Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 January 2016, Arsenal 0 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        23   47  +16      13.40    97.08    13.05    68.46     5.30    17.07     9.79    28.61    54.59    76.66    94.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   44  +22      -2.97    31.35    -3.38    74.46     5.07    37.95    53.81    79.42    91.48    97.25    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   44  +15       1.64    58.88    -1.49    71.99     5.15    26.44    27.29    60.20    80.68    92.37    98.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   42  +22       2.40    62.97     9.60    67.04     5.31    28.71     7.68    23.96    47.74    71.71    92.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   37   +7      -2.13    37.78    -4.24    62.55     5.26    14.32     1.22     5.62    15.97    33.06    72.89     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         23   36   +8       3.80    70.83     7.22    57.26     5.32     9.08     0.08     0.77     3.09     8.38    33.49     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        23   34   -2       0.02    50.05    -5.45    57.39     5.45     2.23     0.08     0.71     2.86     8.01    32.54     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      23   33   +8      -3.50    30.56     0.70    55.94     5.29    11.52     0.04     0.44     1.86     5.60    26.42     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   33   -1       2.90    66.91     0.78    52.82     5.17    -2.02     0.00     0.03     0.30     1.29     9.62     0.07R    0.00  
Watford          23   32   +1       3.90    71.56     6.52    50.55     5.27    -2.20     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.61     4.90     0.31R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   -3       3.88    72.52     3.46    49.66     5.19    -5.53     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.30     3.24     0.61R    0.00  
Everton          23   29   +6      -5.35    22.33     2.04    53.12     5.39    11.43     0.01     0.11     0.53     2.11    13.47     0.11R    0.00  
Chelsea          23   28   -2     -11.67     4.35   -14.36    54.15     5.35     6.36     0.00     0.10     0.69     2.64    16.61     0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom        23   28   -8       1.61    60.27    -0.65    44.89     5.09   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.39     5.06R    0.07  
Swansea          23   25   -9      -3.27    32.14    -4.05    42.94     5.15   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     9.36R    0.23  
Bournemouth      23   25  -11       0.25    52.55     0.75    40.15     5.13   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    22.55R    1.02  
Norwich          23   23  -15      -0.82    46.23    -1.64    38.59     5.14   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.63R    2.36  
Newcastle        23   21  -16      -1.93    39.62    -1.68    36.60     5.04   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.52R    4.88  
Sunderland       23   19  -18      -3.71    28.87    -3.14    32.69     4.90   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.18R   14.89  
Aston_Villa      23   13  -20      -8.10     9.30    -4.04    26.04     4.70   -31.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.49R   76.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2016, Bristol_City 0 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            28   56  +27       3.76    68.21     7.05    88.94     5.72    39.14    45.53    76.21    99.60    84.70P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   55  +23       7.47    84.67     7.67    88.39     5.97    33.34    38.60    70.98    99.36    80.42P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         28   51  +21       2.05    60.22     5.29    82.30     5.91    30.69     9.82    28.88    94.48    50.51P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        28   50   +6      10.18    90.87     3.30    75.18     5.76     7.29     0.73     3.72    61.58    13.95P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           28   49  +14       2.13    60.82     0.96    80.36     5.91    23.94     4.80    17.01    89.36    38.74P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      29   47   +9       6.70    80.41     7.80    70.65     5.73     9.83     0.10     0.67    32.45     6.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   46  +11       5.83    77.41     7.96    71.64     5.82    12.73     0.19     1.10    40.48     8.46P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         28   45   +2       4.28    70.97    -1.67    71.81     5.89     5.37     0.20     1.11    39.01     8.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         29   44   +5       3.19    65.77     2.91    68.36     5.68     6.61     0.02     0.24    19.97     3.74P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   40   +1      -1.44    43.06    -1.56    65.12     5.75     3.79     0.00     0.04     8.80     1.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   29   39   +5      -2.37    38.51     2.08    62.79     5.68     5.83     0.00     0.01     4.21     0.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   28   38   -1      -2.69    36.73    -4.62    63.75     5.83     0.72     0.00     0.03     5.79     1.26P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             29   36   +0      -5.99    22.98    -3.50    61.21     5.80     3.11     0.00     0.00     2.64     0.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United    29   36   -4       0.46    52.96     1.44    57.25     5.51    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P    0.40R    0.01  
Reading         28   35   +1      -1.92    40.58     2.80    58.50     5.79    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.17P    0.26R    0.01  
Preston         28   35   -2      -0.98    45.65     0.51    58.07     5.73    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.11P    0.31R    0.00  
Huddersfield    29   32   -3      -4.24    29.78     2.54    51.84     5.64    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.14R    0.24  
