.46    31.76    58.45    79.54    93.01    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   48  +26       3.86    70.12    10.91    69.57     4.88    31.55    14.00    33.38    57.22    81.77    97.88     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   47  +21      -3.35    30.64    -5.09    72.64     4.71    33.45    32.66    59.89    80.25    93.48    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          24   45  +15       1.15    55.76    -1.53    70.89     4.93    25.25    19.77    41.38    64.57    85.75    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   40  +10      -1.64    40.54    -2.89    63.99     5.04    17.09     1.72     6.19    15.16    32.77    81.31     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   39   +9       3.62    69.33     7.50    57.21     4.89     9.60     0.04     0.28     1.09     4.09    30.35     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      25   37   +9      -2.41    37.01     1.43    57.46     4.86    12.86     0.04     0.24     1.08     4.14    33.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton          25   35  +12      -4.31    27.87     4.54    56.27     4.92    17.29     0.01     0.11     0.69     3.04    27.92     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        25   35   -4      -1.57    41.84    -7.18    54.61     4.99    -1.40     0.00     0.04     0.21     1.02    13.97     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          25   33   +0       3.14    67.53     6.74    49.63     4.87    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.38     0.20R    0.00  
Stoke            25   33   -7       2.15    62.40    -2.40    49.95     4.76    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     2.21     0.21R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   32   -4       2.49    64.68     2.85    47.54     4.73    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.69R    0.00  
Chelsea          24   29   -2     -12.15     4.11   -14.50    53.45     5.14     5.84     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.79    11.48     0.08R    0.00  
West_Brom        25   29   -9       0.18    51.90    -1.38    42.98     4.59   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     6.18R    0.11  
Bournemouth      24   28  -10       1.77    60.93     1.41    42.38     4.97   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     9.34R    0.26  
Swansea          25   27   -9      -3.97    29.29    -4.13    42.20     4.74   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.56R    0.24  
Newcastle        25   24  -18      -0.73    46.98    -2.21    37.42     4.62   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.45R    3.51  
Norwich          25   23  -20      -1.76    41.21    -3.67    35.57     4.59   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.57R    6.18  
Sunderland       25   20  -19      -4.23    26.91    -2.19    32.61     4.59   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.36R   16.16  
Aston_Villa      25   16  -20      -7.39    12.71    -3.54    26.96     4.29   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.37R   73.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Birmingham 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            29   56  +26       2.78    63.26     6.59    87.51     5.53    37.95    40.93    71.37    99.45    81.79P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   56  +23       6.64    81.10     7.11    87.53     5.74    32.63    38.93    68.15    99.30    78.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         30   55  +22       2.81    63.07     5.50    83.59     5.49    31.69    15.18    39.98    97.29    59.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        29   53   +9      10.96    91.90     5.08    76.97     5.57    10.48     1.71     6.86    73.97    19.01P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           30   51  +14       1.18    55.78     0.78    78.48     5.51    22.25     2.75    10.49    84.46    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       30   50  +12       6.82    80.17     8.55    73.49     5.43    14.51     0.33     1.80    53.61    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         30   48   +2       4.60    71.81    -1.61    71.87     5.51     5.10     0.11     0.91    38.08     7.83P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      30   47   +8       5.57    75.72     7.15    68.95     5.47     8.38     0.04     0.29    21.23     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         30   45   +5       2.82    63.90     2.88    67.23     5.49     5.56     0.01     0.11    14.24     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   30   42   +6      -0.84    46.20     2.90    64.47     5.42     6.95     0.00     0.02     6.38     1.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   30   40   -1      -3.68    32.81    -5.06    62.31     5.47    -0.29     0.00     0.01     2.82     0.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       30   40   -2      -1.50    43.16    -2.58    63.32     5.56     0.05     0.00     0.01     4.11     0.75P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR             30   39   +1      -4.82    28.09    -3.17    62.73     5.53     3.92     0.00     0.01     3.55     0.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Preston         30   39   -1       0.21    51.59     1.29    59.72     5.37    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.18P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading         30   36   +0      -2.95    36.11     2.68    56.80     5.38    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.45R    0.01  
Leeds_United    30   36   -5      -0.68    47.14     0.67    55.78     5.30    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.63R    0.01  
Huddersfield    30   32   -4      -5.05    26.66     2.32    50.60     5.43    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.43R    0.47  
Blackburn       28   31   +0      -8.10    14.52    -1.71    55.92     5.78     0.73     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    1.01R    0.05  
