Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 28 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 January 2016, Arsenal 0 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 23 47 +16 13.16 96.94 12.66 68.63 5.34 17.30 10.56 29.96 56.04 77.40 94.85 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 44 +22 -3.02 31.32 -3.45 74.47 5.10 37.95 53.61 79.16 91.48 97.17 99.73 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 44 +15 1.67 59.09 -1.48 71.96 5.14 26.45 27.07 59.97 80.57 92.44 98.92 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 42 +22 2.48 63.67 9.77 66.96 5.32 28.61 7.41 23.41 47.17 71.66 92.75 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 37 +7 -2.02 38.26 -4.08 62.49 5.21 14.20 1.07 5.36 15.27 32.16 72.54 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 23 36 +8 3.82 71.02 7.28 57.22 5.34 8.96 0.09 0.78 3.03 8.34 33.21 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 23 34 -2 -0.12 49.40 -5.64 57.39 5.42 2.23 0.09 0.64 2.75 7.82 32.38 0.01R 0.00 Southampton 23 33 +8 -3.62 30.34 0.56 56.02 5.33 11.68 0.07 0.45 1.93 5.81 27.14 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 23 33 -1 2.93 67.07 0.83 52.89 5.18 -1.92 0.01 0.07 0.29 1.31 9.69 0.07R 0.00 Watford 23 32 +1 3.92 71.70 6.51 50.56 5.30 -2.15 0.00 0.04 0.20 0.72 5.16 0.28R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 23 31 -3 4.00 73.27 3.63 49.59 5.18 -5.61 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.29 3.10 0.62R 0.00 Everton 23 29 +6 -5.37 22.29 2.06 53.13 5.39 11.47 0.00 0.08 0.51 2.07 13.46 0.12R 0.00 Chelsea 23 28 -2 -11.63 4.42 -14.38 54.16 5.39 6.39 0.01 0.09 0.69 2.80 16.53 0.06R 0.00 West_Brom 23 28 -8 1.66 60.63 -0.57 44.94 5.10 -13.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.37 4.87R 0.05 Swansea 23 25 -9 -3.24 32.01 -4.05 42.89 5.17 -12.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 9.60R 0.28 Bournemouth 23 25 -11 0.27 52.82 0.83 40.13 5.11 -20.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 22.60R 0.98 Norwich 23 23 -15 -0.86 45.98 -1.71 38.62 5.18 -23.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 34.18R 2.30 Newcastle 23 21 -16 -1.90 40.12 -1.63 36.55 5.01 -24.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.55R 4.97 Sunderland 23 19 -18 -3.60 29.61 -2.95 32.62 4.93 -29.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.49R 15.35 Aston_Villa 23 13 -20 -8.17 8.97 -4.16 26.05 4.72 -31.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.53R 76.07Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Brentford 1 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Hull 28 56 +27 3.80 68.63 7.08 88.89 5.72 39.03 45.28 75.74 99.59 84.55P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 55 +23 7.21 83.76 7.41 88.54 5.90 33.47 39.27 72.30 99.48 81.58P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 28 51 +21 2.10 60.14 5.34 82.22 5.93 30.53 9.57 28.65 94.39 50.85P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 28 50 +6 10.33 91.19 3.50 75.18 5.74 7.27 0.72 3.55 62.25 13.98P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 49 +14 2.21 60.95 1.11 80.27 5.91 23.85 4.65 16.41 89.55 37.96P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 46 +11 5.92 77.56 8.13 71.56 5.83 12.62 0.14 1.10 40.40 8.33P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 