Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 January 2016, Arsenal 0 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        23   47  +16      13.14    96.89    12.67    68.62     5.33    17.32    10.58    29.64    55.59    77.42    94.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   44  +22      -2.92    31.95    -3.27    74.38     5.06    37.84    53.12    78.65    91.24    97.03    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   44  +15       1.74    59.42    -1.35    72.00     5.14    26.43    27.13    59.81    80.56    92.30    98.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   42  +22       2.36    63.05     9.58    67.07     5.32    28.73     7.67    24.16    47.81    71.67    92.85     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   37   +7      -2.11    37.65    -4.22    62.56     5.23    14.29     1.24     5.65    15.65    32.82    73.12     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         23   36   +8       3.95    71.82     7.40    57.23     5.27     9.00     0.10     0.73     2.89     8.21    33.08     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        23   34   -2      -0.16    49.17    -5.70    57.38     5.44     2.21     0.09     0.68     2.74     7.94    32.21     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      23   33   +8      -3.58    30.20     0.62    56.01     5.31    11.61     0.05     0.45     1.87     5.73    26.92     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   33   -1       2.85    66.58     0.71    52.88     5.18    -1.91     0.00     0.03     0.31     1.26     9.80     0.08R    0.00  
Watford          23   32   +1       3.98    72.05     6.61    50.48     5.29    -2.27     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.59     4.89     0.28R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   -3       3.95    72.67     3.51    49.64     5.19    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.29     3.14     0.54R    0.00  
Everton          23   29   +6      -5.43    21.87     1.94    53.17     5.36    11.55     0.01     0.08     0.49     2.05    13.65     0.10R    0.00  
Chelsea          23   28   -2     -11.62     4.57   -14.34    54.11     5.38     6.34     0.01     0.12     0.63     2.66    16.21     0.10R    0.00  
West_Brom        23   28   -8       1.70    60.97    -0.53    44.85     5.07   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35     5.11R    0.05  
Swansea          23   25   -9      -3.26    32.10    -4.06    42.91     5.16   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     9.45R    0.27  
Bournemouth      23   25  -11       0.15    52.12     0.65    40.17     5.11   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.30R    0.92  
Norwich          23   23  -15      -0.73    47.01    -1.55    38.60     5.17   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.53R    2.49  
Newcastle        23   21  -16      -1.89    39.66    -1.61    36.54     5.04   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.76R    5.08  
Sunderland       23   19  -18      -3.65    29.00    -3.05    32.68     4.92   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.12R   14.80  
Aston_Villa      23   13  -20      -8.10     9.27    -4.01    26.01     4.72   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.61R   76.39  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 January 2016, Birmingham 3 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            28   56  +27       3.75    68.43     7.03    88.93     5.72    39.10    45.68    75.99    99.58    84.85P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   55  +23       7.37    84.19     7.58    88.54     5.94    33.49    38.98    72.59    99.39    81.51P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        28   50   +6      10.32    91.24     3.48    75.15     5.76     7.22     0.67     3.57    61.49    13.90P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           27   49  +17       2.54    62.67     2.65    81.92     6.07    27.25     8.30    25.58    92.83    46.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         27   48  +18       1.66    58.24     4.13    80.21     6.13    27.00     5.77    18.80    88.71    41.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   46  +11       5.90    77.64     8.06    71.59     5.87    12.64     0.20     1.10    40.21     8.30P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      28   46   +9       7.05    82.16     7.77    71.32     5.91    10.25     0.17     1.01    37.18     7.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         28   45   +2       4.48    71.62    -1.41    71.66     5.92     5.12     0.18     1.06    37.96     8.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         28   41   +4       2.07    60.79     2.60    66.46     5.90     5.29     0.02     0.14    13.55     2.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       28   39   +1      -0.78    46.40    -1.11    65.86     5.95     4.35     0.01     0.07    11.49     2.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   38   +5      -2.00    40.00     2.15    63.35     5.85     6.10     0.00     0.03     5.78     1.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   28   38   -1      -2.62    37.30    -4.52    63.64     5.87     0.52     0.00     0.04     5.76     1.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading         28   35   +1      -1.90    40.63     2.80    58.50     5.81    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.20P    0.30R    0.00  
QPR             28   35   +0      -5.84    23.15    -3.74    61.52     6.05     3.01     0.00     0.02     3.41     0.79P    0.12R    0.00  
Preston         28   35   -2      -1.00    45.15     0.45    58.17     5.76    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.11P    0.34R    0.00  
Leeds_United    28   35   -4       0.41    53.15     0.92    57.23     5.73    -7.05     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.08P    0.60R    0.01  
Huddersfield    28   32   -2      -3.07    35.01     3.12    53.29     5.85    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    3.13R    0.12  
