Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 January 2016, Arsenal 0 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        23   47  +16      13.28    97.14    12.86    68.57     5.30    17.21    10.36    29.58    55.24    77.22    94.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   44  +22      -2.94    32.20    -3.26    74.39     5.09    37.83    53.34    78.76    91.18    97.06    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   44  +15       1.79    59.77    -1.34    71.95     5.14    26.36    27.19    59.99    80.53    92.38    98.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   42  +22       2.30    62.53     9.50    67.07     5.32    28.74     7.69    24.09    48.05    72.14    92.90     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   37   +7      -1.96    38.74    -4.02    62.43     5.24    14.16     1.15     5.44    15.57    32.17    72.11     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         23   36   +8       3.88    71.58     7.35    57.23     5.31     9.02     0.10     0.77     2.99     8.39    33.25     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        23   34   -2      -0.02    50.24    -5.51    57.33     5.41     2.13     0.09     0.61     2.78     7.74    31.90     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      23   33   +8      -3.64    30.03     0.52    56.00     5.32    11.63     0.06     0.45     1.84     5.73    26.98     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   33   -1       2.87    66.48     0.71    52.88     5.18    -1.91     0.01     0.05     0.33     1.34     9.98     0.06R    0.00  
Watford          23   32   +1       3.97    71.92     6.59    50.53     5.28    -2.24     0.00     0.04     0.15     0.64     5.04     0.29R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   -3       3.93    72.56     3.49    49.56     5.20    -5.63     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.31     3.14     0.63R    0.00  
Everton          23   29   +6      -5.38    22.08     2.03    53.17     5.39    11.52     0.00     0.10     0.55     2.14    13.89     0.11R    0.00  
Chelsea          23   28   -2     -11.61     4.54   -14.30    54.16     5.36     6.40     0.01     0.11     0.72     2.71    16.74     0.10R    0.00  
West_Brom        23   28   -8       1.64    60.59    -0.61    44.92     5.08   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31     4.81R    0.05  
Swansea          23   25   -9      -3.31    31.79    -4.15    42.97     5.19   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     9.29R    0.25  
Bournemouth      23   25  -11       0.27    52.63     0.76    40.16     5.15   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.77R    0.96  
Norwich          23   23  -15      -0.87    46.15    -1.69    38.61     5.15   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.54R    2.40  
Newcastle        23   21  -16      -1.97    39.55    -1.73    36.63     5.06   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.58R    4.90  
Sunderland       23   19  -18      -3.70    29.02    -3.10    32.71     4.92   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.29R   14.75  
Aston_Villa      23   13  -20      -8.11     9.04    -4.11    26.01     4.73   -31.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.49R   76.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Brentford 1 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            28   56  +27       3.94    69.32     7.28    88.90     5.73    39.04    45.58    76.19    99.60    84.75P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   55  +23       7.41    84.82     7.63    88.43     5.94    33.36    38.85    71.58    99.46    80.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         28   51  +21       2.07    60.08     5.24    82.22     5.92    30.55     9.70    28.81    94.31    50.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        28   50   +6      10.25    90.99     3.40    75.20     5.78     7.30     0.70     3.60    62.40    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           28   49  +14       2.19    60.79     1.03    80.26     5.92    23.80     4.65    16.59    89.27    38.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   46  +11       5.80    77.40     7.96    71.62     5.84    12.71     0.18     1.10    41.35     8.61P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      28   46   +9       7.13    82.30     7.94    71.18     5.89    10.04     0.15     0.93    37.05     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         28   45   +2       4.35    71.21    -1.56    71.72     5.88     5.23     0.17     1.00    38.77     8.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         28   41   +4       1.95    60.30     2.52    66.45     5.87     5.28     0.01     0.12    13.55     2.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       29   40   +1      -1.36    43.49    -1.40    65.00     5.80     3.65     0.00     0.05     8.88     1.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   29   39   +5      -2.37    38.55     2.07    62.74     5.64     5.81     0.00     0.01     4.20     0.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   28   38   -1      -2.59    37.38    -4.44    63.60     5.85     0.52     0.00     0.02     5.78     1.23P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR             29   36   +0      -5.92    23.30    -3.37    61.26     5.78     3.16     0.00     0.01     2.84     0.66P    0.09R    0.00  
Leeds_United    29   36   -4       0.27    52.11     1.19    57.36     5.53    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.36R    0.00  
Reading         28   35   +1      -1.82    41.16     2.94    58.47     5.81    -0.30     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.20P    0.32R    0.01  
Preston         28   35   -2      -0.88    46.09     0.61    58.06     5.76    -3.61     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.11P    0.39R    0.01  
Huddersfield    28   32   -2      -3.11    34.87     3.09    53.38     5.85    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    3.06R    0.11  
