Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 19 January 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 January 2016, Swansea 1 0 Watford; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 22 44 +16 3.03 67.08 -0.61 74.01 5.35 28.47 35.96 73.85 89.06 95.72 99.49 0.00 0.00 Leicester 22 44 +13 12.60 96.60 11.26 66.69 5.53 13.72 4.90 17.36 41.95 65.07 90.03 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 43 +22 -2.30 34.83 -2.94 75.38 5.28 38.80 52.86 82.60 93.38 97.75 99.80 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 39 +20 1.60 58.73 8.95 65.31 5.55 26.52 3.75 14.36 36.87 59.74 87.53 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 37 +8 -0.77 45.19 -3.32 64.48 5.45 16.16 2.33 9.98 28.42 50.18 82.84 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 22 35 +8 4.12 72.99 7.09 57.07 5.46 8.18 0.10 0.78 3.50 9.38 33.60 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 22 33 +2 3.25 69.05 2.34 54.53 5.40 1.53 0.01 0.15 1.11 3.79 17.92 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 22 31 -1 4.58 76.42 4.36 50.97 5.39 -3.54 0.00 0.04 0.29 0.95 6.24 0.35R 0.00 Liverpool 22 31 -3 -1.23 42.87 -5.85 55.91 5.64 1.45 0.02 0.33 2.06 6.19 25.58 0.05R 0.00 Southampton 22 30 +7 -5.12 22.38 -0.23 53.80 5.49 9.80 0.04 0.19 1.05 3.43 17.25 0.09R 0.00 Everton 22 29 +7 -3.96 28.32 3.03 55.28 5.55 13.69 0.03 0.30 1.78 5.70 25.32 0.05R 0.00 Watford 22 29 +0 2.90 67.16 6.49 49.10 5.51 -2.93 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.51 3.74 1.07R 0.00 West_Brom 22 27 -8 2.27 64.36 -0.19 45.80 5.30 -13.11 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.73 4.68R 0.11 Chelsea 22 25 -3 -13.22 2.38 -15.29 51.95 5.55 4.54 0.00 0.05 0.40 1.53 9.73 0.38R 0.00 Bournemouth 22 24 -11 0.40 53.76 0.51 40.43 5.39 -20.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 24.31R 1.23 Norwich 22 23 -14 0.20 52.50 -1.73 39.81 5.36 -22.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 28.85R 1.72 Swansea 22 22 -10 -4.89 23.21 -5.08 40.45 5.30 -15.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 22.08R 1.01 Newcastle 22 21 -15 -1.15 44.02 -1.57 37.70 5.24 -23.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 43.72R 3.73 Sunderland 22 18 -18 -3.28 30.89 -2.93 33.13 5.17 -28.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.77R 13.84 Aston_Villa 22 12 -20 -8.03 8.52 -4.27 25.86 4.91 -32.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.53R 78.35Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 January 2016, Blackburn 0 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 26 55 +24 8.79 89.34 8.57 90.74 6.12 35.60 53.79 81.99 99.72 88.09P 0.00 0.00 Hull 27 53 +26 2.78 64.02 6.87 87.74 5.95 38.79 32.82 68.38 99.20 79.55P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 49 +17 2.62 63.24 2.78 81.81 6.09 27.09 7.05 24.43 92.81 45.57P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 27 48 +18 1.59 58.09 4.06 80.32 6.16 27.16 5.23 18.37 89.39 41.07P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 27 47 +5 9.27 89.39 3.23 73.82 5.97 6.71 0.40 2.40 53.19 11.42P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 45 +11 6.20 79.36 8.01 71.88 6.02 12.53 0.16 1.28 42.99 8.83P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 27 45 +5 4.64 72.74 -0.10 73.58 6.12 8.97 0.46 