28 46 +9 7.20 82.57 8.04 71.22 5.91 10.09 0.17 1.05 37.29 7.20P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 28 45 +2 4.31 71.12 -1.58 71.76 5.89 5.26 0.19 1.04 39.24 8.19P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 28 41 +4 1.91 59.86 2.41 66.53 5.89 5.39 0.01 0.10 13.80 2.67P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 29 40 +1 -1.27 43.99 -1.29 65.02 5.76 3.68 0.00 0.02 8.63 1.56P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 29 39 +5 -2.42 38.31 2.02 62.74 5.62 5.79 0.00 0.01 4.32 0.86P 0.02R 0.00 Wolverhampton 28 38 -1 -2.75 36.36 -4.76 63.63 5.87 0.55 0.00 0.01 5.82 1.19P 0.02R 0.00 QPR 29 36 +0 -5.96 23.17 -3.40 61.27 5.78 3.17 0.00 0.01 2.70 0.59P 0.07R 0.00 Leeds_United 29 36 -4 0.34 52.59 1.26 57.35 5.52 -6.31 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.05P 0.43R 0.01 Reading 28 35 +1 -1.94 40.63 2.75 58.52 5.79 -0.22 0.00 0.01 1.02 0.22P 0.32R 0.00 Preston 28 35 -2 -0.82 46.33 0.67 58.06 5.77 -3.64 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.11P 0.34R 0.01 Huddersfield 28 32 -2 -3.14 34.51 3.09 53.32 5.81 -6.95 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 3.04R 0.14 Blackburn 27 30 +0 -7.84 14.94 -1.77 55.42 5.91 -0.45 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.06P 1.41R 0.04 Fulham 28 28 -5 -7.38 17.31 0.54 50.86 5.92 -8.07 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 7.66R 0.66 MK_Dons 28 26 -18 -5.03 25.87 -7.35 45.85 5.73 -25.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.84R 4.57 Rotherham 28 25 -15 -4.05 29.82 -0.39 43.56 5.58 -24.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.58R 9.12 Bristol_City 28 24 -23 -5.24 24.87 -9.16 43.49 5.74 -31.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.46R 10.49 Charlton 28 21 -32 -5.31 23.04 -13.76 38.20 5.45 -43.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.02R 41.82 Bolton 28 20 -22 -10.15 8.18 -9.87 38.66 5.56 -30.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.77R 33.15League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Blackpool 0 0 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 27 57 +15 16.83 98.40 10.23 85.33 6.25 18.49 33.69 57.52 96.69 64.96P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 28 54 +20 9.48 88.07 10.61 83.04 6.14 26.70 22.67 44.81 94.06 56.06P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 27 53 +19 9.69 89.42 9.73 83.72 6.22 26.00 26.10 49.12 95.04 60.52P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 28 49 +16 -1.09 44.17 -1.43 80.57 5.99 26.21 12.09 29.64 88.68 50.12P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 28 48 +17 4.02 68.90 8.64 76.17 6.06 22.22 3.41 10.74 69.66 24.96P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 27 43 +6 1.80 58.86 -0.27 72.06 6.40 10.51 1.06 3.65 41.08 12.65P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 42 +6 -2.13 39.67 -2.61 70.06 6.05 11.02 0.35 1.49 29.05 8.77P 0.04R 0.00 Peterborough 28 41 +12 -3.16 34.48 3.17 70.71 6.14 19.73 0.45 1.87 35.45 10.76P 0.03R 0.00 Southend 27 41 +2 6.15 78.45 5.14 66.34 6.20 1.14 0.09 0.41 11.81 2.45P 0.27R 0.00 Port_Vale 28 40 +1 2.90 64.58 2.82 64.17 5.97 0.19 0.01 0.08 6.24 1.30P 0.61R 0.00 Bradford 26 38 -2 3.47 68.19 -0.70 65.31 6.35 -1.80 0.05 0.28 9.62 2.18P 0.55R 0.00 Bury 27 37 -4 3.77 68.90 2.01 59.48 6.21 -9.75 0.00 0.02 1.62 