Blackburn       27   30   +0      -8.02    14.47    -2.04    55.56     5.95    -0.20     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    1.35R    0.05  
Fulham          28   28   -5      -7.50    17.04     0.32    50.88     5.94    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    7.72R    0.70  
MK_Dons         28   26  -18      -5.10    25.59    -7.43    45.77     5.71   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.10R    4.47  
Rotherham       28   25  -15      -3.94    30.52    -0.22    43.53     5.61   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.42R    9.12  
Bristol_City    28   24  -23      -5.25    24.94    -9.21    43.44     5.73   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.32R   10.79  
Charlton        28   21  -32      -5.24    23.37   -13.67    38.20     5.44   -43.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.94R   41.57  
Bolton          28   20  -22     -10.03     8.08    -9.69    38.65     5.53   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.62R   33.16  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 January 2016, Barnsley 6 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       28   54  +20       9.31    87.85    10.35    83.20     6.12    26.96    26.01    48.44    93.77    58.61P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    26   54  +14      15.33    97.76     9.43    83.20     6.50    16.74    24.46    45.29    91.78    54.21P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          27   53  +19       9.70    89.56     9.77    83.70     6.16    25.96    28.60    50.76    94.70    61.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            28   49  +16      -0.90    45.12    -1.20    80.48     6.01    26.09    13.38    31.13    87.03    50.62P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         28   48  +17       4.16    69.59     8.83    76.06     6.07    22.05     3.83    11.21    66.93    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         27   43   +6       1.79    58.84    -0.29    72.11     6.36    10.57     1.23     4.09    39.21    12.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   41  +13      -2.02    39.91     3.75    72.64     6.30    21.65     1.44     4.87    45.62    15.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   41   +6      -1.84    40.75    -2.81    70.75     6.29    11.55     0.69     2.52    31.58    10.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         27   41   +2       6.12    78.28     5.06    66.31     6.21     1.13     0.09     0.43    10.82     2.43P    0.34R    0.00  
Bradford         25   38   -1       4.41    72.97    -0.25    67.15     6.54    -0.13     0.19     0.79    14.59     3.61P    0.40R    0.00  
Port_Vale        27   37   +0       1.38    57.62     2.03    62.10     6.16    -1.47     0.01     0.06     3.30     0.71P    1.75R    0.01  
Doncaster        27   36   -2      -1.14    44.75    -2.22    61.97     6.25    -2.10     0.01     0.07     3.32     0.80P    2.02R    0.01  
Bury             26   36   -4       4.43    72.23     2.59    60.35     6.41    -9.09     0.01     0.04     2.15     0.40P    4.35R    0.03  
Swindon          27   35   -3      -5.62    24.11    -8.39    63.04     6.36    -0.20     0.01     0.11     4.96     1.33P    1.69R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       27   35   -5       0.96    55.54    -0.31    58.53     6.13    -9.11     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.16P    6.63R    0.04  
Rochdale         26   34   -1      -1.22    44.24    -0.04    62.69     6.48     0.69     0.01     0.09     4.93     1.09P    1.90R    0.02  
Barnsley         26   33   +1      -5.04    26.13    -2.32    61.85     6.47     2.99     0.03     0.08     4.04     1.06P    2.24R    0.02  
Chesterfield     28   30  -10      -7.17    18.48    -7.74    54.73     6.01   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   17.42R    0.38  
Blackpool        27   29   -8      -4.57    28.16    -3.14    53.52     6.24   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   23.92R    0.78  
Shrewsbury       27   29  -13      -3.42    33.45    -5.86    51.50     6.18   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   37.43R    1.19  
Fleetwood_Town   26   28   -2      -5.35    23.94     1.35    52.97     6.29    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   25.59R    0.67  
Colchester       28   22  -29      -5.64    23.35    -9.36    39.51     5.74   -41.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.37R   42.22  
Oldham           26   21  -14      -8.99    10.83    -5.44    42.87     6.13   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   84.88R   17.69  
Crewe            26   21  -22      -3.56    31.79    -3.80    40.07     5.95   -35.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.01R   36.93  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 1 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          27   58  +18      14.92    97.10     8.81    88.50     6.35    24.59    48.27    87.08    99.38    89.80P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             28   56  +18       9.79    89.07     6.61    85.78     6.00    25.37    28.46    77.99    98.77    83.70P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   51  +19       7.54    83.25     9.58    82.30     6.24    26.70    14.63    59.01    95.38    68.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       28   47  +11       6.34    78.53     7.43    74.30     6.12    14.88     1.13    12.34    66.23    24.67P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           26   44  +21       1.66    58.50    11.01    76.99     6.48    29.23     3.96    27.46    80.91    42.61P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   42  +13       7.61    84.73    11.11    73.84     7.00    15.35     1.79    14.53    62.16    23.96P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   42   +8       4.01    69.67     6.66    68.56     6.28     8.77     0.17     2.74    30.98     8.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        27   40   +5      -6.24    21.93    -9.03    73.01     6.37    15.67     0.98    10.30    59.75    27.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   40   +5       0.23    51.14    -1.10    70.25     6.43     9.21     0.34     4.79    39.93    13.92P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             25   39   +3       4.82    73.73     3.70    66.97     6.90     1.13     0.19     2.23    23.70     6.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield            27   38   +6       3.28    66.89     9.15    61.87     6.14     2.95     0.01     0.21     6.24     1.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        28   38   +0       1.48    57.83     3.17    60.56     6.00    -3.47     0.00     0.07     3.71     0.77P    0.07R    0.01  
