Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 31 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 January 2016, Arsenal 0 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 23 47 +16 13.16 96.96 12.68 68.56 5.35 17.23 10.41 29.55 55.57 77.60 94.80 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 44 +22 -2.91 31.82 -3.27 74.43 5.08 37.85 53.18 78.67 91.26 97.17 99.75 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 44 +15 1.67 59.00 -1.48 72.00 5.15 26.45 27.46 60.39 80.68 92.35 98.94 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 42 +22 2.39 63.22 9.63 67.02 5.32 28.69 7.55 23.83 47.72 72.00 92.64 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 37 +7 -1.94 38.81 -3.97 62.41 5.27 14.12 1.15 5.39 15.45 31.83 72.13 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 23 36 +8 3.96 71.80 7.44 57.21 5.33 8.98 0.10 0.82 2.96 8.36 33.34 0.01R 0.00 Liverpool 23 34 -2 -0.18 49.19 -5.76 57.44 5.41 2.29 0.09 0.63 2.79 8.16 33.09 0.01R 0.00 Southampton 23 33 +8 -3.39 31.40 0.87 55.91 5.31 11.48 0.04 0.45 1.83 5.56 26.37 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 23 33 -1 2.86 66.57 0.73 52.86 5.17 -1.94 0.00 0.05 0.27 1.15 9.69 0.07R 0.00 Watford 23 32 +1 3.89 71.89 6.47 50.50 5.29 -2.24 0.00 0.03 0.17 0.67 4.99 0.32R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 23 31 -3 3.91 72.65 3.49 49.63 5.21 -5.56 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.33 3.28 0.55R 0.00 Everton 23 29 +6 -5.31 22.47 2.15 53.10 5.38 11.44 0.01 0.08 0.50 2.02 13.43 0.13R 0.00 Chelsea 23 28 -2 -11.69 4.30 -14.42 54.22 5.35 6.51 0.00 0.10 0.72 2.78 16.98 0.06R 0.00 West_Brom 23 28 -8 1.64 60.78 -0.64 44.92 5.09 -13.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.38 4.73R 0.07 Swansea 23 25 -9 -3.32 31.60 -4.16 42.97 5.15 -12.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 9.09R 0.23 Bournemouth 23 25 -11 0.19 52.36 0.69 40.18 5.15 -19.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 22.88R 0.93 Norwich 23 23 -15 -0.87 45.97 -1.80 38.65 5.15 -23.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 34.05R 2.29 Newcastle 23 21 -16 -1.82 40.31 -1.43 36.50 5.01 -24.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.45R 4.79 Sunderland 23 19 -18 -3.68 29.13 -3.06 32.70 4.91 -28.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.21R 15.17 Aston_Villa 23 13 -20 -8.14 9.04 -4.17 26.06 4.71 -31.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.46R 76.51Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2016, Bristol_City 0 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 28 56 +27 3.87 68.89 7.21 88.95 5.72 39.12 46.27 76.40 99.59 84.94P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 55 +23 7.39 84.25 7.64 88.38 5.94 33.31 38.21 71.07 99.35 80.72P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 28 51 +21 2.01 59.79 5.19 82.30 5.92 30.70 9.71 29.03 94.54 50.69P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 28 50 +6 10.31 91.20 3.48 75.16 5.78 7.21 0.73 3.65 61.85 13.95P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 49 +14 2.25 61.24 1.22 80.29 5.89 23.85 4.63 16.73 89.53 38.56P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 29 47 +9 6.84 80.84 8.01 70.59 5.68 9.76 0.09 0.59 32.32 6.04P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 46 +11 5.95 77.99 8.14 71.57 5.86 12.63 0.16 1.08 40.16 8.22P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 28 45 +2 4.28 70.90 -1.70 71.81 5.90 5.35 0.19 1.15 39.20 8.39P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 29 44 +5 3.29 66.22 3.09 68.28 5.67 6.56 0.01 0.19 20.01 3.81P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 29 40 +1 -1.27 44.07 -1.32 64.96 5.76 3.55 0.00 0.04 8.54 1.65P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 29 39 +5 -2.35 38.62 2.12 62.77 5.64 5.82 0.00 0.01 4.15 0.85P 0.02R 0.00 Wolverhampton 28 38 -1 -2.74 36.74 -4.71 63.72 5.88 0.68 0.00 0.03 5.84 1.22P 0.02R 0.00 QPR 29 36 +0 -5.97 23.29 -3.42 61.15 5.80 2.97 0.00 0.01 2.64 0.57P 0.08R 0.00 Leeds_United 29 36 -4 0.19 51.38 1.11 57.35 5.50 -6.31 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.06P 0.40R 0.01 Reading 28 35 +1 -1.90 40.46 2.80 58.49 5.82 -0.27 0.00 0.00 0.96 0.16P 0.26R 0.00 Preston 28 35 -2 -0.89 46.27 0.62 57.98 5.77 -3.75 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.12P 0.34R 0.01 Huddersfield 29 32 -3 -4.25 29.49 2.54 51.83 5.63 -8.19 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 4.47R 0.24 Blackburn 27 30 +0 -7.92 14.59 -1.90 55.57 5.93 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 1.21R 0.05 Fulham 28 28 -5 -7.56 16.92 0.21 50.91 5.94 -8.