0.27P 4.83R 0.04 Barnsley 27 36 +2 -3.72 32.01 -1.81 63.81 6.31 4.57 0.02 0.18 7.02 1.82P 0.87R 0.00 Doncaster 28 36 -3 -2.31 38.90 -2.92 60.16 6.01 -3.75 0.00 0.01 1.66 0.37P 3.21R 0.02 Swindon 27 35 -3 -5.63 23.98 -8.44 63.09 6.33 -0.17 0.01 0.07 5.37 1.33P 1.51R 0.01 Scunthorpe 27 35 -5 1.04 56.08 -0.14 58.46 6.13 -9.16 0.00 0.00 1.08 0.18P 6.53R 0.04 Rochdale 26 34 -1 -1.27 43.93 -0.16 62.75 6.51 0.79 0.01 0.09 5.45 1.20P 1.76R 0.02 Blackpool 28 30 -8 -4.99 27.12 -3.39 53.48 6.03 -9.60 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 22.70R 0.68 Chesterfield 28 30 -10 -7.04 19.14 -7.53 54.62 6.06 -10.34 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 17.09R 0.45 Shrewsbury 28 29 -14 -4.40 29.33 -6.35 49.53 5.92 -20.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.70R 2.62 Fleetwood_Town 26 28 -2 -5.42 23.62 1.22 53.09 6.29 -5.38 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 23.95R 0.76 Oldham 27 24 -13 -7.46 15.85 -4.76 44.84 5.94 -20.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.10R 10.92 Crewe 27 22 -22 -3.70 31.45 -3.71 40.18 5.78 -34.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.84R 38.31 Colchester 28 22 -29 -5.56 23.67 -9.33 39.47 5.72 -41.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.39R 46.11League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Leyton_Orient 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Northampton 27 58 +18 14.91 97.08 8.80 88.41 6.39 24.55 48.09 86.37 99.29 89.28P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 28 56 +18 10.01 89.74 6.87 85.66 6.01 25.24 28.01 77.18 98.73 82.97P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 27 51 +19 7.73 83.82 9.78 82.17 6.24 26.48 14.52 57.96 95.08 67.74P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 28 47 +11 6.38 78.38 7.47 74.33 6.15 14.90 1.21 12.50 65.63 24.65P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 26 44 +21 1.51 57.54 10.79 77.07 6.53 29.35 4.23 27.86 80.79 43.16P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 28 43 +6 -5.13 26.20 -8.82 74.08 6.14 15.74 1.23 12.26 65.35 30.12P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 24 42 +13 7.57 84.63 11.00 73.95 7.04 15.51 1.95 14.88 61.99 24.22P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 27 42 +8 4.10 69.94 6.75 68.52 6.23 8.64 0.20 2.64 29.51 7.95P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 41 +7 4.63 72.25 9.81 63.90 5.90 4.57 0.01 0.34 9.67 1.98P 0.01R 0.00 Wycombe 26 40 +5 0.14 51.16 -1.24 70.27 6.46 9.25 0.40 4.83 39.93 13.96P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 25 39 +3 4.72 73.34 3.49 67.00 6.87 1.19 0.13 2.21 23.13 6.29P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 38 +0 1.43 57.58 3.10 60.63 6.02 -3.37 0.00 0.09 3.59 0.73P 0.06R 0.00 Exeter 27 37 -3 1.24 56.66 -0.64 62.32 6.28 -4.27 0.01 0.21 6.22 1.36P 0.05R 0.01 Morecambe 27 35 -1 -1.34 43.75 0.58 61.20 6.32 -1.06 0.00 0.17 5.25 1.31P 0.07R 0.01 Luton 27 34 +2 -4.85 27.10 -0.73 61.87 6.36 4.65 0.01 0.20 6.58 1.82P 0.07R 0.00 Crawley_Town 28 34 -13 -2.89 36.70 -10.52 58.11 6.19 -14.01 0.00 0.02 1.42 0.36P 0.43R 0.04 Notts_County 26 33 -8 -3.97 31.02 -9.75 62.30 6.68 -5.38 0.01 0.26 7.45 2.03P 0.12R 0.01 Barnet 28 33 -8 0.53 53.65 1.45 54.04 6.02 -13.70 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 1.81R 0.33 Stevenage 28 28 -13 -8.78 13.50 -10.20 51.70 6.08 -14.81 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 4.16R 0.97 Newport_County 27 24 -12 -7.75 15.52 -3.95 46.45 6.12 -17.