Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 January 2016, Arsenal 0 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        23   47  +16      13.20    97.04    12.76    68.57     5.31    17.24    10.14    29.23    55.43    77.58    95.09     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   44  +22      -2.96    31.84    -3.33    74.42     5.11    37.91    52.92    78.77    91.27    97.04    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   44  +15       1.62    58.66    -1.56    72.03     5.16    26.49    27.90    60.42    80.65    92.36    98.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   42  +22       2.36    63.04     9.58    67.04     5.34    28.69     7.59    23.91    47.59    71.67    92.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   37   +7      -2.00    38.27    -4.04    62.49     5.26    14.19     1.19     5.60    15.82    32.97    72.51     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         23   36   +8       3.80    71.00     7.22    57.19     5.28     8.97     0.08     0.70     2.94     8.24    33.03     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        23   34   -2      -0.14    49.43    -5.63    57.41     5.40     2.25     0.10     0.65     2.71     7.62    32.52     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      23   33   +8      -3.53    30.65     0.66    55.99     5.30    11.59     0.05     0.44     1.84     5.62    27.03     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   33   -1       2.87    66.70     0.72    52.91     5.16    -1.90     0.01     0.05     0.28     1.28     9.78     0.07R    0.00  
Watford          23   32   +1       4.01    72.20     6.68    50.40     5.26    -2.41     0.01     0.04     0.16     0.58     4.67     0.32R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   -3       3.87    72.60     3.40    49.67     5.20    -5.49     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.33     3.33     0.52R    0.00  
Everton          23   29   +6      -5.25    22.86     2.22    53.04     5.40    11.38     0.01     0.10     0.51     2.00    13.29     0.13R    0.00  
Chelsea          23   28   -2     -11.57     4.56   -14.28    54.16     5.37     6.39     0.01     0.09     0.72     2.68    16.66     0.08R    0.00  
West_Brom        23   28   -8       1.54    60.23    -0.76    45.01     5.09   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.39     4.72R    0.05  
Swansea          23   25   -9      -3.15    32.48    -3.92    42.83     5.18   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     9.93R    0.31  
Bournemouth      23   25  -11       0.19    52.37     0.67    40.20     5.13   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    22.61R    0.99  
Norwich          23   23  -15      -0.94    45.76    -1.84    38.73     5.16   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    33.58R    2.24  
Newcastle        23   21  -16      -1.83    40.17    -1.52    36.54     5.02   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.24R    4.76  
Sunderland       23   19  -18      -3.73    28.76    -3.17    32.70     4.90   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.17R   14.77  
Aston_Villa      23   13  -20      -7.97     9.47    -3.86    25.96     4.71   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.60R   76.89  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Brentford 1 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            28   56  +27       3.87    68.94     7.18    88.85     5.71    39.00    45.51    75.96    99.63    84.57P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   55  +23       7.42    84.66     7.66    88.34     5.90    33.21    38.69    71.34    99.45    80.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         28   51  +21       2.00    59.85     5.18    82.29     5.92    30.64     9.97    29.11    94.56    51.18P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        28   50   +6      10.44    91.50     3.64    75.14     5.76     7.23     0.72     3.55    61.76    13.81P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           28   49  +14       2.37    61.89     1.34    80.15     5.95    23.66     4.56    16.44    88.64    37.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   46  +11       5.82    77.45     7.98    71.64     5.83    12.68     0.17     1.19    41.11     8.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      28   46   +9       7.00    81.96     7.77    71.30     5.91    10.18     0.19     1.11    37.52     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         28   45   +2       4.27    70.72    -1.67    71.75     5.90     5.30     0.17     1.09    39.17     8.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         28   41   +4       2.15    61.27     2.72    66.45     5.91     5.24     0.01     0.13    13.72     2.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       29   40   +1      -1.35    43.44    -1.36    65.03     5.73     3.65     0.01     0.04     8.72     1.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   29   39   +5      -2.42    38.24     1.98    62.73     5.67     5.78     0.00     0.01     4.24     0.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   28   38   -1      -2.78    36.40    -4.79    63.72     5.88     0.70     0.00     0.02     6.11     1.28P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             29   36   +0      -6.12    22.63    -3.67    61.45     5.79     3.44     0.00     0.00     2.95     0.68P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United    29   36   -4       0.15    51.59     1.02    57.38     5.50    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.36R    0.00  
Reading         28   35   +1      -1.84    40.98     2.87    58.47     5.79    -0.30     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.17P    0.26R    0.01  
Preston         28   35   -2      -0.87    46.12     0.61    58.08     5.72    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.13P    0.32R    0.00  
Huddersfield    28   32   -2      -3.10    34.73     3.14    53.30     5.83    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.97R    0.10  