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 7.41R 0.77 MK_Dons 28 26 -18 -5.18 25.36 -7.52 45.89 5.76 -25.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.52R 5.25 Rotherham 29 25 -18 -4.44 28.69 -1.67 41.26 5.34 -29.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.29R 19.19 Bristol_City 29 25 -23 -5.44 24.57 -9.15 43.21 5.55 -30.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.57R 12.67 Charlton 29 24 -29 -4.55 27.33 -12.10 40.81 5.32 -38.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.23R 24.43 Bolton 28 20 -22 -10.16 7.98 -9.90 38.69 5.57 -30.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.18R 37.37League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2016, Blackpool 1 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 28 57 +14 15.85 97.53 9.79 83.72 6.05 17.16 27.54 50.46 95.55 59.59P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 29 54 +19 8.30 84.19 9.93 81.48 5.91 25.35 17.60 38.09 92.37 50.69P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 27 53 +19 9.70 89.52 9.77 83.73 6.22 25.99 30.19 53.27 95.58 63.86P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 29 52 +19 -0.86 45.06 -0.43 82.11 5.79 29.12 21.03 43.93 93.98 62.00P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 29 48 +16 3.07 64.71 8.29 73.82 5.83 19.74 1.62 5.92 57.03 18.11P 0.00R 0.00 Millwall 28 44 +6 1.11 55.37 -0.75 70.71 6.17 8.95 0.65 2.47 34.75 10.13P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 42 +6 -2.06 39.82 -2.52 69.97 6.05 10.90 0.46 1.82 30.74 9.56P 0.03R 0.00 Peterborough 28 41 +12 -3.19 34.54 3.16 70.62 6.07 19.60 0.53 2.24 36.83 11.69P 0.03R 0.00 Southend 27 41 +2 6.14 78.40 5.08 66.25 6.23 1.08 0.13 0.53 12.90 2.93P 0.35R 0.00 Bradford 27 41 -1 4.53 72.43 -0.51 66.99 6.15 -0.74 0.12 0.61 14.91 3.40P 0.21R 0.00 Port_Vale 29 40 -2 2.77 64.03 1.64 62.93 5.75 -2.60 0.01 0.03 4.10 0.81P 1.08R 0.00 Barnsley 28 39 +3 -2.30 39.25 -1.17 65.93 6.06 6.38 0.08 0.34 12.50 3.07P 0.32R 0.00 Scunthorpe 28 38 -4 2.56 63.29 0.68 60.95 5.97 -6.81 0.00 0.03 2.41 0.47P 2.81R 0.00 Rochdale 27 37 +0 0.04 50.67 0.34 64.60 6.29 2.10 0.03 0.21 9.35 2.14P 0.83R 0.00 Bury 27 37 -4 3.98 70.12 2.33 59.36 6.23 -9.95 0.00 0.02 1.78 0.29P 5.43R 0.06 Doncaster 28 36 -3 -2.34 38.76 -2.93 60.11 6.03 -3.80 0.00 0.02 1.95 0.40P 3.44R 0.02 Swindon 28 35 -4 -6.55 21.02 -8.66 61.09 6.12 -2.07 0.01 0.03 2.83 0.74P 2.89R 0.01 Blackpool 29 33 -7 -3.71 33.01 -2.98 55.51 5.76 -7.99 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 14.01R 0.23 Chesterfield 28 30 -10 -7.21 18.11 -7.81 54.78 6.05 -10.10 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 17.47R 0.41 Shrewsbury 28 29 -14 -4.45 29.21 -6.43 49.67 5.94 -20.17 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 50.70R 2.69 Fleetwood_Town 27 28 -3 -6.30 20.92 0.91 51.67 6.13 -6.47 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 32.89R 1.28 Oldham 27 24 -13 -7.74 15.14 -5.14 45.01 5.95 -20.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.69R 10.99 Crewe 28 23 -22 -3.70 32.00 -3.23 40.61 5.60 -33.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.07R 35.84 Colchester 28 22 -29 -5.51 23.54 -9.34 39.43 5.73 -41.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.71R 48.46League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 27 58 +18 14.99 97.11 8.90 88.39 6.37 24.50 51.99 87.54 99.31 90.30P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 29 56 +17 8.71 86.13 6.02 84.04 5.78 23.84 21.14 71.23 97.87 78.69P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 27 51 +19 7.75 83.89 9.85 82.20 6.24 26.53 16.49 60.29 95.17 69.56P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 47 +10 5.18 73.36 6.66 72.68 5.88 13.51 0.65 8.17 56.26 19.49P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 25 45 +14 8.88 87.57 11.47 75.76 6.84 16.81 3.42 22.59 72.09 32.23P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 26 44 +21 1.62 58.17 10.93 77.00 6.50 29.30 4.78 29.30 80.66 44.38P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 29 44 +8 5.96 77.20 10.33 65.86 5.71 6.01 0.03 0.80 15.55 3.47P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 27 43 +6 1.75 59.04 -0.31 72.08 6.26 10.46 0.71 7.92 51.14 18.99P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 