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.96R 5.28 Hartlepool 24 24 -16 -0.60 47.85 -3.43 46.48 6.45 -27.75 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 21.07R 7.61 Yeovil 27 20 -15 -13.61 3.42 -10.13 43.34 6.23 -18.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.62R 13.79 Dag_&_Red 27 20 -20 -10.25 8.51 -9.10 41.25 6.08 -27.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.09R 24.54 York 26 17 -22 -11.63 5.08 -11.38 38.02 6.12 -31.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.47R 47.42National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Altrincham 3 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 30 64 +23 10.74 91.16 4.58 90.78 5.65 30.44 16.02 99.09 36.31P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 29 63 +35 4.88 73.28 6.96 97.01 5.43 51.47 70.89 99.97 82.01P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 28 55 +37 -1.95 38.78 8.47 88.57 5.83 50.40 12.43 97.85 46.51P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 27 49 +11 5.76 76.67 1.69 79.04 6.23 17.12 0.58 65.50 10.67P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 49 +9 4.63 71.18 4.36 73.48 5.61 12.73 0.00 29.11 4.08P 0.00 0.00 Woking 31 48 +13 -2.28 39.38 1.24 70.49 5.36 15.73 0.00 14.63 2.47P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 31 47 +10 -0.61 47.05 2.51 69.89 5.35 13.46 0.00 11.42 1.96P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 30 47 +9 -4.86 27.68 -6.96 74.41 5.60 17.07 0.02 36.50 8.79P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 28 44 -4 4.86 73.26 -4.75 66.78 5.92 -7.09 0.00 5.22 0.68P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 29 43 +10 -2.05 40.04 2.17 67.82 5.73 12.16 0.00 7.61 1.26P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 26 43 +9 5.20 75.89 5.62 73.53 6.31 13.64 0.05 31.01 5.02P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 31 42 +2 0.38 52.33 3.65 62.76 5.34 2.00 0.00 0.93 0.11P 0.02R 0.00 Bromley 28 38 +1 2.25 61.24 6.33 61.33 6.21 -1.92 0.00 0.98 0.11P 0.35R 0.01 Aldershot 30 38 -8 0.29 52.38 -2.68 59.46 5.53 -8.75 0.00 0.13 0.01P 0.44R 0.01 Southport 30 38 -9 4.91 74.09 3.11 57.02 5.36 -13.31 0.00 0.03 0.00P 1.23R 0.04 Barrow 29 36 -16 5.91 77.54 0.87 54.45 5.77 -24.26 0.00 0.02 0.00 4.98R 0.19 Chester 30 35 -9 0.54 53.43 1.88 54.51 5.45 -12.99 0.00 0.01 0.00 3.83R 0.11 Guiseley 29 34 -16 4.00 70.43 -0.69 49.82 5.38 -27.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.30R 1.00 Altrincham 28 30 -20 3.17 67.87 -1.61 51.05 5.89 -25.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.27R 1.25 Halifax 29 29 -19 -6.63 20.50 -11.41 49.12 5.69 -24.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.64R 2.27 Boreham_Wood 29 28 -6 -4.77 28.03 3.33 48.32 5.62 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.86R 2.27 Welling 27 24 -15 -5.03 24.87 -3.13 43.85 5.81 -24.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.95R 12.05 Torquay 28 20 -26 -12.10 5.15 -15.29 43.44 5.97 -28.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.67R 14.50 Kidderminster 27 14 -21 -16.03 1.01 -10.24 35.72 5.97 -27.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.45R 66.31