Fulham          29   29   -5      -7.75    16.79     0.43    50.73     5.70    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    7.34R    0.76  
Bristol_City    30   28  -22      -4.21    30.36    -8.89    45.20     5.35   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.60R    6.26  
MK_Dons         29   27  -18      -5.24    25.70    -7.32    46.09     5.50   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.46R    4.75  
Rotherham       30   25  -19      -5.44    24.47    -2.14    40.16     5.11   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.39R   25.25  
Bolton          30   24  -21      -8.95    12.04    -8.84    40.42     5.17   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.74R   24.20  
Charlton        30   24  -30      -5.53    23.52   -12.62    39.05     5.07   -40.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.82R   38.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Burton_Albion 3 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    29   60  +16      16.70    97.95    10.65    85.49     5.83    19.31    34.96    59.53    97.38    67.16P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          29   56  +17      10.54    90.52     8.62    83.10     5.81    22.70    21.56    43.67    94.59    56.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            30   55  +21       0.21    50.39     0.67    83.98     5.57    31.45    28.20    53.66    96.56    69.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       30   55  +19       7.78    82.31     9.76    80.59     5.73    24.53    11.67    28.54    88.91    42.80P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         29   48  +16       3.02    64.26     8.19    73.94     5.84    19.94     1.35     5.03    54.04    16.82P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         29   47   +9       1.50    57.14     0.34    73.58     5.97    13.85     1.19     4.54    49.86    16.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         29   47   +6       7.59    82.13     6.40    69.85     5.81     5.46     0.28     1.15    23.76     5.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     29   44  +13      -1.88    41.17     3.68    72.27     5.87    20.61     0.60     2.71    43.35    13.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        30   43   -1       4.15    69.53     2.22    64.68     5.56    -1.34     0.01     0.05     5.54     1.08P    0.26R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        29   42   +4      -2.77    36.77    -3.53    68.35     5.90     8.48     0.11     0.58    18.66     5.41P    0.08R    0.00  
Bradford         28   41   -3       4.03    70.09    -1.32    65.40     5.91    -3.13     0.02     0.16     7.78     1.57P    0.27R    0.00  
Barnsley         28   39   +3      -2.35    38.70    -1.22    65.92     6.07     6.35     0.04     0.28    10.71     2.74P    0.25R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       28   38   -4       2.37    62.25     0.38    60.89     6.01    -6.87     0.00     0.02     2.00     0.38P    2.44R    0.01  
Rochdale         28   37   -2      -0.92    45.96    -1.00    62.39     6.10    -1.17     0.00     0.05     3.56     0.73P    1.44R    0.01  
Bury             27   37   -4       4.04    70.38     2.42    59.29     6.22   -10.00     0.00     0.01     1.47     0.26P    4.62R    0.03  
Doncaster        29   36   -4      -3.10    35.46    -3.08    58.61     5.83    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.14P    4.54R    0.04  
Swindon          30   36   -5      -7.92    17.21    -9.04    59.62     5.68    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.22P    3.07R    0.02  
Blackpool        29   33   -7      -3.48    33.69    -2.66    55.43     5.78    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   12.74R    0.23  
Chesterfield     29   30  -11      -8.09    16.10    -8.08    53.31     5.81   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   21.17R    0.64  
Shrewsbury       29   29  -15      -5.31    25.79    -6.64    48.09     5.73   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.68R    4.16  
Fleetwood_Town   27   28   -3      -6.49    20.13     0.64    51.77     6.08    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.26R    1.17  
Crewe            29   26  -20      -2.40    38.86    -1.90    42.97     5.44   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.36R   19.97  
Oldham           27   24  -13      -7.55    16.07    -4.92    44.79     5.95   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.53R   11.78  
Colchester       29   22  -32      -5.89    22.61   -10.60    38.19     5.48   -44.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.24R   61.93  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          28   61  +20      15.53    97.36     9.26    89.81     6.13    26.12    61.78    93.33    99.77    94.83P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             29   56  +17       8.88    86.44     6.28    83.94     5.80    23.69    18.49    74.11    97.79    80.51P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   51  +19       7.82    84.16     9.96    82.15     6.26    26.45    14.70    63.85    95.16    72.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       29   47  +10       5.21    73.75     6.68    72.68     5.88    13.53     0.56     8.79    56.47    20.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            30   47   +9       7.24    81.19    10.79    67.58     5.51     7.20     0.06     1.55    22.38     5.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        30   46   +5      -4.88    28.28    -9.72    73.53     5.71    13.44     0.77    11.41    62.52    28.61P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           28   45  +20       0.08    50.43    10.32    74.64     6.05    27.30     1.55    18.35    70.70    33.66P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   45  +12       8.19    85.34    10.55    73.89     6.60    14.07     1.48    15.91    62.24    24.89P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        30   44   +3       4.02    68.83     5.08    64.51     5.62     0.75     0.01     0.41    10.29     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              28   43   +5       0.51    52.69    -1.15    70.45     6.06     9.07     0.27     5.05    40.54    14.33P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   42   +7       2.81    63.99     5.93    66.93     6.04     7.34     0.06     1.72    21.50     5.