Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 January 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 3 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester        23   47  +16      13.30    97.14    12.85    68.59     5.30    17.22     8.70    26.17    53.99    76.84    94.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   44  +22      -2.90    32.05    -3.27    74.39     5.11    37.85    46.24    76.60    90.45    96.85    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          22   44  +16       3.06    67.00    -0.55    73.89     5.39    28.31    37.71    70.15    86.65    95.06    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   42  +22       2.43    63.66     9.68    67.04     5.31    28.71     6.26    20.80    45.16    70.83    92.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   37   +7      -2.01    38.30    -4.10    62.50     5.23    14.22     0.91     4.50    14.48    31.19    71.81     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         23   36   +8       3.84    71.08     7.30    57.24     5.29     9.01     0.07     0.60     2.71     7.82    32.51     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        23   34   -2      -0.14    49.58    -5.63    57.42     5.48     2.31     0.06     0.57     2.75     7.88    32.39     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      23   33   +8      -3.58    30.29     0.60    56.04     5.31    11.66     0.04     0.28     1.70     5.41    26.37     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   33   -1       2.95    66.83     0.85    52.88     5.18    -1.96     0.01     0.03     0.25     1.19     9.34     0.06R    0.00  
Watford          23   32   +1       3.95    71.99     6.59    50.42     5.26    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.49     4.64     0.26R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   -3       3.98    72.85     3.60    49.60     5.18    -5.62     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.28     3.06     0.47R    0.00  
Everton          22   29   +7      -3.99    28.19     3.05    55.30     5.55    13.70     0.02     0.24     1.37     4.90    23.99     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom        23   28   -8       1.54    59.96    -0.74    44.94     5.10   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.37     4.39R    0.05  
Chelsea          22   25   -3     -13.16     2.49   -15.21    51.96     5.58     4.54     0.00     0.04     0.30     1.22     9.07     0.36R    0.00  
Bournemouth      23   25  -11       0.14    52.04     0.66    40.21     5.13   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    20.76R    0.98  
Norwich          23   23  -15      -0.90    45.69    -1.75    38.64     5.14   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    32.21R    2.34  
Swansea          22   22  -10      -4.83    23.48    -4.99    40.38     5.31   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    19.28R    1.02  
Newcastle        23   21  -16      -1.89    39.75    -1.59    36.58     5.01   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.89R    4.85  
Sunderland       23   19  -18      -3.79    28.50    -3.19    32.72     4.91   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.26R   15.16  
Aston_Villa      23   13  -20      -8.16     8.98    -4.15    26.13     4.75   -31.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.98R   75.60  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 January 2016, Birmingham 3 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Hull            28   56  +27       3.80    68.54     7.10    88.97     5.74    39.14    46.19    76.33    99.63    84.91P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   55  +23       7.48    84.69     7.75    88.40     5.94    33.31    38.21    71.50    99.37    80.95P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        28   50   +6      10.38    91.35     3.57    75.13     5.76     7.22     0.76     3.51    61.26    13.80P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           27   49  +17       2.59    63.05     2.73    81.89     6.05    27.17     8.38    25.71    92.86    46.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         27   48  +18       1.55    57.66     3.98    80.32     6.15    27.12     5.96    19.44    88.90    41.54P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   46  +11       5.69    76.78     7.81    71.70     5.80    12.77     0.14     1.16    40.77     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      28   46   +9       7.06    82.10     7.81    71.28     5.90    10.16     0.15     0.96    36.94     6.99P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         28   45   +2       4.20    70.53    -1.77    71.77     5.92     5.31     0.20     1.14    38.91     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         28   41   +4       2.00    60.56     2.54    66.49     5.88     5.32     0.01     0.14    13.11     2.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       28   39   +1      -0.73    46.54    -1.09    65.87     5.96     4.34     0.01     0.06    11.58     2.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   38   +5      -1.78    41.23     2.43    63.18     5.91     5.88     0.00     0.02     5.50     1.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   28   38   -1      -2.77    36.39    -4.78    63.64     5.83     0.58     0.00     0.02     5.57     1.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading         28   35   +1      -1.73    41.46     3.05    58.43     5.81    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.17P    0.30R    0.00  
QPR             28   35   +0      -5.77    23.63    -3.63    61.48     5.98     2.94     0.00     0.00     3.18     0.68P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston         28   35   -2      -0.69    47.03     0.84    58.01     5.73    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P    0.37R    0.01  
Leeds_United    28   35   -4       0.47    53.10     0.97    57.24     5.68    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P    0.50R    0.01  
Huddersfield    28   32   -2      -3.19    34.42     2.95    53.39     5.84    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    3.07R    0.10  