2.38 52.59 12.13P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 27 43 +6 6.50 80.67 6.39 69.07 6.09 6.35 0.07 0.45 24.96 4.38P 0.00R 0.00 Cardiff 27 40 +4 2.52 63.35 2.77 67.70 6.08 6.55 0.03 0.22 19.27 3.76P 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 27 37 -1 -2.47 37.53 -4.90 63.75 6.07 0.16 0.00 0.04 6.50 1.29P 0.03R 0.00 Brentford 27 36 -1 -1.78 41.36 -2.14 63.65 6.17 1.46 0.00 0.03 6.83 1.36P 0.06R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 27 35 +4 -3.76 31.26 0.98 60.83 6.04 3.88 0.00 0.00 2.93 0.57P 0.16R 0.00 Preston 27 35 +0 -0.22 49.11 1.58 60.06 6.00 -0.73 0.00 0.00 2.02 0.35P 0.20R 0.00 Reading 27 34 +1 -1.39 43.20 2.99 58.93 6.03 -0.15 0.00 0.00 1.46 0.27P 0.34R 0.00 QPR 27 34 +0 -5.39 24.84 -3.58 62.20 6.22 3.49 0.00 0.01 4.99 1.17P 0.11R 0.00 Huddersfield 27 32 -1 -2.20 39.00 3.41 54.33 5.95 -6.42 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.02P 2.49R 0.07 Leeds_United 27 32 -5 -0.72 46.82 0.67 55.99 5.88 -7.53 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.03P 1.38R 0.05 Blackburn 26 29 +0 -7.50 15.51 -1.80 56.15 6.17 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.14P 1.50R 0.03 Fulham 27 28 -4 -6.65 19.46 0.61 51.86 6.09 -7.67 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 6.38R 0.38 MK_Dons 27 26 -16 -4.45 28.15 -6.58 47.39 5.94 -22.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.42R 2.57 Rotherham 27 24 -15 -3.65 31.35 -0.46 43.06 5.76 -25.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.34R 9.47 Bristol_City 27 24 -22 -4.29 28.91 -8.72 44.53 5.98 -30.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 42.78R 7.26 Charlton 27 20 -32 -5.09 23.52 -13.92 38.26 5.61 -43.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.40R 35.69 Bolton 27 17 -24 -10.99 5.60 -10.71 36.75 5.76 -33.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.41R 44.48League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 January 2016, Colchester 1 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 25 54 +15 16.59 98.67 10.24 85.43 6.71 19.02 31.73 53.74 94.75 61.68P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 26 52 +19 10.25 91.22 10.03 84.79 6.34 27.00 29.28 51.80 95.20 62.37P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 27 51 +19 8.23 85.13 10.16 81.56 6.37 25.92 14.61 32.34 87.95 44.74P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 27 48 +20 4.79 72.58 10.71 78.15 6.31 26.18 5.72 16.24 75.43 30.87P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 27 48 +16 -0.35 47.59 -0.95 81.78 6.24 27.47 15.13 33.65 89.23 53.09P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 26 41 +14 -1.10 44.49 3.99 74.03 6.52 22.61 1.94 6.28 52.08 18.28P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 40 +6 -1.14 44.25 -2.25 71.39 6.47 11.95 0.72 2.59 33.13 10.51P 0.03R 0.00 Millwall 26 40 +5 0.35 52.13 -0.95 70.24 6.60 9.15 0.56 1.96 27.04 8.04P 0.05R 0.00 Southend 26 38 -1 5.64 77.27 3.78 63.71 6.36 -3.29 0.01 0.12 5.12 1.04P 1.10R 0.01 Bradford 24 37 -1 4.55 73.88 -0.55 67.43 6.73 -0.28 0.17 0.70 14.36 3.40P 0.36R 0.00 Port_Vale 26 36 +0 1.75 59.49 2.04 62.52 6.34 -1.35 0.01 0.08 3.58 0.72P 1.62R 0.02 Doncaster 26 35 -2 -1.03 45.20 -2.53 62.40 6.47 -2.06 0.01 0.04 3.62 0.78P 1.83R 0.02 Rochdale 25 34 +4 -1.64 41.64 2.06 65.22 6.69 7.51 