29 43 +4 -5.96 23.98 -9.97 71.64 6.01 12.08 0.47 6.65 49.99 20.80P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 28 42 +7 2.89 64.38 6.05 66.88 6.05 7.25 0.07 1.56 21.43 6.03P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 29 41 +2 2.78 63.79 4.70 63.02 5.84 -0.14 0.00 0.23 7.18 1.54P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 28 40 -1 1.94 59.78 -0.11 64.07 6.12 -2.11 0.02 0.42 9.92 2.28P 0.02R 0.00 Carlisle 25 39 +3 4.71 73.08 3.53 67.11 6.88 1.36 0.21 2.57 24.13 6.75P 0.02R 0.00 Notts_County 27 36 -6 -3.24 34.82 -9.23 64.64 6.44 -2.23 0.03 0.60 12.74 3.85P 0.04R 0.01 Morecambe 28 35 -2 -2.55 37.97 -0.13 59.38 6.08 -2.78 0.00 0.04 2.54 0.60P 0.16R 0.03 Luton 28 34 +0 -5.61 24.62 -1.79 60.07 6.05 2.04 0.00 0.06 3.16 0.84P 0.19R 0.03 Crawley_Town 29 34 -14 -3.73 32.89 -10.78 56.46 5.93 -15.43 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.12P 0.93R 0.17 Barnet 28 33 -8 0.47 53.40 1.32 54.02 6.00 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 2.31R 0.52 Stevenage 29 28 -14 -10.05 10.57 -10.97 49.92 5.87 -16.38 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 7.66R 1.98 Newport_County 28 27 -11 -6.39 20.92 -3.37 48.49 5.94 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 11.72R 3.43 Hartlepool 25 24 -18 -1.08 45.09 -4.15 44.92 6.23 -30.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.98R 14.34 Yeovil 28 23 -14 -12.14 6.10 -9.33 45.36 6.04 -17.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.33R 9.96 Dag_&_Red 27 20 -20 -10.04 8.86 -8.84 41.11 6.04 -27.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.78R 31.38 York 27 20 -21 -10.20 8.29 -10.81 40.16 5.97 -29.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.86R 38.16National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2016, Aldershot 1 0 Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 31 67 +24 11.75 92.68 4.67 92.19 5.45 31.13 18.60 99.54 38.84P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 30 66 +38 5.02 73.55 7.41 98.01 5.27 53.42 75.83 99.99 84.94P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 29 55 +36 -3.22 33.03 7.79 86.39 5.63 48.15 5.17 95.76 40.34P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 28 50 +11 5.25 74.39 1.51 78.41 6.02 16.78 0.30 61.47 10.06P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 31 50 +10 -3.75 32.52 -6.81 75.33 5.41 16.92 0.03 41.42 9.77P 0.00 0.00 Woking 32 49 +13 -2.76 37.27 1.03 69.12 5.16 14.17 0.00 8.99 1.48P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 49 +9 4.64 71.35 4.45 73.55 5.64 12.84 0.01 28.51 3.97P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 32 47 +9 -1.54 43.09 2.16 68.74 5.12 12.79 0.00 7.21 1.31P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 47 -3 6.25 78.31 -4.13 69.14 5.76 -4.91 0.00 9.22 1.10P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 27 46 +11 5.94 78.39 6.37 75.09 6.09 15.51 0.07 39.54 6.89P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 32 45 +3 1.61 57.98 4.03 63.87 5.13 2.24 0.00 1.10 0.14P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 30 44 +10 -2.29 39.21 2.35 67.66 5.56 12.51 0.00 6.46 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 31 41 -7 1.47 57.73 -2.42 60.86 5.31 -8.07 0.00 0.23 0.02P 0.11R 0.00 Bromley 29 38 -2 2.15 60.79 5.73 60.50 6.04 -3.91 0.00 0.50 0.06P 0.37R 0.01 Southport 30 38 -9 5.04 74.28 3.31 57.04 5.37 -13.27 0.00 0.03 0.00P 1.10R 0.02 Barrow 30 37 -16 5.75 76.58 1.38 54.89 5.54 -22.78 0.00 0.02 0.00 3.28R 0.07 Chester 31 35 -11 0.01 50.95 1.08 53.36 5.26 -14.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.58R 0.14 Guiseley 30 34 -17 3.35 67.31 -0.69 48.94 5.20 -27.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.78R 0.94 Halifax 30 30 -19 -7.25 18.86 -11.73 48.29 5.47 -25.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.99R 1.95 Altrincham 28 30 -20 3.11 67.72 -1.72 51.10 5.87 -25.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.82R 0.91 Boreham_Wood 29 28 -6 -4.71 27.98 3.35 48.24 5.60 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.29R 1.82 Welling 28 25 -15 -5.34 24.12 -3.06 43.83 5.57 -23.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.38R 8.99 Torquay 29 20 -27 -12.90 4.36 -15.37 42.73 5.81 -28.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.75R 13.60 Kidderminster 28 14 -22 -16.94 0.78 -10.69 34.57 5.71 -28.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.54R 71.55