Blackburn       27   30   +0      -8.08    14.24    -2.10    55.63     5.96    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    1.34R    0.04  
Fulham          28   28   -5      -7.49    17.18     0.38    50.87     5.92    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.89R    0.63  
MK_Dons         28   26  -18      -5.09    25.68    -7.41    45.82     5.69   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.93R    4.27  
Rotherham       28   25  -15      -3.90    30.42    -0.16    43.48     5.57   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.78R    9.36  
Bristol_City    28   24  -23      -5.36    24.15    -9.39    43.53     5.77   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.28R   10.80  
Charlton        28   21  -32      -5.35    23.02   -13.83    38.24     5.43   -43.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.89R   41.21  
Bolton          28   20  -22     -10.05     8.36    -9.75    38.62     5.53   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.53R   33.56  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 January 2016, Barnsley 6 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       28   54  +20       9.40    87.89    10.44    83.19     6.14    26.96    26.58    48.82    93.78    59.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion    26   54  +14      15.62    97.85     9.85    82.95     6.45    16.43    23.42    43.85    91.39    53.16P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          27   53  +19       9.60    89.22     9.61    83.71     6.19    25.95    28.92    51.46    94.54    62.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan            28   49  +16      -0.92    44.94    -1.14    80.48     6.04    26.03    13.69    31.60    86.99    50.61P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         28   48  +17       4.30    70.51     9.00    75.94     6.04    21.91     3.75    11.14    66.23    24.12P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         27   43   +6       1.79    58.81    -0.28    72.14     6.35    10.60     1.19     4.13    39.79    12.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   41  +13      -2.11    39.24     3.58    72.67     6.30    21.67     1.42     4.90    45.87    15.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   41   +6      -1.68    41.49    -2.54    70.59     6.27    11.29     0.67     2.35    31.16     9.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         27   41   +2       6.09    78.29     5.06    66.40     6.21     1.27     0.08     0.46    11.33     2.56P    0.39R    0.00  
Bradford         25   38   -1       4.37    72.80    -0.35    67.17     6.49    -0.14     0.20     0.81    14.59     3.62P    0.31R    0.00  
Port_Vale        27   37   +0       1.39    58.00     2.04    62.07     6.16    -1.48     0.01     0.08     3.20     0.64P    1.90R    0.01  
Doncaster        27   36   -2      -1.20    44.16    -2.34    62.04     6.25    -2.02     0.01     0.06     3.53     0.84P    1.90R    0.01  
Bury             26   36   -4       4.65    73.17     2.91    60.26     6.47    -9.25     0.01     0.03     2.25     0.42P    4.45R    0.03  
Swindon          27   35   -3      -5.69    23.74    -8.48    63.06     6.33    -0.17     0.02     0.08     4.88     1.29P    1.58R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       27   35   -5       0.94    55.39    -0.28    58.48     6.15    -9.17     0.00     0.02     0.91     0.18P    6.95R    0.05  
Rochdale         26   34   -1      -1.26    43.87    -0.12    62.74     6.50     0.77     0.01     0.14     5.09     1.23P    1.83R    0.01  
Barnsley         26   33   +1      -5.15    25.64    -2.51    61.99     6.45     3.26     0.02     0.08     4.05     1.02P    2.20R    0.01  
Chesterfield     28   30  -10      -7.16    18.75    -7.67    54.71     6.07   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   17.77R    0.35  
Blackpool        27   29   -8      -4.59    28.30    -3.20    53.63     6.22   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   23.34R    0.73  
Shrewsbury       27   29  -13      -3.45    33.63    -5.84    51.45     6.18   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   37.96R    1.42  
Fleetwood_Town   26   28   -2      -5.53    23.52     1.12    53.11     6.33    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   25.03R    0.67  
Colchester       28   22  -29      -5.69    22.89    -9.45    39.51     5.72   -41.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.59R   42.17  
Oldham           26   21  -14      -9.02    10.87    -5.52    42.92     6.14   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.72R   17.48  
Crewe            26   21  -22      -3.61    31.53    -3.90    40.08     5.95   -35.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.00R   37.06  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 January 2016, Bristol_Rovers 1 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Northampton          27   58  +18      14.87    97.18     8.74    88.49     6.32    24.63    48.69    87.29    99.40    89.94P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             28   56  +18      10.00    89.66     6.88    85.61     6.00    25.17    27.80    77.20    98.66    83.17P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   51  +19       7.73    84.02     9.81    82.17     6.23    26.46    14.26    58.36    95.11    68.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       28   47  +11       6.31    78.32     7.36    74.33     6.11    14.90     1.19    12.51    66.46    24.76P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           26   44  +21       1.54    57.95    10.87    77.06     6.52    29.33     4.46    27.90    81.31    43.04P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   42  +13       7.56    84.35    11.02    74.03     7.01    15.67     1.96    15.57    62.96    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   42   +8       4.01    69.62     6.68    68.59     6.31     8.77     0.19     2.85    30.86     8.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient        27   40   +5      -6.10    22.34    -8.82    72.95     6.36    15.56     0.87    10.10    59.26    26.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   40   +5       0.25    51.20    -1.07    70.20     6.47     9.09     0.40     4.57    40.06    13.62P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             25   39   +3       4.81    73.94     3.69    66.91     6.83     1.05     0.14     2.11    23.01     6.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield            27   38   +6       3.43    67.61     9.39    61.83     6.14     2.84     0.00     0.17     6.18     1.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        28   38   +0       1.50    57.76     3.16    60.64     6.04    -3.38     0.00     0.09     3.86     0.78P    0.08R    0.02  