Exeter               27   37   -3       1.29    57.19    -0.55    62.29     6.27    -4.33     0.01     0.25     6.53     1.60P    0.05R    0.01  
Morecambe            26   35   +0      -0.12    49.82     1.32    62.95     6.56     0.48     0.02     0.43     9.45     2.34P    0.05R    0.01  
Luton                27   34   +2      -5.02    26.27    -0.94    62.03     6.25     4.91     0.01     0.18     6.84     1.94P    0.05R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         28   34  -13      -2.99    36.31   -10.67    58.25     6.17   -13.90     0.00     0.02     1.49     0.34P    0.39R    0.04  
Notts_County         26   33   -8      -4.16    30.24   -10.07    62.46     6.72    -5.09     0.02     0.36     8.13     2.47P    0.12R    0.02  
Barnet               28   33   -8       0.52    53.61     1.43    53.97     5.98   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    1.88R    0.36  
Stevenage            28   28  -13      -8.79    13.62   -10.20    51.69     6.13   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.34R    1.10  
Newport_County       26   24  -11      -7.11    17.13    -4.06    47.38     6.33   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.69R    4.43  
Hartlepool           24   24  -16      -0.41    49.13    -3.10    46.34     6.40   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.87R    7.82  
Yeovil               27   20  -15     -13.35     3.80    -9.79    43.22     6.18   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.56R   14.03  
Dag_&_Red            27   20  -20     -10.17     8.63    -8.98    41.15     6.03   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.97R   24.98  
York                 26   17  -22     -11.67     4.89   -11.50    38.09     6.17   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.94R   47.20  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 January 2016, Dover_Athletic 1 2 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       29   63  +35       4.83    73.24     7.02    97.00     5.48    51.38    72.90    99.97    83.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     29   61  +22       9.65    89.10     4.27    89.55     5.88    30.01    12.88    97.87    33.55P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          28   55  +37      -2.12    37.81     8.20    88.68     5.80    50.53    13.53    97.82    47.47P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        27   49  +11       5.83    77.06     1.81    78.88     6.25    16.88     0.57    63.64    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   30   49   +9       4.61    71.16     4.39    73.43     5.64    12.68     0.02    27.76     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           30   48  +15      -1.21    44.02     2.68    72.73     5.58    19.13     0.02    25.89     4.70P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     31   47  +10      -0.53    47.38     2.59    69.89     5.35    13.46     0.00    10.98     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   47   +9      -4.67    28.08    -6.73    74.35     5.57    16.96     0.03    34.74     8.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        28   44   -4       4.92    73.60    -4.56    66.71     5.95    -7.19     0.00     4.89     0.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          28   43  +11      -1.17    44.33     2.43    69.36     5.94    13.45     0.00    12.05     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     31   42   +2       0.34    52.10     3.62    62.72     5.32     1.95     0.00     0.71     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   25   40   +8       3.83    69.96     4.99    71.89     6.49    12.62     0.05    22.41     3.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          28   38   +1       2.12    60.65     6.12    61.44     6.22    -1.77     0.00     0.98     0.11P    0.27R    0.01  
Aldershot        30   38   -8       0.18    51.54    -2.88    59.57     5.53    -8.63     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.33R    0.00  
Southport        29   38   -8       5.70    77.33     3.27    58.07     5.55   -12.82     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.83R    0.01  
Barrow           29   36  -16       6.13    78.53     1.25    54.27     5.72   -24.51     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.72R    0.22  
Chester          30   35   -9       0.43    52.95     1.69    54.56     5.47   -12.87     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.18R    0.13  
Guiseley         29   34  -16       4.06    70.56    -0.62    49.86     5.38   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.73R    1.01  
Halifax          29   29  -19      -6.58    20.88   -11.29    49.13     5.68   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.00R    2.23  
Boreham_Wood     29   28   -6      -4.90    27.63     3.18    48.39     5.60    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.02R    2.15  
Altrincham       27   27  -22       1.93    62.30    -2.95    48.33     5.99   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.64R    3.55  
Welling          27   24  -15      -4.99    25.23    -3.02    43.90     5.80   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.30R   11.70  
Torquay          28   20  -26     -12.07     5.27   -15.25    43.50     5.99   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.29R   13.84  
Kidderminster    27   14  -21     -16.00     1.05   -10.23    35.73     6.01   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.67R   65.16