0.08 0.30 9.56 2.46P 0.73R 0.01 Swindon 26 34 -3 -5.41 24.39 -8.65 63.02 6.58 -0.86 0.02 0.11 4.85 1.25P 1.65R 0.02 Bury 25 33 -5 3.26 67.57 2.40 58.45 6.72 -10.59 0.00 0.02 1.32 0.21P 7.79R 0.16 Scunthorpe 26 32 -8 0.59 53.83 -1.30 56.85 6.41 -12.15 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.09P 10.77R 0.23 Barnsley 25 30 -4 -4.87 26.04 -4.53 59.21 6.68 -3.66 0.00 0.01 1.57 0.32P 5.79R 0.11 Chesterfield 27 30 -9 -6.20 21.60 -7.36 56.51 6.30 -8.52 0.00 0.01 0.40 0.10P 10.87R 0.26 Blackpool 26 28 -8 -4.75 26.98 -3.97 53.53 6.40 -10.74 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.04P 22.81R 1.00 Fleetwood_Town 25 27 -2 -5.06 24.86 1.29 53.51 6.48 -5.33 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 21.52R 0.75 Shrewsbury 26 26 -14 -4.99 26.09 -6.75 48.98 6.34 -20.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 51.86R 4.04 Colchester 27 22 -26 -5.28 24.53 -8.19 40.89 5.96 -38.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.65R 34.27 Oldham 25 21 -13 -7.78 14.01 -4.62 44.54 6.38 -21.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.54R 13.41 Crewe 25 20 -22 -3.45 31.96 -4.11 39.41 6.05 -37.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.03R 45.69League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 January 2016, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 27 55 +18 10.27 90.49 6.75 86.20 6.23 25.49 34.64 78.71 98.49 84.23P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 26 55 +16 14.12 96.72 8.11 86.80 6.54 22.55 38.12 79.73 98.35 83.86P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 48 +18 6.28 79.23 9.03 80.34 6.42 25.25 10.74 45.61 90.53 57.70P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 27 46 +11 6.44 79.08 7.07 74.55 6.29 14.70 1.76 13.97 65.50 25.97P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 25 44 +22 2.66 63.59 11.45 78.70 6.73 30.78 8.17 37.54 85.30 51.39P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 23 42 +14 8.68 88.05 11.59 75.78 7.29 17.21 4.39 22.32 69.78 31.86P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 25 40 +7 0.91 55.05 -0.10 71.95 6.65 11.67 0.96 8.41 48.94 19.29P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 26 39 +6 3.06 65.67 5.66 66.33 6.50 5.73 0.13 1.54 19.29 5.23P 0.00R 0.00 Mansfield 26 38 +8 3.92 70.14 10.17 63.47 6.36 5.27 0.02 0.43 9.93 2.19P 0.02R 0.00 Carlisle 24 38 +3 5.39 76.46 4.01 67.77 7.07 1.74 0.28 3.01 26.33 7.28P 0.01R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 26 37 +3 -6.99 18.81 -9.69 70.87 6.64 12.86 0.67 6.39 44.17 19.12P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 37 +0 2.17 61.34 3.71 61.27 6.20 -3.02 0.00 0.16 4.63 1.05P 0.07R 0.01 Morecambe 25 35 +2 0.42 52.55 1.95 64.57 6.74 2.82 0.05 0.95 13.62 3.67P 0.03R 0.00 Exeter 26 34 -4 -0.25 49.24 -1.41 60.43 6.51 -5.74 0.00 0.13 4.07 0.98P 0.14R 0.03 Crawley_Town 27 34 -12 -2.05 40.32 -10.30 59.99 6.41 -12.24 0.00 0.09 2.99 0.74P 0.22R 0.04 Notts_County 25 33 -6 -3.51 32.75 -9.21 64.69 6.89 -1.79 0.06 0.90 13.67 4.25P 0.06R 0.01 Barnet 27 32 -8 0.84 55.09 1.51 54.03 6.22 -14.47 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.06P 1.87R 0.35 Luton 26 31 +0 -5.82 22.76 -1.71 59.95 6.49 2.21 0.00 0.09 3.87 1.06P 0.19R 0.02 Stevenage 27 27 -13 -8.51 13.85 -10.27 52.50 6.31 -14.17 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 3.19R 0.73 Newport_County 25 23 -11 -6.44 19.26 -3.60 47.75 6.57 -17.31 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 13.19R 4.06 Hartlepool 23 23 -16 -0.36 49.29 -3.54 46.33 6.63 -28.