Exeter               27   37   -3       1.05    55.83    -0.95    62.41     6.30    -4.12     0.01     0.22     6.69     1.54P    0.06R    0.01  
Morecambe            26   35   +0      -0.17    49.64     1.23    62.95     6.58     0.51     0.02     0.47     9.55     2.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton                27   34   +2      -5.13    26.02    -1.10    62.06     6.32     4.94     0.00     0.20     7.13     1.87P    0.05R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         28   34  -13      -2.99    36.24   -10.70    58.20     6.18   -13.88     0.00     0.03     1.56     0.35P    0.42R    0.08  
Notts_County         26   33   -8      -4.00    31.15    -9.78    62.31     6.68    -5.32     0.01     0.35     7.55     2.21P    0.13R    0.01  
Barnet               28   33   -8       0.57    53.80     1.49    53.94     5.96   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    1.87R    0.36  
Stevenage            28   28  -13      -8.92    13.20   -10.33    51.70     6.11   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    4.27R    0.91  
Newport_County       26   24  -11      -6.97    17.62    -3.85    47.30     6.29   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.70R    4.51  
Hartlepool           24   24  -16      -0.44    48.78    -3.21    46.37     6.50   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   22.14R    8.14  
Yeovil               27   20  -15     -13.59     3.49   -10.12    43.35     6.23   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.78R   13.50  
Dag_&_Red            27   20  -20     -10.13     8.56    -8.93    41.18     6.07   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.24R   25.07  
York                 26   17  -22     -11.70     4.94   -11.48    38.10     6.15   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.19R   47.36  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 January 2016, Boreham_Wood 1 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     29   61  +22       9.70    88.92     4.41    89.49     5.89    29.90    16.12    97.75    35.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       28   60  +34       3.70    67.71     6.64    95.74     5.72    50.95    66.79    99.88    79.42P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          28   55  +37      -1.96    38.56     8.53    88.53     5.83    50.30    16.01    97.53    48.49P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        27   49  +11       5.58    76.25     1.39    79.03     6.20    17.13     0.85    63.38    10.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   29   49  +10       5.42    74.82     4.51    74.48     5.78    13.16     0.08    32.99     4.75P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           30   48  +15      -1.28    43.93     2.63    72.75     5.60    19.14     0.03    24.99     4.50P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     31   47  +10      -0.64    47.21     2.43    70.03     5.35    13.68     0.00    10.78     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   47   +9      -4.93    27.29    -7.11    74.47     5.58    17.15     0.05    33.91     8.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        28   44   -4       4.86    73.06    -4.67    66.80     5.93    -7.06     0.00     4.64     0.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          28   43  +11      -1.15    44.33     2.50    69.36     5.97    13.42     0.01    11.49     2.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     31   42   +2       0.39    51.98     3.70    62.74     5.36     1.94     0.00     0.70     0.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   25   40   +8       3.94    70.63     5.15    71.82     6.49    12.53     0.06    20.92     3.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          28   38   +1       2.11    60.62     6.07    61.43     6.18    -1.77     0.00     0.84     0.08P    0.25R    0.01  
Aldershot        30   38   -8       0.30    52.09    -2.66    59.56     5.55    -8.59     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.37R    0.01  
Southport        29   38   -8       5.87    78.16     3.57    57.99     5.54   -12.92     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.81R    0.01  
Barrow           29   36  -16       6.08    78.52     1.20    54.26     5.70   -24.53     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.81R    0.17  
Chester          30   35   -9       0.56    53.50     1.92    54.51     5.46   -13.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.22R    0.12  
Guiseley         29   34  -16       3.92    69.77    -0.78    49.88     5.40   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.56R    1.03  
Halifax          29   29  -19      -6.72    20.29   -11.53    49.22     5.65   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.19R    2.02  
Boreham_Wood     29   28   -6      -4.83    27.73     3.22    48.35     5.64    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.16R    2.08  
Altrincham       27   27  -22       1.82    61.39    -3.15    48.40     6.05   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.22R    3.37  
Welling          27   24  -15      -4.83    25.99    -2.84    43.83     5.78   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.73R   11.57  
Torquay          28   20  -26     -11.91     5.27   -15.02    43.35     5.97   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.96R   14.52  
Kidderminster    27   14  -21     -15.92     1.04   -10.14    35.68     5.96   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.70R   65.10