Blackburn       27   30   +0      -8.07    14.51    -2.10    55.61     5.92    -0.16     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    1.32R    0.03  
Fulham          28   28   -5      -7.47    17.11     0.40    50.87     5.90    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.67R    0.63  
MK_Dons         28   26  -18      -4.94    26.45    -7.14    45.76     5.74   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.41R    4.85  
Rotherham       28   25  -15      -3.94    30.35    -0.18    43.51     5.56   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.89R    9.32  
Bristol_City    28   24  -23      -5.24    24.76    -9.09    43.46     5.74   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.66R   10.92  
Charlton        28   21  -32      -5.51    22.36   -14.09    38.33     5.45   -42.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.31R   40.85  
Bolton          28   20  -22     -10.16     7.95    -9.96    38.70     5.53   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.48R   33.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Blackpool 0 0 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    27   57  +15      16.81    98.36    10.20    85.34     6.26    18.51    33.85    57.58    96.70    65.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       28   54  +20       9.32    87.73    10.35    83.14     6.10    26.86    23.24    45.82    94.40    57.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          27   53  +19       9.72    89.58     9.80    83.66     6.17    25.90    25.72    48.61    95.06    60.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            28   49  +16      -0.99    44.68    -1.30    80.47     6.04    26.05    11.98    29.57    88.13    50.14P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         28   48  +17       4.43    70.95     9.23    75.95     6.06    21.89     3.08     9.88    68.22    23.49P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         27   43   +6       1.70    58.48    -0.40    72.23     6.41    10.75     1.15     3.84    42.38    13.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   42   +6      -2.17    39.51    -2.67    70.05     6.09    11.03     0.36     1.59    29.10     8.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   41  +12      -3.16    34.97     3.21    70.65     6.11    19.65     0.40     1.87    35.10    10.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Southend         27   41   +2       6.03    77.83     4.96    66.43     6.25     1.29     0.09     0.40    12.07     2.60P    0.33R    0.00  
Port_Vale        28   40   +1       2.83    64.59     2.73    64.13     5.95     0.17     0.02     0.11     6.20     1.29P    0.61R    0.00  
Bradford         26   38   -2       3.28    67.20    -0.97    65.43     6.28    -1.61     0.06     0.30     9.58     2.16P    0.50R    0.00  
Bury             27   37   -4       4.03    69.89     2.39    59.33     6.25    -9.96     0.00     0.02     1.61     0.31P    5.08R    0.03  
Barnsley         27   36   +2      -3.62    32.53    -1.68    63.84     6.31     4.59     0.03     0.16     6.94     1.76P    1.01R    0.00  
Doncaster        28   36   -3      -2.29    38.77    -2.93    60.23     6.01    -3.67     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.41P    3.05R    0.02  
Swindon          27   35   -3      -5.57    24.42    -8.29    63.11     6.37    -0.12     0.01     0.11     5.55     1.35P    1.61R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       27   35   -5       1.09    56.13    -0.10    58.44     6.17    -9.19     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.20P    6.53R    0.06  
Rochdale         26   34   -1      -1.39    43.24    -0.29    62.81     6.50     0.85     0.02     0.12     5.75     1.36P    1.74R    0.02  
Blackpool        28   30   -8      -4.91    27.18    -3.30    53.41     5.99    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   22.73R    0.71  
Chesterfield     28   30  -10      -7.25    18.30    -7.90    54.79     6.06   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   16.58R    0.41  
Shrewsbury       28   29  -14      -4.44    29.19    -6.35    49.61     5.94   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   49.01R    2.50  
Fleetwood_Town   26   28   -2      -5.50    23.19     1.11    53.01     6.26    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   24.29R    0.74  
Oldham           27   24  -13      -7.51    15.59    -4.83    44.82     5.93   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.36R   11.01  
Crewe            27   22  -22      -3.68    31.45    -3.69    40.15     5.73   -34.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.11R   38.35  
Colchester       28   22  -29      -5.53    23.45    -9.30    39.48     5.70   -41.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.38R   46.15  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Leyton_Orient 1 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          27   58  +18      15.14    97.33     9.19    88.26     6.36    24.28    47.29    85.91    99.31    88.82P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             28   56  +18      10.04    89.85     6.93    85.59     5.97    25.09    27.98    76.96    98.56    82.70P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   51  +19       7.54    83.51     9.54    82.31     6.24    26.69    15.23    58.80    95.24    68.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       28   47  +11       6.38    78.47     7.42    74.29     6.14    14.83     1.23    12.23    65.46    24.58P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           26   44  +21       1.55    57.66    10.82    77.07     6.48    29.36     4.30    27.46    80.97    42.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        28   43   +6      -5.19    26.00    -8.83    74.01     6.21    15.66     1.23    12.37    64.57    30.06P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   42  +13       7.42    83.82    10.77    74.12     7.02    15.79     2.04    15.47    62.73    24.96P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   42   +8       3.98    69.53     6.58    68.57     6.24     8.75     0.17     2.74    30.00     8.46P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            28   41   +7       4.63    72.20     9.81    63.94     5.97     4.61     0.02     0.42     9.87     2.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              26   40   +5       0.19    50.94    -1.15    70.22     6.44     9.14     0.34     4.63    39.56    13.58P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             25   39   +3       4.86    74.03     3.76    66.98     6.77     1.16     0.16     2.02    22.81     5.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        28   38   +0       1.52    58.11     3.22    60.62     5.99    -3.37     0.00     0.09     3.64     0.77P    0.07R    0.02  