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 20.79R 7.59 Dag_&_Red 26 19 -20 -9.94 8.56 -9.18 41.40 6.22 -27.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.44R 22.52 Yeovil 26 17 -16 -14.82 2.02 -10.46 41.35 6.44 -20.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.78R 20.22 York 25 16 -22 -11.39 4.96 -11.54 37.98 6.30 -32.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.99R 44.42National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 January 2016, Lincoln_City 0 1 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cheltenham 28 60 +34 3.57 67.23 6.41 95.86 5.73 51.18 72.27 99.86 82.79P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 28 58 +21 8.41 86.08 3.81 88.31 6.09 29.59 13.24 95.67 33.67P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 27 52 +32 -1.50 40.97 6.94 87.14 6.01 45.72 12.61 95.11 43.93P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 29 49 +10 5.37 74.13 4.41 74.55 5.82 13.27 0.11 31.78 4.80P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 26 48 +11 6.28 79.15 1.84 79.64 6.47 17.49 1.45 64.44 12.37P 0.00 0.00 Woking 29 47 +15 -0.71 46.53 2.93 73.97 5.78 20.59 0.09 30.64 5.96P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 30 47 +12 0.44 52.05 3.97 72.15 5.56 16.75 0.01 18.93 3.59P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 29 44 +8 -5.92 22.98 -7.26 73.08 5.85 16.59 0.04 24.99 6.34P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 30 42 +4 1.10 55.64 4.60 63.97 5.55 3.80 0.00 1.35 0.18P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 27 41 -6 3.79 69.23 -5.82 64.64 6.17 -9.96 0.00 2.34 0.31P 0.05R 0.00 Wrexham 27 40 +9 -1.80 40.91 1.94 67.54 6.19 11.13 0.00 6.87 1.16P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 40 +9 4.89 75.10 5.58 73.16 6.69 13.50 0.16 26.40 4.70P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 27 38 +2 2.95 64.53 6.31 62.64 6.41 -1.07 0.00 1.44 0.20P 0.22R 0.00 Southport 28 37 -8 5.82 78.27 3.16 58.24 5.80 -13.21 0.00 0.10 0.01P 1.13R 0.05 Aldershot 29 35 -10 -0.95 45.96 -4.00 57.09 5.72 -11.86 0.00 0.05 0.01P 1.69R 0.09 Chester 29 34 -9 0.88 55.36 1.98 55.23 5.70 -12.52 0.00 0.02 0.00 3.41R 0.17 Barrow 28 33 -17 4.72 73.65 0.65 52.17 5.90 -26.31 0.00 0.01 0.00P 11.51R 1.20 Guiseley 28 31 -17 2.54 64.17 -1.19 47.61 5.62 -29.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.55R 5.21 Halifax 28 28 -19 -6.61 20.32 -11.97 48.76 5.94 -26.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.65R 4.31 Boreham_Wood 28 27 -6 -4.64 28.08 3.04 48.47 5.83 -10.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.27R 3.67 Altrincham 26 27 -17 1.49 59.75 -1.16 49.56 6.15 -24.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.60R 3.67 Welling 26 24 -14 -3.80 30.45 -2.37 45.54 6.02 -22.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.91R 10.80 Torquay 27 20 -24 -11.31 6.23 -14.18 45.35 6.26 -25.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.39R 12.48 Kidderminster 26 14 -20 -14.92 1.45 -9.62 37.67 6.25 -25.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.61R 58.34