Blackburn       27   30   +0      -8.14    13.99    -2.15    55.65     5.93    -0.12     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    1.33R    0.04  
Fulham          28   28   -5      -7.53    17.01     0.31    50.96     5.89    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.34R    0.66  
MK_Dons         28   26  -18      -4.90    26.33    -7.09    45.76     5.73   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.33R    4.48  
Rotherham       28   25  -15      -3.90    30.39    -0.15    43.49     5.58   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.68R    9.12  
Bristol_City    28   24  -23      -5.26    24.66    -9.14    43.48     5.80   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.64R   10.92  
Charlton        28   21  -32      -5.20    23.66   -13.64    38.17     5.45   -43.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.08R   41.47  
Bolton          28   20  -22     -10.07     8.22    -9.75    38.61     5.55   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.57R   33.20  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Blackpool 0 0 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    27   57  +15      16.91    98.56    10.33    85.31     6.27    18.47    33.40    57.12    96.67    65.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       28   54  +20       9.30    87.80    10.31    83.13     6.13    26.87    23.52    46.14    94.36    56.94P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          27   53  +19       9.80    89.75     9.90    83.63     6.15    25.85    25.86    48.73    95.09    59.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            28   49  +16      -1.15    43.85    -1.47    80.54     6.03    26.17    12.28    29.90    88.79    50.49P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         28   48  +17       4.45    70.99     9.28    75.91     6.07    21.88     3.02     9.97    67.63    23.67P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         27   43   +6       1.71    58.33    -0.40    72.16     6.34    10.61     1.01     3.64    42.09    12.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   42   +6      -2.11    39.68    -2.53    70.05     6.04    11.00     0.31     1.44    29.27     8.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   41  +12      -3.15    34.94     3.16    70.69     6.11    19.66     0.40     1.87    35.30    10.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Southend         27   41   +2       6.15    78.52     5.12    66.31     6.24     1.13     0.08     0.39    11.84     2.50P    0.32R    0.00  
Port_Vale        28   40   +1       2.92    65.12     2.86    64.11     5.97     0.11     0.01     0.13     6.17     1.28P    0.64R    0.00  
Bradford         26   38   -2       3.31    67.38    -0.91    65.44     6.28    -1.60     0.05     0.27     9.66     2.25P    0.51R    0.00  
Bury             27   37   -4       3.99    70.06     2.30    59.38     6.20    -9.88     0.00     0.01     1.59     0.28P    4.95R    0.04  
Barnsley         27   36   +2      -3.60    32.69    -1.65    63.83     6.30     4.58     0.02     0.14     7.20     1.77P    1.01R    0.00  
Doncaster        28   36   -3      -2.31    38.97    -2.87    60.16     6.01    -3.73     0.00     0.01     1.72     0.35P    3.27R    0.03  
Swindon          27   35   -3      -5.57    24.33    -8.29    63.03     6.38    -0.26     0.01     0.10     5.50     1.49P    1.66R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       27   35   -5       0.84    55.13    -0.45    58.61     6.16    -8.95     0.00     0.01     1.13     0.24P    6.41R    0.06  
Rochdale         26   34   -1      -1.32    43.50    -0.28    62.79     6.53     0.86     0.02     0.13     5.61     1.24P    1.88R    0.01  
Blackpool        28   30   -8      -4.87    27.31    -3.23    53.39     6.00    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   23.09R    0.70  
Chesterfield     28   30  -10      -7.21    18.17    -7.83    54.74     6.03   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.05P   16.92R    0.38  
Shrewsbury       28   29  -14      -4.65    28.30    -6.70    49.70     5.95   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   48.48R    2.50  
Fleetwood_Town   26   28   -2      -5.45    23.70     1.15    52.96     6.27    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   24.87R    0.77  
Oldham           27   24  -13      -7.52    15.84    -4.83    44.92     5.94   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.50R   10.76  
Crewe            27   22  -22      -3.69    31.35    -3.72    40.15     5.76   -34.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.98R   38.73  
Colchester       28   22  -29      -5.56    23.50    -9.26    39.49     5.70   -41.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.44R   46.02  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Leyton_Orient 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          27   58  +18      15.02    97.25     8.97    88.40     6.35    24.51    47.53    86.43    99.34    89.18P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             28   56  +18       9.86    89.54     6.69    85.71     6.00    25.31    28.70    77.53    98.65    83.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   51  +19       7.62    83.71     9.67    82.22     6.20    26.59    14.65    58.34    95.17    68.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       28   47  +11       6.29    78.13     7.34    74.30     6.12    14.89     1.23    12.20    65.61    24.38P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           26   44  +21       1.57    58.06    10.87    77.01     6.50    29.28     4.09    27.10    80.54    42.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        28   43   +6      -5.12    26.53    -8.80    74.00     6.20    15.62     1.18    12.46    64.76    30.25P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   42  +13       7.61    84.68    11.05    73.96     7.05    15.54     1.96    15.10    61.95    24.33P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   42   +8       4.05    69.86     6.72    68.57     6.24     8.74     0.14     2.73    30.15     8.42P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            28   41   +7       4.59    72.21     9.77    63.92     5.97     4.57     0.01     0.41     9.86     2.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              26   40   +5       0.21    51.30    -1.14    70.21     6.47     9.14     0.38     4.65    39.29    13.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle             25   39   +3       4.90    74.18     3.79    66.93     6.84     1.07     0.11     2.12    22.91     5.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        28   38   +0       1.58    58.50     3.33    60.53     6.04    -3.59     0.00     0.09     3.65     0.71P    0.06R    0.01  