Blackburn       27   30   +0      -8.07    14.10    -2.06    55.62     5.90    -0.13     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    1.22R    0.07  
Fulham          28   28   -5      -7.54    16.99     0.28    50.86     5.93    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    7.33R    0.77  
MK_Dons         28   26  -18      -4.92    26.48    -7.19    45.72     5.71   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.86R    5.27  
Rotherham       29   25  -18      -4.35    28.83    -1.43    41.16     5.31   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.39R   19.31  
Bristol_City    29   25  -23      -5.34    24.62    -8.99    43.15     5.52   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.44R   12.61  
Charlton        29   24  -29      -4.45    28.19   -11.85    40.66     5.36   -38.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.56R   25.10  
Bolton          28   20  -22     -10.05     8.34    -9.72    38.66     5.54   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.00R   36.61  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2016, Blackpool 1 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    28   57  +14      15.94    97.58     9.94    83.67     6.09    17.10    27.97    50.40    95.21    59.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       29   54  +19       8.44    84.82    10.23    81.33     5.90    25.10    17.35    37.90    91.96    50.23P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          27   53  +19       9.66    89.35     9.71    83.74     6.16    26.00    30.55    53.62    95.63    64.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            29   52  +19      -0.57    46.75    -0.04    81.96     5.79    28.84    20.39    43.36    93.57    61.62P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         29   48  +16       3.06    64.53     8.30    73.84     5.88    19.82     1.65     6.07    57.31    18.35P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         28   44   +6       1.05    55.02    -0.87    70.82     6.19     9.10     0.73     2.68    35.42    10.66P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   42   +6      -2.11    39.56    -2.61    69.99     6.08    10.93     0.45     1.88    30.91     9.48P    0.05R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   41  +12      -3.18    34.60     3.12    70.65     6.10    19.64     0.56     2.39    37.25    11.82P    0.03R    0.00  
Southend         27   41   +2       6.08    78.28     5.04    66.27     6.24     1.08     0.12     0.46    13.04     2.87P    0.40R    0.00  
Bradford         27   41   -1       4.61    73.08    -0.40    66.91     6.09    -0.85     0.09     0.49    14.30     3.29P    0.23R    0.00  
Port_Vale        29   40   -2       2.67    63.36     1.52    62.98     5.81    -2.56     0.01     0.05     4.42     0.84P    1.05R    0.00  
Barnsley         28   39   +3      -2.14    39.68    -0.89    65.81     6.03     6.19     0.08     0.38    11.92     3.11P    0.29R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       28   38   -4       2.44    62.94     0.44    61.03     6.00    -6.72     0.00     0.03     2.54     0.44P    2.87R    0.01  
Rochdale         27   37   +0      -0.08    50.09     0.10    64.67     6.29     2.26     0.04     0.21     9.43     2.24P    0.85R    0.01  
Bury             27   37   -4       3.92    69.58     2.22    59.39     6.25    -9.87     0.00     0.02     1.82     0.34P    5.35R    0.05  
Doncaster        28   36   -3      -2.32    38.58    -2.93    60.16     6.02    -3.76     0.01     0.02     2.03     0.44P    3.43R    0.02  
Swindon          28   35   -4      -6.65    20.35    -8.81    61.09     6.12    -2.05     0.00     0.05     2.76     0.65P    2.96R    0.02  
Blackpool        29   33   -7      -3.68    32.75    -2.94    55.55     5.79    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   14.16R    0.22  
Chesterfield     28   30  -10      -7.12    18.77    -7.68    54.73     6.07   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   17.97R    0.45  
Shrewsbury       28   29  -14      -4.41    29.09    -6.37    49.66     5.94   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.46R    2.61  
Fleetwood_Town   27   28   -3      -6.38    20.56     0.77    51.76     6.11    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   32.08R    1.24  
Oldham           27   24  -13      -7.65    15.46    -5.05    44.90     5.95   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.16R   11.57  
Crewe            28   23  -22      -3.95    30.60    -3.54    40.70     5.62   -33.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.76R   35.43  
Colchester       28   22  -29      -5.50    23.71    -9.26    39.42     5.71   -41.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.87R   48.36  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          27   58  +18      14.88    97.11     8.71    88.50     6.34    24.63    52.97    88.17    99.39    90.65P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             29   56  +17       8.83    86.31     6.21    83.93     5.79    23.68    20.51    70.76    97.78    78.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   51  +19       7.68    83.66     9.77    82.25     6.20    26.59    16.29    60.97    95.34    70.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       29   47  +10       5.31    74.07     6.84    72.60     5.88    13.40     0.60     7.94    55.82    18.71P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   45  +14       8.92    87.89    11.57    75.68     6.83    16.73     3.29    22.17    71.76    32.25P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           26   44  +21       1.62    58.30    11.00    77.00     6.49    29.22     4.77    28.93    80.63    43.83P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            29   44   +8       6.04    77.64    10.40    65.78     5.72     5.97     0.02     0.79    15.25     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   43   +6       1.65    58.42    -0.45    72.16     6.28    10.56     0.75     8.20    51.82    19.71P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        29   43   +4      -6.02    23.70   -10.03    71.70     5.96    12.19     0.53     6.63    50.68    21.12P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   42   +7       2.93    64.46     6.06    66.82     6.04     7.17     0.06     1.46    21.29     5.