Exeter               27   37   -3       1.09    55.81    -0.91    62.40     6.28    -4.15     0.00     0.20     6.38     1.52P    0.06R    0.01  
Morecambe            27   35   -1      -1.26    44.19     0.77    61.14     6.36    -1.24     0.00     0.16     5.10     1.27P    0.10R    0.02  
Luton                27   34   +2      -4.90    26.93    -0.79    61.93     6.30     4.74     0.00     0.21     6.56     1.74P    0.06R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         28   34  -13      -2.99    36.21   -10.67    58.17     6.16   -13.93     0.00     0.02     1.35     0.30P    0.34R    0.05  
Notts_County         26   33   -8      -4.03    30.99    -9.86    62.29     6.71    -5.34     0.02     0.33     7.55     2.05P    0.09R    0.01  
Barnet               28   33   -8       0.47    53.40     1.35    54.01     6.01   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    1.80R    0.33  
Stevenage            28   28  -13      -8.77    13.76   -10.18    51.73     6.14   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.18R    1.06  
Newport_County       27   24  -12      -7.60    15.95    -3.79    46.32     6.15   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.59R    5.56  
Hartlepool           24   24  -16      -0.57    47.96    -3.42    46.50     6.46   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.20R    7.67  
Yeovil               27   20  -15     -13.61     3.39   -10.21    43.37     6.22   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.29R   13.24  
Dag_&_Red            27   20  -20     -10.18     8.62    -8.97    41.15     6.05   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.56R   25.26  
York                 26   17  -22     -11.64     4.92   -11.37    38.11     6.12   -31.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.63R   46.76  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 January 2016, Altrincham 3 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     30   64  +23      10.62    90.96     4.46    90.83     5.65    30.50    16.20    99.02    36.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   63  +35       4.81    72.61     6.86    97.06     5.47    51.54    70.87    99.97    81.79P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          28   55  +37      -1.94    38.61     8.46    88.56     5.81    50.38    12.25    97.88    46.42P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        27   49  +11       5.72    76.70     1.62    79.02     6.21    17.12     0.56    65.40    10.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   30   49   +9       4.50    70.57     4.22    73.51     5.63    12.81     0.02    28.90     3.99P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           31   48  +13      -2.09    40.10     1.44    70.43     5.35    15.66     0.00    14.33     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     31   47  +10      -0.53    47.53     2.61    69.93     5.36    13.51     0.00    11.78     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   47   +9      -4.77    28.23    -6.90    74.44     5.59    17.10     0.02    36.43     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        28   44   -4       4.80    72.95    -4.82    66.78     5.94    -7.10     0.00     5.31     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          29   43  +10      -1.94    40.68     2.31    67.71     5.75    11.98     0.00     7.66     1.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   26   43   +9       5.10    75.47     5.49    73.63     6.29    13.75     0.06    31.24     5.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     31   42   +2       0.44    52.47     3.80    62.70     5.37     1.91     0.00     0.89     0.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Bromley          28   38   +1       2.15    60.77     6.17    61.39     6.17    -1.78     0.00     0.97     0.10P    0.32R    0.01  
Aldershot        30   38   -8       0.32    52.24    -2.65    59.43     5.53    -8.79     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.39R    0.01  
Southport        30   38   -9       5.04    74.69     3.27    57.00     5.40   -13.34     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.29R    0.03  
Barrow           29   36  -16       5.97    77.69     0.97    54.32     5.75   -24.45     0.00     0.03     0.00P    5.25R    0.18  
Chester          30   35   -9       0.38    52.81     1.64    54.55     5.46   -12.93     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.65R    0.12  
Guiseley         29   34  -16       4.04    70.35    -0.64    49.84     5.39   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.99R    1.02  
Altrincham       28   30  -20       3.13    67.83    -1.62    51.09     5.91   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.41R    1.27  
Halifax          29   29  -19      -6.61    20.85   -11.29    49.09     5.71   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.77R    2.41  
Boreham_Wood     29   28   -6      -4.95    27.13     3.08    48.38     5.61    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.56R    2.34  
Welling          27   24  -15      -4.98    25.21    -3.04    43.85     5.78   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.76R   11.81  
Torquay          28   20  -26     -11.89     5.49   -14.96    43.33     5.96   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.30R   14.84  
Kidderminster    27   14  -21     -16.13     0.93   -10.46    35.78     5.95   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.27R   65.95