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             26   42   +5       5.99    78.02     4.91    69.02     6.58     3.93     0.24     4.20    32.32     9.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   40   -1       2.03    60.70    -0.06    63.95     6.07    -2.24     0.02     0.47     9.54     2.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                30   38   +1      -4.63    28.97    -1.27    61.42     5.64     3.11     0.00     0.08     3.73     0.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         30   37  -13      -2.69    38.07   -10.74    58.41     5.66   -13.88     0.00     0.02     0.97     0.25P    0.18R    0.02  
Morecambe            30   36   -3      -3.66    33.63    -0.16    57.74     5.72    -3.59     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.26P    0.20R    0.03  
Notts_County         27   36   -6      -3.21    35.04    -9.16    64.60     6.44    -2.26     0.02     0.75    12.69     3.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnet               28   33   -8       0.39    52.77     1.19    54.12     6.00   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    1.80R    0.36  
Stevenage            30   28  -15     -10.88     9.09   -11.21    48.23     5.63   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.60R    2.47  
Newport_County       28   27  -11      -6.34    21.28    -3.34    48.41     5.94   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.77R    2.63  
Yeovil               29   24  -14     -12.50     5.91    -9.39    45.31     5.82   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   21.29R    7.36  
Hartlepool           25   24  -18      -1.09    45.19    -4.21    44.96     6.24   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.19R   11.63  
Dag_&_Red            28   20  -21     -11.02     7.32    -9.29    39.86     5.84   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.42R   34.04  
York                 28   20  -23     -10.59     7.78   -11.26    38.99     5.74   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.47R   41.46  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 February 2016, Barrow 1 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       31   69  +39       6.07    77.36     7.47    98.71     5.10    52.89    80.86   100.00    88.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     32   68  +24      11.42    91.80     4.71    91.76     5.21    31.02    14.22    99.61    35.59P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          29   55  +36      -3.29    32.46     7.80    86.53     5.62    48.33     4.73    96.16    41.08P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         32   53  +11      -2.73    37.18    -6.64    76.28     5.19    16.95     0.03    48.26    11.15P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        29   50   +8       4.79    71.90     0.02    76.35     5.79    12.61     0.08    47.26     7.17P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           32   49  +13      -2.90    36.57     0.73    69.28     5.15    14.37     0.00     9.65     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   28   49  +12       7.05    82.17     6.66    76.23     5.83    15.85     0.08    47.51     7.74P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   30   49   +9       4.56    71.01     4.32    73.47     5.61    12.75     0.00    28.75     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     33   48   +6       2.15    60.00     5.39    65.97     4.95     5.98     0.00     2.24     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        30   48   -3       6.07    77.22    -3.87    68.44     5.48    -5.40     0.00     6.93     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     32   47   +9      -1.51    43.00     2.19    68.74     5.16    12.78     0.00     7.45     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          31   45  +10      -2.67    37.77     2.35    67.43     5.31    12.70     0.00     5.42     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        31   41   -7       1.45    57.79    -2.49    60.85     5.29    -8.03     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Bromley          29   38   -2       2.20    61.14     5.87    60.42     6.00    -4.00     0.00     0.55     0.06P    0.27R    0.00  
Southport        31   38  -10       4.30    71.19     3.12    56.23     5.17   -13.41     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.10R    0.04  
Barrow           32   38  -17       4.84    72.42     1.52    54.20     5.19   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.85R    0.10  
Chester          31   35  -11       0.05    51.17     1.18    53.30     5.22   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.89R    0.20  
Guiseley         30   34  -17       3.33    67.26    -0.73    48.97     5.18   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.60R    1.32  
Altrincham       29   31  -20       2.81    65.66    -1.67    50.92     5.68   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.73R    1.08  
Halifax          30   30  -19      -7.19    19.00   -11.69    48.33     5.45   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.70R    2.53  
Boreham_Wood     30   28   -8      -5.58    25.02     2.07    46.36     5.36   -12.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.47R    3.76  
Welling          30   26  -16      -6.51    20.22    -3.44    42.42     5.21   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.52R   15.99  
Torquay          29   20  -27     -12.89     4.36   -15.34    42.80     5.79   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.66R   17.03  
Kidderminster    29   17  -20     -15.78     1.41    -9.54    36.77     5.59   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.16R   57.96