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        29   41   +2       2.59    62.94     4.45    63.10     5.83     0.01     0.01     0.23     7.41     1.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               28   40   -1       1.95    60.07    -0.12    64.07     6.08    -2.06     0.01     0.47     9.81     2.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle             25   39   +3       4.79    73.44     3.60    66.98     6.82     1.19     0.17     2.40    23.35     6.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County         27   36   -6      -3.19    35.06    -9.13    64.62     6.41    -2.21     0.02     0.72    12.76     3.86P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            28   35   -2      -2.48    38.21    -0.04    59.35     6.16    -2.79     0.00     0.08     2.79     0.64P    0.23R    0.04  
Luton                28   34   +0      -5.63    24.31    -1.86    60.09     6.05     2.04     0.00     0.08     3.26     0.83P    0.14R    0.02  
Crawley_Town         29   34  -14      -3.86    32.65   -10.96    56.54     5.97   -15.27     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.16P    0.87R    0.17  
Barnet               28   33   -8       0.50    53.33     1.37    54.05     5.97   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    2.26R    0.55  
Stevenage            29   28  -14     -10.05    10.97   -10.99    49.87     5.90   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.92R    2.11  
Newport_County       28   27  -11      -6.32    21.32    -3.27    48.41     5.95   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.89R    3.51  
Hartlepool           25   24  -18      -1.19    44.73    -4.25    45.03     6.24   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.38R   14.07  
Yeovil               28   23  -14     -12.12     5.84    -9.35    45.41     6.03   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.32R    9.53  
Dag_&_Red            27   20  -20     -10.13     8.86    -8.94    41.13     6.07   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.48R   31.15  
York                 27   20  -21     -10.10     8.72   -10.60    40.09     5.96   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.42R   38.84  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 January 2016, Aldershot 1 0 Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     31   67  +24      11.74    92.57     4.66    92.21     5.42    31.15    18.61    99.59    38.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       30   66  +38       4.91    73.05     7.19    98.06     5.30    53.52    75.90    99.99    85.22P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          29   55  +36      -3.14    33.30     7.93    86.40     5.61    48.13     5.10    95.84    40.58P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        28   50  +11       5.27    74.17     1.52    78.39     6.03    16.77     0.29    61.46     9.93P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         31   50  +10      -3.75    32.44    -6.87    75.37     5.39    17.03     0.04    41.56     9.78P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           32   49  +13      -2.79    37.35     0.98    69.20     5.18    14.25     0.00     9.17     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   30   49   +9       4.65    71.49     4.49    73.49     5.59    12.78     0.01    27.83     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     32   47   +9      -1.47    43.26     2.24    68.77     5.18    12.82     0.00     7.34     1.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        29   47   -3       6.28    78.27    -4.06    69.19     5.74    -4.86     0.00     9.48     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   27   46  +11       5.83    78.09     6.23    75.13     6.06    15.61     0.06    39.77     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     32   45   +3       1.58    57.83     3.99    63.83     5.13     2.18     0.00     1.05     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          30   44  +10      -2.27    39.47     2.47    67.64     5.54    12.44     0.00     6.13     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        31   41   -7       1.40    57.28    -2.53    60.94     5.35    -7.96     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.08R    0.00  
Bromley          29   38   -2       2.20    60.99     5.84    60.51     6.04    -3.92     0.00     0.49     0.06P    0.35R    0.01  
Southport        30   38   -9       4.93    74.09     3.15    57.04     5.37   -13.27     0.00     0.04     0.00P    1.06R    0.00  
Barrow           30   37  -16       5.95    77.32     1.70    54.74     5.55   -23.04     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.44R    0.07  
Chester          31   35  -11      -0.04    50.68     1.07    53.31     5.28   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.58R    0.13  
Guiseley         30   34  -17       3.48    67.70    -0.46    48.81     5.16   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.53R    0.86  
Halifax          30   30  -19      -7.13    19.45   -11.61    48.23     5.45   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.30R    2.05  
Altrincham       28   30  -20       3.02    67.01    -1.87    51.23     5.91   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.41R    0.95  
Boreham_Wood     29   28   -6      -4.93    27.22     3.06    48.39     5.58    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.22R    1.63  
Welling          28   25  -15      -5.31    23.89    -3.04    43.79     5.55   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.49R    9.12  
Torquay          29   20  -27     -12.81     4.38   -15.29    42.69     5.82   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.95R   13.95  
Kidderminster    28   14  -22     -16.99     0.73   -10.79    34.54     5.72   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.60R   71.22