Exeter               27   37   -3       1.20    56.39    -0.76    62.34     6.31    -4.22     0.01     0.21     6.49     1.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe            27   35   -1      -1.41    43.19     0.47    61.26     6.37    -1.04     0.00     0.13     5.37     1.23P    0.09R    0.01  
Luton                27   34   +2      -4.87    27.24    -0.71    61.87     6.27     4.66     0.01     0.17     6.41     1.68P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         28   34  -13      -2.89    36.68   -10.55    58.17     6.19   -13.97     0.00     0.03     1.52     0.36P    0.44R    0.08  
Notts_County         26   33   -8      -4.16    30.40   -10.08    62.44     6.67    -5.15     0.01     0.30     7.87     2.19P    0.12R    0.01  
Barnet               28   33   -8       0.50    53.24     1.39    53.93     6.00   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    1.88R    0.38  
Stevenage            28   28  -13      -8.83    13.39   -10.20    51.77     6.09   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    3.94R    0.92  
Newport_County       27   24  -12      -7.67    15.72    -3.87    46.41     6.13   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   17.66R    5.62  
Hartlepool           24   24  -16      -0.44    48.82    -3.17    46.41     6.48   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    21.54R    8.00  
Yeovil               27   20  -15     -13.61     3.52   -10.14    43.35     6.23   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.44R   13.45  
Dag_&_Red            27   20  -20     -10.34     8.29    -9.23    41.25     6.07   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.30R   24.71  
York                 26   17  -22     -11.63     4.96   -11.42    38.17     6.16   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.43R   46.81  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Altrincham 3 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     30   64  +23      10.81    91.28     4.72    90.74     5.67    30.36    15.96    98.96    35.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   63  +35       4.77    72.60     6.76    97.05     5.51    51.54    70.97    99.96    81.80P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          28   55  +37      -1.98    38.43     8.45    88.57     5.79    50.37    12.30    97.91    46.46P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        27   49  +11       5.73    76.71     1.61    79.08     6.26    17.23     0.64    65.93    11.26P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   30   49   +9       4.58    71.18     4.32    73.52     5.66    12.82     0.03    29.43     4.19P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           31   48  +13      -2.15    39.77     1.38    70.44     5.34    15.68     0.00    14.21     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     31   47  +10      -0.56    47.43     2.55    69.94     5.35    13.53     0.00    11.71     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   47   +9      -4.92    27.34    -7.09    74.49     5.59    17.17     0.03    36.62     8.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        28   44   -4       4.80    73.08    -4.80    66.76     5.93    -7.14     0.00     5.19     0.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          29   43  +10      -2.08    39.72     2.11    67.80     5.75    12.14     0.00     7.84     1.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   26   43   +9       5.35    76.48     5.83    73.44     6.29    13.49     0.07    30.04     4.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     31   42   +2       0.42    52.51     3.74    62.74     5.37     1.95     0.00     0.94     0.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Bromley          28   38   +1       2.20    61.01     6.27    61.42     6.21    -1.79     0.00     0.99     0.11P    0.31R    0.00  
Aldershot        30   38   -8       0.26    51.95    -2.75    59.49     5.54    -8.70     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.48R    0.01  
Southport        30   38   -9       4.99    74.20     3.24    56.96     5.38   -13.38     0.00     0.04     0.00P    1.35R    0.02  
Barrow           29   36  -16       6.03    78.04     1.12    54.28     5.73   -24.49     0.00     0.02     0.00     5.23R    0.22  
Chester          30   35   -9       0.56    53.85     1.93    54.44     5.46   -13.07     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.81R    0.11  
Guiseley         29   34  -16       4.18    71.26    -0.38    49.76     5.37   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.67R    1.13  
Altrincham       28   30  -20       3.12    67.56    -1.66    51.08     5.89   -25.50     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.05R    1.27  
Halifax          29   29  -19      -6.78    20.08   -11.61    49.09     5.67   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.01R    2.37  
Boreham_Wood     29   28   -6      -4.96    27.15     3.05    48.43     5.61    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.03R    2.39  
Welling          27   24  -15      -5.08    24.84    -3.19    43.89     5.80   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.88R   12.11  
Torquay          28   20  -26     -12.01     5.24   -15.14    43.41     5.94   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.95R   14.56  
Kidderminster    27   14  -21     -16.11     0.98   -10.46    35.79     5.95   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.20R   65.81